Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

St. Johnstone 0–1 Aberdeen

Saturday 11 December 2021, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 18 · Half-time 0–0 · Attendance 3,791

Aberdeen Jenks 83'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneAberdeen
Goals01
xG0.210.77
Expected Points0.721.83

St. Johnstone 9%Draw 46%Aberdeen 46%

Most likely score 0–0, 38%. Final score 0–1, 30%.

Aberdeen goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+11%2%7%7%2%38%30%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.7510153045607590HTVertainen on for Middleton, 62'O'Halloran on for Rooney and Solomon-Otabor on for Crawford, 87'Jenks on for Emmanuel-Thomas, 65'McLennan on for Watkins, 80'Jenks 83'Aberdeen 0.77St. Johnstone 0.2100.250.50.7510153045607590HTVertainen on for Middleton, 62'O'Halloran on for Rooney and Solomon-Otabor on for Crawford, 87'Jenks on for Emmanuel-Thomas, 65'McLennan on for Watkins, 80'Jenks 83'0.770.21St. JohnstoneAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneAberdeen

0.21 −0.52xG0.77 −0.39
0.27 −0.36xG on target1.22 +0.01
8 −1.1Shots14 +0.8
3 +0.6Shots on target5 +0.2
0 −0.7Big chances0 −1.3
17 +2Touches in the opposition box15 −4
38% −6Possession62% +5
317 −12Passes546 +90
61% −2Pass accuracy79% +3
42% 0Field tilt58% +2
31 +3Final-third entries46 +7
9 +1.6Box entries10 +0.4
14.4 −1Passes per defensive action17.3 +3
4 −0.7Corners3 −2.1
15 +1Tackles10 −1
9 −1.3Interceptions5 −3.4
15 −8Clearances24 +6
4 +0.9Saves2 +0.8
12 0Fouls7 −6
4 +2.6Offsides2 +0.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

Kane 8', 0.05 xGKane 63', 0.04 xGBryson 35', 0.03 xGBryson 35', 0.03 xGBryson 16', 0.02 xGRooney 55', 0.02 xGRooney 26', 0.01 xGBrown 86', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals40%0.08 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals25%0.05 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals30%0.06 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals5%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Watkins 60', 0.25 xGEmmanuel-Thomas 21', 0.10 xGBates 38', 0.09 xGFerguson 37', 0.05 xGEmmanuel-Thomas 24', 0.04 xGWatkins 66', 0.04 xGWatkins 53', 0.03 xGHedges 38', 0.02 xGEmmanuel-Thomas 58', 0.02 xGHedges 70', 0.02 xGOjo 33', 0.01 xGRamirez 90+1', 0.01 xGRamirez 90+4', 0.01 xGJenks 83', 0.08 xG, goal6%0.05 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals74%0.57 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.57 xG, 1 goal1%0.01 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals16%0.12 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals3%0.02 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneAberdeen

0.18 6 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.42 9 shots, 0 goals
0.03 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.34 5 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
83 min (88%) · St. Johnstone 0.20, Aberdeen 0.75 xG
Aberdeen ahead
11 min (12%) · St. Johnstone 0.01, Aberdeen 0.02 xG

Line-ups

12641913262421149ClarkBrownGordonMcCartRooneyBrysonCraigBoothCrawfordMiddletonKaneYellow cardYellow cardYellow card87'87'62'St. Johnstone 3-4-1-2Callum Davidson11622717198141179LewisOjoMcCrorieBatesHayesFergusonBrownEmmanuel-ThomasHedgesWatkinsRamirezYellow cardYellow cardYellow card65'80'Aberdeen 4-2-3-1Stephen Glass

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 62' Vertainen for Middleton
  • 87' O'Halloran for Rooney
  • 87' Solomon-Otabor for Crawford

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 65' Jenks for Emmanuel-Thomas · goal 83'
  • 80' McLennan for Watkins

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
Clark GK900.000.0000.0330
BrownCB900.010.0000.0224
GordonCB900.000.0200.0659
McCartCB900.000.0100.1066
Rooney RWB870.020.0100.0219
BrysonCM900.080.0200.0121
Craig CM900.000.1300.1635
BoothLWB900.000.0610.1064
CrawfordAM870.000.1320.1531
MiddletonST620.000.001−0.0100
KaneST900.100.020−0.0321
VertainenFW280.000.0000.0001
O'HalloranFW30.000.0000.0000
Solomon-OtaborFW30.000.0000.0000

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LewisGK900.000.0000.0350
OjoRB900.010.0210.0592
McCrorieCB900.000.0000.0224
Bates CB900.090.0100.0886
HayesLB900.000.1020.30123
FergusonDM900.050.0320.261110
BrownDM900.000.0210.0334
Emmanuel-ThomasRW650.160.311−0.0945
HedgesAM900.030.0240.0535
Watkins LW800.330.0300.0941
Ramirez ST900.020.010−0.0211
JenksFW2510.080.0000.0001
McLennanMF100.000.000−0.0100

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Clark and Booth: 3 passesBrown and Gordon: 3 passesBrown and Bryson: 3 passesMcCart and Bryson: 3 passesBryson and Kane: 3 passesCrawford and Middleton: 3 passesKane and Middleton: 3 passesClark and Brown: 4 passesGordon and Crawford: 4 passesCraig and Kane: 4 passesBooth and Kane: 4 passesCrawford and Kane: 4 passesClark and Rooney: 5 passesMcCart and Craig: 5 passesRooney and Craig: 5 passesRooney and Kane: 5 passesCraig and Crawford: 5 passesClark and McCart: 6 passesRooney and Bryson: 6 passesBrown and Rooney: 7 passesBooth and Crawford: 8 passesMcCart and Crawford: 9 passesCraig and Booth: 9 passesMcCart and Booth: 12 passesClark: 12 completed passesBrown: 13 completed passesGordon: 9 completed passesMcCart: 23 completed passesRooney: 11 completed passesCraig: 19 completed passesBryson: 14 completed passesBooth: 21 completed passesCrawford: 17 completed passesKane: 8 completed passesMiddleton: 4 completed passes12641926132421914ClarkBrownGordonMcCartRooneyCraigBrysonBoothCrawfordKaneMiddletonStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Aberdeen

Lewis and McCrorie: 7 passesMcCrorie and Brown: 7 passesEmmanuel-Thomas and Watkins: 7 passesOjo and Hedges: 8 passesBates and Hedges: 8 passesBates and Brown: 9 passesMcCrorie and Ferguson: 9 passesBrown and Emmanuel-Thomas: 9 passesFerguson and Watkins: 9 passesHayes and Ferguson: 10 passesHayes and Brown: 11 passesOjo and Ferguson: 12 passesBates and Ferguson: 13 passesFerguson and Hedges: 13 passesEmmanuel-Thomas and Hedges: 13 passesOjo and Brown: 15 passesOjo and McCrorie: 16 passesBates and Hayes: 17 passesBrown and Ferguson: 17 passesBates and McCrorie: 18 passesHayes and Emmanuel-Thomas: 20 passesFerguson and Emmanuel-Thomas: 20 passesOjo and Emmanuel-Thomas: 24 passesLewis: 14 completed passesOjo: 52 completed passesBates: 49 completed passesMcCrorie: 36 completed passesHayes: 40 completed passesBrown: 41 completed passesFerguson: 53 completed passesEmmanuel-Thomas: 49 completed passesHedges: 27 completed passesWatkins: 16 completed passesRamirez: 10 completed passes11627217819141179LewisOjoBatesMcCrorieHayesBrownFergusonEmmanuel-ThomasHedgesWatkinsRamirezStarters until 65' · lines join pairs with 7+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
BoothMcCart12
BrownRooney8
McCartBooth8
ClarkMcCart7
CraigBooth7

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
OjoEmmanuel-Thomas18
BrownFerguson14
HayesBates12
FergusonEmmanuel-Thomas11
HayesEmmanuel-Thomas11

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

5−1.16−1.212−0.93−2.41−3.55−2.28+0.44−2.310+4.06+0.77+3.52−3.79+3.57+3.38+4.26+3.86+3.44−0.32−0.86+4.23+2.63+1.30−1.90−1.10−0.81+0.21+0.70−0.93−5.42−6.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 15 matches

Aberdeen

3−2.160.015+3.27+1.92−3.34−3.47+1.78+3.311+4.511+2.53−2.77+2.65+2.09+2.95−0.77+3.84+0.94+1.94+1.43−2.10−2.20−0.91−0.14+2.81−1.40−0.50−0.10−0.70−0.21+0.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 17 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.020.010.010.010.010.010.020.010.030.020.020.020.010.030.020.070.080.03−0.060.04−0.010.090.11LessMore

Aberdeen

0.020.010.010.010.030.010.020.010.020.030.020.040.010.060.050.060.040.030.010.020.050.020.01−0.02−0.100.150.18LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.18AttackSt. Johnstone0.91 → 0.90Aberdeen1.16 → 1.16Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.12 → 1.11Aberdeen1.01 → 1.00

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
Top six12%7%−5
11th14%18%+4
Bottom10%14%+4
Aberdeen
Top six73%82%+9
11th1%<1%−1
Motherwell
Top six61%59%−2
11th3%2%−1
Bottom1%1%0

From the forecast before the match (11 December 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneAberdeen
Expected goals0.881.05
Win29%38%
Expected Points1.201.47
Clean sheet35%42%

St. Johnstone 29%Draw 33%Aberdeen 38%

Most likely score 0–0, 15%. Both sides score 39%.

Aberdeen goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+8%3%7%2%6%6%3%1%2%2%15%15%12%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 December 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawAberdeen win
St. Johnstone
Top six12%20%12%7%
11th14%10%14%18%
Bottom10%6%10%14%
Aberdeen
Top six73%62%72%82%
11th1%1%1%<1%
Motherwell
Top six61%63%61%59%
11th3%3%3%2%
Bottom1%1%1%1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. L0–11 DecDundee FC (A)xG 0.34–1.01
  2. L1–227 NovHibernian (H)xG 0.12–2.27
  3. D0–06 NovSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.18–0.76
  4. W1–030 OctDundee United (A)xG 0.33–1.84
  5. D1–127 OctHearts (H)xG 1.22–0.94
  6. L0–223 OctCeltic (A)xG 0.13–2.70

Aberdeen

  1. W4–14 DecSt. Mirren (H)xG 4.40–0.95
  2. W2–01 DecLivingston (H)xG 1.18–0.08
  3. L1–228 NovCeltic (A)xG 0.85–2.31
  4. L0–120 NovDundee United (A)xG 0.69–0.58
  5. L0–26 NovMotherwell (H)xG 0.94–0.47
  6. W2–130 OctHearts (H)xG 1.11–0.95

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneAberdeen
Position11th6th
Played1517
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠5–⁠76–⁠3–⁠8
Points14 (0.93 per game)21 (1.24 per game)
Expected Points per game0.951.38
Goals9–⁠1522–⁠22
xG per game0.73–⁠1.351.16–⁠0.99
Home: points, xG per game0.75, 0.90–⁠1.271.78, 1.40–⁠0.69
Away: points, xG per game1.14, 0.55–⁠1.430.62, 0.90–⁠1.33
ManagerCallum Davidson (53)Stephen Glass (22)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.18AttackSt. Johnstone0.91, 10thAberdeen1.16, 5thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.12, 5thAberdeen1.01, 3rd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecSt. Johnstone attack: 0.91Aberdeen attack: 1.161.160.91AberdeenSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecSt. Johnstone defence: 1.12Aberdeen defence: 1.011.121.01

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−44%−7%−5%−37%
Counter-attacks−61%+168%−44%+15%
Set pieces−23%+13%+18%+4%
Penalties−53%+40%−59%+24%
Headers−61%+10%+10%−15%
Left side−25%−5%−15%−17%
Centre−46%+20%−6%−36%
Right side−40%−14%+22%−7%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdAberdeen concededLeft side−25%−7%Centre−46%−36%Right side−40%−17%Open play−44%−37%Counter-attacks−61%+15%Set pieces−23%+4%Headers−61%−15%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−15%−14%Centre−6%+20%Right side+22%−5%Open play−5%−7%Counter-attacks−44%+168%Set pieces+18%+13%Headers+10%+10%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneAberdeen

0.73xG1.16
1.35xG against0.99
44%Possession57%
9.1Shots13.2
13.3Shots against8.7
2.4Shots on target4.8
0.7Big chances1.3
14.6Touches in the opposition box19.0
330Passes456
64%Pass accuracy76%
4.7Corners5.1
41%Field tilt57%
28.2Final-third entries38.6
7.4Box entries9.6
15.5Passes per defensive action14.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level550.681.12
Ahead180.921.78
Behind180.711.62

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level450.931.11
Ahead231.290.89
Behind221.520.86

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.141–1
16–300.050.101–1
31–450.120.184–3
46–600.120.262–2
61–750.180.250–3
76–900.140.401–5

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.210.123–2
16–300.190.115–3
31–450.180.183–4
46–600.130.224–7
61–750.290.115–2
76–900.160.252–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTClark 15Muller 7Rooney 3Dendoncker 3Gordon 8Ambrose 4Kerr 3McCart 14Rooney 8O'Halloran 4Brown 2MacPherson 5Davidson 4Wotherspoon 4Craig 6Bryson 4Crawford 2Booth 12Devine 3Middleton 5O'Halloran 4Davidson 3Crawford 5Wotherspoon 5Kane 3Kane 8May 4O'Halloran 23-4-2-1 in 7 of 15 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (7), 3-5-2 (3), 3-4-3 (2), 5-3-2 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1)

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWLewis 15Woods 2Ramsay 9Ojo 5Gurr 3Bates 9Gallagher 6Brown 4McCrorie 12Considine 2MacKenzie 1MacKenzie 7Campbell 5Hayes 4McGeouch 6Hedges 5Ojo 3Brown 12Jenks 3Ferguson 13Longstaff 3Emmanuel-Tho… 2Emmanuel-ThomasOjo 5Hedges 5Ferguson 2Ramirez 12Watkins 3Emmanuel-Tho… 2Emmanuel-ThomasWatkins 5Hayes 4Ramirez 34-3-3 in 5 of 17 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (5), 4-2-3-1 (3), 3-4-1-2 (3), 4-4-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 4-1-3-2 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
18 September 2021Aberdeen0–1St. JohnstonexG 0.55–0.31
10 April 2021St. Johnstone0–1AberdeenxG 1.39–1.26
27 January 2021St. Johnstone0–0AberdeenxG 0.36–1.10
26 December 2020Aberdeen2–1St. JohnstonexG 1.34–0.88
20 August 2020St. Johnstone0–1AberdeenxG 0.42–0.29

5 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 1, Aberdeen won 3, and 1 was a draw. Goals 2–4 and xG 0.67–0.91 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
May6580210.270.13
Middleton6518000.160.08
Kane111,014200.220.02
Craig6579000.120.06

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Watkins8741300.370.11
Ramirez161,399820.310.04
Ramsay9726040.010.28
Hedges11955140.210.08

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.