Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Livingston 0–1 Rangers

Wednesday 3 March 2021, 18:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 30 · Half-time 0–0

Rangers Morelos 87'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonRangers
Goals01
xG0.352.73
Expected Points0.102.84

Livingston 1%Draw 6%Rangers 93%

Most likely score 0–3, 22%. Final score 0–1, 9%.

Rangers goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+1%9%12%4%4%8%8%5%1%1%1%20%22%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTRobinson on for Reilly, 23'Lawson on for Holt, 68'Tiffoney on for Robinson, 75'Itten on for Arfield, 73'Zungu on for Kent, 90+1'Morelos 87'Rangers 2.73Livingston 0.3501230153045607590HTRobinson on for Reilly, 23'Lawson on for Holt, 68'Tiffoney on for Robinson, 75'Itten on for Arfield, 73'Zungu on for Kent, 90+1'Morelos 87'2.730.35LivingstonRangers

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonRangers

0.35 −0.81xG2.73 +0.57
0.00 −1.06xG on target2.02 +0.02
7 −3Shots11 −6
0 −3.0Shots on target4 −2.1
0 −1.6Big chances5 +2.1
14 −3Touches in the opposition box26 −6
34% −14Possession66% −1
255 −87Passes486 −126
50% −10Pass accuracy77% −8
21% −30Field tilt79% +1
14 −18Final-third entries47 −12
5 −3.2Box entries11 −7.2
10.5 −2Passes per defensive action11.2 +1
4 −0.9Corners5 −1.8
19 +3Tackles6 −8
21 +9.3Interceptions11 +1.6
20 +2Clearances16 +4
4 +2.0Saves0 −1.7
20 +6Fouls10 −1
1 −1.0Offsides3 +1.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Robinson 36', 0.08 xGRobinson 62', 0.07 xGTiffoney 90+3', 0.05 xGReilly 10', 0.04 xGHolt 29', 0.04 xGGuthrie 66', 0.04 xGPittman 8', 0.03 xG20%0.07 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals46%0.16 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals14%0.05 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals20%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Rangers

Morelos 81', 0.55 xGArfield 38', 0.36 xGHelander 33', 0.31 xGDavis 87', 0.30 xGMorelos 58', 0.10 xGMorelos 76', 0.08 xGMorelos 84', 0.07 xGGoldson 81', 0.06 xGKent 51', 0.05 xGMorelos 72', 0.04 xGMorelos 87', 0.82 xG, goal50%1.37 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 1.37 xG, 1 goal27%0.73 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.73 xG, 0 goals18%0.48 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.48 xG, 0 goals5%0.15 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonRangers

0.20 4 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.64 6 shots, 1 goal
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.17 2 shots, 0 goals
0.15 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.92 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
87 min (94%) · Livingston 0.30, Rangers 2.73 xG
Rangers ahead
6 min (6%) · Livingston 0.05, Rangers 0.00 xG

Line-ups

322527126181481020StryjekDevlinFitzwaterGuthrieSerranoBartleyHoltMullinPittmanSibbaldReillyYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow card68'23'Livingston 4-2-3-1David Martindale1166531371018172014McGregorPattersonGoldsonHelanderBarisicArfieldDavisKamaraAriboMorelosKentYellow cardGoalYellow card73'90+1'Rangers 4-3-3Steven Gerrard

Livingston substitutes

  • 23' Robinson for Reilly · off 75'
  • 68' Lawson for Holt
  • 75' Tiffoney for Robinson

Rangers substitutes

  • 73' Itten for Arfield
  • 90+1' Zungu for Kent

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
Stryjek GK900.000.0000.0580
Devlin RB900.000.0300.0447
FitzwaterCB900.000.0000.0367
Guthrie CB900.040.0000.02214
Serrano LB900.000.0510.0947
BartleyDM900.000.011−0.0102
Holt DM680.040.0000.0119
MullinRW900.000.1830.0811
PittmanAM900.030.0000.0125
Sibbald LW900.000.0600.0515
ReillyST230.040.0010.0001
RobinsonMF520.150.0210.0201
LawsonMF220.000.0000.0112
TiffoneyFW150.050.0100.0000

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McGregor GK900.000.0000.0350
PattersonRB900.000.0100.0457
GoldsonCB900.060.0010.0339
HelanderCB900.310.0300.0946
BarisicLB900.000.3220.0224
ArfieldCM730.360.0500.0611
DavisCM900.300.1510.1682
KamaraCM900.000.2310.1293
AriboRW900.000.0410.16101
Morelos ST9011.650.0200.1232
KentLW900.050.0400.0531
IttenFW170.000.0410.0001
ZunguMF00.000.000––0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Stryjek and Serrano: 3 passesSerrano and Holt: 3 passesStryjek: 5 completed passesDevlin: 4 completed passesFitzwater: 1 completed passesGuthrie: 4 completed passesSerrano: 6 completed passesBartley: 4 completed passesHolt: 4 completed passesMullin: 2 completed passesSibbald: 4 completed passesPittman: 2 completed passesReilly: 2 completed passes322527126181410820StryjekDevlinFitzwaterGuthrieSerranoBartleyHoltMullinSibbaldPittmanReillyStarters until 23' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Rangers

Kamara and Morelos: 7 passesPatterson and Aribo: 8 passesBarisic and Kent: 8 passesArfield and Aribo: 8 passesDavis and Morelos: 8 passesGoldson and Arfield: 9 passesBarisic and Davis: 9 passesDavis and Aribo: 9 passesPatterson and Davis: 10 passesHelander and Davis: 10 passesArfield and Davis: 10 passesMcGregor and Helander: 11 passesPatterson and Arfield: 11 passesKamara and Aribo: 11 passesKamara and Kent: 11 passesDavis and Kent: 11 passesHelander and Kamara: 12 passesGoldson and Davis: 12 passesHelander and Goldson: 15 passesBarisic and Kamara: 15 passesHelander and Barisic: 16 passesMcGregor and Goldson: 17 passesKamara and Davis: 21 passesMcGregor: 27 completed passesPatterson: 29 completed passesHelander: 40 completed passesGoldson: 33 completed passesBarisic: 31 completed passesArfield: 25 completed passesKamara: 47 completed passesDavis: 56 completed passesAribo: 19 completed passesMorelos: 14 completed passesKent: 16 completed passes1165631371810172014McGregorPattersonHelanderGoldsonBarisicArfieldKamaraDavisAriboMorelosKentStarters until 73' · lines join pairs with 7+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
FitzwaterStryjek7
DevlinMullin6
SerranoGuthrie5
GuthrieStryjek5
StryjekSerrano5

Rangers

FromToPasses
GoldsonHelander15
DavisKamara15
McGregorGoldson14
DavisGoldson10
HelanderBarisic10

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

6+0.97+2.26−4.612+6.88+3.112+3.610+3.312+5.710+2.711+2.17+1.44−1.51−3.14−1.410+3.85+0.98+3.62−1.03−0.93−1.75+1.91−1.50−1.20−1.62−0.80−1.42+1.61+0.31+0.42+0.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 29 matches

Rangers

3−0.71−2.37+0.110+5.45+0.67−0.74−2.15+1.34−1.79+1.67+0.65−0.42−1.62−2.65−0.77+2.23−1.63+0.51−2.75+0.12−1.22−0.31−0.23+1.02−0.50−1.12+1.61+0.10−0.62+0.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 30 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.010.020.010.010.020.010.030.010.030.010.010.010.030.06−0.01−0.010.060.09LessMore

Rangers

0.010.010.010.020.040.030.010.030.040.060.050.020.030.050.060.050.040.030.080.040.020.020.020.12LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackLivingston1.06 → 1.04Rangers1.88 → 1.88Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.09 → 1.10Rangers0.61 → 0.60

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
Top six99%99%0

From the forecast before the match (3 March 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonRangers
Expected goals0.581.85
Win11%67%
Expected Points0.542.24
Clean sheet16%56%

Livingston 11%Draw 22%Rangers 67%

Most likely score 0–1, 16%. Both sides score 38%.

Rangers goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+9%9%4%2%5%10%9%5%2%2%3%3%2%16%15%

From the forecast as it stood on 3 March 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawRangers win
Livingston
Top six99%>99%>99%99%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. D1–120 FebSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.29–0.71
  2. L0–313 FebDundee United (A)xG 0.93–1.93
  3. L1–26 FebSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.86–1.78
  4. W2–02 FebAberdeen (A)xG 0.56–0.36
  5. D0–030 JanAberdeen (H)xG 0.98–1.38
  6. W2–027 JanKilmarnock (H)xG 1.10–0.59

Rangers

  1. W4–121 FebDundee United (H)xG 3.26–1.04
  2. W1–013 FebKilmarnock (H)xG 1.47–0.08
  3. D1–17 FebHamilton Academical (A)xG 0.74–1.37
  4. W1–03 FebSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.33–0.27
  5. W1–027 JanHibernian (A)xG 1.72–0.80
  6. W5–023 JanRoss County (H)xG 2.67–0.50

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonRangers
Position5th1st
Played2930
Won, drawn, lost11–⁠7–⁠1126–⁠4–⁠0
Points40 (1.38 per game)82 (2.73 per game)
Expected Points per game1.372.34
Goals36–⁠3573–⁠9
xG per game1.16–⁠1.102.16–⁠0.57
Home: points, xG per game1.29, 1.08–⁠1.313.00, 2.38–⁠0.54
Away: points, xG per game1.47, 1.24–⁠0.902.47, 1.94–⁠0.60
ManagerDavid Martindale (14)Steven Gerrard (30)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackLivingston1.06, 5thRangers1.88, 1stDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.09, 6thRangers0.61, 1st

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebLivingston attack: 1.06Rangers attack: 1.881.881.06RangersLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebLivingston defence: 1.09Rangers defence: 0.611.090.61

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonRangers
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−6%−23%+90%−48%
Counter-attacks−91%−32%+57%−29%
Set pieces+13%+9%+23%−58%
Penalties−40%average+73%−100%
Headers+15%+2%+45%−51%
Left side−16%−36%+38%−40%
Centre+10%−10%+78%−52%
Right side−17%average+85%−58%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdRangers concededLeft side−16%−58%Centre+10%−52%Right side−17%−40%Open play−6%−48%Counter-attacks−91%−29%Set pieces+13%−58%Headers+15%−51%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdLivingston concededLeft side+38%averageCentre+78%−10%Right side+85%−36%Open play+90%−23%Counter-attacks+57%−32%Set pieces+23%+9%Headers+45%+2%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonRangers

1.16xG2.16
1.10xG against0.57
48%Possession67%
10.1Shots17.2
9.7Shots against5.8
3.0Shots on target6.1
1.6Big chances2.9
17.4Touches in the opposition box32.0
342Passes612
60%Pass accuracy84%
4.9Corners6.8
50%Field tilt79%
32.2Final-third entries59.1
8.2Box entries18.2
12.4Passes per defensive action10.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level480.990.99
Ahead171.200.94
Behind251.461.42

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level322.120.72
Ahead542.170.51
Behind52.270.11

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.118–3
16–300.230.233–11
31–450.100.242–9
46–600.200.209–9
61–750.200.125–0
76–900.260.209–3

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.270.137–1
16–300.400.1317–2
31–450.330.0614–1
46–600.440.0713–0
61–750.350.0913–2
76–900.360.109–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTStryjek 17McCrorie 12Devlin 26Ambrose 1Robinson 1Ambrose 12Fitzwater 8Guthrie 26Brown 8Taylor-Sinclair 4Serrano 16Brown 5Ambrose 2Bartley 21Pittman 4Serrano 1Holt 16Sibbald 10Lawson 3Mullin 10Robinson 6Fitzwater 4Pittman 19Bartley 4Holt 1Forrest 16Sibbald 7Robinson 2Emmanuel-Thomas 6Robinson 5Tiffoney 34-2-3-1 in 15 of 29 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (15), 3-4-2-1 (6), 4-3-3 (3), 4-4-2 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 5-3-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWMcGregor 21McLaughlin 9Tavernier 29Balogun 1Goldson 30Helander 17Balogun 13Barisic 27Bassey 3Aribo 18Arfield 10Davis 21Jack 16Hagi 2Kamara 20Hagi 14Roofe 6Kent 3Morelos 19Roofe 5Defoe 3Kent 25Hagi 2Roofe 24-3-3 in 23 of 30 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (23), 4-2-3-1 (7)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
25 October 2020Rangers2–0LivingstonxG 1.39–0.87
16 August 2020Livingston0–0RangersxG 0.07–1.11

2 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 0, Rangers won 1, and 1 was a draw. Goals 0–2 and xG 0.47–1.25 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Forrest181,514410.190.22
Emmanuel-Thomas7841200.280.05
Robinson161,421410.190.08
Mullin12998230.090.18

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Roofe131,1381020.660.11
Tavernier292,5851190.400.27
Morelos191,549830.540.12
Itten4643410.380.20

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.