Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

St. Mirren 2–1 St. Johnstone

Wednesday 9 February 2022, 19:45 · The SMISA Stadium · Round 26 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee David Dickinson · Attendance 4,286

St. Mirren Ronan 42' (pen), Greive 49'

St. Johnstone Hendry 28' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. MirrenSt. Johnstone
Goals21
xG2.221.02
Non-penalty xG1.430.23
Expected Points2.390.39

St. Mirren 73%Draw 21%St. Johnstone 6%

Most likely score 2–1, 27%. Final score 2–1, 27%.

St. Johnstone goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+2%3%14%3%7%7%4%18%4%1%5%1%27%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTFlynn on for Tait, 73'Bair on for Davidson, Butterfield on for McCart, and Brown on for Sang, 59'Gilmour on for MacPherson, 65'May on for Gallacher, 86'Ronan 42' (pen)Greive 49'Hendry 28' (pen)St. Mirren 2.22St. Johnstone 1.0201230153045607590HTFlynn on for Tait, 73'Bair on for Davidson, Butterfield on for McCart, and Brown on for Sang, 59'Gilmour on for MacPherson, 65'May on for Gallacher, 86'Ronan 42' (pen)Greive 49'Hendry 28' (pen)2.221.02St. MirrenSt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. MirrenSt. Johnstone

2.22 +1.32xG1.02 +0.39
1.43Non-penalty xG0.23
2.43 +1.60xG on target1.65 +1.10
12 +0.8Shots10 +1.1
3 −1.0Shots on target4 +1.4
3 +2.1Big chances1 +0.5
18 +1Touches in the opposition box14 0
53% +7Possession47% +4
395 +55Passes355 +23
67% +1Pass accuracy66% +2
60% +17Field tilt40% 0
36 +7Final-third entries27 −2
10 +0.8Box entries8 +0.8
39.3 +24Passes per defensive action16.8 +1
5 −0.4Corners5 +0.3
13 0Tackles13 −1
5 −4.7Interceptions10 −0.5
15 −5Clearances26 +2
3 −1.0Saves1 −2.2
6 −5Fouls14 +2
2 −0.8Offsides2 +0.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Mirren

Kiltie 14', 0.28 xGKiltie 90+4', 0.10 xGTait 54', 0.09 xGKiltie 5', 0.06 xGJones 9', 0.04 xGJones 57', 0.04 xGGreive 4', 0.03 xGPower 64', 0.03 xGRonan 33', 0.01 xGRonan 54', 0.01 xGGreive 49', 0.74 xG, goal51%0.73 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.73 xG, 1 goal26%0.37 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.37 xG, 0 goals13%0.19 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.19 xG, 0 goals8%0.12 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

St. Johnstone

Hendry 75', 0.04 xGCrawford 15', 0.03 xGMacPherson 20', 0.03 xGMacPherson 37', 0.03 xGBair 89', 0.03 xGGordon 68', 0.02 xGHendry 73', 0.02 xGGilmour 76', 0.02 xGGilmour 68', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals30%0.07 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals13%0.03 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals30%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals26%0.06 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. MirrenSt. Johnstone

1.18 6 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.20 8 shots, 0 goals
0.10 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.16 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.03 1 shot, 0 goals
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
35 min (37%) · St. Mirren 1.15, St. Johnstone 0.85 xG
St. Mirren ahead
45 min (48%) · St. Mirren 0.27, St. Johnstone 0.14 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
14 min (15%) · St. Mirren 0.80, St. Johnstone 0.03 xG

Line-ups

12241826131143721AlnwickFraserShaughnessyDunneTaitPowerGogicKiltieRonanJonesGreiveYellow cardGoalGoalYellow card73'St. Mirren 4-2-3-1Jim Goodwin1564271883211422ClarkClearyGordonMcCartSangMacPhersonDavidsonGallacherCrawfordMiddletonHendryYellow cardYellow cardGoalYellow card59'59'65'59'86'St. Johnstone 3-4-1-2Callum Davidson

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 73' Flynn for Tait

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 59' Brown for Sang
  • 59' Butterfield for McCart
  • 59' Bair for Davidson
  • 65' Gilmour for MacPherson
  • 86' May for Gallacher

Players

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
AlnwickGK900.000.0000.0112
Fraser RB900.000.0100.0587
ShaughnessyCB900.000.0000.0119
DunneCB900.000.0000.0312
TaitLB730.090.0600.2752
PowerDM900.030.0100.0442
GogicDM900.000.6000.3848
KiltieRW9010.440.1030.1720
RonanAM9010.820.0300.0532
JonesLW900.080.3040.33130
Greive ST9010.770.051−0.0301
FlynnMF170.000.0000.0000

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ClarkGK900.000.0000.0340
ClearyCB900.000.0100.0559
Gordon CB900.020.0000.0216
McCartCB590.000.0000.0454
SangRWB590.000.2110.0605
MacPhersonCM650.060.0200.0343
Davidson CM590.000.000−0.0115
GallacherLWB860.000.0100.0147
CrawfordAM900.030.0520.0414
MiddletonST900.000.082−0.0452
Hendry ST9010.850.2220.1532
BrownDF310.000.0410.0721
ButterfieldMF310.000.0200.0320
BairFW310.030.0000.0001
GilmourMF250.030.000−0.0114
MayFW40.000.0000.0100

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Mirren

Alnwick and Shaughnessy: 4 passesPower and Jones: 4 passesKiltie and Jones: 4 passesAlnwick and Fraser: 5 passesFraser and Shaughnessy: 5 passesTait and Power: 5 passesJones and Greive: 5 passesTait and Greive: 6 passesGogic and Jones: 6 passesPower and Greive: 6 passesAlnwick and Dunne: 7 passesAlnwick and Tait: 7 passesKiltie and Ronan: 7 passesTait and Gogic: 8 passesRonan and Jones: 8 passesFraser and Power: 14 passesDunne and Tait: 14 passesFraser and Kiltie: 15 passesFraser and Ronan: 15 passesPower and Ronan: 17 passesTait and Ronan: 18 passesTait and Jones: 25 passesAlnwick: 11 completed passesFraser: 32 completed passesShaughnessy: 11 completed passesDunne: 19 completed passesTait: 49 completed passesGogic: 17 completed passesPower: 35 completed passesKiltie: 16 completed passesRonan: 31 completed passesJones: 20 completed passesGreive: 10 completed passes12241821361143721AlnwickFraserShaughnessyDunneTaitGogicPowerKiltieRonanJonesGreiveStarters until 73' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

St. Johnstone

Cleary and McCart: 3 passesCleary and Hendry: 3 passesGordon and Sang: 3 passesSang and Crawford: 3 passesSang and Hendry: 3 passesDavidson and Gallacher: 3 passesMacPherson and Middleton: 3 passesCrawford and Hendry: 3 passesClark and Cleary: 4 passesClark and McCart: 4 passesMcCart and Gallacher: 4 passesSang and MacPherson: 4 passesGallacher and Hendry: 4 passesCleary and MacPherson: 5 passesMcCart and Hendry: 5 passesMacPherson and Crawford: 5 passesCrawford and Middleton: 5 passesHendry and Middleton: 5 passesCleary and Sang: 6 passesCleary and Davidson: 6 passesCleary and Gordon: 8 passesMcCart and Crawford: 8 passesMcCart and Davidson: 9 passesGordon and McCart: 12 passesClark: 6 completed passesCleary: 20 completed passesGordon: 15 completed passesMcCart: 22 completed passesSang: 7 completed passesDavidson: 19 completed passesMacPherson: 10 completed passesGallacher: 5 completed passesCrawford: 12 completed passesHendry: 13 completed passesMiddleton: 10 completed passes1564278183212214ClarkClearyGordonMcCartSangDavidsonMacPhersonGallacherCrawfordHendryMiddletonStarters until 59' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
TaitJones18
FraserRonan15
RonanJones15
PowerRonan12
FraserKiltie11

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
GordonMcCart7
ClearyGordon7
DavidsonMcCart7
GilmourGordon6
McCartHendry5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Mirren

3−0.96−0.23−3.32−3.06−0.33−4.55−1.712+4.44−3.78+2.05−0.30−4.210+3.84−2.85+1.24+1.32−0.63−1.22−1.80−1.91−0.30−1.01−0.83+0.70−1.00−0.22+1.30−0.20−0.510−5.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 24 matches

St. Johnstone

8+2.012+5.013−1.74−1.75+0.215+7.23−4.87+0.380.09+2.010+3.56+1.05+1.43−2.53−2.96+1.83−0.91−1.47+3.811+6.72−0.70−1.82+1.42+0.51−0.90−1.00−0.70−0.80−0.40−0.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 24 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Mirren

0.010.010.020.010.010.010.010.010.020.040.040.010.010.040.050.020.17−0.02−0.010.110.220.240.29LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.010.020.010.010.010.010.010.020.010.030.010.040.010.02−0.01−0.02−0.030.030.010.080.05−0.06−0.010.19LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackSt. Mirren0.91 → 0.94St. Johnstone0.82 → 0.83Defence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.25 → 1.26St. Johnstone1.12 → 1.16

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Mirren
Top six29%43%+14
11th4%1%−3
Bottom1%<1%−1
St. Johnstone
11th50%50%0
Bottom28%35%+7
Dundee FC
11th25%31%+6
Bottom68%62%−6
Dundee United
Top six28%25%−3
11th4%4%0
Bottom1%1%0

From the forecast before the match (9 February 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. MirrenSt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.020.84
Win38%28%
Expected Points1.481.19
Clean sheet43%36%

St. Mirren 38%Draw 33%St. Johnstone 28%

Most likely score 0–0, 16%. Both sides score 37%.

St. Johnstone goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+6%2%6%2%8%7%3%3%2%1%16%12%15%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 9 February 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Mirren winDrawSt. Johnstone win
St. Mirren
Top six29%43%24%17%
11th4%1%4%8%
Bottom1%<1%<1%2%
St. Johnstone
11th50%50%51%47%
Bottom28%35%27%18%
Dundee FC
11th25%31%25%17%
Bottom68%62%69%75%
Dundee United
Top six28%25%30%31%
11th4%4%4%5%
Bottom1%1%1%1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Mirren

  1. W1–05 FebHibernian (A)xG 0.38–1.22
  2. D1–11 FebMotherwell (H)xG 0.46–0.81
  3. W1–025 JanAberdeen (H)xG 0.13–0.47
  4. W2–118 JanDundee United (A)xG 1.46–1.49
  5. L0–226 DecRangers (A)xG 0.06–2.12
  6. D0–022 DecCeltic (H)xG 0.29–1.68

St. Johnstone

  1. D0–05 FebDundee United (H)xG 0.39–1.13
  2. W2–11 FebLivingston (A)xG 0.41–1.24
  3. D0–026 JanDundee FC (H)xG 0.67–0.22
  4. L0–218 JanHearts (A)xG 1.14–1.71
  5. L1–326 DecCeltic (H)xG 0.26–2.57
  6. L1–222 DecRoss County (H)xG 0.32–2.15

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. MirrenSt. Johnstone
Position9th11th
Played2424
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠11–⁠74–⁠7–⁠13
Points29 (1.21 per game)19 (0.79 per game)
Expected Points per game1.080.87
Goals23–⁠3313–⁠28
xG per game0.90–⁠1.490.63–⁠1.34
Home: points, xG per game1.08, 0.82–⁠1.050.62, 0.69–⁠1.31
Away: points, xG per game1.33, 0.98–⁠1.931.00, 0.56–⁠1.38
ManagerJim Goodwin (62)Callum Davidson (62)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackSt. Mirren0.91, 9thSt. Johnstone0.82, 11thDefence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.25, 8thSt. Johnstone1.12, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebSt. Mirren attack: 0.91St. Johnstone attack: 0.820.910.82St. JohnstoneSt. MirrenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebSt. Mirren defence: 1.25St. Johnstone defence: 1.121.251.12

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. MirrenSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−41%+35%−47%−3%
Counter-attacks−13%+15%−77%+201%
Set pieces+20%+2%−35%+8%
Penalties−33%average−67%+33%
Headers+23%+2%−58%+7%
Left side−20%+36%−34%+9%
Centre−19%+20%−52%+11%
Right side−39%+25%−45%+6%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−20%+6%Centre−19%+11%Right side−39%+9%Open play−41%−3%Counter-attacks−13%+201%Set pieces+20%+8%Headers+23%+7%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−34%+25%Centre−52%+20%Right side−45%+36%Open play−47%+35%Counter-attacks−77%+15%Set pieces−35%+2%Headers−58%+2%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenSt. Johnstone

0.90xG0.63
1.49xG against1.34
46%Possession43%
11.2Shots8.9
15.5Shots against14.4
4.0Shots on target2.6
0.9Big chances0.5
17.4Touches in the opposition box14.1
340Passes332
66%Pass accuracy64%
5.4Corners4.7
42%Field tilt40%
29.0Final-third entries29.1
9.2Box entries7.2
14.9Passes per defensive action15.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level480.901.20
Ahead180.951.57
Behind240.852.00

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level550.581.17
Ahead120.861.85
Behind230.651.51

xG by period

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.215–4
16–300.100.201–6
31–450.130.274–7
46–600.220.303–5
61–750.130.355–8
76–900.260.165–3

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.162–2
16–300.070.152–4
31–450.090.234–5
46–600.100.242–5
61–750.150.241–5
76–900.120.322–7

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTAlnwick 23Lyness 1Fraser 21Henderson 3Tait 1Shaughnessy 22McCarthy 11Dunne 13Millar 6Tait 4Ronan 3Power 21McGrath 3Reid 3Erhahon 7Flynn 7Ronan 5Tanser 22Tait 2McGrath 12Kiltie 7Millar 3Ronan 9Brophy 8Henderson 2Main 11Brophy 9McGrath 23-4-2-1 in 6 of 24 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (6), 3-4-1-2 (6), 3-1-4-2 (4), 4-2-3-1 (3), 3-5-1-1 (2), 5-4-1 (2), 4-4-2 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTClark 22Parish 2Muller 7Brown 5Dendoncker 5Gordon 17Ambrose 4Kerr 3McCart 23Rooney 11Brown 7O'Halloran 5MacPherson 7Davidson 7Wotherspoon 4Craig 9Bryson 7Crawford 4Booth 20Devine 4Crawford 8Middleton 6Butterfield 4O'Halloran 6Hendry 5Wotherspoon 5May 9Kane 8Ciftci 23-4-2-1 in 11 of 24 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (11), 3-5-2 (7), 3-4-1-2 (2), 3-4-3 (2), 5-3-2 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
6 November 2021St. Johnstone0–0St. MirrenxG 0.18–0.76
29 August 2021St. Mirren0–0St. JohnstonexG 1.72–0.81
16 January 2021St. Johnstone1–0St. MirrenxG 1.06–0.30
19 December 2020St. Mirren3–2St. JohnstonexG 1.07–1.03
29 August 2020St. Johnstone1–0St. MirrenxG 2.84–0.29

5 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 1, St. Johnstone won 2, and 2 were drawn. Goals 3–4 and xG 0.83–1.18 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Brophy181,440600.310.01
Tanser221,852240.070.23
Tait8824010.170.09
McGrath181,588210.100.15

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
May121,076210.210.10
Middleton8736000.150.09
Kane121,254300.200.02
Crawford131,118200.060.10

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.