Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Aberdeen 0–0 Dundee United

Saturday 2 January 2021, 15:00 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 22 · Half-time 0–0

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

AberdeenDundee United
Goals00
xG0.850.46
Expected Points1.640.95

Aberdeen 41%Draw 41%Dundee United 18%

Most likely score 0–0, 28%. Final score 0–0, 28%.

Dundee United goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+12%3%12%2%9%5%1%2%1%28%22%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.7510153045607590HTWright on for McGinn, 63'Cosgrove on for Kennedy, 75'Edmondson on for Main and Campbell on for McCrorie, 83'Powers on for Pawlett, 51'Aberdeen 0.85Dundee United 0.4600.250.50.7510153045607590HTWright on for McGinn, 63'Cosgrove on for Kennedy, 75'Edmondson on for Main and Campbell on for McCrorie, 83'Powers on for Pawlett, 51'0.850.46AberdeenDundee United

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenDundee United

0.85 −0.40xG0.46 −0.44
0.33 −0.98xG on target0.42 −0.41
18 +7.2Shots9 −0.1
3 −0.7Shots on target1 −1.7
0 −1.5Big chances0 −1.1
31 +12Touches in the opposition box10 0
56% +5Possession44% −2
422 +7Passes351 −5
75% +2Pass accuracy62% −4
69% +18Field tilt31% −5
47 +11Final-third entries37 +7
15 +5.6Box entries5 −2.2
11.2 −3Passes per defensive action15.3 −1
5 +0.3Corners2 −2.2
17 +5Tackles13 −1
17 +6Interceptions15 +4
16 −4Clearances27 +2
1 −1.0Saves3 −0.5
12 −3Fouls13 0
5 +3.5Offsides0 −1.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Aberdeen

Ferguson 14', 0.07 xGMcCrorie 15', 0.07 xGHoban 11', 0.06 xGMain 12', 0.06 xGMain 72', 0.06 xGConsidine 45', 0.05 xGMain 64', 0.05 xGCosgrove 81', 0.05 xGHedges 10', 0.04 xGConsidine 18', 0.04 xGFerguson 23', 0.04 xGHedges 38', 0.04 xGHoban 71', 0.04 xGHedges 75', 0.04 xGKennedy 18', 0.03 xGHayes 21', 0.03 xGHedges 24', 0.03 xGMain 36', 0.03 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals58%0.49 xGCentral box: 9 shots, 0.49 xG, 0 goals12%0.10 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals26%0.22 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.22 xG, 0 goals4%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Dundee United

Shankland 9', 0.08 xGShankland 52', 0.08 xGShankland 45+1', 0.05 xGClark 67', 0.05 xGConnolly 88', 0.05 xGRobson 52', 0.04 xGRobson 62', 0.04 xGRobson 89', 0.04 xGShankland 87', 0.03 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals39%0.18 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals17%0.08 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals43%0.20 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.20 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenDundee United

0.62 14 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.27 6 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.08 1 shot, 0 goals
0.22 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.10 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
91 min (100%) · Aberdeen 0.85, Dundee United 0.46 xG

Line-ups

131441140191710933LewisHobanTaylorConsidineHedgesMcCrorieFergusonHayesMcGinnMainKennedyYellow card83'63'83'75'Aberdeen 3-4-3Derek McInnes15126210238172724SiegristConnollyEdwardsReynoldsL. SmithClarkHarkesPawlettRobsonAppereShanklandYellow cardYellow card51'Dundee United 3-5-2Micky Mellon

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 63' Wright for McGinn
  • 75' Cosgrove for Kennedy
  • 83' Campbell for McCrorie
  • 83' Edmondson for Main

Dundee United substitutes

  • 0' Neilson
  • 51' Powers for Pawlett

Players

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LewisGK900.000.0000.0331
HobanCB900.100.0200.0898
TaylorCB900.000.000−0.04414
ConsidineCB900.090.0300.11117
HedgesRWB900.150.2340.25151
McCrorieCM830.070.0220.0346
FergusonCM900.120.0530.0327
Hayes LWB900.030.2820.3993
McGinnRW630.000.1420.0111
MainST830.200.020−0.0402
KennedyLW750.030.1420.1062
WrightFW270.000.0810.1940
CosgroveFW150.050.011−0.0100
CampbellMF70.000.0000.0010
EdmondsonFW70.000.010−0.0100

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SiegristGK900.000.0000.0231
ConnollyCB900.050.0000.01117
EdwardsCB900.000.000––0
ReynoldsCB900.000.0200.0756
L. SmithRWB900.000.0100.0326
Clark CM900.050.3310.0456
HarkesCM900.000.0330.0789
PawlettCM510.000.0100.0231
RobsonLWB900.120.0010.0444
Appere ST900.000.0400.0212
ShanklandST900.240.010−0.0110
NeilsonDF900.000.0000.0334
PowersDF390.000.0100.0344

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

Lewis and Hoban: 5 passesHoban and Taylor: 5 passesConsidine and Ferguson: 5 passesLewis and Considine: 6 passesHoban and Hayes: 6 passesTaylor and Kennedy: 6 passesHayes and McGinn: 6 passesFerguson and McGinn: 6 passesFerguson and Main: 6 passesFerguson and Kennedy: 6 passesConsidine and Kennedy: 7 passesHedges and Hayes: 7 passesLewis and Taylor: 8 passesHoban and Ferguson: 8 passesTaylor and McCrorie: 9 passesHedges and Ferguson: 9 passesTaylor and Considine: 10 passesHayes and Kennedy: 10 passesConsidine and Hayes: 13 passesHoban and Hedges: 14 passesHayes and Ferguson: 20 passesLewis: 13 completed passesHoban: 25 completed passesTaylor: 29 completed passesConsidine: 30 completed passesHedges: 27 completed passesHayes: 28 completed passesMcCrorie: 17 completed passesFerguson: 35 completed passesMcGinn: 15 completed passesMain: 8 completed passesKennedy: 20 completed passes131441117401910933LewisHobanTaylorConsidineHedgesHayesMcCrorieFergusonMcGinnMainKennedyStarters until 63' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Dundee United

Connolly and Robson: 3 passesReynolds and Neilson: 3 passesReynolds and Appere: 3 passesL. Smith and Pawlett: 3 passesRobson and Harkes: 3 passesRobson and Pawlett: 3 passesRobson and Shankland: 3 passesHarkes and Clark: 3 passesHarkes and Appere: 3 passesHarkes and Shankland: 3 passesClark and Pawlett: 3 passesAppere and Shankland: 3 passesSiegrist and Connolly: 4 passesSiegrist and Reynolds: 4 passesConnolly and Harkes: 4 passesReynolds and Harkes: 4 passesReynolds and Pawlett: 4 passesNeilson and Shankland: 4 passesPawlett and Shankland: 4 passesConnolly and Reynolds: 6 passesReynolds and Robson: 7 passesSiegrist: 7 completed passesConnolly: 12 completed passesReynolds: 21 completed passesNeilson: 8 completed passesL. Smith: 5 completed passesRobson: 8 completed passesHarkes: 14 completed passesClark: 10 completed passesPawlett: 11 completed passesAppere: 6 completed passesShankland: 10 completed passes15630217231082724SiegristConnollyReynoldsNeilsonL. SmithRobsonHarkesClarkPawlettAppereShanklandStarters until 51' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
ConsidineHayes17
HobanHedges12
FergusonHayes10
HayesFerguson10
TaylorLewis9

Dundee United

FromToPasses
L. SmithClark9
ReynoldsRobson7
ClarkL. Smith7
HarkesShankland5
RobsonReynolds5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

2−3.23−3.64−3.16+1.44−2.911+4.89+3.011+3.78+0.64−1.04−0.810+6.212+6.510+3.36+2.47+3.50−2.29+4.90−4.81−0.74+2.32+1.14+1.94+0.90−0.70−0.50−1.00−0.70−0.75−7.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 19 matches

Dundee United

2−3.36−1.213−3.77−0.113+5.98+1.413+5.612+5.310+2.36+0.96+0.93−1.15−0.26+0.53−1.25+2.12−0.38+5.73−0.41−1.00−1.52+1.21−0.50−1.90−0.70−0.11+0.61+0.70−0.64−5.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 21 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

0.010.010.010.020.030.030.010.050.020.010.030.100.090.060.040.010.090.08−0.01−0.02−0.01−0.100.060.140.200.18LessMore

Dundee United

0.010.010.010.010.010.020.030.01−0.010.030.030.010.030.030.02−0.010.010.010.020.050.04LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.18AttackAberdeen1.17 → 1.13Dundee United0.92 → 0.90Defence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.01 → 0.99Dundee United1.25 → 1.23

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee United
Top six37%36%−1
11th3%2%−1
Bottom1%<1%−1
St. Mirren
Top six47%46%−1
11th3%4%+1
Livingston
Top six63%63%0
11th1%1%0

From the forecast before the match (2 January 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

AberdeenDundee United
Expected goals1.270.82
Win46%23%
Expected Points1.691.00
Clean sheet44%28%

Aberdeen 46%Draw 30%Dundee United 23%

Most likely score 1–0, 15%. Both sides score 41%.

Dundee United goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+9%4%1%5%1%10%8%3%4%3%1%1%1%13%15%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 2 January 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowAberdeen winDrawDundee United win
Dundee United
Top six37%28%36%55%
11th3%4%2%1%
Bottom1%1%<1%<1%
St. Mirren
Top six47%50%46%42%
11th3%2%4%3%
Livingston
Top six63%65%63%58%
11th1%1%1%2%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. W2–126 DecSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.34–0.88
  2. D0–023 DecMotherwell (A)xG 1.16–0.22
  3. W2–020 DecKilmarnock (A)xG 1.03–0.36
  4. W2–012 DecRoss County (H)xG 1.19–0.80
  5. D1–15 DecSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.39–2.58
  6. D1–125 NovHamilton Academical (A)xG 0.52–0.49

Dundee United

  1. L0–330 DecCeltic (A)xG 0.95–2.09
  2. D1–126 DecMotherwell (H)xG 0.67–1.82
  3. W2–023 DecKilmarnock (H)xG 0.93–0.65
  4. D1–119 DecHibernian (A)xG 1.43–2.12
  5. L1–213 DecRangers (H)xG 0.43–1.34
  6. L0–25 DecLivingston (A)xG 0.42–1.20

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenDundee United
Position3rd5th
Played1921
Won, drawn, lost11–⁠5–⁠36–⁠7–⁠8
Points38 (2.00 per game)25 (1.19 per game)
Expected Points per game1.540.98
Goals27–⁠1817–⁠27
xG per game1.25–⁠1.010.90–⁠1.50
Home: points, xG per game2.20, 1.35–⁠1.161.36, 0.90–⁠1.44
Away: points, xG per game1.78, 1.13–⁠0.831.00, 0.91–⁠1.57
ManagerDerek McInnes (19)Micky Mellon (21)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.18AttackAberdeen1.17, 4thDundee United0.92, 10thDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.01, 3rdDundee United1.25, 9th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecAberdeen attack: 1.17Dundee United attack: 0.921.170.92Dundee UnitedAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecAberdeen defence: 1.01Dundee United defence: 1.251.251.01

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenDundee United
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−19%−31%−28%+29%
Counter-attacks−47%−44%+82%+134%
Set pieces−9%−29%−41%+9%
Penalties+92%+37%−50%−75%
Headers−15%−37%−59%+18%
Left side−25%−28%+5%+32%
Centre−19%−42%−50%+14%
Right side−6%−14%−22%+45%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdDundee United concededLeft side−25%+45%Centre−19%+14%Right side−6%+32%Open play−19%+29%Counter-attacks−47%+134%Set pieces−9%+9%Headers−15%+18%

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdAberdeen concededLeft side+5%−14%Centre−50%−42%Right side−22%−28%Open play−28%−31%Counter-attacks+82%−44%Set pieces−41%−29%Headers−59%−37%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenDundee United

1.25xG0.90
1.01xG against1.50
51%Possession46%
10.8Shots9.1
10.1Shots against15.4
3.7Shots on target2.7
1.5Big chances1.1
18.5Touches in the opposition box10.5
415Passes356
74%Pass accuracy66%
4.7Corners4.2
51%Field tilt37%
36.2Final-third entries29.6
9.4Box entries7.2
13.8Passes per defensive action16.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.380.83
Ahead321.111.19
Behind141.131.15

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level470.681.25
Ahead191.131.35
Behind241.152.11

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.300.134–3
16–300.110.104–3
31–450.240.176–3
46–600.190.196–5
61–750.150.172–2
76–900.250.255–2

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.142–3
16–300.180.174–4
31–450.120.303–4
46–600.190.223–3
61–750.050.360–6
76–900.240.325–7

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTLewis 19Hoban 15McCrorie 3Hayes 2Taylor 17McKenna 4Considine 16Kennedy 6Hedges 3McLennan 3Ferguson 13Ojo 4Kennedy 1McCrorie 10Campbell 3McGeouch 2Hayes 13Kennedy 3Leigh 2Hedges 9Wright 5Ferguson 2Watkins 7Main 5Hedges 4Cosgrove 5Wright 4Edmondson 33-4-1-2 in 6 of 19 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (6), 3-4-2-1 (4), 3-4-3 (3), 3-5-1-1 (2), 4-4-1-1 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

Dundee United

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTSiegrist 20Mehmet 1Smith 8Bolton 4Neilson 4Connolly 12Edwards 12Reynolds 18Robson 13Butcher 3Sporle 2Bolton 8Smith 3Chalmers 3Butcher 10Powers 2McNulty 1Harkes 15Pawlett 9Fuchs 4Robson 5Sporle 4Bolton 3Clark 12McNulty 7Chalmers 1Shankland 14Butcher 3Appere 34-4-2 in 8 of 21 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (8), 3-5-2 (6), 5-3-2 (2), 4-1-4-1 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
17 October 2020Dundee United0–0AberdeenxG 0.48–1.21

1 league meeting since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 0, Dundee United won 0, and 1 was a draw. Goals 0–0 and xG 1.21–0.48 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Cosgrove5481300.370.05
Ferguson161,401820.360.05
Watkins9732210.330.07
Main5503200.370.02

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Clark151,249800.380.04
Shankland141,306310.210.11
Pawlett11986100.150.15
Sporle7726110.120.16

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.