Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Hearts 2–0 Aberdeen

Wednesday 2 March 2022, 19:45 · Tynecastle Park · Round 29 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Steven McLean · Attendance 16,703

Hearts Souttar 38', Kingsley 60'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

HeartsAberdeen
Goals20
xG1.150.92
Non-penalty xG1.150.13
Expected Points1.451.16

Hearts 36%Draw 38%Aberdeen 26%

Most likely score 1–1, 30%. Final score 2–0, 4%.

Aberdeen goalsHearts goals0123456+0123456+6%20%3%7%3%4%16%2%1%5%1%30%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTHaring on for Devlin and Ginnelly on for Mackay-Steven, 76'Halliday on for Boyce, 87'McLennan on for Kennedy, 54'Jenks on for Barron, 67'McGeouch on for Brown, 75'MacKenzie on for Hayes, 76'Souttar 38'Kingsley 60'Hearts 1.15Aberdeen 0.9200.511.50153045607590HTHaring on for Devlin and Ginnelly on for Mackay-Steven, 76'Halliday on for Boyce, 87'McLennan on for Kennedy, 54'Jenks on for Barron, 67'McGeouch on for Brown, 75'MacKenzie on for Hayes, 76'Souttar 38'Kingsley 60'1.150.92HeartsAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HeartsAberdeen

1.15 −0.28xG0.92 −0.19
1.15Non-penalty xG0.13
0.44 −1.04xG on target1.25 +0.13
13 0Shots7 −6
4 −0.7Shots on target4 −0.6
1 −1.0Big chances1 −0.1
20 −3Touches in the opposition box6 −12
57% +2Possession43% −15
446 +7Passes352 −107
77% +2Pass accuracy71% −4
77% +23Field tilt23% −35
42 −2Final-third entries18 −21
13 +1.1Box entries4 −5.4
9.7 −4Passes per defensive action13.0 −1
6 +0.3Corners1 −3.9
17 +2Tackles20 +8
12 +3.8Interceptions11 +3.4
6 −11Clearances22 +5
4 +0.1Saves2 +0.6
15 +3Fouls11 −2
1 −1.0Offsides3 +1.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hearts

Simms 8', 0.24 xGBoyce 11', 0.21 xGMcKay 60', 0.19 xGSimms 41', 0.11 xGMackay-Steven 5', 0.09 xGBoyce 64', 0.05 xGDevlin 26', 0.02 xGMcKay 28', 0.02 xGBoyce 63', 0.02 xGSimms 64', 0.02 xGMcKay 82', 0.02 xGKingsley 60', 0.11 xG, goalSouttar 38', 0.05 xG, goal21%0.24 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.24 xG, 0 goals59%0.67 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.67 xG, 2 goals11%0.13 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals9%0.10 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Besuijen 62', 0.03 xGRamirez 81', 0.03 xGFerguson 90', 0.03 xGRamirez 24', 0.02 xGFerguson 7', 0.01 xGRamirez 43', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGCentral box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals42%0.05 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals58%0.07 xGFurther out: 4 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HeartsAberdeen

0.99 11 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.09 5 shots, 0 goals
0.16 2 shots, 2 goalsSet pieces0.03 1 shot, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
38 min (42%) · Hearts 0.64, Aberdeen 0.03 xG
Hearts ahead
52 min (58%) · Hearts 0.51, Aberdeen 0.89 xG

Line-ups

112419314618101120GordonAtkinsonSouttarHalkettKingsleyDevlinBaningimeMcKayBoyceMackay-StevenSimmsGoalGoalYellow card76'87'76'Hearts 4-2-3-1Robbie Neilson116527172981019339LewisOjoGallagherBatesHayesBarronBrownBesuijenFergusonKennedyRamirezYellow card76'67'75'54'Aberdeen 4-2-3-1Jim Goodwin

Hearts substitutes

  • 76' Haring for Devlin
  • 76' Ginnelly for Mackay-Steven
  • 87' Halliday for Boyce

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 54' McLennan for Kennedy
  • 67' Jenks for Barron
  • 75' McGeouch for Brown
  • 76' MacKenzie for Hayes

Players

Hearts

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GordonGK900.000.0000.0430
AtkinsonRB900.000.1710.2025
SouttarCB9010.050.0410.10131
HalkettCB900.000.0100.1252
KingsleyLB9010.110.5030.2765
Devlin DM760.020.0700.0306
BaningimeDM900.000.010−0.0218
McKayRW9010.230.2620.34113
BoyceAM870.280.0750.2433
Mackay-StevenLW760.090.0200.0690
SimmsST900.370.0100.0201
HaringMF140.000.0100.0111
GinnellyFW140.000.0000.0230
HallidayMF30.000.0000.0001

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LewisGK900.000.0000.0110
OjoRB900.000.0200.0424
GallagherCB900.000.0100.1089
BatesCB900.000.0000.01111
HayesLB760.000.0000.0205
BarronDM670.000.0000.0104
Brown DM750.000.011−0.0217
BesuijenRW900.030.0310.0321
FergusonAM900.830.0000.0217
KennedyLW540.000.0000.0121
RamirezST900.060.0100.0113
McLennanFW360.000.000−0.0214
JenksDF230.000.000−0.0101
McGeouchMF150.000.0000.0031
MacKenzieDF140.000.000−0.0101

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hearts

Gordon and Halkett: 5 passesSouttar and McKay: 5 passesBaningime and Mackay-Steven: 5 passesGordon and Souttar: 6 passesAtkinson and McKay: 6 passesBaningime and McKay: 6 passesMcKay and Boyce: 6 passesKingsley and Baningime: 7 passesBoyce and Simms: 7 passesAtkinson and Halkett: 8 passesHalkett and Mackay-Steven: 9 passesSouttar and Devlin: 9 passesKingsley and Devlin: 9 passesDevlin and Baningime: 9 passesAtkinson and Baningime: 10 passesBoyce and Mackay-Steven: 10 passesSouttar and Baningime: 11 passesDevlin and McKay: 11 passesHalkett and Baningime: 14 passesAtkinson and Devlin: 17 passesHalkett and Devlin: 17 passesKingsley and Mackay-Steven: 17 passesAtkinson and Souttar: 18 passesHalkett and Kingsley: 25 passesHalkett and Souttar: 26 passesGordon: 14 completed passesAtkinson: 39 completed passesHalkett: 58 completed passesSouttar: 40 completed passesKingsley: 36 completed passesDevlin: 44 completed passesBaningime: 34 completed passesMcKay: 23 completed passesBoyce: 13 completed passesMackay-Steven: 24 completed passesSimms: 7 completed passes112194314618101120GordonAtkinsonHalkettSouttarKingsleyDevlinBaningimeMcKayBoyceMackay-StevenSimmsStarters until 76' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Aberdeen

Lewis and Bates: 3 passesOjo and Barron: 3 passesGallagher and Barron: 3 passesHayes and Besuijen: 3 passesFerguson and Kennedy: 3 passesFerguson and Ramirez: 3 passesHayes and Brown: 4 passesHayes and Ferguson: 4 passesBarron and Besuijen: 4 passesBarron and Ramirez: 4 passesOjo and Besuijen: 5 passesGallagher and Bates: 5 passesBates and Brown: 5 passesBrown and Ramirez: 5 passesOjo and Bates: 6 passesGallagher and Brown: 6 passesOjo and Brown: 8 passesBates and Hayes: 8 passesOjo and Gallagher: 9 passesOjo and Ferguson: 12 passesLewis: 7 completed passesOjo: 26 completed passesGallagher: 12 completed passesBates: 19 completed passesHayes: 10 completed passesBrown: 17 completed passesBarron: 11 completed passesBesuijen: 7 completed passesFerguson: 13 completed passesKennedy: 4 completed passesRamirez: 7 completed passes116527178291019339LewisOjoGallagherBatesHayesBrownBarronBesuijenFergusonKennedyRamirezStarters until 54' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hearts

FromToPasses
SouttarHalkett17
HalkettKingsley17
HalkettSouttar12
KingsleyHalkett11
BaningimeSouttar11

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
OjoGallagher11
BatesOjo10
OjoFerguson10
BatesHayes9
FergusonOjo8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hearts

6+1.51−3.90−5.23−1.45−1.42−4.96−1.02−4.27+0.911+4.84−1.86+1.113+7.011+5.86+1.51−2.85+1.46+2.75+0.91−1.63+1.01−0.51−0.54+1.81+0.60−0.50−0.60−0.40−0.94−7.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 28 matches

Aberdeen

2−2.72−3.518+7.24−1.04−0.99+1.860.08+3.412+5.213+4.64−2.34−0.62−1.29+3.65−0.65+1.42−1.23+0.92−0.53−1.64+1.51−0.20−1.03+1.65+2.61+0.30−0.21+0.30−0.22+1.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 28 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hearts

0.010.020.010.010.010.030.030.040.040.020.030.060.020.040.020.040.090.030.070.040.080.170.10−0.020.240.18LessMore

Aberdeen

0.010.010.010.020.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.02−0.010.010.010.01−0.020.02−0.020.020.03LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.16AttackHearts1.27 → 1.27Aberdeen1.08 → 1.06Defence (lower is better)Hearts1.16 → 1.14Aberdeen1.02 → 1.02

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Aberdeen
Top six27%14%−13
11th1%1%0
Hibernian
Top six81%84%+3
Dundee United
Top six52%56%+4

From the forecast before the match (2 March 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

HeartsAberdeen
Expected goals1.281.01
Win42%29%
Expected Points1.561.15
Clean sheet36%28%

Hearts 42%Draw 29%Aberdeen 29%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 47%.

Aberdeen goalsHearts goals0123456+0123456+10%5%2%7%2%8%8%4%1%4%4%2%1%1%11%12%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 2 March 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowHearts winDrawAberdeen win
Aberdeen
Top six27%14%24%48%
11th1%1%1%<1%
Hibernian
Top six81%84%82%76%
Dundee United
Top six52%56%52%48%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hearts

  1. W2–026 FebSt. Mirren (A)xG 3.13–0.11
  2. L1–219 FebSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.56–0.69
  3. L1–29 FebDundee FC (H)xG 1.76–0.86
  4. L0–56 FebRangers (A)xG 0.57–4.76
  5. D0–01 FebHibernian (A)xG 1.37–1.02
  6. W2–029 JanMotherwell (H)xG 1.65–0.76

Aberdeen

  1. D1–126 FebDundee United (H)xG 0.91–0.94
  2. D1–119 FebMotherwell (A)xG 1.23–2.62
  3. D1–115 FebSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.12–1.17
  4. L2–39 FebCeltic (H)xG 0.67–1.12
  5. L1–25 FebLivingston (A)xG 1.02–1.06
  6. D1–11 FebRoss County (A)xG 0.74–0.32

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HeartsAberdeen
Position3rd9th
Played2828
Won, drawn, lost13–⁠7–⁠88–⁠8–⁠12
Points46 (1.64 per game)32 (1.14 per game)
Expected Points per game1.581.43
Goals38–⁠2933–⁠35
xG per game1.43–⁠1.271.11–⁠0.93
Home: points, xG per game1.93, 1.66–⁠1.011.57, 1.35–⁠0.76
Away: points, xG per game1.36, 1.20–⁠1.520.71, 0.86–⁠1.10
ManagerRobbie Neilson (28)Jim Goodwin (2)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.16AttackHearts1.27, 3rdAberdeen1.08, 5thDefence (lower is better)Hearts1.16, 5thAberdeen1.02, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebHearts attack: 1.27Aberdeen attack: 1.081.271.08AberdeenHeartsDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebHearts defence: 1.16Aberdeen defence: 1.021.161.02

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HeartsAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+11%+18%−13%−34%
Counter-attacks+119%−37%−46%−25%
Set pieces−10%+10%+10%−6%
Penalties+94%−100%−17%+11%
Headers−13%−14%+16%−20%
Left side+36%+9%−2%−29%
Centre−20%+6%−12%−26%
Right side+44%+35%−7%−26%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdAberdeen concededLeft side+36%−26%Centre−20%−26%Right side+44%−29%Open play+11%−34%Counter-attacks+119%−25%Set pieces−10%−6%Headers−13%−20%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdHearts concededLeft side−2%+35%Centre−12%+6%Right side−7%+9%Open play−13%+18%Counter-attacks−46%−37%Set pieces+10%+10%Headers+16%−14%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HeartsAberdeen

1.43xG1.11
1.27xG against0.93
55%Possession58%
12.9Shots13.3
13.3Shots against8.3
4.7Shots on target4.6
2.0Big chances1.1
23.2Touches in the opposition box18.4
439Passes459
75%Pass accuracy75%
5.7Corners4.9
54%Field tilt58%
43.7Final-third entries39.4
11.9Box entries9.4
13.3Passes per defensive action14.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hearts

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.521.10
Ahead281.600.91
Behind180.962.20

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level480.921.04
Ahead161.271.09
Behind261.350.62

xG by period

Hearts

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.190.205–6
16–300.130.166–2
31–450.290.197–5
46–600.340.165–4
61–750.310.2610–8
76–900.180.295–4

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.194–6
16–300.150.126–6
31–450.170.134–4
46–600.140.176–9
61–750.280.1410–6
76–900.200.173–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hearts

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWGordon 27Stewart 1Souttar 24Moore 8Smith 1Halkett 22Sibbick 4Kingsley 21Cochrane 4Smith 16Atkinson 5Moore 4Baningime 20Woodburn 1McEneff 1Devlin 20Haring 12Halliday 1Cochrane 14Halliday 10Kingsley 3McKay 11Ginnelly 8Woodburn 4Boyce 15Ginnelly 4Simms 4Mackay-Steven 10Woodburn 7McKay 73-4-3 in 18 of 28 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (18), 3-4-2-1 (5), 3-4-1-2 (3), 4-2-3-1 (2)

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTLewis 24Woods 4Ramsay 16Ojo 7Gurr 3McCrorie 18Gallagher 11Brown 4Bates 20Considine 2MacKenzie 1Hayes 9MacKenzie 8Campbell 6Ferguson 19McGeouch 8Barron 3Brown 12Ojo 5Longstaff 3Hedges 9Ojo 6Besuijen 4Ferguson 7Brown 6Jenks 6Hayes 8Watkins 8Ramirez 3Ramirez 22Watkins 3Emmanuel-Thomas 24-2-3-1 in 11 of 28 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (11), 4-3-3 (6), 3-4-1-2 (3), 4-4-1-1 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-1-3-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
30 October 2021Aberdeen2–1HeartsxG 1.11–0.95
22 August 2021Hearts1–1AberdeenxG 1.17–0.54

2 league meetings since 2020/21: Hearts won 0, Aberdeen won 1, and 1 was a draw. Goals 2–3 and xG 1.06–0.83 per game.

Key players

Hearts

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Simms4483300.800.04
Boyce191,663820.600.09
Gnanduillet3459100.340.10
McKay211,844060.120.31

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Watkins11967300.380.09
Besuijen5494100.250.08
Ferguson262,331710.250.07
Ramirez272,3891030.230.04

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.