Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

St. Mirren 1–1 Motherwell

Tuesday 1 February 2022, 19:45 · The SMISA Stadium · Round 22 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Euan Anderson · Attendance 4,987

St. Mirren Gogic 80'

Motherwell Tierney 90+2'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. MirrenMotherwell
Goals11
xG0.460.81
Expected Points0.981.60

St. Mirren 18%Draw 42%Motherwell 39%

Most likely score 0–0, 28%. Final score 1–1, 13%.

Motherwell goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+9%2%13%13%4%1%3%2%1%28%22%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.7510153045607590HTGogic on for Brophy, 23'Erwin on for Henderson, 59'Flynn on for Jones, 69'Erhahon on for Ronan, 87'Tierney on for Shaw, 40'Woolery on for Slattery, 74'Roberts on for McGinley, 83'Gogic 80'Tierney 90+2'Motherwell 0.81St. Mirren 0.4600.250.50.7510153045607590HTGogic on for Brophy, 23'Erwin on for Henderson, 59'Flynn on for Jones, 69'Erhahon on for Ronan, 87'Tierney on for Shaw, 40'Woolery on for Slattery, 74'Roberts on for McGinley, 83'Gogic 80'Tierney 90+2'0.810.46St. MirrenMotherwell

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. MirrenMotherwell

0.46 −0.48xG0.81 −0.18
0.85 0.00xG on target1.21 +0.10
8 −4Shots15 +5
3 −1.0Shots on target7 +3.6
1 +0.1Big chances0 −1.5
10 −8Touches in the opposition box22 +5
48% +2Possession52% +11
346 +8Passes367 +81
56% −11Pass accuracy59% −2
30% −12Field tilt70% +35
15 −15Final-third entries36 +10
4 −5.4Box entries12 +4.6
21.2 +6Passes per defensive action10.6 −2
6 +0.5Corners1 −3.2
11 −2Tackles11 −3
11 +1.5Interceptions8 −3.3
31 +12Clearances15 −9
6 +2.2Saves2 −1.7
7 −4Fouls15 0
1 −1.9Offsides2 +0.1

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Mirren

Tait 58', 0.16 xGGogic 40', 0.09 xGFraser 77', 0.06 xGDunne 49', 0.05 xGRonan 16', 0.02 xGShaughnessy 77', 0.01 xGFlynn 80', 0.01 xGGogic 80', 0.06 xG, goal33%0.15 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.15 xG, 0 goals48%0.22 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.22 xG, 1 goal13%0.06 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.06 xG, 0 goals4%0.02 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals2%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Motherwell

Tierney 53', 0.13 xGTierney 53', 0.10 xGMugabi 26', 0.08 xGGoss 29', 0.08 xGMcGinley 26', 0.04 xGvan Veen 72', 0.04 xGvan Veen 82', 0.04 xGGoss 27', 0.03 xGGoss 10', 0.02 xGGoss 42', 0.02 xGDonnelly 53', 0.02 xGSlattery 54', 0.02 xGMugabi 87', 0.02 xGvan Veen 90+4', 0.02 xGTierney 90+1', 0.13 xG, goal10%0.08 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.08 xG, 0 goals50%0.40 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.40 xG, 1 goal27%0.22 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.22 xG, 0 goals9%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals4%0.03 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. MirrenMotherwell

0.10 2 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.78 14 shots, 1 goal
0.37 6 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.03 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
82 min (87%) · St. Mirren 0.46, Motherwell 0.61 xG
St. Mirren ahead
12 min (13%) · St. Mirren 0.00, Motherwell 0.19 xG

Line-ups

1224182643121179AlnwickFraserShaughnessyDunneTaitPowerRonanHendersonKiltieJonesBrophy87'59'69'23'St. Mirren 4-2-3-1Jim Goodwin15213222161911279KellyMugabiJohansenCarrollO'DonnellDonnellySlatteryMcGinleyShawGossvan VeenYellow card74'83'40'Motherwell 3-4-2-1Graham Alexander

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 23' Gogic for Brophy · goal 80'
  • 59' Erwin for Henderson
  • 69' Flynn for Jones
  • 87' Erhahon for Ronan

Motherwell substitutes

  • 40' Tierney for Shaw · goal 90+2'
  • 74' Woolery for Slattery
  • 83' Roberts for McGinley

Players

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
AlnwickGK900.000.0000.0232
FraserRB900.060.0100.0362
ShaughnessyCB900.010.0000.01114
DunneCB900.050.0000.02214
TaitLB900.160.0000.0119
PowerDM900.000.0100.0236
RonanDM8710.020.1540.1630
HendersonRW590.000.0000.0010
KiltieAM900.000.0000.0002
JonesLW690.000.0610.0922
BrophyST230.000.0000.0001
GogicDF6710.150.0210.0903
ErwinFW310.000.0000.0000
FlynnMF210.010.0000.0221
ErhahonMF30.000.0000.0001

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
KellyGK900.000.0000.0340
MugabiCB900.110.0100.0034
JohansenCB900.000.0000.0227
CarrollCB900.000.0200.0777
O'DonnellRWB900.000.1820.2381
DonnellyCM900.020.0730.1431
Slattery CM740.020.1030.1134
McGinleyLWB830.040.0910.0961
ShawAM400.000.482−0.0223
GossAM900.150.0600.1242
van VeenST900.100.0000.0113
TierneyMF5010.360.0000.0300
WooleryFW160.000.1610.0711
RobertsFW70.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Mirren

Alnwick and Fraser: 3 passesFraser and Ronan: 3 passesFraser and Henderson: 4 passesFraser and Power: 5 passesTait and Ronan: 7 passesAlnwick: 6 completed passesFraser: 12 completed passesShaughnessy: 3 completed passesDunne: 2 completed passesTait: 8 completed passesRonan: 5 completed passesPower: 5 completed passesHenderson: 2 completed passesKiltie: 1 completed passesJones: 2 completed passesBrophy: 0 completed passes1224182436121179AlnwickFraserShaughnessyDunneTaitRonanPowerHendersonKiltieJonesBrophyStarters until 23' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Motherwell

Mugabi and O'Donnell: 3 passesMugabi and Donnelly: 3 passesMugabi and Slattery: 3 passesDonnelly and Goss: 3 passesDonnelly and Slattery: 3 passesKelly and Carroll: 4 passesKelly and O'Donnell: 4 passesMcGinley and Donnelly: 4 passesMcGinley and Goss: 4 passesGoss and Slattery: 4 passesO'Donnell and Donnelly: 5 passesMcGinley and Slattery: 5 passesCarroll and McGinley: 6 passesCarroll and Shaw: 6 passesO'Donnell and Slattery: 7 passesShaw and Goss: 7 passesKelly: 5 completed passesCarroll: 11 completed passesJohansen: 8 completed passesMugabi: 9 completed passesO'Donnell: 10 completed passesMcGinley: 14 completed passesShaw: 15 completed passesDonnelly: 9 completed passesGoss: 11 completed passesSlattery: 11 completed passesvan Veen: 1 completed passes13215219112227169KellyCarrollJohansenMugabiO'DonnellMcGinleyShawDonnellyGossSlatteryvan VeenStarters until 40' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
FraserPower13
TaitRonan11
FraserRonan8
FraserHenderson7
AlnwickFraser7

Motherwell

FromToPasses
McGinleyCarroll12
GossMcGinley11
O'DonnellSlattery9
SlatteryO'Donnell8
McGinleyGoss8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Mirren

8+4.210+4.011−4.89+3.18+3.16−0.38+0.43−3.713+5.620+12.99+3.45−0.45+0.92−4.410+3.42−1.91−1.71−1.52−2.23−0.90−2.01−0.40−0.92+0.26+3.91+0.10−0.31+0.30−0.20−0.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 22 matches

Motherwell

6+1.71−5.43−3.84−2.17+0.56+0.14−1.76−1.980.05−0.56+1.43−0.78+3.016+9.47+2.55+1.54+1.63−0.45+0.66+2.52+0.72+1.02−0.54+0.63+2.11+0.61+0.32+1.33+2.37−11.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 23 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Mirren

0.010.010.010.020.020.010.010.010.010.010.01−0.010.010.010.010.060.070.070.10LessMore

Motherwell

0.010.010.010.020.020.040.050.010.020.010.040.060.090.090.010.090.13−0.05−0.070.090.23LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackSt. Mirren0.94 → 0.91Motherwell0.98 → 0.96Defence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.27 → 1.26Motherwell1.30 → 1.28

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Mirren
Top six16%13%−3
11th7%7%0
Bottom3%3%0
Motherwell
Top six71%72%+1
11th1%1%0
Aberdeen
Top six76%77%+1

From the forecast before the match (1 February 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. MirrenMotherwell
Expected goals1.211.02
Win40%30%
Expected Points1.491.21
Clean sheet36%30%

St. Mirren 40%Draw 30%Motherwell 30%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 46%.

Motherwell goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+6%2%7%2%8%8%4%1%3%3%2%1%1%11%10%12%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 1 February 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Mirren winDrawMotherwell win
St. Mirren
Top six16%25%13%6%
11th7%4%7%11%
Bottom3%1%3%4%
Motherwell
Top six71%59%72%85%
11th1%1%1%<1%
Aberdeen
Top six76%76%77%74%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Mirren

  1. W1–025 JanAberdeen (H)xG 0.13–0.47
  2. W2–118 JanDundee United (A)xG 1.46–1.49
  3. L0–226 DecRangers (A)xG 0.06–2.12
  4. D0–022 DecCeltic (H)xG 0.29–1.68
  5. D1–111 DecHibernian (H)xG 0.60–1.06
  6. L1–44 DecAberdeen (A)xG 0.95–4.40

Motherwell

  1. L0–229 JanHearts (A)xG 0.76–1.65
  2. D0–026 JanHibernian (H)xG 0.61–0.38
  3. L1–318 JanRoss County (A)xG 0.59–1.20
  4. W2–126 DecLivingston (H)xG 0.92–0.43
  5. W2–018 DecSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.31–0.52
  6. L0–112 DecCeltic (A)xG 0.75–2.45

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. MirrenMotherwell
Position9th4th
Played2223
Won, drawn, lost5–⁠10–⁠79–⁠5–⁠9
Points25 (1.14 per game)32 (1.39 per game)
Expected Points per game1.101.09
Goals21–⁠3226–⁠32
xG per game0.94–⁠1.530.99–⁠1.39
Home: points, xG per game1.09, 0.85–⁠1.071.92, 0.96–⁠1.24
Away: points, xG per game1.18, 1.04–⁠1.990.82, 1.02–⁠1.56
ManagerJim Goodwin (60)Graham Alexander (41)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackSt. Mirren0.94, 8thMotherwell0.98, 7thDefence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.27, 8thMotherwell1.30, 9th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanSt. Mirren attack: 0.94Motherwell attack: 0.980.980.94MotherwellSt. MirrenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanSt. Mirren defence: 1.27Motherwell defence: 1.301.301.27

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. MirrenMotherwell
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−38%+39%−26%+12%
Counter-attacks−9%−7%−31%average
Set pieces+21%+6%+11%+7%
Penalties−31%+3%−34%+64%
Headers+22%+2%+32%−7%
Left side−20%+42%−8%+22%
Centre−14%+25%−4%+1%
Right side−36%+21%−48%+17%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdMotherwell concededLeft side−20%+17%Centre−14%+1%Right side−36%+22%Open play−38%+12%Counter-attacks−9%averageSet pieces+21%+7%Headers+22%−7%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−8%+21%Centre−4%+25%Right side−48%+42%Open play−26%+39%Counter-attacks−31%−7%Set pieces+11%+6%Headers+32%+2%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenMotherwell

0.94xG0.99
1.53xG against1.39
46%Possession41%
11.5Shots10.0
15.5Shots against14.3
4.0Shots on target3.4
0.9Big chances1.5
17.9Touches in the opposition box17.1
338Passes286
67%Pass accuracy61%
5.5Corners4.2
42%Field tilt35%
29.9Final-third entries25.8
9.4Box entries7.4
14.7Passes per defensive action13.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level460.961.23
Ahead181.051.61
Behind260.852.00

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level370.961.37
Ahead260.991.18
Behind261.041.65

xG by period

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.235–4
16–300.110.201–6
31–450.130.294–7
46–600.230.283–5
61–750.130.374–8
76–900.270.174–2

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.195–2
16–300.140.204–5
31–450.110.171–10
46–600.250.299–4
61–750.200.204–5
76–900.160.343–6

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTAlnwick 21Lyness 1Fraser 21Brophy 1Henderson 1Shaughnessy 20McCarthy 11Dunne 11Millar 6Tait 4Ronan 3Power 19McGrath 3Reid 3Erhahon 7Flynn 7Ronan 3Tanser 22McGrath 12Kiltie 5Millar 3Ronan 9Brophy 8Henderson 2Main 11Brophy 8McGrath 23-4-2-1 in 6 of 22 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (6), 3-4-1-2 (6), 3-1-4-2 (4), 3-5-1-1 (2), 5-4-1 (2), 4-2-3-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1)

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWKelly 23O'Donnell 16Mugabi 7Johansen 12Mugabi 12Ojala 10Lamie 9McGinley 19Carroll 4Slattery 18Grimshaw 10Cornelius 2Maguire 11Donnelly 6Goss 13O'Hara 8Shaw 1Woolery 16Roberts 4Amaluzor 2van Veen 12Watt 7Shields 4Watt 11van Veen 4Shields 34-3-3 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
27 October 2021Motherwell2–2St. MirrenxG 1.25–2.27
10 April 2021Motherwell1–0St. MirrenxG 1.95–1.45
24 February 2021St. Mirren0–0MotherwellxG 0.30–1.39
9 January 2021St. Mirren1–1MotherwellxG 1.51–1.85
12 December 2020Motherwell0–1St. MirrenxG 1.78–1.08

5 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 1, Motherwell won 1, and 3 were drawn. Goals 4–4 and xG 1.32–1.64 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Brophy171,417600.310.01
Tait6644010.200.12
Tanser221,852240.070.23
McGrath181,588210.100.15

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Watt181,598900.350.06
van Veen161,466720.300.08
Shields7594110.200.09
Goss131,250040.070.16

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.