Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Aberdeen 0–2 Livingston

Tuesday 2 February 2021, 18:00 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 27 · Half-time 0–2

Livingston Lewis 7' (og), Devlin 16'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

AberdeenLivingston
Goals02
xG0.360.56
Expected Points1.021.48

Aberdeen 17%Draw 51%Livingston 32%

Most likely score 0–0, 40%. Final score 0–2, 5%.

Livingston goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+25%5%13%11%2%2%2%40%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.750153045607590HTKennedy on for Hedges, 14'Campbell on for Taylor, 43'Hendry on for McLennan, 44'McGinn on for Hornby, 75'Reilly on for Emmanuel-Thomas, 70'Robinson on for Mullin, 80'Lewis 7' (og)Devlin 16'Livingston 0.56Aberdeen 0.3600.250.50.750153045607590HTKennedy on for Hedges, 14'Campbell on for Taylor, 43'Hendry on for McLennan, 44'McGinn on for Hornby, 75'Reilly on for Emmanuel-Thomas, 70'Robinson on for Mullin, 80'Lewis 7' (og)Devlin 16'0.560.36AberdeenLivingston

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenLivingston

0.36 −0.96xG0.56 −0.68
0.21 −1.09xG on target0.53 −0.56
8 −4Shots7 −3
3 −0.7Shots on target2 −0.9
0 −1.6Big chances1 −0.6
17 −3Touches in the opposition box8 −10
67% +16Possession33% −15
506 +103Passes259 −84
75% +3Pass accuracy54% −6
82% +30Field tilt18% −32
37 +1Final-third entries21 −12
9 −1.1Box entries3 −5.5
12.8 −1Passes per defensive action11.5 −1
3 −1.7Corners2 −3.1
6 −6Tackles22 +6
6 −5Interceptions9 −3
12 −8Clearances26 +8
1 −1.0Saves3 +1.1
11 −3Fouls16 +2
1 −0.7Offsides1 −1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Aberdeen

McCrorie 79', 0.07 xGFerguson 53', 0.06 xGTaylor 29', 0.05 xGHornby 8', 0.04 xGFerguson 56', 0.04 xGCampbell 79', 0.04 xGHoban 57', 0.03 xGFerguson 61', 0.03 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals56%0.20 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.20 xG, 0 goals14%0.05 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals31%0.11 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Livingston

Pittman 78', 0.06 xGTaylor-Sinclair 31', 0.05 xGMullin 62', 0.04 xGSerrano 15', 0.03 xGEmmanuel-Thomas 26', 0.03 xGPittman 46', 0.03 xGDevlin 16', 0.32 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals75%0.42 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.42 xG, 1 goal14%0.08 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals11%0.06 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenLivingston

0.28 6 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.16 4 shots, 0 goals
0.09 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.40 3 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
7 min (8%) · Aberdeen 0.00, Livingston 0.00 xG
Livingston ahead
83 min (92%) · Aberdeen 0.36, Livingston 0.56 xG

Line-ups

13144184019511177LewisHobanTaylorConsidineMcLennanMcCrorieFergusonLeighHedgesHayesHornbyOwn goalYellow cardYellow card43'44'14'75'Aberdeen 3-4-2-1Derek McInnes3223252921233188149StryjekLongridgeAmbroseTaylor-SinclairDevlinSerranoLawsonHoltPittmanMullinEmmanuel-ThomasYellow cardGoal80'70'Livingston 3-4-2-1David Martindale

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 14' Kennedy for Hedges
  • 43' Campbell for Taylor
  • 44' Hendry for McLennan
  • 75' McGinn for Hornby

Livingston substitutes

  • 70' Reilly for Emmanuel-Thomas
  • 80' Robinson for Mullin

Players

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LewisGK900.000.0000.0352
Hoban CB900.030.0300.14134
TaylorCB430.050.0000.0332
ConsidineCB900.000.0100.0995
McLennanRWB440.000.000−0.0100
McCrorieCM900.070.010−0.1203
Ferguson CM900.140.2720.0762
LeighLWB900.000.0300.14116
HedgesAM140.000.0000.0111
HayesAM900.000.2020.1540
HornbyST750.040.011−0.0502
KennedyMF760.000.0910.1190
CampbellMF470.040.0100.0210
HendryFW460.000.030−0.0130
McGinnMF150.000.0400.0010

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
StryjekGK900.000.0000.0442
Longridge CB900.000.0000.0338
AmbroseCB900.000.0000.0327
Taylor-SinclairCB900.050.0000.0118
DevlinRWB9010.320.0000.0355
SerranoCM900.030.0100.0227
LawsonCM900.000.0100.01111
HoltLWB900.000.0110.0146
PittmanAM900.090.0100.0903
MullinAM8010.040.1730.1710
Emmanuel-ThomasST700.030.0310.0200
ReillyFW200.000.0000.0002
RobinsonMF100.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Taylor-Sinclair and Holt: 3 passesDevlin and Pittman: 3 passesDevlin and Emmanuel-Thomas: 3 passesMullin and Emmanuel-Thomas: 3 passesStryjek and Taylor-Sinclair: 4 passesStryjek and Emmanuel-Thomas: 4 passesAmbrose and Lawson: 4 passesTaylor-Sinclair and Lawson: 4 passesLongridge and Emmanuel-Thomas: 4 passesDevlin and Holt: 4 passesSerrano and Holt: 4 passesLawson and Pittman: 4 passesLawson and Emmanuel-Thomas: 4 passesStryjek and Ambrose: 5 passesAmbrose and Holt: 5 passesDevlin and Mullin: 5 passesSerrano and Lawson: 5 passesAmbrose and Taylor-Sinclair: 6 passesAmbrose and Devlin: 6 passesHolt and Emmanuel-Thomas: 8 passesStryjek: 12 completed passesAmbrose: 16 completed passesTaylor-Sinclair: 11 completed passesLongridge: 9 completed passesDevlin: 13 completed passesSerrano: 8 completed passesLawson: 17 completed passesHolt: 19 completed passesPittman: 8 completed passesMullin: 4 completed passesEmmanuel-Thomas: 12 completed passes3225292321233188149StryjekAmbroseTaylor-SinclairLongridgeDevlinSerranoLawsonHoltPittmanMullinEmmanuel-ThomasStarters until 70' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
HobanKennedy14
LeighConsidine13
ConsidineLeigh12
HayesLeigh10
ConsidineHoban10

Livingston

FromToPasses
DevlinAmbrose5
HoltEmmanuel-Thomas5
AmbroseTaylor-Sinclair4
HoltTaylor-Sinclair4
StryjekDevlin4

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

2−2.83−3.72−2.76−0.55−1.39+2.85−2.74−3.47+2.04−0.93−1.12−3.73−3.92−1.64+0.63+0.74−0.64−0.83+1.42+0.41+0.21−1.12−1.21+0.20−0.40−0.90−0.60−0.60−6.06−5.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 25 matches

Livingston

7+2.02−2.712+1.46+1.09+4.28−0.46−0.67+0.67−0.28−1.36+0.69+3.85+1.28+2.610+3.85+0.55+2.04+0.28+3.65+2.02−0.42+0.92+0.52−0.70−1.50−0.50−0.70−0.60−1.10−4.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 25 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

0.010.020.010.020.030.010.040.030.050.010.010.020.050.04−0.010.020.040.100.05−0.090.010.02−0.01−0.02−0.070.18LessMore

Livingston

0.010.030.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.030.020.010.010.020.020.010.040.030.18LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.18AttackAberdeen1.18 → 1.14Livingston1.12 → 1.13Defence (lower is better)Aberdeen0.99 → 1.00Livingston1.07 → 1.03

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
Top six98%>99%+2

From the forecast before the match (2 February 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

AberdeenLivingston
Expected goals1.110.96
Win38%31%
Expected Points1.461.23
Clean sheet38%33%

Aberdeen 38%Draw 31%Livingston 31%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 42%.

Livingston goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+6%2%6%2%8%7%4%1%3%3%1%13%11%13%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 2 February 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowAberdeen winDrawLivingston win
Livingston
Top six98%97%98%>99%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. D0–030 JanLivingston (A)xG 1.38–0.98
  2. D0–027 JanSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.10–0.36
  3. W2–023 JanMotherwell (H)xG 3.10–0.47
  4. L1–416 JanRoss County (A)xG 2.28–0.95
  5. L1–210 JanRangers (H)xG 0.63–2.03
  6. D0–02 JanDundee United (H)xG 0.85–0.46

Livingston

  1. D0–030 JanAberdeen (H)xG 0.98–1.38
  2. W2–027 JanKilmarnock (H)xG 1.10–0.59
  3. D2–220 JanCeltic (H)xG 0.77–1.69
  4. D0–016 JanCeltic (A)xG 1.22–0.42
  5. W3–110 JanRoss County (H)xG 1.74–1.28
  6. W3–02 JanHibernian (A)xG 1.18–0.49

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenLivingston
Position3rd5th
Played2525
Won, drawn, lost12–⁠8–⁠510–⁠6–⁠9
Points44 (1.76 per game)36 (1.44 per game)
Expected Points per game1.601.45
Goals31–⁠2432–⁠29
xG per game1.32–⁠0.981.24–⁠1.09
Home: points, xG per game2.00, 1.39–⁠1.121.38, 1.10–⁠1.28
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 1.24–⁠0.821.50, 1.40–⁠0.88
ManagerDerek McInnes (25)David Martindale (10)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.18AttackAberdeen1.18, 4thLivingston1.12, 5thDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen0.99, 3rdLivingston1.07, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanAberdeen attack: 1.18Livingston attack: 1.121.181.12LivingstonAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanAberdeen defence: 0.99Livingston defence: 1.071.070.99

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenLivingston
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−10%−29%−2%−26%
Counter-attacks+44%−25%−100%−28%
Set pieces+3%−38%+18%+8%
Penalties+62%+38%−31%−8%
Headers−1%−42%+10%+7%
Left side−2%−23%−9%−36%
Centre−5%−44%+12%−8%
Right side−5%−17%−13%−10%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdLivingston concededLeft side−2%−10%Centre−5%−8%Right side−5%−36%Open play−10%−26%Counter-attacks+44%−28%Set pieces+3%+8%Headers−1%+7%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdAberdeen concededLeft side−9%−17%Centre+12%−44%Right side−13%−23%Open play−2%−29%Counter-attacks−100%−25%Set pieces+18%−38%Headers+10%−42%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenLivingston

1.32xG1.24
0.98xG against1.09
51%Possession48%
11.7Shots10.4
9.8Shots against9.2
3.7Shots on target2.9
1.6Big chances1.6
20.4Touches in the opposition box18.5
403Passes343
72%Pass accuracy61%
4.7Corners5.1
52%Field tilt51%
36.0Final-third entries32.7
10.1Box entries8.5
13.6Passes per defensive action12.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level461.310.87
Ahead271.351.12
Behind161.311.04

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level511.070.98
Ahead151.361.07
Behind241.521.33

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.300.115–4
16–300.130.184–4
31–450.250.157–4
46–600.200.176–6
61–750.160.143–2
76–900.270.236–4

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.180.086–2
16–300.240.242–11
31–450.110.252–6
46–600.230.229–8
61–750.220.145–0
76–900.260.168–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTLewis 25Hoban 21McCrorie 3Hayes 2Taylor 23McKenna 4Considine 22Hedges 7Kennedy 6McLennan 3Ferguson 19Kennedy 2Wright 1McCrorie 13Ojo 5Campbell 4Hayes 16Kennedy 5Leigh 3Hedges 9Wright 9Ferguson 2Cosgrove 9Watkins 7Hedges 5Main 8Kennedy 4Wright 43-4-1-2 in 8 of 25 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (8), 3-4-2-1 (6), 3-4-3 (5), 3-5-1-1 (2), 4-4-1-1 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTStryjek 14McCrorie 11Devlin 22Robinson 1Ambrose 1Ambrose 9Fitzwater 7Guthrie 24Brown 8Taylor-Sinclair 2Serrano 14Brown 5Ambrose 2Bartley 20Pittman 3Lawson 2Holt 13Sibbald 9Forrest 2Mullin 8Robinson 6Fitzwater 4Pittman 16Bartley 3Holt 1Forrest 14Sibbald 6Robinson 2Emmanuel-Thomas 5Robinson 3Tiffoney 34-2-3-1 in 13 of 25 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (13), 3-4-2-1 (5), 4-3-3 (2), 4-4-2 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 5-3-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
30 January 2021Livingston0–0AberdeenxG 0.98–1.38
23 August 2020Aberdeen2–1LivingstonxG 2.15–1.62

2 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 1, Livingston won 0, and 1 was a draw. Goals 2–1 and xG 1.76–1.30 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Main8709200.390.09
Watkins9732210.330.07
Wright141,132210.220.16
Cosgrove9853300.330.04

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Forrest161,412410.200.23
Emmanuel-Thomas6628200.330.03
Mullin9759220.100.19
Robinson141,309410.190.08

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.