Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

St. Johnstone 0–2 Celtic

Sunday 4 October 2020, 12:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 10 · Half-time 0–0

Celtic Griffiths 90', Klimala 90'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneCeltic
Goals02
xG0.631.71
Expected Points0.592.16

St. Johnstone 11%Draw 25%Celtic 63%

Most likely score 0–1, 15%. Final score 0–2, 14%.

Celtic goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+8%7%3%6%6%2%1%3%3%1%15%14%14%12%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTO'Halloran on for Wotherspoon, 67'Hendry on for Kerr, 90'Christie on for Turnbull and Klimala on for Edouard, 59'Rogic on for Ntcham and Griffiths on for Elyounoussi, 76'Brown on for Taylor, 82'Griffiths 90'Klimala 90'Celtic 1.71St. Johnstone 0.6300.511.520153045607590HTO'Halloran on for Wotherspoon, 67'Hendry on for Kerr, 90'Christie on for Turnbull and Klimala on for Edouard, 59'Rogic on for Ntcham and Griffiths on for Elyounoussi, 76'Brown on for Taylor, 82'Griffiths 90'Klimala 90'1.710.63St. JohnstoneCeltic

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneCeltic

0.63 −0.40xG1.71 −0.71
0.00 −0.61xG on target1.44 −1.52
7 −5Shots19 0
0 −2.7Shots on target3 −5.2
1 −0.2Big chances2 −1.6
8 −20Touches in the opposition box27 +3
32% −15Possession68% −1
274 −97Passes613 −13
63% −4Pass accuracy85% −2
42% −10Field tilt58% −22
26 −10Final-third entries67 −8
6 −3.7Box entries13 −5.8
15.2 0Passes per defensive action8.7 −2
1 −4.1Corners11 +4.9
24 +7Tackles8 −4
18 +8.0Interceptions11 +3.4
25 +5Clearances13 −1
1 −0.8Saves0 −1.2
13 +1Fouls14 +4
1 −0.8Offsides1 +0.1

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

Conway 48', 0.38 xGWotherspoon 26', 0.07 xGMcNamara 48', 0.05 xGMcNamara 64', 0.05 xGDavidson 49', 0.03 xGDavidson 64', 0.03 xGWotherspoon 44', 0.02 xG60%0.38 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.38 xG, 0 goals11%0.07 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals16%0.10 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals5%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals8%0.05 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals

Celtic

Edouard 54', 0.18 xGEdouard 55', 0.10 xGKlimala 65', 0.10 xGDuffy 82', 0.09 xGGriffiths 88', 0.09 xGDuffy 12', 0.08 xGDuffy 25', 0.06 xGMcGregor 30', 0.06 xGEdouard 43', 0.06 xGTurnbull 54', 0.06 xGGriffiths 84', 0.06 xGDuffy 56', 0.05 xGMcGregor 51', 0.04 xGRogic 84', 0.04 xGTurnbull 26', 0.03 xGMcGregor 56', 0.03 xGChristie 76', 0.03 xGKlimala 90+3', 0.29 xG, goalGriffiths 90', 0.27 xG, goal11%0.18 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.18 xG, 0 goals79%1.35 xGCentral box: 13 shots, 1.35 xG, 2 goals3%0.05 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals2%0.04 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals5%0.08 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneCeltic

0.62 7 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.07 11 shots, 2 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.64 8 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
90 min (97%) · St. Johnstone 0.62, Celtic 1.42 xG
Celtic ahead
3 min (3%) · St. Johnstone 0.00, Celtic 0.29 xG

Line-ups

156415188371014ClarkKerrGordonMcCartMcNamaraMcCannDavidsonTanserConwayWotherspoonMayYellow cardYellow cardYellow card90'67'St. Johnstone 3-4-2-1Callum Davidson1444353021423142722BarkasElhamedDuffyAjerFrimpongNtchamMcGregorTaylorTurnbullElyounoussiEdouardYellow cardYellow card76'82'59'76'59'Celtic 3-4-1-2Neil Lennon

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 67' O'Halloran for Wotherspoon
  • 90' Hendry for Kerr

Celtic substitutes

  • 59' Christie for Turnbull
  • 59' Klimala for Edouard · goal 90'
  • 76' Griffiths for Elyounoussi · goal 90'
  • 76' Rogic for Ntcham
  • 82' Brown for Taylor

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ClarkGK900.000.0000.0450
KerrCB900.000.0100.03314
Gordon CB900.000.0000.0136
McCartCB900.000.0000.01010
McNamaraRWB900.100.0200.0416
McCannCM900.000.0100.03111
Davidson CM900.060.0000.00014
TanserLWB900.000.0000.0326
ConwayAM900.380.1010.2050
Wotherspoon AM670.090.0920.2126
MayST900.000.0110.0233
O'HalloranMF230.000.0000.0210
HendryFW00.000.000––0

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BarkasGK900.000.0000.0100
ElhamedCB9020.000.1310.17115
DuffyCB900.290.0210.1485
AjerCB900.000.0310.1172
FrimpongRWB900.000.0800.1374
Ntcham CM760.000.2210.1932
McGregorCM900.120.1520.2195
TaylorLWB820.000.0510.1057
Turnbull AM590.090.6650.0011
ElyounoussiST760.000.0410.0222
EdouardST590.340.0500.0611
ChristieMF310.030.3120.1741
KlimalaFW3110.390.0300.1030
GriffithsFW1410.410.010−0.0310
RogicFW140.040.0000.0321
BrownMF80.000.1410.1240

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Clark and McNamara: 3 passesGordon and McCart: 3 passesMcNamara and Wotherspoon: 3 passesClark and Tanser: 4 passesMcCart and McCann: 4 passesMcCart and Wotherspoon: 4 passesMcNamara and May: 4 passesMcCann and Conway: 4 passesWotherspoon and Conway: 4 passesConway and May: 4 passesKerr and Conway: 5 passesMcCart and Tanser: 5 passesTanser and McCann: 5 passesDavidson and Conway: 5 passesClark and McCart: 6 passesDavidson and Wotherspoon: 6 passesMcCann and Wotherspoon: 6 passesWotherspoon and May: 6 passesKerr and McNamara: 8 passesMcNamara and McCann: 8 passesTanser and Wotherspoon: 8 passesMcNamara and Conway: 21 passesClark: 11 completed passesKerr: 12 completed passesGordon: 9 completed passesMcCart: 13 completed passesMcNamara: 25 completed passesTanser: 12 completed passesDavidson: 11 completed passesMcCann: 16 completed passesWotherspoon: 18 completed passesConway: 19 completed passesMay: 11 completed passes156415381810714ClarkKerrGordonMcCartMcNamaraTanserDavidsonMcCannWotherspoonConwayMayStarters until 67' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Celtic

Barkas and Ajer: 5 passesElhamed and Elyounoussi: 5 passesMcGregor and Elyounoussi: 5 passesTurnbull and Elyounoussi: 5 passesDuffy and Turnbull: 6 passesElhamed and McGregor: 6 passesElhamed and Turnbull: 6 passesFrimpong and McGregor: 6 passesNtcham and Turnbull: 6 passesFrimpong and Ntcham: 7 passesTaylor and Turnbull: 7 passesDuffy and Ntcham: 8 passesDuffy and McGregor: 9 passesNtcham and McGregor: 9 passesMcGregor and Edouard: 9 passesTaylor and Elyounoussi: 9 passesAjer and Turnbull: 10 passesElhamed and Frimpong: 11 passesAjer and Taylor: 12 passesBarkas and Duffy: 16 passesMcGregor and Taylor: 16 passesMcGregor and Turnbull: 18 passesElhamed and Ntcham: 24 passesAjer and McGregor: 28 passesDuffy and Ajer: 34 passesDuffy and Elhamed: 40 passesBarkas: 17 completed passesDuffy: 61 completed passesElhamed: 51 completed passesAjer: 50 completed passesFrimpong: 17 completed passesNtcham: 29 completed passesMcGregor: 55 completed passesTaylor: 26 completed passesTurnbull: 34 completed passesEdouard: 8 completed passesElyounoussi: 15 completed passes1444353021423142227BarkasDuffyElhamedAjerFrimpongNtchamMcGregorTaylorTurnbullEdouardElyounoussiStarters until 59' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
McNamaraConway14
ConwayMcNamara11
McCannMcNamara8
ClarkTanser6
KerrMcNamara6

Celtic

FromToPasses
DuffyElhamed31
ElhamedDuffy25
DuffyAjer24
AjerDuffy24
ElhamedNtcham21

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

7+2.17+3.922+10.112+6.42−3.311+0.412+5.47+2.29+0.212+3.64−1.95+0.49+2.64−1.16−0.46+1.80−3.94+2.33−0.211+6.60−2.61−0.60−1.61−0.76+3.23+1.400.00−0.30−0.61+0.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 9 matches

Celtic

5+2.43−1.611+2.25+1.05+0.810+3.83−2.02−2.06−0.18+0.25+1.08+1.81−1.18+2.85−0.94+0.56+3.13+0.63−1.93−1.24+2.11−1.80−1.91−1.60−0.20−0.51+0.42+1.23+2.10−3.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 8 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.040.010.010.010.010.030.020.010.030.01−0.010.040.030.01−0.010.01−0.030.010.190.21LessMore

Celtic

0.010.010.010.030.010.020.010.030.050.060.080.020.050.100.170.050.040.07−0.020.01−0.030.060.070.010.060.230.31LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.17AttackSt. Johnstone0.88 → 0.87Celtic2.05 → 1.99Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.09 → 1.07Celtic0.58 → 0.57

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
Top six24%21%−3
11th11%12%+1
Bottom6%7%+1
Celtic
Title52%55%+3
Rangers
Title48%45%−3

From the forecast before the match (4 October 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneCeltic
Expected goals0.462.01
Win7%74%
Expected Points0.402.41
Clean sheet13%63%

St. Johnstone 7%Draw 19%Celtic 74%

Most likely score 0–2, 17%. Both sides score 32%.

Celtic goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+9%11%6%2%1%4%8%8%5%3%1%2%2%1%17%17%

From the forecast as it stood on 4 October 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawCeltic win
St. Johnstone
Top six24%38%29%21%
11th11%6%8%12%
Bottom6%3%5%7%
Celtic
Title52%40%44%55%
Rangers
Title48%60%55%45%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. L0–226 SepLivingston (A)xG 1.11–0.54
  2. L0–119 SepRoss County (H)xG 0.85–0.23
  3. L0–112 SepMotherwell (A)xG 1.02–0.26
  4. W1–029 AugSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.84–0.29
  5. L0–123 AugHibernian (H)xG 0.52–1.53
  6. L0–120 AugAberdeen (H)xG 0.42–0.29

Celtic

  1. W3–027 SepHibernian (H)xG 1.94–0.60
  2. W3–219 SepLivingston (H)xG 1.58–1.35
  3. W2–116 SepSt. Mirren (A)xG 2.18–1.12
  4. W5–012 SepRoss County (A)xG 3.32–0.81
  5. W3–030 AugMotherwell (H)xG 2.06–0.22
  6. W1–022 AugDundee United (A)xG 3.00–0.29

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneCeltic
Position10th2nd
Played98
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠1–⁠67–⁠1–⁠0
Points7 (0.78 per game)22 (2.75 per game)
Expected Points per game1.452.28
Goals4–⁠1123–⁠5
xG per game1.03–⁠0.842.42–⁠0.74
Home: points, xG per game0.75, 1.16–⁠0.583.00, 2.52–⁠0.66
Away: points, xG per game0.80, 0.92–⁠1.052.50, 2.31–⁠0.82
ManagerCallum Davidson (9)Neil Lennon (8)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.17AttackSt. Johnstone0.88, 11thCeltic2.05, 1stDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.09, 4thCeltic0.58, 2nd

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.02.53.0SepOctSt. Johnstone attack: 0.88Celtic attack: 2.052.050.88CelticSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.02.53.0SepOctSt. Johnstone defence: 1.09Celtic defence: 0.581.090.58

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneCeltic
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−17%−44%+95%−60%
Counter-attacks−38%−55%+676%−100%
Set pieces−4%−42%+24%−39%
Penalties−100%+16%+31%+31%
Headers+37%−35%−23%−50%
Left side+6%−33%+77%−65%
Centre−18%−47%+98%−50%
Right side−25%−49%+78%−50%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdCeltic concededLeft side+6%−50%Centre−18%−50%Right side−25%−65%Open play−17%−60%Counter-attacks−38%−100%Set pieces−4%−39%Headers+37%−50%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side+77%−49%Centre+98%−47%Right side+78%−33%Open play+95%−44%Counter-attacks+676%−55%Set pieces+24%−42%Headers−23%−35%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneCeltic

1.03xG2.42
0.84xG against0.74
47%Possession69%
12.0Shots19.2
9.1Shots against7.2
2.7Shots on target8.2
1.2Big chances3.6
28.0Touches in the opposition box24.0
371Passes626
67%Pass accuracy88%
5.1Corners6.1
52%Field tilt80%
36.0Final-third entries75.2
9.7Box entries18.8
15.4Passes per defensive action10.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level501.080.92
Ahead20.651.60
Behind380.970.70

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level342.240.83
Ahead542.520.72
Behind32.570.00

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.130.140–2
16–300.060.070–1
31–450.190.120–4
46–600.160.201–1
61–750.240.101–1
76–900.240.222–2

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.230.173–1
16–300.310.305–2
31–450.530.054–1
46–600.390.054–0
61–750.590.093–0
76–900.360.084–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTParish 8Clark 1Kerr 8Craig 2McCann 1Gordon 8McCart 8McNamara 7Kerr 1Rooney 1McCann 6McNamara 2Craig 4Wotherspoon 3Conway 2Tanser 7Booth 2Conway 4McCann 2Craig 1O'Halloran 6Wotherspoon 3May 1Hendry 7O'Halloran 1May 13-4-2-1 in 3 of 9 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (3), 5-3-2 (2), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-1-2-2-1 (1), 4-1-2-1-2 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTBarkas 7Bain 1Frimpong 3Elhamed 3Duffy 1Jullien 5Duffy 3Ajer 7Bitton 1Taylor 4Edouard 2Christie 1Brown 4Christie 2Frimpong 1McGregor 8Forrest 1Forrest 3Christie 2Frimpong 2Brown 3Ntcham 3Christie 1Elyounoussi 3Taylor 3Edouard 1Ajeti 2Edouard 2Brown 14-2-3-1 in 4 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (4), 3-5-2 (3), 3-1-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Hendry8596000.340.03
Conway6524010.050.26
Wotherspoon6555100.140.09
Tanser7640000.100.11

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Edouard5466400.880.15
Christie7595240.330.33
Forrest5484210.280.23
Frimpong6534110.280.20

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.