Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Livingston 0–0 Aberdeen

Saturday 30 January 2021, 15:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 21 · Half-time 0–0

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonAberdeen
Goals00
xG0.981.38
Expected Points1.031.65

Livingston 24%Draw 32%Aberdeen 44%

Most likely score 1–1, 18%. Final score 0–0, 7%.

Aberdeen goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+7%11%8%3%9%12%5%1%4%8%6%2%1%1%18%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTEmmanuel-Thomas on for Sibbald, 67'Longridge on for Serrano, 84'Lawson on for Robinson, 87'Wright on for McLennan, 79'Anderson on for Kennedy, 84'Aberdeen 1.38Livingston 0.9800.511.50153045607590HTEmmanuel-Thomas on for Sibbald, 67'Longridge on for Serrano, 84'Lawson on for Robinson, 87'Wright on for McLennan, 79'Anderson on for Kennedy, 84'1.380.98LivingstonAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonAberdeen

0.98 −0.27xG1.38 +0.06
0.76 −0.34xG on target0.19 −1.16
6 −5Shots9 −3
2 −1.0Shots on target2 −1.8
2 +0.4Big chances3 +1.5
12 −7Touches in the opposition box17 −4
48% 0Possession52% +1
301 −44Passes323 −83
58% −3Pass accuracy58% −14
50% −1Field tilt50% −2
30 −3Final-third entries24 −12
5 −3.7Box entries6 −4.3
8.3 −5Passes per defensive action16.4 +3
3 −2.2Corners2 −2.8
7 −9Tackles8 −4
12 0Interceptions14 +4
12 −6Clearances24 +4
2 +0.1Saves2 0.0
16 +3Fouls13 −1
1 −1.0Offsides4 +2.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Pittman 24', 0.41 xGLawson 89', 0.30 xGRobinson 50', 0.13 xGEmmanuel-Thomas 74', 0.06 xGAmbrose 2', 0.05 xGPittman 90+3', 0.03 xG55%0.54 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.54 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGCentral box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals31%0.30 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.30 xG, 0 goals14%0.14 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

McLennan 18', 0.36 xGHayes 21', 0.31 xGAnderson 90+1', 0.26 xGMcCrorie 60', 0.14 xGHoban 28', 0.09 xGHoban 35', 0.07 xGTaylor 88', 0.06 xGKennedy 82', 0.05 xGFerguson 63', 0.04 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals82%1.13 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 1.13 xG, 0 goals14%0.19 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.19 xG, 0 goals4%0.05 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonAberdeen

0.80 4 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.12 5 shots, 0 goals
0.19 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.26 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
93 min (100%) · Livingston 0.98, Aberdeen 1.38 xG

Line-ups

322527326181281710StryjekAmbroseGuthrieBrownDevlinBartleyHoltSerranoPittmanRobinsonSibbaldYellow card84'87'67'Livingston 3-4-2-1David Martindale131441133195401817LewisHobanTaylorConsidineHedgesKennedyFergusonLeighMcCrorieMcLennanHayes84'79'Aberdeen 3-4-3Derek McInnes

Livingston substitutes

  • 67' Emmanuel-Thomas for Sibbald
  • 84' Longridge for Serrano
  • 87' Lawson for Robinson

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 79' Wright for McLennan
  • 84' Anderson for Kennedy

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
StryjekGK900.000.0000.0761
AmbroseCB900.050.3310.2172
GuthrieCB900.000.0000.0545
BrownCB900.000.0100.0551
DevlinRWB900.000.0100.0233
BartleyCM900.000.010−0.0102
Holt CM900.000.150−0.0106
SerranoLWB840.000.1210.2145
PittmanAM900.450.0810.0610
RobinsonAM870.130.0100.0300
SibbaldST670.000.0300.0415
Emmanuel-ThomasFW230.060.010−0.0201
LongridgeDF60.000.000––0
LawsonMF30.300.0000.0000

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LewisGK900.000.0000.0110
HobanCB900.160.1110.15210
TaylorCB900.060.0000.02210
ConsidineCB900.000.0000.06811
HedgesRWB900.000.2120.0562
KennedyCM840.050.1010.1450
FergusonCM900.040.0100.0336
LeighLWB900.000.0100.0334
McCrorieRW900.140.010−0.0131
McLennanST790.360.011−0.1402
HayesLW900.310.2920.1710
WrightFW110.000.0210.0001
AndersonFW60.260.000−0.0100

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Ambrose and Bartley: 3 passesBrown and Pittman: 3 passesDevlin and Pittman: 3 passesSerrano and Bartley: 3 passesSerrano and Holt: 3 passesBrown and Serrano: 4 passesBrown and Holt: 4 passesGuthrie and Holt: 4 passesGuthrie and Sibbald: 4 passesPittman and Robinson: 4 passesSibbald and Robinson: 4 passesStryjek and Brown: 5 passesAmbrose and Devlin: 5 passesAmbrose and Holt: 5 passesHolt and Sibbald: 5 passesDevlin and Sibbald: 6 passesStryjek and Ambrose: 7 passesDevlin and Holt: 7 passesHolt and Pittman: 7 passesAmbrose and Guthrie: 9 passesBrown and Guthrie: 10 passesStryjek: 10 completed passesAmbrose: 20 completed passesBrown: 17 completed passesGuthrie: 20 completed passesDevlin: 17 completed passesSerrano: 8 completed passesBartley: 6 completed passesHolt: 17 completed passesPittman: 11 completed passesSibbald: 10 completed passesRobinson: 3 completed passes322532721261881017StryjekAmbroseBrownGuthrieDevlinSerranoBartleyHoltPittmanSibbaldRobinsonStarters until 67' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Aberdeen

Hoban and Ferguson: 4 passesTaylor and Ferguson: 4 passesConsidine and Hedges: 4 passesHedges and Kennedy: 4 passesLeigh and Hayes: 4 passesFerguson and McCrorie: 4 passesLewis and Considine: 5 passesLewis and Leigh: 5 passesHoban and Leigh: 5 passesHedges and Ferguson: 5 passesLeigh and McCrorie: 5 passesLeigh and McLennan: 5 passesFerguson and Hayes: 5 passesMcCrorie and Hayes: 5 passesHoban and Taylor: 6 passesHoban and McCrorie: 6 passesKennedy and Hayes: 6 passesHoban and Hayes: 7 passesHoban and Hedges: 8 passesLeigh and Kennedy: 8 passesConsidine and Leigh: 10 passesHedges and Leigh: 14 passesLewis: 13 completed passesHoban: 16 completed passesTaylor: 18 completed passesConsidine: 18 completed passesHedges: 21 completed passesLeigh: 35 completed passesKennedy: 12 completed passesFerguson: 16 completed passesMcCrorie: 14 completed passesMcLennan: 6 completed passesHayes: 12 completed passes131441153319401817LewisHobanTaylorConsidineHedgesLeighKennedyFergusonMcCrorieMcLennanHayesStarters until 79' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
AmbroseStryjek9
DevlinAmbrose6
GuthrieBrown6
DevlinHolt6
GuthrieAmbrose5

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
LeighHedges9
ConsidineLeigh7
HobanHedges7
TaylorHoban7
HobanMcCrorie6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

50.03−1.83−2.02−3.09+0.63−3.87+0.68−1.43−2.57+1.81−3.04−1.52−4.45+0.511+6.82−1.03−0.82−2.530.03+0.61−0.14+2.65+2.41−0.51+0.52+1.40−0.61−0.14−6.90−7.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 24 matches

Aberdeen

5+0.24−2.015+3.66−0.75+0.34−2.69+2.84−2.314+6.612+4.80−5.24−1.04−0.19+3.44−3.03−0.61−2.53+0.75+0.41−3.91−0.61−0.61+0.23+0.92−1.21+0.20−0.41+0.10−0.60−0.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 24 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.010.030.010.010.030.010.010.010.010.020.030.020.030.010.040.010.04−0.030.010.200.18LessMore

Aberdeen

0.010.020.020.020.010.020.04−0.010.050.010.010.030.010.050.06−0.06−0.010.020.23LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.17AttackLivingston1.13 → 1.12Aberdeen1.18 → 1.18Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.07 → 1.07Aberdeen1.00 → 0.99

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
Top six99%99%0

From the forecast before the match (30 January 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonAberdeen
Expected goals1.041.07
Win34%35%
Expected Points1.321.36
Clean sheet34%35%

Livingston 34%Draw 31%Aberdeen 35%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 43%.

Aberdeen goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+7%2%7%3%7%7%4%1%2%2%1%13%12%12%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 30 January 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawAberdeen win
Livingston
Top six99%>99%99%98%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. W2–027 JanKilmarnock (H)xG 1.10–0.59
  2. D2–220 JanCeltic (H)xG 0.77–1.69
  3. D0–016 JanCeltic (A)xG 1.22–0.42
  4. W3–110 JanRoss County (H)xG 1.74–1.28
  5. W3–02 JanHibernian (A)xG 1.18–0.49
  6. W2–126 DecKilmarnock (A)xG 0.68–1.22

Aberdeen

  1. D0–027 JanSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.10–0.36
  2. W2–023 JanMotherwell (H)xG 3.10–0.47
  3. L1–416 JanRoss County (A)xG 2.28–0.95
  4. L1–210 JanRangers (H)xG 0.63–2.03
  5. D0–02 JanDundee United (H)xG 0.85–0.46
  6. W2–126 DecSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.34–0.88

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonAberdeen
Position5th3rd
Played2424
Won, drawn, lost10–⁠5–⁠912–⁠7–⁠5
Points35 (1.46 per game)43 (1.79 per game)
Expected Points per game1.461.60
Goals32–⁠2931–⁠24
xG per game1.25–⁠1.081.32–⁠0.98
Home: points, xG per game1.42, 1.11–⁠1.272.00, 1.39–⁠1.12
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 1.40–⁠0.881.55, 1.23–⁠0.80
ManagerDavid Martindale (9)Derek McInnes (24)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.17AttackLivingston1.13, 5thAberdeen1.18, 4thDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.07, 4thAberdeen1.00, 3rd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanLivingston attack: 1.13Aberdeen attack: 1.181.181.13AberdeenLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanLivingston defence: 1.07Aberdeen defence: 1.001.071.00

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−1%−28%−12%−30%
Counter-attacks−100%−27%+47%−23%
Set pieces+21%+9%+4%−38%
Penalties−30%−6%+64%+40%
Headers+12%average−9%−42%
Left side−8%−34%−6%−29%
Centre+17%−10%−6%−42%
Right side−18%−14%−1%−17%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdAberdeen concededLeft side−8%−17%Centre+17%−42%Right side−18%−29%Open play−1%−30%Counter-attacks−100%−23%Set pieces+21%−38%Headers+12%−42%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdLivingston concededLeft side−6%−14%Centre−6%−10%Right side−1%−34%Open play−12%−28%Counter-attacks+47%−27%Set pieces+4%+9%Headers−9%average

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonAberdeen

1.25xG1.32
1.08xG against0.98
48%Possession51%
10.6Shots11.8
9.2Shots against10.0
3.0Shots on target3.8
1.6Big chances1.5
18.9Touches in the opposition box20.6
345Passes406
61%Pass accuracy72%
5.2Corners4.8
51%Field tilt52%
32.8Final-third entries36.5
8.7Box entries10.3
13.0Passes per defensive action13.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level491.080.95
Ahead161.361.07
Behind251.521.33

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level451.300.86
Ahead281.351.12
Behind171.311.04

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.180.096–2
16–300.240.222–11
31–450.120.262–6
46–600.230.229–8
61–750.230.145–0
76–900.260.158–2

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.310.115–4
16–300.110.174–4
31–450.260.167–4
46–600.200.176–6
61–750.170.153–2
76–900.270.236–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTStryjek 13McCrorie 11Devlin 21McMillan 1Robinson 1Ambrose 9Fitzwater 7Guthrie 23Brown 7Taylor-Sinclair 2Serrano 13Brown 5McMillan 2Bartley 19Pittman 3Lawson 2Holt 12Sibbald 9Forrest 2Mullin 8Robinson 6Fitzwater 4Pittman 15Bartley 3Holt 1Forrest 14Sibbald 6Holt 1Emmanuel-Thomas 5Robinson 3Tiffoney 34-2-3-1 in 13 of 24 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (13), 3-4-2-1 (4), 4-3-3 (2), 4-4-2 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 5-3-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

Aberdeen

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTLewis 24Hoban 20McCrorie 3Hayes 2Taylor 22McKenna 4Considine 21Kennedy 6Hedges 6McLennan 3Ferguson 18Wright 1Kennedy 1McCrorie 13Ojo 5Campbell 4Hayes 16Kennedy 5Leigh 2Hedges 9Wright 9Ferguson 2Cosgrove 9Watkins 7Hedges 5Main 8Wright 4Kennedy 43-4-1-2 in 8 of 24 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (8), 3-4-2-1 (6), 3-4-3 (4), 3-5-1-1 (2), 4-4-1-1 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
23 August 2020Aberdeen2–1LivingstonxG 2.15–1.62

1 league meeting since 2020/21: Livingston won 0, Aberdeen won 1, and 0 were drawn. Goals 1–2 and xG 1.62–2.15 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Forrest161,412410.200.23
Emmanuel-Thomas6605200.340.03
Mullin9759220.100.19
Robinson131,222410.200.09

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Main8709200.390.09
Watkins9732210.330.07
Wright141,121210.220.16
Ferguson211,851820.310.06

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.