Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

St. Johnstone 1–0 St. Mirren

Saturday 16 January 2021, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 24 · Half-time 0–0

St. Johnstone Kane 46'

St. Mirren MacPherson sent off 56'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren
Goals10
xG1.060.30
Expected Points2.050.61

St. Johnstone 57%Draw 34%St. Mirren 9%

Most likely score 1–0, 30%. Final score 1–0, 30%.

St. Mirren goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+7%11%1%16%5%4%1%23%30%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTMacPherson (St. Mirren), second yellow card 56'May on for Melamed and Davidson on for Wotherspoon, 68'Hendry on for Kane, 82'Craig on for Bryson, 88'Erhahon on for Connolly, 60'Quaner on for Brophy, 68'Obika on for Erwin and McAllister on for Quaner, 87'Kane 46'St. Johnstone 1.06St. Mirren 0.3000.511.50153045607590HTMacPherson (St. Mirren), second yellow card 56'May on for Melamed and Davidson on for Wotherspoon, 68'Hendry on for Kane, 82'Craig on for Bryson, 88'Erhahon on for Connolly, 60'Quaner on for Brophy, 68'Obika on for Erwin and McAllister on for Quaner, 87'Kane 46'1.060.30St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren

1.06 −0.22xG0.30 −0.77
0.26 −0.61xG on target0.00 −0.85
8 −5Shots5 −7
2 −1.2Shots on target0 −3.5
2 +0.5Big chances0 −1.1
15 −7Touches in the opposition box7 −12
45% −1Possession55% +8
376 +8Passes462 +106
69% +3Pass accuracy74% +7
66% +12Field tilt34% −10
39 +2Final-third entries30 −5
12 +2.1Box entries4 −4.2
11.6 −4Passes per defensive action14.2 0
4 −0.3Corners2 −3.1
24 +8Tackles15 +2
12 0Interceptions6 −6
14 −5Clearances18 −2
0 −1.7Saves1 −2.6
16 +4Fouls12 0
2 0.0Offsides3 +1.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

Kane 67', 0.38 xGMelamed 29', 0.08 xGKane 48', 0.07 xGBryson 72', 0.07 xGWotherspoon 21', 0.05 xGKane 46', 0.04 xGBryson 84', 0.03 xGKane 46', 0.34 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals82%0.87 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.87 xG, 1 goal7%0.07 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals11%0.12 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

St. Mirren

McCarthy 34', 0.08 xGMcCarthy 82', 0.08 xGBrophy 64', 0.06 xGShaughnessy 23', 0.05 xGMcGrath 2', 0.03 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals70%0.21 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.21 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals30%0.09 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren

1.01 7 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.03 1 shot, 0 goals
0.05 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.27 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
46 min (51%) · St. Johnstone 0.51, St. Mirren 0.17 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
44 min (49%) · St. Johnstone 0.55, St. Mirren 0.14 xG

Line-ups

1564191318310179ClarkKerrGordonMcCartRooneyBrysonMcCannTanserWotherspoonMelamedKaneYellow cardGoal88'68'68'82'St. Johnstone 3-4-1-2Callum Davidson12254214717212923AlnwickFraserMcCarthyShaughnessyTaitMacPhersonDoyle-HayesMcGrathConnollyBrophyErwinYellow cardSent off, second yellow60'68'87'St. Mirren 4-3-3Jim Goodwin

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 68' Davidson for Wotherspoon · yellow card 85'
  • 68' May for Melamed
  • 82' Hendry for Kane
  • 88' Craig for Bryson

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 60' Erhahon for Connolly
  • 68' Quaner for Brophy · off 87'
  • 87' Obika for Erwin
  • 87' McAllister for Quaner

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ClarkGK900.000.0000.0321
KerrCB900.000.0400.1387
GordonCB900.000.0100.0976
McCartCB900.000.0100.0574
RooneyRWB900.000.0510.1087
BrysonCM880.100.0800.0656
McCannCM900.000.0300.0245
Tanser LWB900.000.0200.09105
WotherspoonAM680.050.1910.0723
MelamedST680.080.2510.0710
KaneST8210.830.051−0.0433
Davidson MF220.000.0000.0013
MayFW220.000.1010.1310
HendryFW80.000.0000.0011
CraigMF20.000.0000.0001

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
AlnwickGK900.000.0100.0880
FraserRB900.000.0100.0684
McCarthyCB900.160.0000.03210
ShaughnessyCB900.050.0000.0117
TaitLB900.000.0200.0675
MacPherson CM560.000.0000.0010
Doyle-HayesCM900.000.0100.0336
McGrathCM900.030.3330.0145
ConnollyRW600.000.000−0.0101
BrophyST680.060.0100.0000
ErwinLW870.000.1700.0934
ErhahonMF300.000.0200.0320
QuanerFW190.000.0000.0010
ObikaFW30.000.0000.0100
McAllisterFW30.000.0100.0110

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Kerr and Bryson: 5 passesBryson and Tanser: 5 passesMcCann and Wotherspoon: 5 passesWotherspoon and Melamed: 5 passesGordon and McCann: 6 passesBryson and McCann: 6 passesMcCann and Tanser: 6 passesTanser and Kane: 6 passesWotherspoon and Kane: 6 passesMcCart and Wotherspoon: 7 passesRooney and McCann: 7 passesRooney and Wotherspoon: 7 passesRooney and Kane: 7 passesBryson and Wotherspoon: 7 passesMcCart and McCann: 8 passesMcCart and Tanser: 8 passesKerr and Rooney: 9 passesGordon and Bryson: 9 passesRooney and Bryson: 10 passesTanser and Wotherspoon: 12 passesMcCart and Gordon: 13 passesClark: 8 completed passesMcCart: 27 completed passesKerr: 21 completed passesGordon: 22 completed passesRooney: 23 completed passesBryson: 30 completed passesMcCann: 29 completed passesTanser: 21 completed passesWotherspoon: 25 completed passesMelamed: 8 completed passesKane: 12 completed passes1456191318310179ClarkMcCartKerrGordonRooneyBrysonMcCannTanserWotherspoonMelamedKaneStarters until 68' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

St. Mirren

Alnwick and Fraser: 4 passesShaughnessy and McCarthy: 4 passesMcCarthy and Tait: 4 passesMcGrath and Doyle-Hayes: 4 passesDoyle-Hayes and Brophy: 4 passesBrophy and Erwin: 4 passesAlnwick and McCarthy: 5 passesShaughnessy and Doyle-Hayes: 5 passesTait and Brophy: 5 passesMcCarthy and MacPherson: 7 passesTait and Doyle-Hayes: 7 passesShaughnessy and McGrath: 8 passesDoyle-Hayes and MacPherson: 8 passesFraser and McCarthy: 9 passesTait and McGrath: 9 passesTait and Erwin: 14 passesFraser and Doyle-Hayes: 15 passesShaughnessy and Tait: 17 passesFraser and MacPherson: 21 passesAlnwick: 12 completed passesFraser: 30 completed passesShaughnessy: 23 completed passesMcCarthy: 19 completed passesTait: 31 completed passesMcGrath: 16 completed passesDoyle-Hayes: 30 completed passesMacPherson: 24 completed passesConnolly: 4 completed passesBrophy: 8 completed passesErwin: 11 completed passes12245217714212923AlnwickFraserShaughnessyMcCarthyTaitMcGrathDoyle-HayesMacPhersonConnollyBrophyErwinStarters until 56' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
BrysonTanser9
McCannTanser8
TanserWotherspoon7
BrysonRooney7
GordonMcCart7

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
FraserDoyle-Hayes15
ShaughnessyTait14
FraserMacPherson12
TaitErwin12
Doyle-HayesFraser11

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

2−2.25+0.99−3.02−2.70−5.77−2.48+0.32−4.64−4.711+2.93−3.212+6.15−0.79+2.612+5.94−0.88+4.010+7.73−0.610+5.32−0.62+0.11−0.62+0.25+2.05+3.80−0.32+1.70−0.50−0.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 23 matches

St. Mirren

9+4.24−1.813−0.610+3.89+3.75−2.36−2.46−1.013+4.86−1.74−0.74−2.68+3.85−0.39+3.23−1.42−1.64+1.03−0.50−2.21−0.80−1.13+0.91−1.41+0.10−0.21+0.20−0.40−0.70−4.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 20 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.030.010.010.010.010.030.040.030.020.050.030.050.050.040.050.060.040.020.030.050.070.08LessMore

St. Mirren

0.010.010.020.040.010.020.020.010.030.04−0.01−0.010.020.01−0.040.020.010.060.050.07LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.18AttackSt. Johnstone1.08 → 1.07St. Mirren0.94 → 0.90Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.13 → 1.10St. Mirren1.19 → 1.17

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
Top six7%13%+6
11th7%4%−3
Bottom2%1%−1
St. Mirren
Top six38%27%−11
11th3%5%+2
Bottom1%1%0
Dundee United
Top six33%35%+2
Kilmarnock
Top six29%30%+1
11th3%4%+1

From the forecast before the match (16 January 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren
Expected goals1.140.93
Win40%29%
Expected Points1.511.18
Clean sheet40%32%

St. Johnstone 40%Draw 31%St. Mirren 29%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 42%.

St. Mirren goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+5%2%6%2%8%8%4%1%3%3%1%13%11%14%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 16 January 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawSt. Mirren win
St. Johnstone
Top six7%13%4%2%
11th7%4%9%11%
Bottom2%1%2%4%
St. Mirren
Top six38%27%38%54%
11th3%5%2%1%
Bottom1%1%1%<1%
Dundee United
Top six33%35%33%28%
Kilmarnock
Top six29%30%30%24%
11th3%4%3%3%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. D2–212 JanDundee United (A)xG 2.25–0.82
  2. D1–12 JanRoss County (A)xG 1.57–0.81
  3. D0–030 DecHamilton Academical (H)xG 2.22–0.84
  4. L1–226 DecAberdeen (A)xG 0.88–1.34
  5. L0–323 DecRangers (H)xG 0.66–1.84
  6. L2–319 DecSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.03–1.07

St. Mirren

  1. D1–19 JanMotherwell (H)xG 1.51–1.85
  2. D1–12 JanKilmarnock (A)xG 0.52–0.97
  3. L0–230 DecRangers (H)xG 0.71–0.71
  4. W2–026 DecRoss County (A)xG 1.79–0.54
  5. L0–123 DecHibernian (A)xG 0.85–0.86
  6. W3–219 DecSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.07–1.03

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren
Position9th8th
Played2320
Won, drawn, lost4–⁠8–⁠116–⁠5–⁠9
Points20 (0.87 per game)23 (1.15 per game)
Expected Points per game1.531.26
Goals21–⁠3316–⁠23
xG per game1.28–⁠0.971.07–⁠1.23
Home: points, xG per game0.82, 1.17–⁠0.811.00, 1.25–⁠1.09
Away: points, xG per game0.92, 1.37–⁠1.111.30, 0.89–⁠1.37
ManagerCallum Davidson (23)Jim Goodwin (20)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.18AttackSt. Johnstone1.08, 6thSt. Mirren0.94, 9thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.13, 5thSt. Mirren1.19, 7th

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanSt. Johnstone attack: 1.08St. Mirren attack: 0.941.080.94St. MirrenSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanSt. Johnstone defence: 1.13St. Mirren defence: 1.191.191.13

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−3%−23%−23%+9%
Counter-attacks+126%−74%−45%−100%
Set pieces+2%−22%+12%−8%
Penalties−30%−30%−47%−47%
Headers+16%−23%−13%+22%
Left side+21%−16%−2%−7%
Centre−13%−22%−7%−18%
Right side+13%−38%−35%+41%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side+21%+41%Centre−13%−18%Right side+13%−7%Open play−3%+9%Counter-attacks+126%−100%Set pieces+2%−8%Headers+16%+22%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−2%−38%Centre−7%−22%Right side−35%−16%Open play−23%−23%Counter-attacks−45%−74%Set pieces+12%−22%Headers−13%−23%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren

1.28xG1.07
0.97xG against1.23
46%Possession47%
13.0Shots11.9
9.7Shots against12.6
3.2Shots on target3.5
1.5Big chances1.1
21.8Touches in the opposition box18.8
368Passes356
66%Pass accuracy67%
4.3Corners5.1
53%Field tilt44%
37.2Final-third entries34.6
9.9Box entries8.2
15.4Passes per defensive action13.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level591.190.99
Ahead91.641.31
Behind221.360.76

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level401.201.30
Ahead180.941.24
Behind330.991.13

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.142–3
16–300.160.143–4
31–450.200.176–10
46–600.180.202–5
61–750.280.103–2
76–900.310.225–9

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.180.203–2
16–300.160.262–8
31–450.190.202–5
46–600.110.212–2
61–750.110.201–5
76–900.320.146–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTClark 15Parish 8Kerr 15Rooney 7Craig 2Gordon 22McCart 22McNamara 20Rooney 1McCann 1McCann 17Bryson 4McNamara 2Davidson 10Craig 7Wotherspoon 4Tanser 17Booth 6Conway 12McCann 2Craig 2Wotherspoon 14O'Halloran 9May 3May 10Hendry 7Kane 53-4-2-1 in 14 of 23 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (14), 3-4-3 (3), 5-3-2 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-1-2-2-1 (1), 4-1-2-1-2 (1)

St. Mirren

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMCMLMSTAlnwick 17Zlamal 3Fraser 18Tait 1MacPherson 1McCarthy 19Shaughnessy 17Foley 3Tait 1Tait 15Fraser 2Obika 2McAllister 7Connolly 6Morias 2McGrath 17Sheron 6MacPhers… 5MacPhersonDoyle-Ha… 8Doyle-HayesObika 1Erhahon 14Foley 7Connolly 1Durmus 6Mason 5Obika 3Erwin 8Obika 7Morias 34-5-1 in 8 of 20 starts

Formations: 4-5-1 (8), 4-1-4-1 (4), 4-3-1-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (2), 3-4-3 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
19 December 2020St. Mirren3–2St. JohnstonexG 1.07–1.03
29 August 2020St. Johnstone1–0St. MirrenxG 2.84–0.29

2 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 1, St. Mirren won 1, and 0 were drawn. Goals 3–3 and xG 1.94–0.68 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
May131,242530.480.16
Kane6624300.480.08
Conway141,152320.270.23
Hendry8683000.320.03

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Obika131,197300.330.06
Morias7664000.250.09
Erwin8829200.280.05
McGrath201,645310.160.13

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.