Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

St. Mirren 0–0 Motherwell

Wednesday 24 February 2021, 18:00 · The SMISA Stadium · Round 11 · Half-time 0–0

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. MirrenMotherwell
Goals00
xG0.301.39
Expected Points0.402.36

St. Mirren 5%Draw 24%Motherwell 71%

Most likely score 0–1, 32%. Final score 0–0, 12%.

Motherwell goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+12%21%7%1%3%11%7%2%1%1%32%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTErwin on for MacPherson, 69'McAllister on for Tait, 73'Connolly on for Obika, 82'Motherwell 1.39St. Mirren 0.3000.511.50153045607590HTErwin on for MacPherson, 69'McAllister on for Tait, 73'Connolly on for Obika, 82'1.390.30St. MirrenMotherwell

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. MirrenMotherwell

0.30 −0.76xG1.39 +0.30
0.39 −0.53xG on target0.13 −0.80
7 −5Shots14 +4
2 −1.4Shots on target2 −1.3
0 −1.1Big chances1 −0.3
14 −4Touches in the opposition box24 +6
54% +7Possession46% 0
385 +29Passes332 −16
66% −1Pass accuracy56% −14
45% +2Field tilt55% +19
42 +9Final-third entries27 −4
7 −1.0Box entries15 +5.4
15.7 +2Passes per defensive action11.3 −3
5 +0.1Corners9 +4.1
19 +6Tackles21 +7
9 −2Interceptions9 −2
26 +6Clearances24 +1
2 −1.2Saves2 −0.9
8 −4Fouls11 −1
2 +0.3Offsides1 −1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Mirren

McAllister 90', 0.07 xGObika 46', 0.06 xGShaughnessy 31', 0.05 xGShaughnessy 45', 0.04 xGMacPherson 51', 0.04 xGAlnwick 38', 0.02 xGDurmus 51', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals50%0.15 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals23%0.07 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals13%0.04 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals13%0.04 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Motherwell

Cole 76', 0.69 xGCampbell 64', 0.14 xGCole 72', 0.10 xGCampbell 53', 0.06 xGMaguire 35', 0.05 xGMaguire 42', 0.05 xGCampbell 48', 0.05 xGCole 63', 0.05 xGRoberts 74', 0.04 xGRoberts 12', 0.03 xGMaguire 20', 0.03 xGMaguire 20', 0.03 xGCrawford 73', 0.03 xGRoberts 76', 0.03 xG50%0.69 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.69 xG, 0 goals10%0.14 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.14 xG, 0 goals19%0.26 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.26 xG, 0 goals19%0.27 xGEdge of the box: 7 shots, 0.27 xG, 0 goals2%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. MirrenMotherwell

0.13 2 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.62 11 shots, 0 goals
0.17 5 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.77 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
90 min (100%) · St. Mirren 0.30, Motherwell 1.39 xG

Line-ups

1225427251114179AlnwickFraserMcCarthyShaughnessyTaitDoyle-HayesErhahonDurmusMacPhersonMcGrathObikaYellow cardYellow card73'69'82'St. Mirren 3-4-2-1Jim Goodwin133340431586394432KellyO'DonnellMagloireLamieCarrollMaguireCrawfordCampbellRobertsColeWattYellow cardMotherwell 4-3-3Graham Alexander

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 69' Erwin for MacPherson
  • 73' McAllister for Tait
  • 82' Connolly for Obika

Motherwell substitutes

None used

Players

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
AlnwickGK900.020.0100.10101
FraserCB900.000.0200.08614
McCarthyCB900.000.0210.0708
Shaughnessy CB900.090.0000.02510
TaitRWB730.000.0100.0353
Doyle-HayesCM900.000.0300.0848
ErhahonCM900.000.0100.0464
Durmus LWB900.020.0510.18126
MacPhersonAM690.040.0100.0001
McGrathAM900.000.1230.0043
ObikaST820.060.0000.0111
ErwinFW210.000.0000.0011
McAllisterFW170.070.0100.0211
ConnollyMF80.000.0200.0210

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
KellyGK900.000.0000.0110
O'DonnellRB900.000.0300.0768
MagloireCB900.000.0000.0115
LamieCB900.000.0100.0638
CarrollLB900.000.0100.0549
Maguire CM900.170.1110.0817
CrawfordCM900.030.0320.0667
CampbellCM900.250.0300.0616
RobertsRW900.100.1410.0210
ColeST900.840.0820.1135
WattLW900.000.1830.0891

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Mirren

Shaughnessy and McGrath: 4 passesShaughnessy and Obika: 4 passesTait and Doyle-Hayes: 4 passesDurmus and MacPherson: 4 passesDurmus and Obika: 4 passesErhahon and McGrath: 4 passesMcGrath and MacPherson: 4 passesAlnwick and Fraser: 5 passesAlnwick and Tait: 5 passesShaughnessy and McCarthy: 5 passesMcCarthy and Doyle-Hayes: 5 passesFraser and MacPherson: 5 passesErhahon and MacPherson: 5 passesShaughnessy and Erhahon: 6 passesTait and MacPherson: 6 passesAlnwick and Obika: 7 passesMcCarthy and Fraser: 7 passesDurmus and Doyle-Hayes: 7 passesDurmus and Erhahon: 7 passesAlnwick and McCarthy: 8 passesDoyle-Hayes and MacPherson: 9 passesDoyle-Hayes and Erhahon: 10 passesShaughnessy and Durmus: 11 passesFraser and Tait: 13 passesFraser and Doyle-Hayes: 13 passesDurmus and McGrath: 22 passesAlnwick: 17 completed passesShaughnessy: 25 completed passesMcCarthy: 20 completed passesFraser: 29 completed passesTait: 17 completed passesDurmus: 29 completed passesDoyle-Hayes: 29 completed passesErhahon: 23 completed passesMcGrath: 20 completed passesMacPherson: 12 completed passesObika: 7 completed passes1452221172517149AlnwickShaughnessyMcCarthyFraserTaitDurmusDoyle-HayesErhahonMcGrathMacPhersonObikaStarters until 69' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Motherwell

Kelly and Magloire: 4 passesCampbell and Cole: 4 passesKelly and Carroll: 5 passesMagloire and Crawford: 5 passesCrawford and Campbell: 5 passesCrawford and Watt: 5 passesMaguire and Roberts: 5 passesKelly and O'Donnell: 6 passesCarroll and Roberts: 6 passesCrawford and Cole: 6 passesCampbell and Roberts: 6 passesCampbell and Watt: 6 passesMaguire and Watt: 6 passesRoberts and Cole: 7 passesO'Donnell and Watt: 9 passesCarroll and Watt: 9 passesCole and Watt: 9 passesO'Donnell and Crawford: 11 passesCarroll and Maguire: 11 passesO'Donnell and Roberts: 12 passesRoberts and Watt: 13 passesO'Donnell and Campbell: 15 passesKelly: 10 completed passesO'Donnell: 37 completed passesMagloire: 13 completed passesLamie: 12 completed passesCarroll: 16 completed passesCrawford: 26 completed passesCampbell: 22 completed passesMaguire: 17 completed passesRoberts: 21 completed passesCole: 15 completed passesWatt: 24 completed passes133340438615394432KellyO'DonnellMagloireLamieCarrollCrawfordCampbellMaguireRobertsColeWattStarters, whole match · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
McGrathDurmus12
FraserDoyle-Hayes10
DurmusMcGrath10
Doyle-HayesFraser8
TaitFraser7

Motherwell

FromToPasses
RobertsWatt11
O'DonnellRoberts10
MaguireCarroll9
CampbellO'Donnell8
O'DonnellCampbell7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Mirren

4−1.06+0.514+0.111+4.715+10.013+5.69+0.813+5.57−1.14−3.16+0.94−2.24−0.26+0.85−1.12−2.52−1.50−2.83−0.54−0.35+3.00−1.60−1.20−1.92−0.21−0.10−0.20−0.81+0.60−0.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 29 matches

Motherwell

6+1.56−0.816−0.26−3.08+1.75−1.55−2.83−3.48+0.415+7.78+3.09+4.02−1.96+0.72−2.81−2.42−1.13+0.41−1.91−2.51−1.29+7.52+1.20−1.41−1.00−0.70−0.510.02+1.61+0.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 29 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Mirren

0.010.020.010.010.010.020.040.030.010.030.020.020.020.020.040.010.020.050.020.04−0.010.020.010.070.060.07LessMore

Motherwell

0.010.010.010.040.020.050.020.030.010.010.020.020.010.030.02−0.020.070.110.11LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.17AttackSt. Mirren1.00 → 0.96Motherwell1.01 → 1.00Defence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.17 → 1.16Motherwell1.46 → 1.41

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Mirren
Top six69%62%−7
Motherwell
Top six<1%<1%0
11th13%13%0
Bottom5%6%+1
St. Johnstone
Top six24%29%+5
Dundee United
Top six7%9%+2
11th2%2%0

From the forecast before the match (24 February 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. MirrenMotherwell
Expected goals1.291.04
Win42%29%
Expected Points1.541.17
Clean sheet35%28%

St. Mirren 42%Draw 29%Motherwell 29%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 48%.

Motherwell goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+9%5%2%7%2%8%8%4%2%3%4%2%1%1%10%12%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 24 February 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Mirren winDrawMotherwell win
St. Mirren
Top six69%87%62%50%
Motherwell
Top six<1%–<1%1%
11th13%17%13%6%
Bottom5%8%6%2%
St. Johnstone
Top six24%11%29%37%
Dundee United
Top six7%2%9%11%
11th2%2%2%2%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Mirren

  1. D1–120 FebLivingston (H)xG 0.71–0.29
  2. D1–117 FebHamilton Academical (H)xG 0.74–1.52
  3. D0–013 FebAberdeen (A)xG 0.66–0.51
  4. L0–410 FebCeltic (H)xG 0.57–2.57
  5. W2–06 FebKilmarnock (H)xG 1.56–0.49
  6. L1–22 FebHibernian (H)xG 0.65–1.60

Motherwell

  1. L0–320 FebSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.03–3.04
  2. L1–413 FebHamilton Academical (H)xG 1.32–2.03
  3. W1–010 FebKilmarnock (A)xG 0.95–1.00
  4. L1–26 FebCeltic (A)xG 0.42–1.57
  5. W2–13 FebDundee United (H)xG 1.90–0.97
  6. W2–127 JanRoss County (A)xG 1.56–1.86

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. MirrenMotherwell
Position6th9th
Played2929
Won, drawn, lost9–⁠8–⁠127–⁠7–⁠15
Points35 (1.21 per game)28 (0.97 per game)
Expected Points per game1.251.04
Goals28–⁠3426–⁠46
xG per game1.06–⁠1.221.09–⁠1.65
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 1.11–⁠1.160.80, 1.06–⁠1.68
Away: points, xG per game1.43, 1.01–⁠1.291.14, 1.12–⁠1.61
ManagerJim Goodwin (29)Graham Alexander (9)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.17AttackSt. Mirren1.00, 8thMotherwell1.01, 7thDefence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.17, 7thMotherwell1.46, 10th

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebSt. Mirren attack: 1.00Motherwell attack: 1.011.011.00MotherwellSt. MirrenDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebSt. Mirren defence: 1.17Motherwell defence: 1.461.461.17

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. MirrenMotherwell
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−22%+6%−17%+11%
Counter-attacks−17%−60%−71%+170%
Set piecesaverage−12%+4%+33%
Penalties−21%−21%−21%+77%
Headers−25%+8%−4%+47%
Left side−4%+1%−30%+6%
Centre−16%−16%−8%+33%
Right side−25%+22%−7%+29%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdMotherwell concededLeft side−4%+29%Centre−16%+33%Right side−25%+6%Open play−22%+11%Counter-attacks−17%+170%Set piecesaverage+33%Headers−25%+47%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−30%+22%Centre−8%−16%Right side−7%+1%Open play−17%+6%Counter-attacks−71%−60%Set pieces+4%−12%Headers−4%+8%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenMotherwell

1.06xG1.09
1.22xG against1.65
47%Possession46%
11.9Shots10.4
12.4Shots against14.2
3.4Shots on target3.3
1.1Big chances1.3
17.7Touches in the opposition box18.4
356Passes348
66%Pass accuracy70%
4.9Corners4.9
43%Field tilt36%
33.0Final-third entries30.7
8.0Box entries9.6
13.9Passes per defensive action14.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level421.011.11
Ahead191.381.22
Behind290.931.38

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level341.211.58
Ahead241.031.60
Behind321.001.76

xG by period

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.153–3
16–300.150.224–9
31–450.240.177–6
46–600.090.243–5
61–750.130.233–7
76–900.290.218–4

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.180.316–9
16–300.250.197–5
31–450.130.243–6
46–600.190.252–6
61–750.240.277–7
76–900.090.381–13

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMCMLMSTAlnwick 25Zlamal 3Lyness 1Fraser 22Tait 4Connolly 2McCarthy 28Shaughnessy 26Foley 3Tait 1Tait 19Durmus 5Obika 2McAllister 8Connolly 7Fraser 4McGrath 19MacPhers… 9MacPhersonSheron 6Doyle-Ha… 13Doyle-HayesObika 1Fraser 1Erhahon 21Foley 7Connolly 1Durmus 9Mason 5Obika 3Obika 12Erwin 8Dennis 34-5-1 in 8 of 29 starts

Formations: 4-5-1 (8), 4-4-2 (4), 4-1-4-1 (4), 3-5-1-1 (3), 4-3-1-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-4-2-1 (1), 4-3-3 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWCarson 12Kelly 9Chapman 4O'Donnell 24Grimshaw 2Johnston 1Gallagher 22O'Hara 4Magloire 1Mugabi 18Lamie 13Carroll 10Grimshaw 8McGinley 7Campbell 26Long 1Seedorf 1O'Hara 14Crawford 12Grimshaw 1Polworth 18Maguire 10Turnbull 2Long 6Seedorf 5Lang 4Watt 13Cole 7Long 6Watt 11Lang 7Cole 64-3-3 in 18 of 29 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (18), 5-3-2 (4), 3-5-2 (3), 4-4-2 (3), 4-2-3-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
9 January 2021St. Mirren1–1MotherwellxG 1.51–1.85
12 December 2020Motherwell0–1St. MirrenxG 1.78–1.08

2 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 1, Motherwell won 0, and 1 was a draw. Goals 2–1 and xG 1.29–1.81 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
McGrath262,110510.230.15
Obika181,722510.310.05
Morias7664000.250.09
Erwin111,078200.230.06

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Cole151,229520.470.02
Lang121,038310.360.03
Watt242,035340.240.11
Polworth181,538030.070.23

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.