Sunday 29 August 2021, 15:00 · The SMISA Stadium · Round 4 · Half-time 0–0 · Attendance 4,326
St. Mirren Erhahon sent off 90+2'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
St. Mirren
St. Johnstone
Goals
0
0
xG
1.72
0.81
Expected Points
2.12
0.62
St. Mirren 62%Draw 25%St. Johnstone 12%
Most likely score 2–0, 16%. Final score 0–0, 3%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
St. MirrenSt. Johnstone
1.72 +0.80xG0.81 −0.30
1.19 −0.10xG on target1.01 +0.58
10 +1.0Shots15 +2.3
3 0.0Shots on target6 +3.3
1 −0.3Big chances0 −0.7
44% +1Possession56% +3
295 +8Passes376 +3
59% −9Pass accuracy65% −5
40% +1Field tilt60% −5
20 −2Final-third entries50 +20
7 −4Box entries13 +1
12.1 −1Passes per defensive action9.8 −2
2 −3.0Corners4 −2.3
14 +1Tackles18 +4
8 −0.3Interceptions8 −3.0
22 +5Clearances26 +9
6 +2.3Saves3 +0.3
14 +2Fouls16 +3
2 −2.3Offsides1 −1.0
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
St. Mirren
St. Johnstone
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
0–0
0'HTFT
Level
94 min (100%) · St. Mirren 1.72, St. Johnstone 0.81 xG
Line-ups
St. Mirren substitutes
69'Dennis for Brophy
77'Erwin for Main
St. Johnstone substitutes
65'Middleton for Hendry
72'Kane for May
82'Booth for Devine
Players
St. Mirren
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Alnwick
GK
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.07
8
1
Fraser
CB
90
0.02
0.03
1
0.12
6
8
Shaughnessy
CB
90
0.19
0.00
0
0.01
0
14
Dunne
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.04
4
8
Tait
DM
90
0.78
0.20
2
0.25
3
2
McGrath
RWB
90
0.37
0.14
3
0.06
5
0
McCarthy
CM
90
0.00
0.04
1
−0.01
2
4
Erhahon
CM
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
2
4
Tanser
LWB
90
0.02
0.25
1
0.18
5
6
Main
ST
77
0.32
0.00
0
0.01
2
0
Brophy
ST
69
0.01
0.01
0
0.00
0
0
Dennis
FW
21
0.00
0.01
0
0.00
0
0
Erwin
FW
13
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
St. Johnstone
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Clark
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
4
Muller
CB
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.10
8
7
Kerr
CB
90
0.00
0.06
1
0.02
2
5
McCart
CB
90
0.01
0.07
1
0.29
15
8
Rooney
RWB
90
0.06
0.30
2
0.23
10
6
McCann
CM
90
0.03
0.04
1
0.02
6
9
Craig
CM
90
0.06
0.13
3
0.15
9
4
Devine
LWB
82
0.00
0.04
2
0.07
2
7
Hendry
AM
65
0.10
0.06
2
−0.02
3
1
Wotherspoon
AM
90
0.05
0.24
2
0.20
5
3
May
ST
72
0.24
0.01
0
−0.04
0
0
Middleton
MF
25
0.25
0.01
0
0.01
1
0
Kane
FW
18
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
3
0
Booth
MF
8
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
St. Mirren
St. Johnstone
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
St. Mirren
From
To
Passes
Erhahon
Tanser
7
McCarthy
Fraser
7
Tanser
Erhahon
6
Dunne
Alnwick
6
Alnwick
Main
6
St. Johnstone
From
To
Passes
McCann
Rooney
10
Muller
McCann
8
McCart
Wotherspoon
7
Wotherspoon
Hendry
6
Wotherspoon
Devine
6
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
St. Mirren
Against its average of 3 matches
St. Johnstone
Against its average of 3 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
St. Mirren
St. Johnstone
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
St. Mirren
Top six
15%
14%
−1
11th
15%
15%
0
Bottom
8%
8%
0
St. Johnstone
Top six
49%
48%
−1
11th
3%
4%
+1
Bottom
1%
1%
0
From the forecast before the match (29 August 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
St. Mirren
St. Johnstone
Expected goals
0.96
1.09
Win
31%
38%
Expected Points
1.24
1.44
Clean sheet
34%
38%
St. Mirren 31%Draw 32%St. Johnstone 38%
Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 42%.
From the forecast as it stood on 29 August 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
St. Mirren win
Draw
St. Johnstone win
St. Mirren
Top six
15%
21%
14%
10%
11th
15%
12%
15%
17%
Bottom
8%
5%
8%
10%
St. Johnstone
Top six
49%
40%
48%
59%
11th
3%
5%
4%
2%
Bottom
1%
2%
1%
1%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
St. Mirren
St. Johnstone
Position
11th
8th
Played
3
3
Won, drawn, lost
0–1–2
0–2–1
Points
1 (0.33 per game)
2 (0.67 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.17
1.40
Goals
3–10
1–2
xG per game
0.92–2.17
1.11–1.11
Home: points, xG per game
0.00, 0.73–0.47
0.50, 0.82–1.52
Away: points, xG per game
0.50, 1.02–3.02
1.00, 1.68–0.31
Manager
Jim Goodwin (41)
Callum Davidson (41)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
St. Mirren
St. Johnstone
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−36%
+67%
−21%
−23%
Counter-attacks
−32%
−32%
−21%
−91%
Set pieces
−19%
−4%
+9%
+30%
Penalties
+55%
−68%
+39%
−76%
Headers
+10%
+16%
−25%
−2%
Left side
−22%
+52%
+7%
−35%
Centre
−29%
+46%
−33%
+11%
Right side
−46%
+38%
+9%
−51%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
St. MirrenSt. Johnstone
0.92xG1.11
2.17xG against1.11
43%Possession53%
9.0Shots12.7
19.7Shots against7.7
3.0Shots on target2.7
1.3Big chances0.7
16.0Touches in the opposition box30.0
287Passes373
68%Pass accuracy69%
5.0Corners6.3
40%Field tilt65%
22.0Final-third entries30.4
10.7Box entries12.0
13.2Passes per defensive action11.7
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
St. Mirren
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
26
1.79
1.08
Ahead
15
0.72
1.72
Behind
49
0.53
2.88
St. Johnstone
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
65
1.09
1.00
Ahead
15
1.35
2.29
Behind
10
0.87
0.03
xG by period
St. Mirren
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.05
0.30
1–0
16–30
0.11
0.26
0–4
31–45
0.08
0.64
0–2
46–60
0.37
0.24
1–1
61–75
0.16
0.54
0–2
76–90
0.16
0.20
1–1
St. Johnstone
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.13
0.20
0–0
16–30
0.04
0.17
0–0
31–45
0.04
0.00
1–0
46–60
0.17
0.45
0–1
61–75
0.39
0.06
0–0
76–90
0.34
0.23
0–1
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
Most used players by position
St. Mirren
Formations: 3-4-1-2 (2), 3-5-1-1 (1)
St. Johnstone
Formations: 3-5-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1)
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
3 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 1, St. Johnstone won 2, and 0 were drawn. Goals 3–4 and xG 0.55–1.64 per game.
Key players
St. Mirren
Player
Starts
Min
G
A
xG per 90
xA per 90
Dennis
6
613
3
1
0.42
0.09
McGrath
37
3,110
11
1
0.29
0.15
McAllister
12
1,280
1
4
0.08
0.17
MacPherson
14
1,605
2
1
0.11
0.11
St. Johnstone
Player
Starts
Min
G
A
xG per 90
xA per 90
May
19
1,863
5
4
0.39
0.15
Kane
18
1,692
4
1
0.38
0.09
Middleton
5
500
2
0
0.31
0.15
Wotherspoon
30
2,671
3
4
0.11
0.21
Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.