Sunday 20 March 2022, 12:00 · Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park · Round 31 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Bobby Madden · Attendance 7,669
Dundee FC Elliot 6'
Rangers Ramsey 64', Goldson 86'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
Dundee FC
Rangers
Goals
1
2
xG
0.65
3.26
Non-penalty xG
0.65
2.47
Expected Points
0.04
2.93
Dundee FC <1%Draw 3%Rangers 96%
Most likely score 1–3, 20%. Final score 1–2, 14%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
Dundee FCRangers
0.65 −0.07xG3.26 +1.15
0.65Non-penalty xG2.47
0.97 +0.29xG on target2.90 +0.78
3 −6.3Shots19 −0.5
1 −2.3Shots on target8 +1.6
1 +0.3Big chances4 +1.5
8 −7Touches in the opposition box29 −8
25% −15Possession75% +11
202 −92Passes595 +40
50% −11Pass accuracy81% −3
22% −15Field tilt78% +2
15 −10Final-third entries47 −10
5 −2.9Box entries20 +0.1
22.3 +6Passes per defensive action7.4 −4
1 −3.6Corners8 0.0
16 +3Tackles7 −8
13 +3.5Interceptions5 −2.3
31 +9Clearances14 0
6 +2.5Saves0 −1.8
17 +4Fouls10 −1
1 −0.9Offsides4 +2.0
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Dundee FC
Rangers
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
6'64'86'
1–01–1
0'HTFT
Level
28 min (30%) · Dundee FC 0.64, Rangers 0.70 xG
Dundee FC ahead
61 min (66%) · Dundee FC 0.01, Rangers 2.56 xG
Rangers ahead
4 min (4%) · Dundee FC 0.00, Rangers 0.00 xG
Line-ups
Dundee FC substitutes
53'Anderson for McGowan
72'McGinn for Rudden
83'McCowan for McDaid
Rangers substitutes
46'Aribo for Arfield
46'Sakala for Helander
64'Roofe for Sands
84'Kamara for Ramsey
87'Balogun for Morelos
Players
Dundee FC
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Lawlor
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
4
Elliot
RWB
90
1
0.61
0.02
0
0.04
5
7
Kerr
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
10
McGhee
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
10
Sweeney
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
2
9
Marshall
LWB
90
1
0.00
0.20
1
0.24
6
4
McMullan
RM
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.03
1
5
Byrne
CM
90
0.00
0.02
1
0.04
1
5
McGowan
CM
53
0.01
0.01
0
0.03
1
2
McDaid
LM
83
0.03
0.01
0
0.01
2
4
Rudden
ST
72
0.00
0.01
0
−0.01
0
0
Anderson
MF
37
0.00
0.01
0
0.00
0
2
McGinn
MF
18
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
0
McCowan
MF
7
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
1
Rangers
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
McGregor
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
1
Tavernier
RB
90
1.00
0.48
6
0.61
9
2
Goldson
CB
90
1
0.26
0.02
0
0.11
5
6
Helander
CB
46
0.00
0.09
1
0.10
3
3
Bassey
LB
90
0.00
0.20
1
0.26
8
1
Sands
DM
64
0.00
0.03
2
0.07
5
3
Lundstram
DM
90
0.00
0.03
0
0.08
10
2
Ramsey
RW
84
1
1.26
0.02
0
0.02
4
2
Arfield
AM
46
0.00
0.03
0
−0.01
1
3
Kent
LW
90
0.00
0.12
1
0.18
7
0
Morelos
ST
87
0.25
0.02
0
0.00
1
0
Aribo
MF
44
0.11
0.02
0
0.01
2
2
Sakala
FW
44
0.09
0.22
2
0.32
7
0
Roofe
FW
26
0.28
0.20
1
0.06
0
1
Kamara
MF
6
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
0
Balogun
DF
3
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Dundee FC
Rangers
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Dundee FC
From
To
Passes
McMullan
Rudden
4
McDaid
Marshall
4
Elliot
Rudden
3
Marshall
McDaid
3
McGowan
Marshall
3
Rangers
From
To
Passes
Goldson
Tavernier
22
Lundstram
Bassey
21
Helander
Goldson
19
Bassey
Kent
16
Helander
Bassey
14
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Dundee FC
Against its average of 30 matches
Rangers
Against its average of 30 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Dundee FC
Rangers
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Dundee FC
11th
15%
13%
−2
Bottom
85%
87%
+2
Rangers
Title
16%
19%
+3
St. Johnstone
11th
76%
78%
+2
Bottom
15%
13%
−2
Celtic
Title
84%
81%
−3
From the forecast before the match (20 March 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Dundee FC
Rangers
Expected goals
0.53
2.25
Win
7%
76%
Expected Points
0.38
2.45
Clean sheet
11%
59%
Dundee FC 7%Draw 17%Rangers 76%
Most likely score 0–2, 16%. Both sides score 37%.
From the forecast as it stood on 20 March 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Dundee FC win
Draw
Rangers win
Dundee FC
11th
15%
32%
16%
13%
Bottom
85%
65%
83%
87%
Rangers
Title
16%
5%
9%
19%
St. Johnstone
11th
76%
56%
74%
78%
Bottom
15%
34%
17%
13%
Celtic
Title
84%
95%
91%
81%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Dundee FC
Rangers
Position
12th
2nd
Played
30
30
Won, drawn, lost
5–8–17
21–7–2
Points
23 (0.77 per game)
70 (2.33 per game)
Expected Points per game
0.89
2.25
Goals
24–51
60–24
xG per game
0.72–1.49
2.11–0.69
Home: points, xG per game
0.93, 0.82–1.31
2.50, 2.29–0.52
Away: points, xG per game
0.60, 0.63–1.66
2.14, 1.91–0.87
Manager
Mark McGhee (5)
Giovanni van Bronckhorst (17)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Dundee FC
Rangers
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−43%
+44%
+94%
−41%
Counter-attacks
−68%
−50%
+34%
−89%
Set pieces
−11%
−8%
+46%
−45%
Penalties
−76%
−3%
+45%
−27%
Headers
−35%
+4%
+49%
−49%
Left side
−48%
+10%
+30%
−35%
Centre
−33%
+36%
+58%
−51%
Right side
−31%
+28%
+158%
−41%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Matchups
Dundee FC attacking
Dundee FC createdRangers concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−48%−41%Centre−33%−51%Right side−31%−35%Open play−43%−41%Counter-attacks−68%−89%Set pieces−11%−45%Headers−35%−49%
Rangers attacking
Rangers createdDundee FC concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side+30%+28%Centre+58%+36%Right side+158%+10%Open play+94%+44%Counter-attacks+34%−50%Set pieces+46%−8%Headers+49%+4%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
Dundee FCRangers
0.72xG2.11
1.49xG against0.69
40%Possession64%
9.3Shots19.5
14.9Shots against6.6
3.3Shots on target6.4
0.7Big chances2.5
15.2Touches in the opposition box37.5
294Passes555
61%Pass accuracy84%
4.6Corners8.0
38%Field tilt76%
25.5Final-third entries56.8
7.9Box entries19.9
16.6Passes per defensive action11.9
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Dundee FC
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
48
0.63
1.28
Ahead
12
0.96
1.15
Behind
30
0.78
1.98
Rangers
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
33
2.24
0.60
Ahead
44
1.96
0.80
Behind
13
2.31
0.52
xG by period
Dundee FC
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.13
0.12
5–4
16–30
0.09
0.31
5–11
31–45
0.09
0.34
3–12
46–60
0.18
0.26
5–9
61–75
0.13
0.23
3–8
76–90
0.11
0.23
3–7
Rangers
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.33
0.11
11–6
16–30
0.27
0.13
10–5
31–45
0.30
0.09
7–3
46–60
0.33
0.11
9–2
61–75
0.39
0.11
10–3
76–90
0.50
0.13
13–5
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.