Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Motherwell 1–1 Aberdeen

Saturday 19 February 2022, 15:00 · Fir Park · Round 27 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Nick Walsh · Attendance 5,171

Motherwell O'Hara 68'

Aberdeen Besuijen 34'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

MotherwellAberdeen
Goals11
xG2.621.23
Expected Points2.400.40

Motherwell 73%Draw 20%Aberdeen 7%

Most likely score 2–1, 19%. Final score 1–1, 9%.

Aberdeen goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+2%9%4%4%9%1%4%8%1%2%8%4%3%1%19%17%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTLamie on for Johansen and Woolery on for Efford, 63'McLennan on for Montgomery, 70'O'Hara 68'Besuijen 34'Motherwell 2.62Aberdeen 1.2301230153045607590HTLamie on for Johansen and Woolery on for Efford, 63'McLennan on for Montgomery, 70'O'Hara 68'Besuijen 34'2.621.23MotherwellAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

MotherwellAberdeen

2.62 +1.66xG1.23 +0.12
1.37 +0.30xG on target1.28 +0.15
20 +10Shots6 −8
4 +0.6Shots on target5 +0.4
2 +0.7Big chances1 −0.1
24 +7Touches in the opposition box12 −6
52% +11Possession48% −10
282 −10Passes276 −192
53% −7Pass accuracy47% −30
57% +20Field tilt43% −16
30 +3Final-third entries20 −20
7 −0.5Box entries4 −5.4
14.2 +1Passes per defensive action15.1 +1
9 +4.9Corners3 −2.1
10 −5Tackles18 +6
11 0.0Interceptions9 +1.5
9 −14Clearances26 +9
4 +0.5Saves3 +1.7
15 0Fouls19 +7
2 +0.2Offsides6 +4.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Motherwell

Ojala 9', 0.44 xGvan Veen 68', 0.31 xGOjala 75', 0.25 xGJohansen 34', 0.18 xGvan Veen 55', 0.09 xGMugabi 77', 0.06 xGDonnelly 9', 0.05 xGO'Hara 10', 0.04 xGGoss 11', 0.04 xGGoss 37', 0.04 xGvan Veen 45+7', 0.03 xGLamie 77', 0.03 xGShields 87', 0.03 xGWoolery 72', 0.02 xGShields 83', 0.02 xGDonnelly 4', 0.01 xGDonnelly 46', 0.01 xGWoolery 68', 0.01 xGDonnelly 83', 0.01 xGO'Hara 68', 0.96 xG, goal70%1.83 xGSix-yard box: 4 shots, 1.83 xG, 1 goal19%0.51 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.51 xG, 0 goals5%0.12 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals5%0.14 xGEdge of the box: 7 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Besuijen 49', 0.19 xGRamsay 5', 0.16 xGFerguson 2', 0.03 xGFerguson 24', 0.03 xGFerguson 61', 0.01 xGBesuijen 34', 0.81 xG, goal13%0.16 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.16 xG, 0 goals81%1.00 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 1.00 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals2%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals3%0.04 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

MotherwellAberdeen

1.47 8 shots, 1 goalOpen play1.01 3 shots, 1 goal
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.16 1 shot, 0 goals
1.15 12 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.06 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
58 min (59%) · Motherwell 1.16, Aberdeen 1.03 xG
Aberdeen ahead
41 min (41%) · Motherwell 1.46, Aberdeen 0.20 xG

Line-ups

15211438222720929KellyMugabiJohansenOjalaCarrollO'HaraDonnellyGossEffordvan VeenShieldsYellow cardGoalYellow cardYellow card63'63'Motherwell 4-3-3Graham Alexander122527112921019179LewisRamsayGallagherBatesMontgomeryBarronMcCrorieBesuijenFergusonHayesRamirezYellow cardYellow cardGoalYellow card70'Aberdeen 4-2-3-1Jim Goodwin

Motherwell substitutes

  • 63' Lamie for Johansen · yellow card 90+2'
  • 63' Woolery for Efford

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 70' McLennan for Montgomery

Players

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
KellyGK900.000.0100.0990
Mugabi RB900.060.0100.0573
JohansenCB630.180.0000.0222
OjalaCB900.690.0010.0235
CarrollLB900.000.0310.1286
O'HaraCM9011.000.2310.1022
Donnelly CM900.080.0100.0041
GossCM900.080.3950.0025
EffordRW630.000.0210.0441
van VeenST900.430.3010.0232
Shields LW900.040.0100.0321
Lamie DF270.030.0020.0113
WooleryFW270.030.0310.0740

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LewisGK900.000.0000.0341
RamsayRB900.160.1700.2536
Gallagher CB900.000.0000.00110
BatesCB900.000.1200.02112
MontgomeryLB7010.000.1910.1033
BarronDM900.000.0200.0547
McCrorie DM900.000.0000.0115
BesuijenRW9011.000.0000.0100
Ferguson AM900.080.0000.0143
HayesLW900.000.1730.1366
RamirezST900.000.0100.0202
McLennanMF200.000.0000.0002

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Motherwell

Mugabi and Donnelly: 3 passesOjala and Johansen: 3 passesOjala and Goss: 3 passesOjala and O'Hara: 3 passesJohansen and Goss: 3 passesJohansen and Efford: 3 passesGoss and Shields: 3 passesO'Hara and Efford: 3 passesO'Hara and van Veen: 3 passesEfford and van Veen: 3 passesEfford and Shields: 3 passesKelly and Efford: 4 passesMugabi and Efford: 4 passesCarroll and Efford: 4 passesGoss and Donnelly: 4 passesDonnelly and van Veen: 4 passesvan Veen and Shields: 4 passesKelly and Johansen: 5 passesJohansen and Donnelly: 5 passesMugabi and O'Hara: 6 passesCarroll and van Veen: 7 passesCarroll and Goss: 9 passesKelly: 10 completed passesMugabi: 10 completed passesOjala: 7 completed passesJohansen: 17 completed passesCarroll: 20 completed passesGoss: 14 completed passesO'Hara: 11 completed passesDonnelly: 11 completed passesEfford: 7 completed passesvan Veen: 10 completed passesShields: 4 completed passes15142132782220929KellyMugabiOjalaJohansenCarrollGossO'HaraDonnellyEffordvan VeenShieldsStarters until 63' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Aberdeen

Lewis and McCrorie: 3 passesMcCrorie and Montgomery: 3 passesBarron and Ramirez: 3 passesBesuijen and Ferguson: 3 passesLewis and Bates: 4 passesRamsay and Besuijen: 4 passesHayes and Barron: 4 passesBarron and Montgomery: 4 passesFerguson and Montgomery: 4 passesLewis and Gallagher: 5 passesBates and Montgomery: 5 passesHayes and McCrorie: 5 passesHayes and Ferguson: 5 passesRamsay and Barron: 7 passesRamsay and Ferguson: 8 passesHayes and Montgomery: 13 passesLewis: 9 completed passesRamsay: 14 completed passesGallagher: 8 completed passesBates: 10 completed passesHayes: 17 completed passesMcCrorie: 10 completed passesBarron: 14 completed passesBesuijen: 6 completed passesFerguson: 14 completed passesMontgomery: 16 completed passesRamirez: 2 completed passes122527172291019119LewisRamsayGallagherBatesHayesMcCrorieBarronBesuijenFergusonMontgomeryRamirezStarters until 70' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Motherwell

FromToPasses
Carrollvan Veen8
CarrollGoss6
GossCarroll5
GossShields5
JohansenKelly5

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
MontgomeryHayes7
BarronRamsay7
HayesMontgomery6
GallagherLewis6
BatesMontgomery5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Motherwell

7+2.82−4.47+0.51−4.91−5.87+0.78+2.07−0.75−2.79+3.21−3.92−1.59+3.83−3.950.00−3.55+2.56+2.64−0.51−2.91−0.50−1.14+1.53−0.50−1.10−0.52+1.21+0.31+0.26−11.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 26 matches

Aberdeen

11+6.57+1.712+1.28+3.19+4.215+8.113+7.37+2.58+1.34−4.17+0.84−0.45+1.82−3.56+0.40−3.63−0.14+1.90−2.52−2.60−2.52+0.82+1.04+2.82−0.50−0.72+1.92+1.40−0.20−0.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 26 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Motherwell

0.010.010.030.030.010.010.040.010.020.010.010.020.040.010.050.030.010.060.010.020.02−0.02−0.010.11LessMore

Aberdeen

0.010.020.010.010.010.010.030.010.020.010.010.010.010.010.010.090.010.010.020.070.070.16LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackMotherwell0.95 → 0.98Aberdeen1.09 → 1.09Defence (lower is better)Motherwell1.32 → 1.32Aberdeen0.98 → 1.01

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Motherwell
Top six55%55%0
11th2%1%−1
Aberdeen
Top six52%46%−6
11th1%1%0
Dundee United
Top six44%47%+3

From the forecast before the match (19 February 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

MotherwellAberdeen
Expected goals0.921.18
Win28%41%
Expected Points1.151.54
Clean sheet31%40%

Motherwell 28%Draw 31%Aberdeen 41%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 42%.

Aberdeen goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+8%3%1%8%3%5%6%4%1%2%2%1%13%14%11%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 19 February 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowMotherwell winDrawAberdeen win
Motherwell
Top six55%78%55%40%
11th2%<1%1%3%
Aberdeen
Top six52%31%46%70%
11th1%1%1%<1%
Dundee United
Top six44%43%47%42%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Motherwell

  1. L0–29 FebDundee United (A)xG 1.11–1.53
  2. L0–46 FebCeltic (H)xG 0.24–2.79
  3. D1–11 FebSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.81–0.46
  4. L0–229 JanHearts (A)xG 0.76–1.65
  5. D0–026 JanHibernian (H)xG 0.61–0.38
  6. L1–318 JanRoss County (A)xG 0.59–1.20

Aberdeen

  1. D1–115 FebSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.12–1.17
  2. L2–39 FebCeltic (H)xG 0.67–1.12
  3. L1–25 FebLivingston (A)xG 1.02–1.06
  4. D1–11 FebRoss County (A)xG 0.74–0.32
  5. L0–125 JanSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.47–0.13
  6. D1–118 JanRangers (H)xG 1.49–1.03

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

MotherwellAberdeen
Position5th8th
Played2626
Won, drawn, lost9–⁠6–⁠118–⁠6–⁠12
Points33 (1.27 per game)30 (1.15 per game)
Expected Points per game1.071.47
Goals27–⁠3931–⁠33
xG per game0.96–⁠1.421.11–⁠0.86
Home: points, xG per game1.77, 0.91–⁠1.361.62, 1.38–⁠0.74
Away: points, xG per game0.77, 1.01–⁠1.480.69, 0.84–⁠0.99
ManagerGraham Alexander (44)Jim Goodwin (0)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackMotherwell0.95, 8thAberdeen1.09, 5thDefence (lower is better)Motherwell1.32, 10thAberdeen0.98, 3rd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMotherwell attack: 0.95Aberdeen attack: 1.091.090.95AberdeenMotherwellDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMotherwell defence: 1.32Aberdeen defence: 0.981.320.98

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

MotherwellAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−27%+17%−14%−36%
Counter-attacks−37%+10%−58%−24%
Set pieces+9%+8%+19%−14%
Penalties−43%+42%−15%−15%
Headers+29%−2%+21%−27%
Left side−7%+22%−13%−29%
Centre−9%+8%−8%−34%
Right side−45%+20%−3%−23%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdAberdeen concededLeft side−7%−23%Centre−9%−34%Right side−45%−29%Open play−27%−36%Counter-attacks−37%−24%Set pieces+9%−14%Headers+29%−27%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdMotherwell concededLeft side−13%+20%Centre−8%+8%Right side−3%+22%Open play−14%+17%Counter-attacks−58%+10%Set pieces+19%+8%Headers+21%−2%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

MotherwellAberdeen

0.96xG1.11
1.42xG against0.86
41%Possession58%
10.3Shots13.6
14.0Shots against8.0
3.4Shots on target4.6
1.3Big chances1.1
17.2Touches in the opposition box18.4
292Passes468
61%Pass accuracy77%
4.1Corners5.1
37%Field tilt59%
26.8Final-third entries40.0
7.5Box entries9.4
12.8Passes per defensive action14.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level380.931.32
Ahead230.991.18
Behind280.971.75

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level460.891.00
Ahead161.320.86
Behind271.370.63

xG by period

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.130.195–2
16–300.150.204–7
31–450.100.181–12
46–600.240.319–5
61–750.190.214–6
76–900.160.334–7

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.154–5
16–300.150.135–6
31–450.150.133–4
46–600.140.176–9
61–750.300.1010–5
76–900.200.183–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWKelly 26O'Donnell 18Mugabi 8Johansen 14Mugabi 12Ojala 11Lamie 9McGinley 20Carroll 5Johansen 1Slattery 20Grimshaw 10Cornelius 3Maguire 11Donnelly 9Goss 14O'Hara 8Shaw 2Woolery 17Roberts 4Amaluzor 2van Veen 14Watt 7Shields 4Watt 11van Veen 4Woolery 34-3-3 in 24 of 26 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (24), 3-4-3 (1), 3-4-2-1 (1)

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTLewis 22Woods 4Ramsay 15Ojo 7Gurr 3McCrorie 18Gallagher 9Brown 4Bates 18Considine 2MacKenzie 1Hayes 9MacKenzie 8Campbell 6Ferguson 19McGeouch 8Barron 1Brown 12Ojo 4Longstaff 3Hedges 9Ojo 6Hayes 2Brown 6Jenks 6Ferguson 5Watkins 8Hayes 7Ramirez 3Ramirez 20Watkins 3Emmanuel-Thomas 24-2-3-1 in 9 of 26 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (9), 4-3-3 (6), 3-4-1-2 (3), 4-4-1-1 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-1-3-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
6 November 2021Aberdeen0–2MotherwellxG 0.94–0.47
11 September 2021Motherwell2–0AberdeenxG 0.92–1.56
23 January 2021Aberdeen2–0MotherwellxG 3.10–0.47
23 December 2020Motherwell0–0AberdeenxG 0.22–1.16
20 September 2020Aberdeen0–3MotherwellxG 0.70–1.75

5 league meetings since 2020/21: Motherwell won 3, Aberdeen won 1, and 1 was a draw. Goals 7–2 and xG 0.77–1.49 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Watt181,598900.350.06
van Veen181,629720.280.08
Shields7608110.190.08
Goss161,476040.080.15

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Watkins11967300.380.09
Ferguson242,151710.260.07
Ramirez252,2091030.250.05
Emmanuel-Thomas7673010.080.20

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.