Matches › 2022/23

St. Mirren 1–0 Ross County

Saturday 13 August 2022, 15:00 · The SMISA Stadium · Round 3 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Grant Irvine · Attendance 4,557

St. Mirren Tait 50'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	St. Mirren	Ross County
Goals	1	0
xG	0.25	0.35
Expected Points	1.06	1.30

St. Mirren 14%Draw 64%Ross County 22%

Most likely score 0–0, 58%. Final score 1–0, 12%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. MirrenRoss County

0.25 −1.41xG0.35 −0.62

0.65 −1.17xG on target0.22 −0.39

8 −4.5Shots5 −3.5

2 −1.5Shots on target1 −1.5

0 −3.0Big chances1 0.0

41% +4Possession59% +28

307 +40Passes458 +196

64% +2Pass accuracy75% +13

60% +29Field tilt40% +13

44 +16Final-third entries51 +27

14 +2.5Box entries11 +4.0

18.8 0Passes per defensive action10.2 −9

6 0.0Corners5 +2.5

15 0Tackles25 +12

7 0.0Interceptions9 −3.5

14 −5Clearances23 −4

1 −2.5Saves1 −1.5

10 −2Fouls10 −2

0 −1.0Offsides1 −3.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

St. Mirren

Ross County

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. MirrenRoss County

0.15 6 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.35 5 shots, 0 goals

0.10 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–0

Level: 50 min (54%) · St. Mirren 0.16, Ross County 0.02 xG
St. Mirren ahead: 42 min (46%) · St. Mirren 0.09, Ross County 0.33 xG

Line-ups

St. Mirren substitutes

69' Brophy for Main
69' O'Hara for Kiltie
87' Flynn for Erhahon
90+2' Greive for Ayunga

Ross County substitutes

46' Harmon for Purrington
46' White for Samuel
59' Olaigbe for Hiwula-Mayifuila
77' Dhanda for Cancola
86' Paton for Sims

Players

St. Mirren

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Carson	GK	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.03	3	0
Strain	RWB	90			0.01	0.16	2	0.13	8	5
Fraser	CB	90			0.00	0.03	0	−0.10	8	4
Shaughnessy	CB	90			0.06	0.00	0	0.02	2	3
Dunne	CB	90			0.04	0.04	0	0.11	6	6
Tait	LWB	90	1		0.03	0.03	0	−0.04	2	4
Baccus	CM	90			0.04	0.04	3	0.10	4	7
Erhahon	CM	87			0.00	0.07	0	0.10	7	4
Kiltie	CM	69			0.00	0.11	1	−0.04	1	2
Ayunga	ST	90		1	0.04	0.06	1	0.08	5	1
Main	ST	69			0.03	0.06	0	−0.06	1	2
Brophy	FW	21			0.00	0.01	0	0.01	1	0
O'Hara	MF	21			0.00	0.01	0	−0.01	0	0
Flynn	MF	3			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Greive	FW	0			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Ross County

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Laidlaw	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	1
Johnson	RB	90	0.00	0.19	1	0.25	14	5
Baldwin	CB	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.07	8	8
Iacovitti	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.04	3	11
Purrington	LB	46	0.00	0.00	0	0.06	7	3
Callachan	DM	90	0.00	0.02	0	0.04	5	9
Cancola	DM	77	0.00	0.02	0	0.02	2	5
Edwards	RW	90	0.15	0.02	1	0.02	6	1
Samuel	AM	46	0.02	0.00	0	0.01	1	0
Sims	LW	86	0.07	0.06	0	0.09	6	3
Hiwula-Mayifuila	ST	59	0.00	0.00	0	0.04	1	2
Harmon	DF	44	0.00	0.02	0	0.08	8	5
White	FW	44	0.07	0.05	0	0.03	1	1
Olaigbe	MF	31	0.04	0.03	1	0.11	1	0
Dhanda	MF	13	0.00	0.02	1	0.03	4	0
Paton	MF	4	0.00	0.01	0	0.01	1	3

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Mirren

Ross County

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Mirren

From	To	Passes
Strain	Fraser	12
Fraser	Baccus	9
Baccus	Strain	9
Erhahon	Strain	8
Ayunga	Strain	6

Ross County

From	To	Passes
Johnson	Baldwin	13
Johnson	Sims	12
Baldwin	Johnson	11
Harmon	Edwards	10
Baldwin	Iacovitti	9

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Mirren

Against its average of 2 matches

Ross County

Against its average of 2 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Mirren

Ross County

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
St. Mirren
Top six	10%	14%	+4
11th	20%	19%	−1
Bottom	23%	16%	−7
Ross County
Top six	10%	7%	−3
11th	21%	22%	+1
Bottom	27%	33%	+6

From the forecast before the match (13 August 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	St. Mirren	Ross County
Expected goals	1.35	0.97
Win	45%	26%
Expected Points	1.63	1.08
Clean sheet	38%	26%

St. Mirren 45%Draw 29%Ross County 26%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 47%.

From the forecast as it stood on 13 August 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	St. Mirren win	Draw	Ross County win
St. Mirren
Top six	10%	14%	9%	6%
11th	20%	19%	21%	21%
Bottom	23%	16%	26%	34%
Ross County
Top six	10%	7%	10%	14%
11th	21%	22%	21%	20%
Bottom	27%	33%	26%	17%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Mirren

Ross County

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	St. Mirren	Ross County
Position	12th	11th
Played	2	2
Won, drawn, lost	0–⁠0–⁠2	0–⁠0–⁠2
Points	0 (0.00 per game)	0 (0.00 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.17	0.79
Goals	1–⁠5	2–⁠5
xG per game	1.66–⁠2.27	0.97–⁠1.77
Home: points, xG per game	0.00, 2.38–⁠1.16	0.00, 0.39–⁠1.75
Away: points, xG per game	0.00, 0.93–⁠3.37	0.00, 1.54–⁠1.78
Manager	Steve Robinson (6)	Malky Mackay (40)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	St. Mirren		Ross County
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−18%	+33%	−25%	+47%
Counter-attacks	+78%	+53%	+121%	−3%
Set pieces	−4%	+3%	−19%	+30%
Penalties	+71%	+229%	+13%	average
Headers	+39%	+16%	−37%	+57%
Left side	−21%	+58%	−18%	+31%
Centre	+16%	+10%	−17%	+63%
Right side	−46%	+20%	−29%	+24%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdRoss County concededLeft side−21%+24%Centre+16%+63%Right side−46%+31%Open play−18%+47%Counter-attacks+78%−3%Set pieces−4%+30%Headers+39%+57%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−18%+20%Centre−17%+10%Right side−29%+58%Open play−25%+33%Counter-attacks+121%+53%Set pieces−19%+3%Headers−37%+16%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenRoss County

1.66xG0.97

2.27xG against1.77

37%Possession32%

12.5Shots8.5

16.0Shots against19.0

3.5Shots on target2.5

3.0Big chances1.0

266Passes262

63%Pass accuracy62%

6.0Corners2.5

32%Field tilt27%

28.0Final-third entries24.0

11.5Box entries7.0

18.5Passes per defensive action19.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	33	2.07	2.73
Ahead	0	–	–
Behind	57	1.41	2.01

Ross County

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	66	1.02	2.19
Ahead	0	–	–
Behind	24	0.82	0.56

xG by period

St. Mirren

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.04	0.04	0–0
16–30	0.27	0.56	0–1
31–45	0.47	0.76	0–3
46–60	0.48	0.41	1–0
61–75	0.14	0.07	0–0
76–90	0.25	0.43	0–1

Ross County

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.08	0.08	0–0
16–30	0.48	0.09	0–0
31–45	0.12	0.79	0–0
46–60	0.04	0.48	1–2
61–75	0.06	0.13	0–0
76–90	0.18	0.19	1–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

Ross County

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
5 March 2022	Ross County	1–0	St. Mirren	xG 1.23–0.31
1 December 2021	St. Mirren	0–0	Ross County	xG 1.89–0.93
16 October 2021	Ross County	2–3	St. Mirren	xG 1.15–1.10
21 April 2021	Ross County	1–3	St. Mirren	xG 0.65–2.23
27 February 2021	St. Mirren	1–0	Ross County	xG 1.41–1.91
26 December 2020	Ross County	0–2	St. Mirren	xG 0.54–1.79

7 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 4, Ross County won 1, and 2 were drawn. Goals 10–5 and xG 1.43–1.23 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Greive	10	933	2	1	0.31	0.03
Brophy	23	1,946	7	0	0.31	0.01
Tanser	31	2,623	2	4	0.06	0.21
Main	17	1,740	2	1	0.19	0.03

Ross County

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Samuel	11	1,162	1	0	0.24	0.05
Callachan	35	3,068	4	1	0.17	0.04
White	31	2,904	6	6	0.16	0.04
Baldwin	29	2,681	2	2	0.06	0.05

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.