Matches › 2021/22

Hibernian 1–1 Motherwell

Saturday 4 December 2021, 15:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 17 · Half-time 1–0 · Attendance 15,266

Hibernian Nisbet 33'

Motherwell Watt 60'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Hibernian	Motherwell
Goals	1	1
xG	1.89	1.32
Expected Points	1.76	0.99

Hibernian 50%Draw 26%Motherwell 24%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Final score 1–1, 12%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianMotherwell

1.89 +0.57xG1.32 +0.23

1.34 0.00xG on target1.35 +0.01

17 +5Shots12 +2

5 +1.2Shots on target5 +1.3

2 +0.6Big chances3 +1.3

32 +14Touches in the opposition box16 −2

60% +7Possession40% 0

413 +10Passes294 +9

69% −6Pass accuracy58% −4

74% +20Field tilt26% −7

29 −12Final-third entries29 +4

14 +1.6Box entries7 −0.5

10.3 −2Passes per defensive action11.1 −2

8 +2.3Corners0 −4.4

17 +3Tackles17 +3

10 +0.9Interceptions10 −1.9

12 −4Clearances31 +6

4 +1.4Saves3 −1.3

8 −4Fouls14 −2

1 −1.2Offsides4 +2.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Hibernian

Motherwell

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianMotherwell

1.65 14 shots, 1 goalOpen play1.23 11 shots, 1 goal

0.24 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.09 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–01–1

Level: 65 min (71%) · Hibernian 1.72, Motherwell 0.96 xG
Hibernian ahead: 27 min (29%) · Hibernian 0.17, Motherwell 0.36 xG

Line-ups

Hibernian substitutes

69' Murphy for Cadden
73' Doidge for Doyle-Hayes
83' Allan for Newell

Motherwell substitutes

56' Roberts for Woolery
69' Carroll for Lamie
80' Shields for van Veen

Players

Hibernian

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Macey	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	4	0
McGinn	CB	90			0.00	0.05	1	0.17	9	5
Porteous	CB	90			0.18	0.01	0	0.03	6	5
Hanlon	CB	90			0.07	0.01	0	0.03	3	10
Doig	RWB	90			0.00	0.16	1	0.18	8	5
Cadden	CM	69			0.11	0.40	3	0.20	5	1
Doyle-Hayes	CM	73			0.00	0.01	0	−0.01	1	5
Newell	LWB	83			0.00	0.07	1	0.01	2	5
Campbell	AM	90		1	0.37	0.17	2	0.21	5	1
Boyle	ST	90			0.04	0.39	3	0.26	11	1
Nisbet	ST	90	1		1.13	0.09	1	0.03	0	4
Murphy	FW	21			0.00	0.09	0	0.09	5	0
Doidge	FW	17			0.00	0.08	0	0.00	0	1
Allan	MF	7			0.00	0.09	0	0.06	2	0

Motherwell

Player	Pos	Min	G	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Kelly	GK	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.02	2	0
O'Donnell	RB	90		0.00	0.05	1	0.04	6	6
Mugabi	CB	90		0.02	0.00	0	−0.04	2	17
Lamie	CB	69		0.00	0.03	1	0.07	3	4
McGinley	LB	90		0.00	0.06	0	0.11	6	6
Slattery	CM	90		0.05	0.01	0	0.04	5	3
Cornelius	CM	90		0.34	0.00	1	0.05	1	5
Goss	CM	90		0.09	0.02	1	0.08	7	6
Woolery	RW	56		0.00	0.00	1	0.01	2	0
van Veen	ST	80		0.31	0.18	2	0.27	2	2
Watt	LW	90	1	0.48	0.03	1	0.06	5	5
Roberts	FW	34		0.04	0.00	0	0.00	1	6
Carroll	DF	21		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	3
Shields	MF	10		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

Motherwell

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

From	To	Passes
Porteous	McGinn	13
McGinn	Boyle	11
Porteous	Doyle-Hayes	10
Hanlon	Doig	9
Doyle-Hayes	McGinn	8

Motherwell

From	To	Passes
McGinley	van Veen	8
Goss	Watt	7
Goss	van Veen	6
O'Donnell	Cornelius	6
Slattery	Watt	5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

Against its average of 14 matches

Motherwell

Against its average of 16 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

Motherwell

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Hibernian
Top six	86%	81%	−5
11th	<1%	<1%	0
Motherwell
Top six	57%	61%	+4
11th	3%	3%	0
Bottom	1%	1%	0

From the forecast before the match (4 December 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Hibernian	Motherwell
Expected goals	1.69	0.88
Win	56%	19%
Expected Points	1.93	0.82
Clean sheet	41%	18%

Hibernian 56%Draw 25%Motherwell 19%

Most likely score 1–0, 12%. Both sides score 48%.

From the forecast as it stood on 4 December 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Hibernian win	Draw	Motherwell win
Hibernian
Top six	86%	91%	81%	76%
11th	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%
Motherwell
Top six	57%	50%	61%	74%
11th	3%	4%	3%	1%
Bottom	1%	2%	1%	<1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hibernian

Motherwell

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Hibernian	Motherwell
Position	6th	5th
Played	14	16
Won, drawn, lost	5–⁠3–⁠6	7–⁠3–⁠6
Points	18 (1.29 per game)	24 (1.50 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.55	1.13
Goals	17–⁠18	20–⁠24
xG per game	1.32–⁠1.02	1.09–⁠1.47
Home: points, xG per game	1.43, 1.26–⁠1.07	1.78, 1.08–⁠1.50
Away: points, xG per game	1.14, 1.38–⁠0.96	1.14, 1.12–⁠1.43
Manager	Jack Ross (52)	Graham Alexander (34)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Hibernian		Motherwell
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	+9%	−18%	−21%	+19%
Counter-attacks	+162%	+137%	−14%	−56%
Set pieces	−42%	−15%	+27%	+26%
Penalties	+95%	−51%	−15%	+70%
Headers	−28%	+18%	+41%	+7%
Left side	−5%	−6%	−5%	+41%
Centre	−10%	−1%	+7%	+5%
Right side	+29%	−38%	−39%	+22%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdMotherwell concededLeft side−5%+22%Centre−10%+5%Right side+29%+41%Open play+9%+19%Counter-attacks+162%−56%Set pieces−42%+26%Headers−28%+7%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdHibernian concededLeft side−5%−38%Centre+7%−1%Right side−39%−6%Open play−21%−18%Counter-attacks−14%+137%Set pieces+27%−15%Headers+41%+18%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianMotherwell

1.32xG1.09

1.02xG against1.47

53%Possession40%

11.8Shots10.0

10.6Shots against15.7

3.8Shots on target3.7

1.4Big chances1.7

17.5Touches in the opposition box17.7

403Passes285

74%Pass accuracy62%

5.7Corners4.4

54%Field tilt33%

41.4Final-third entries24.9

12.4Box entries7.5

12.8Passes per defensive action13.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	47	1.18	0.95
Ahead	19	1.34	0.96
Behind	24	1.56	1.19

Motherwell

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	33	1.07	1.48
Ahead	28	1.10	1.38
Behind	28	1.11	1.56

xG by period

Hibernian

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.13	0.12	1–4
16–30	0.13	0.16	3–3
31–45	0.19	0.17	3–3
46–60	0.22	0.13	4–2
61–75	0.35	0.19	3–2
76–90	0.30	0.24	3–4

Motherwell

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.15	0.20	4–2
16–30	0.11	0.24	3–5
31–45	0.11	0.16	1–6
46–60	0.30	0.32	6–3
61–75	0.24	0.22	3–4
76–90	0.17	0.35	3–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (7), 3-4-1-2 (3), 3-5-2 (2), 4-5-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

Motherwell

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
1 August 2021	Motherwell	2–3	Hibernian	xG 1.47–2.88
27 February 2021	Hibernian	0–2	Motherwell	xG 1.70–1.00
5 December 2020	Motherwell	0–3	Hibernian	xG 1.22–1.08
15 August 2020	Hibernian	0–0	Motherwell	xG 1.45–0.89

4 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 2, Motherwell won 1, and 1 was a draw. Goals 6–4 and xG 1.78–1.15 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Murphy	6	522	1	1	0.39	0.22
Boyle	13	1,151	7	0	0.38	0.16
Magennis	7	580	2	1	0.24	0.15
Nisbet	12	1,022	3	0	0.27	0.05

Motherwell

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Watt	15	1,336	8	0	0.38	0.05
van Veen	9	878	4	1	0.31	0.10
Woolery	14	1,157	1	1	0.23	0.06
Goss	7	662	0	4	0.05	0.23

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.