Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Ross County 0–0 Hibernian

Saturday 17 October 2020, 15:00 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 11 · Half-time 0–0

Ross County Randall sent off 79'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountyHibernian
Goals00
xG0.632.70
Expected Points0.272.61

Ross County 5%Draw 12%Hibernian 83%

Most likely score 0–2, 14%. Final score 0–0, 3%.

Hibernian goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+3%9%8%4%2%2%6%9%9%6%3%1%2%3%3%2%14%13%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTRandall (Ross County), red card 79'Grivosti on for Donaldson, 76'Kelly on for Lakin, 77'McKay on for Gardyne, 82'Tillson on for Paton, 89'Mallan on for Magennis, 64'Gullan on for Stevenson, 84'Hibernian 2.70Ross County 0.6301230153045607590HTRandall (Ross County), red card 79'Grivosti on for Donaldson, 76'Kelly on for Lakin, 77'McKay on for Gardyne, 82'Tillson on for Paton, 89'Mallan on for Magennis, 64'Gullan on for Stevenson, 84'2.700.63Ross CountyHibernian

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountyHibernian

0.63 −0.45xG2.70 +1.24
0.29 −0.38xG on target1.32 −0.27
16 +6.7Shots27 +15.4
2 −0.6Shots on target6 +2.0
0 −1.4Big chances4 +2.3
23 +13Touches in the opposition box36 +12
44% −3Possession56% +10
388 +3Passes475 +118
72% +1Pass accuracy78% +9
58% +13Field tilt42% +3
48 +12Final-third entries57 +24
14 +7.4Box entries19 +8.0
16.5 +2Passes per defensive action15.4 −1
3 −0.4Corners5 −0.3
13 0Tackles12 −2
7 −3.9Interceptions8 −1.1
16 −12Clearances11 −12
5 +2.1Saves2 −1.0
11 −5Fouls12 0
1 −0.5Offsides5 +3.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

Paton 9', 0.07 xGPaton 27', 0.07 xGLakin 15', 0.05 xGPaton 61', 0.05 xGCharles-Cook 69', 0.05 xGGardyne 71', 0.05 xGStewart 35', 0.04 xGGardyne 63', 0.04 xGVigurs 21', 0.03 xGGardyne 24', 0.03 xGLakin 40', 0.03 xGGardyne 44', 0.03 xGCharles-Cook 61', 0.03 xGPaton 69', 0.03 xGGardyne 73', 0.03 xGIacovitti 56', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals27%0.17 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals27%0.17 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals33%0.21 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.21 xG, 0 goals13%0.08 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals

Hibernian

Doidge 67', 0.48 xGNisbet 13', 0.34 xGHanlon 90+3', 0.33 xGBoyle 11', 0.20 xGDoidge 90+1', 0.12 xGBoyle 4', 0.08 xGNisbet 13', 0.08 xGDoidge 50', 0.08 xGPorteous 5', 0.07 xGGogic 38', 0.07 xGNisbet 67', 0.07 xGStevenson 71', 0.07 xGNisbet 77', 0.07 xGHanlon 13', 0.06 xGNisbet 49', 0.06 xGMallan 71', 0.06 xGMagennis 13', 0.05 xGHanlon 13', 0.05 xGNisbet 52', 0.05 xGNisbet 82', 0.05 xGHanlon 90+3', 0.05 xGDoidge 5', 0.04 xGBoyle 90+2', 0.04 xGNewell 12', 0.03 xGNisbet 43', 0.03 xGNewell 88', 0.03 xGMagennis 5', 0.02 xG31%0.84 xGSix-yard box: 4 shots, 0.84 xG, 0 goals49%1.32 xGCentral box: 14 shots, 1.32 xG, 0 goals14%0.37 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.37 xG, 0 goals6%0.17 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountyHibernian

0.60 15 shots, 0 goalsOpen play2.29 21 shots, 0 goals
0.03 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.41 6 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
93 min (100%) · Ross County 0.63, Hibernian 2.70 xG

Line-ups

21225161511171924727DoohanRandallDonaldsonIacovittiWatsonVigursCharles-CookLakinPatonGardyneStewartSent offYellow card76'77'89'82'Ross County 4-1-4-1Stuart Kettlewell1645161310117159MarcianoP. McGinnHanlonPorteousStevensonGogicBoyleNewellMagennisNisbetDoidgeYellow card84'64'Hibernian 4-1-3-2Jack Ross

Ross County substitutes

  • 76' Grivosti for Donaldson
  • 77' Kelly for Lakin
  • 82' McKay for Gardyne
  • 89' Tillson for Paton

Hibernian substitutes

  • 64' Mallan for Magennis
  • 84' Gullan for Stevenson

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
DoohanGK900.000.0100.0551
Randall RB790.000.0120.0351
DonaldsonCB760.000.0200.0763
IacovittiCB900.020.0400.13107
WatsonLB900.000.0000.02310
VigursDM900.030.0910.13159
Charles-CookRM900.080.0110.1475
LakinCM770.080.0410.0742
PatonCM890.210.0520.0942
GardyneLM820.170.1450.0870
Stewart ST900.040.0430.0354
GrivostiDF140.000.0000.0002
KellyMF130.000.0100.0011
McKayFW80.000.0000.0000
TillsonMF10.000.000––0

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MarcianoGK900.000.0000.0101
P. McGinnRB900.000.1030.36114
HanlonCB900.490.0910.1654
PorteousCB900.070.0200.1186
StevensonLB840.070.0110.0552
GogicDM900.070.0210.0753
BoyleCM900.320.0730.24112
Newell AM900.060.4760.25127
MagennisCM640.080.000−0.0104
NisbetST900.760.0610.2443
DoidgeST900.720.1330.0361
MallanMF260.060.3720.0530
GullanFW60.000.0000.0110

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Donaldson and Randall: 6 passesIacovitti and Charles-Cook: 6 passesGardyne and Stewart: 6 passesDoohan and Stewart: 7 passesIacovitti and Vigurs: 7 passesRandall and Vigurs: 7 passesRandall and Gardyne: 7 passesCharles-Cook and Lakin: 7 passesPaton and Lakin: 7 passesVigurs and Stewart: 7 passesRandall and Paton: 8 passesCharles-Cook and Paton: 8 passesPaton and Stewart: 8 passesIacovitti and Stewart: 9 passesVigurs and Lakin: 9 passesWatson and Vigurs: 11 passesCharles-Cook and Vigurs: 11 passesPaton and Vigurs: 12 passesPaton and Gardyne: 12 passesLakin and Gardyne: 12 passesVigurs and Gardyne: 13 passesDonaldson and Vigurs: 14 passesCharles-Cook and Gardyne: 14 passesDoohan: 16 completed passesDonaldson: 21 completed passesIacovitti: 26 completed passesWatson: 18 completed passesRandall: 20 completed passesCharles-Cook: 24 completed passesPaton: 29 completed passesVigurs: 51 completed passesLakin: 19 completed passesGardyne: 32 completed passesStewart: 19 completed passes21251615217241119727DoohanDonaldsonIacovittiWatsonRandallCharles-CookPatonVigursLakinGardyneStewartStarters until 76' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Hibernian

Marciano and Porteous: 6 passesStevenson and Gogic: 6 passesHanlon and Magennis: 7 passesNewell and Doidge: 7 passesNewell and Nisbet: 7 passesHanlon and Newell: 8 passesGogic and Newell: 8 passesGogic and Magennis: 9 passesP. McGinn and Newell: 10 passesPorteous and Newell: 10 passesMarciano and P. McGinn: 11 passesP. McGinn and Boyle: 11 passesPorteous and Gogic: 11 passesMarciano and Hanlon: 12 passesHanlon and Stevenson: 12 passesHanlon and Gogic: 12 passesP. McGinn and Porteous: 13 passesP. McGinn and Gogic: 13 passesBoyle and Newell: 13 passesPorteous and Hanlon: 25 passesMarciano: 23 completed passesP. McGinn: 36 completed passesPorteous: 41 completed passesHanlon: 46 completed passesStevenson: 18 completed passesGogic: 34 completed passesBoyle: 13 completed passesNewell: 39 completed passesMagennis: 14 completed passesDoidge: 11 completed passesNisbet: 9 completed passes1654161310117915MarcianoP. McGinnPorteousHanlonStevensonGogicBoyleNewellMagennisDoidgeNisbetStarters until 64' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
VigursWatson9
VigursPaton8
Charles-CookVigurs8
DonaldsonVigurs8
GardyneVigurs8

Hibernian

FromToPasses
PorteousHanlon18
HanlonPorteous16
P. McGinnBoyle15
PorteousP. McGinn13
HanlonGogic11

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

7+1.76−1.39−1.35−1.78+0.37+0.89+2.613+2.97−1.94−1.65+0.21−3.02−2.24−2.25−0.24+1.04+1.25+1.33−1.81−0.810.03+2.21−0.62+0.40−0.81+0.70−0.30−0.40−0.913−4.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 10 matches

Hibernian

3−2.87+2.06−0.94−3.25−1.09+1.39+0.210+3.65−2.03−2.812+7.34−0.98+1.83−1.52−2.03+0.72+0.65+1.62−1.32+1.20−1.50−0.72+0.92+0.61+0.10−0.42+0.70−0.50−1.28−9.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 10 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.010.020.030.010.010.010.030.010.010.030.010.020.050.070.020.040.060.090.040.08−0.070.070.020.04−0.020.15LessMore

Hibernian

0.010.010.010.030.010.010.020.040.050.070.060.050.050.060.070.010.150.010.090.050.03−0.06−0.010.120.180.220.25LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.16AttackRoss County0.91 → 0.90Hibernian1.22 → 1.22Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.42 → 1.44Hibernian1.17 → 1.16

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
Top six19%19%0
11th15%14%−1
Bottom9%9%0
Hibernian
Top six95%95%0

From the forecast before the match (17 October 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountyHibernian
Expected goals0.971.57
Win23%51%
Expected Points0.951.79
Clean sheet21%38%

Ross County 23%Draw 27%Hibernian 51%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 50%.

Hibernian goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+9%5%2%7%5%2%4%6%5%2%1%2%1%12%10%13%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 17 October 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawHibernian win
Ross County
Top six19%30%19%14%
11th15%11%14%18%
Bottom9%5%9%12%
Hibernian
Top six95%91%95%98%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. L0–24 OctRangers (A)xG 0.46–2.00
  2. L0–327 SepAberdeen (H)xG 0.46–3.26
  3. W1–019 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.23–0.85
  4. L0–512 SepCeltic (H)xG 0.81–3.32
  5. L0–129 AugLivingston (A)xG 0.38–1.31
  6. D1–122 AugSt. Mirren (A)xG 2.21–1.31

Hibernian

  1. W3–22 OctHamilton Academical (H)xG 2.97–1.80
  2. L0–327 SepCeltic (A)xG 0.60–1.94
  3. D2–220 SepRangers (H)xG 0.60–3.01
  4. W3–012 SepSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.09–1.24
  5. L0–130 AugAberdeen (H)xG 0.46–1.73
  6. W1–023 AugSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.53–0.52

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountyHibernian
Position8th3rd
Played1010
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠2–⁠56–⁠2–⁠2
Points11 (1.10 per game)20 (2.00 per game)
Expected Points per game1.031.44
Goals7–⁠1616–⁠10
xG per game1.08–⁠1.691.46–⁠1.41
Home: points, xG per game0.80, 1.21–⁠2.191.60, 1.33–⁠1.63
Away: points, xG per game1.40, 0.96–⁠1.182.40, 1.59–⁠1.19
ManagerStuart Kettlewell (10)Jack Ross (10)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.16AttackRoss County0.91, 9thHibernian1.22, 3rdDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.42, 11thHibernian1.17, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctRoss County attack: 0.91Hibernian attack: 1.221.220.91HibernianRoss CountyDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctRoss County defence: 1.42Hibernian defence: 1.171.421.17

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountyHibernian
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−25%+17%+8%−10%
Counter-attacks−100%−31%−48%−76%
Set pieces−8%−3%+21%+4%
Penalties+5%+164%+5%+111%
Headers+18%−11%+28%−9%
Left side−20%+25%−13%+14%
Centre−35%+12%+32%−37%
Right side+1%−10%−5%+25%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdHibernian concededLeft side−20%+25%Centre−35%−37%Right side+1%+14%Open play−25%−10%Counter-attacks−100%−76%Set pieces−8%+4%Headers+18%−9%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdRoss County concededLeft side−13%−10%Centre+32%+12%Right side−5%+25%Open play+8%+17%Counter-attacks−48%−31%Set pieces+21%−3%Headers+28%−11%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountyHibernian

1.08xG1.46
1.69xG against1.41
47%Possession46%
9.3Shots11.6
13.2Shots against13.7
2.6Shots on target4.0
1.4Big chances1.7
10.0Touches in the opposition box24.5
385Passes357
72%Pass accuracy69%
3.4Corners5.3
45%Field tilt39%
35.6Final-third entries33.5
6.6Box entries11.0
14.4Passes per defensive action16.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level401.231.46
Ahead180.371.67
Behind311.301.99

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level411.491.25
Ahead351.731.54
Behind150.721.56

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.190.331–2
16–300.170.192–2
31–450.140.231–2
46–600.150.280–3
61–750.170.351–4
76–900.260.312–3

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.250.152–1
16–300.190.114–0
31–450.320.364–4
46–600.080.331–2
61–750.360.183–1
76–900.260.282–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMRMCMCMLMSTLaidlaw 10Randall 7Donaldson 1Charles-Cook 1Donaldson 9Watson 1Iacovitti 9Morris 1Reid 9Stewart 1Draper 4Vigurs 3Paton 1Gardyne 3Stewart 2Erwin 2Paton 5Tillson 5Charles-Cook 1Vigurs 6Gardyne 2Draper 1Stewart 5Gardyne 3Paton 1McKay 6Stewart 2Shaw 24-1-4-1 in 3 of 10 starts

Formations: 4-1-4-1 (3), 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-3-3 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

Hibernian

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTMarciano 10McGinn 9Boyle 1Porteous 10Hanlon 10Doig 6Gogic 2Stevenson 1Boyle 8McGinn 1Wright 1Gogic 7Wright 2Hallberg 1Newell 10Horgan 4Doig 3Murphy 2Doidge 9Boyle 1Wright 1Nisbet 84-4-2 in 6 of 10 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (6), 3-5-2 (3), 3-4-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
McKay6463100.380.15
Stewart10896210.410.08
Gardyne8690000.070.22
Paton8617000.050.15

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Nisbet8701610.670.08
Doidge9823310.360.11
Boyle10897330.210.15
Newell10791120.030.21

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.