Matches › 2022/23

Hibernian 1–1 Hearts

Sunday 7 August 2022, 12:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 2 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee John Beaton · Attendance 20,179

Hibernian Boyle 90+5'

Hearts Shankland 22'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Hibernian	Hearts
Goals	1	1
xG	1.50	0.96
Expected Points	1.76	0.95

Hibernian 49%Draw 29%Hearts 22%

Most likely score 1–1, 16%. Final score 1–1, 16%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianHearts

1.50 +0.72xG0.96 −0.82

0.26 +0.15xG on target0.81 −0.35

12 −2Shots12 −3

3 +2.0Shots on target6 +2.0

2 +1.0Big chances2 0.0

21Touches in the opposition box18 −5

57% −11Possession43% −17

365 −79Passes283 −237

74% −7Pass accuracy62% −14

66% −18Field tilt34% −25

50 +2Final-third entries28 −13

15 −2Box entries12 −1

8.0 −0.1Passes per defensive action14.2 −1.7

7 −2.0Corners9 +5.0

16 +6Tackles16 −1

6 +1.0Interceptions8 +1.0

18 +11.0Clearances19 +7.0

5 +4.0Saves2 0.0

18 +3.0Fouls13 +7.0

3 −1.0Offsides2 +2.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Hibernian

Hearts

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianHearts

1.25 9 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.79 8 shots, 1 goal

0.24 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.17 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–1

Level: 23 min (24%) · Hibernian 0.23, Hearts 0.10 xG
Hearts ahead: 73 min (76%) · Hibernian 1.27, Hearts 0.86 xG

Line-ups

Hibernian substitutes

54' Doidge for Melkersen
62' Boyle for Campbell · goal 90+5'
79' Doyle-Hayes for Kenneh

Hearts substitutes

63' Atkinson for Forrest
63' Sibbick for Smith
77' Devlin for Grant
89' Halliday for Boyce

Players

Hibernian

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Marshall	GK	90			0.00	0.03	1	0.12	5	0
Cadden	RB	90			0.00	0.07	1	0.10	10	2
Bushiri	CB	90			0.33	0.01	0	0.04	3	9
Porteous	CB	90			0.29	0.01	1	0.21	9	11
Cabraja	LB	90			0.00	0.01	1	0.05	3	2
Kenneh	DM	79			0.17	0.02	0	0.05	4	4
Newell	DM	90			0.09	0.06	0	0.05	7	3
Melkersen	RW	54			0.00	0.04	1	0.07	1	2
Campbell	AM	62			0.00	0.02	0	−0.01	2	2
Henderson	LW	90			0.00	0.16	4	0.12	5	5
Youan	ST	90		1	0.33	0.31	1	0.26	4	2
Doidge	FW	36			0.05	0.00	0	−0.01	0	0
Boyle	FW	28	1		0.23	0.02	0	0.04	3	1
Doyle-Hayes	MF	11			0.00	0.14	1	0.23	4	0

Hearts

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Gordon	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.04	6	0
Smith	RB	63			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	2	1
Halkett	CB	90			0.06	0.00	0	0.02	2	8
Rowles	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	2	8
Cochrane	LB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	1	9
Haring	DM	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.03	2	8
Grant	DM	77			0.06	0.11	1	0.19	2	2
McKay	RW	90		1	0.27	0.12	4	0.18	12	2
Boyce	AM	89			0.01	0.06	2	0.09	3	0
Forrest	LW	63			0.05	0.24	1	0.21	2	3
Shankland	ST	90	1		0.40	0.01	1	0.22	4	3
Atkinson	DF	27			0.12	0.01	0	0.03	2	2
Sibbick	DF	27			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Devlin	MF	13			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Halliday	MF	1			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

Hearts

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

From	To	Passes
Marshall	Porteous	16
Bushiri	Cadden	13
Bushiri	Porteous	11
Porteous	Cabraja	10
Porteous	Bushiri	10

Hearts

From	To	Passes
Halkett	Smith	7
Cochrane	Shankland	5
Smith	Rowles	5
McKay	Shankland	5
McKay	Cochrane	5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

Against its average of 1 match

Hearts

Against its average of 1 match

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

Hearts

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Hibernian
Top six	78%	76%	−2
11th	1%	1%	0
Hearts
Top six	77%	78%	+1
11th	1%	1%	0

From the forecast before the match (7 August 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Hibernian	Hearts
Expected goals	1.31	1.01
Win	43%	28%
Expected Points	1.58	1.13
Clean sheet	36%	27%

Hibernian 43%Draw 29%Hearts 28%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 47%.

From the forecast as it stood on 7 August 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Hibernian win	Draw	Hearts win
Hibernian
Top six	78%	84%	76%	71%
11th	1%	1%	1%	2%
Hearts
Top six	77%	72%	78%	85%
11th	1%	2%	1%	1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hibernian

Hearts

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Hibernian	Hearts
Position	5th	4th
Played	1	1
Won, drawn, lost	1–⁠0–⁠0	1–⁠0–⁠0
Points	3 (3.00 per game)	3 (3.00 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.89	1.54
Goals	1–⁠0	2–⁠1
xG per game	0.78–⁠0.15	1.78–⁠1.54
Home: points, xG per game	–⁠	3.00, 1.78–⁠1.54
Away: points, xG per game	3.00, 0.78–⁠0.15	–⁠
Manager	Lee Johnson (1)	Robbie Neilson (39)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Hibernian		Hearts
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−6%	−33%	+26%	+23%
Counter-attacks	+52%	−4%	+63%	+161%
Set pieces	−25%	−21%	−4%	−4%
Penalties	−22%	−22%	+25%	−69%
Headers	−15%	−9%	−8%	−8%
Left side	−2%	−23%	+30%	+10%
Centre	−15%	−29%	+12%	+21%
Right side	average	−32%	+29%	+31%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdHearts concededLeft side−2%+31%Centre−15%+21%Right sideaverage+10%Open play−6%+23%Counter-attacks+52%+161%Set pieces−25%−4%Headers−15%−8%

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdHibernian concededLeft side+30%−32%Centre+12%−29%Right side+29%−23%Open play+26%−33%Counter-attacks+63%−4%Set pieces−4%−21%Headers−8%−9%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianHearts

0.78xG1.78

0.15xG against1.54

68%Possession60%

14.0Shots15.0

4.0Shots against12.0

1.0Shots on target4.0

1.0Big chances2.0

444Passes520

81%Pass accuracy76%

9.0Corners4.0

84%Field tilt59%

48.0Final-third entries41.0

17.0Box entries13.0

8.1Passes per defensive action15.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	90	0.78	0.15
Ahead	0	–	–
Behind	0	–	–

Hearts

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	59	2.46	1.82
Ahead	31	0.52	1.02
Behind	0	–	–

xG by period

Hibernian

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.12	0.02	0–0
16–30	0.21	0.00	0–0
31–45	0.00	0.00	0–0
46–60	0.24	0.09	0–0
61–75	0.12	0.04	0–0
76–90	0.07	0.00	1–0

Hearts

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.04	0.17	0–0
16–30	0.03	0.93	0–0
31–45	1.00	0.09	0–0
46–60	0.54	0.00	1–0
61–75	0.03	0.04	0–0
76–90	0.15	0.31	1–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

Hearts

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
9 April 2022	Hearts	3–1	Hibernian	xG 0.94–0.52
1 February 2022	Hibernian	0–0	Hearts	xG 1.02–1.37
12 September 2021	Hearts	0–0	Hibernian	xG 1.23–1.09

3 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 0, Hearts won 1, and 2 were drawn. Goals 1–3 and xG 0.88–1.18 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Henderson	11	989	1	1	0.19	0.23
Doidge	6	733	2	0	0.35	0.06
Melkersen	8	668	0	1	0.30	0.03
Newell	28	2,451	0	3	0.07	0.19

Hearts

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Boyce	29	2,486	10	3	0.51	0.11
McKay	31	2,722	3	10	0.14	0.29
M. Smith	20	1,627	2	1	0.14	0.11
Devlin	23	1,884	1	2	0.10	0.08

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.