Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Motherwell 1–0 Dundee United

Tuesday 30 November 2021, 19:45 · Fir Park · Round 16 · Half-time 1–0 · Attendance 4,287

Motherwell Watt 12' · Maguire sent off 82'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

MotherwellDundee United
Goals10
xG1.720.31
Expected Points2.440.35

Motherwell 75%Draw 20%Dundee United 5%

Most likely score 1–0, 23%. Final score 1–0, 23%.

Dundee United goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+11%3%8%1%7%1%12%4%4%1%1%23%22%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTMaguire (Motherwell), second yellow card 82'O'Donnell on for Johansen, 59'Carroll on for van Veen, 84'Grimshaw on for Woolery, 89'Clark on for Glass, 42'Watson on for Niskanen, 57'Sporle on for McMann, 75'Watt 12'Motherwell 1.72Dundee United 0.3100.511.520153045607590HTMaguire (Motherwell), second yellow card 82'O'Donnell on for Johansen, 59'Carroll on for van Veen, 84'Grimshaw on for Woolery, 89'Clark on for Glass, 42'Watson on for Niskanen, 57'Sporle on for McMann, 75'Watt 12'1.720.31MotherwellDundee United

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

MotherwellDundee United

1.72 +0.67xG0.31 −0.62
0.99 −0.38xG on target0.17 −1.10
20 +10.7Shots7 −3.7
2 −1.8Shots on target2 −2.3
2 +0.3Big chances0 −1.4
27 +10Touches in the opposition box14 −2
42% +2Possession58% +11
262 −24Passes380 +7
56% −6Pass accuracy68% −1
36% +4Field tilt64% +17
31 +6Final-third entries28 −6
12 +4.8Box entries9 +1.7
10.5 −3Passes per defensive action10.1 −5
3 −1.5Corners5 +0.3
22 +9Tackles16 +2
13 +1.1Interceptions6 −3.8
20 −5Clearances15 −7
2 −2.5Saves1 −1.7
18 +2Fouls17 +4
3 +1.5Offsides1 −0.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Motherwell

Watt 6', 0.37 xGvan Veen 55', 0.29 xGSlattery 35', 0.22 xGSlattery 61', 0.16 xGvan Veen 72', 0.10 xGWoolery 80', 0.09 xGWoolery 17', 0.08 xGMaguire 2', 0.06 xGWoolery 38', 0.06 xGWoolery 54', 0.05 xGSlattery 9', 0.04 xGvan Veen 76', 0.04 xGMugabi 17', 0.03 xGMaguire 34', 0.02 xGLamie 34', 0.02 xGGoss 46', 0.02 xGO'Donnell 59', 0.02 xGvan Veen 38', 0.01 xGO'Donnell 60', 0.01 xGWatt 12', 0.04 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals64%1.11 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 1.11 xG, 0 goals21%0.37 xGWide in the box: 6 shots, 0.37 xG, 1 goal13%0.23 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.23 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Dundee United

McMann 70', 0.07 xGAppere 90+5', 0.07 xGMcMann 65', 0.06 xGClark 44', 0.05 xGMulgrew 90+3', 0.03 xGGlass 22', 0.02 xGWatson 90+1', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals23%0.07 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals20%0.06 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.06 xG, 0 goals43%0.13 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals13%0.04 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

MotherwellDundee United

1.30 16 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.22 5 shots, 0 goals
0.42 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.08 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
12 min (13%) · Motherwell 0.51, Dundee United 0.00 xG
Motherwell ahead
83 min (87%) · Motherwell 1.22, Dundee United 0.31 xG

Line-ups

1521419166277932KellyMugabiJohansenLamieMcGinleySlatteryMaguireGossWooleryvan VeenWattYellow cardYellow cardSent off, second yellowYellow cardGoal59'89'84'Motherwell 4-3-3Graham Alexander122124332182314727SiegristFreemanEdwardsMulgrewMcMannGlassPawlettHarkesHotiNiskanenAppereYellow card75'42'57'Dundee United 4-1-4-1Tam Courts

Motherwell substitutes

  • 59' O'Donnell for Johansen
  • 84' Carroll for van Veen
  • 89' Grimshaw for Woolery

Dundee United substitutes

  • 42' Clark for Glass
  • 57' Watson for Niskanen
  • 75' Sporle for McMann · yellow card 78'

Players

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
KellyGK900.000.0000.0560
MugabiRB900.030.0000.0446
JohansenCB590.000.0000.0113
LamieCB900.020.0000.0109
McGinley LB900.000.000−0.01313
SlatteryCM900.420.0920.1065
Maguire CM820.080.0100.0335
Goss CM900.020.2350.0822
WooleryRW890.270.0720.1261
van VeenST840.450.1320.1221
WattLW9010.410.0730.11310
O'DonnellDF310.020.0100.0323
CarrollDF60.000.0000.0100
GrimshawDF10.000.0000.0001

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SiegristGK900.000.0000.0110
FreemanRB900.000.0300.0623
EdwardsCB900.000.0000.0435
MulgrewCB900.030.0400.1359
McMannLB750.130.0500.0335
GlassDM420.020.0100.0113
PawlettRM900.000.0210.0133
HarkesCM900.000.0200.0234
Hoti CM900.000.0400.0214
NiskanenLM570.000.0210.0312
AppereST900.070.0200.0311
ClarkMF480.050.0210.0111
WatsonFW330.010.0300.0343
Sporle DF150.000.0510.0712

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Motherwell

Mugabi and Johansen: 3 passesMugabi and Maguire: 3 passesJohansen and Lamie: 3 passesMcGinley and Watt: 3 passesGoss and Slattery: 3 passesSlattery and Woolery: 3 passesMugabi and Woolery: 4 passesGoss and Maguire: 4 passesMaguire and Woolery: 4 passesMugabi and van Veen: 5 passesJohansen and Slattery: 5 passesGoss and Woolery: 5 passesGoss and Watt: 5 passesWoolery and van Veen: 5 passesSlattery and van Veen: 7 passesSlattery and Maguire: 8 passesMcGinley and Goss: 9 passesMugabi and Slattery: 11 passesKelly: 5 completed passesMugabi: 14 completed passesJohansen: 11 completed passesLamie: 5 completed passesMcGinley: 12 completed passesGoss: 15 completed passesSlattery: 19 completed passesMaguire: 17 completed passesWoolery: 9 completed passesvan Veen: 8 completed passesWatt: 5 completed passes1521419271667932KellyMugabiJohansenLamieMcGinleyGossSlatteryMaguireWooleryvan VeenWattStarters until 59' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Dundee United

Mulgrew and McMann: 3 passesGlass and Harkes: 3 passesPawlett and Harkes: 3 passesHarkes and Appere: 3 passesFreeman and Edwards: 4 passesFreeman and Glass: 4 passesFreeman and Harkes: 4 passesGlass and Hoti: 4 passesHarkes and Hoti: 4 passesFreeman and Pawlett: 5 passesFreeman and Appere: 5 passesEdwards and Harkes: 5 passesSiegrist and Mulgrew: 6 passesEdwards and Mulgrew: 6 passesMcMann and Glass: 6 passesGlass and Pawlett: 6 passesGlass and Niskanen: 6 passesSiegrist: 5 completed passesFreeman: 15 completed passesEdwards: 14 completed passesMulgrew: 13 completed passesMcMann: 13 completed passesGlass: 12 completed passesPawlett: 8 completed passesHarkes: 14 completed passesHoti: 9 completed passesNiskanen: 6 completed passesAppere: 7 completed passes122124332182314727SiegristFreemanEdwardsMulgrewMcMannGlassPawlettHarkesHotiNiskanenAppereStarters until 42' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Motherwell

FromToPasses
SlatteryMugabi7
McGinleyGoss7
MaguireSlattery6
Slatteryvan Veen6
GossWatt5

Dundee United

FromToPasses
MulgrewEdwards11
EdwardsFreeman10
FreemanWatson10
SiegristMulgrew9
MulgrewSiegrist7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Motherwell

7+2.86−0.78+1.34−2.18+2.17+0.85−1.47−1.016+8.18+3.34−0.62−1.78+3.313+7.78+4.02−1.31−1.46+3.09+5.76+2.42+0.90−1.31−1.16+3.33+2.10−0.32+1.40−0.70−0.612−7.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 15 matches

Dundee United

4−0.56+0.513+4.97−0.36−0.46+0.54−1.710+2.713+5.46+0.82−2.91−3.16−0.19+3.23−1.54+0.50−2.64+0.45+0.93+0.31−0.40−1.32+0.61−1.51−0.10−0.31+0.50−0.50−0.96−10.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 15 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Motherwell

0.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.020.020.050.020.010.030.100.05−0.010.100.040.110.02−0.05−0.070.16LessMore

Dundee United

0.010.030.010.020.020.020.020.020.050.020.010.010.010.03−0.01−0.010.030.04−0.01−0.020.080.09LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.22AttackMotherwell1.07 → 1.08Dundee United0.96 → 0.93Defence (lower is better)Motherwell1.47 → 1.44Dundee United1.29 → 1.29

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Motherwell
Top six43%56%+13
11th6%3%−3
Bottom2%1%−1
Dundee United
Top six70%59%−11
11th2%3%+1
Bottom1%1%0

From the forecast before the match (30 November 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

MotherwellDundee United
Expected goals1.251.11
Win39%32%
Expected Points1.451.26
Clean sheet33%29%

Motherwell 39%Draw 29%Dundee United 32%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 49%.

Dundee United goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+10%6%2%7%3%7%8%5%2%3%3%2%1%1%10%11%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 30 November 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowMotherwell winDrawDundee United win
Motherwell
Top six43%56%39%31%
11th6%3%7%9%
Bottom2%1%2%4%
Dundee United
Top six70%59%71%82%
11th2%3%2%1%
Bottom1%1%<1%<1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Motherwell

  1. L0–327 NovDundee FC (A)xG 0.61–1.69
  2. W2–020 NovHearts (H)xG 2.16–0.30
  3. W2–06 NovAberdeen (A)xG 0.47–0.94
  4. L1–631 OctRangers (H)xG 0.55–3.09
  5. D2–227 OctSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.25–2.27
  6. L1–223 OctDundee United (A)xG 1.38–0.83

Dundee United

  1. D1–127 NovRoss County (A)xG 0.47–1.53
  2. W1–020 NovAberdeen (H)xG 0.58–0.69
  3. L2–56 NovHearts (A)xG 0.85–2.14
  4. L0–130 OctSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.84–0.33
  5. D1–127 OctLivingston (A)xG 1.83–0.34
  6. W2–123 OctMotherwell (H)xG 0.83–1.38

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

MotherwellDundee United
Position5th4th
Played1515
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠3–⁠67–⁠4–⁠4
Points21 (1.40 per game)25 (1.67 per game)
Expected Points per game1.051.24
Goals19–⁠2415–⁠14
xG per game1.05–⁠1.550.93–⁠1.10
Home: points, xG per game1.62, 1.00–⁠1.652.14, 0.88–⁠1.03
Away: points, xG per game1.14, 1.12–⁠1.431.25, 0.98–⁠1.16
ManagerGraham Alexander (33)Tam Courts (15)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.22AttackMotherwell1.07, 6thDundee United0.96, 11thDefence (lower is better)Motherwell1.47, 10thDundee United1.29, 7th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovMotherwell attack: 1.07Dundee United attack: 0.961.070.96Dundee UnitedMotherwellDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovMotherwell defence: 1.47Dundee United defence: 1.291.471.29

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

MotherwellDundee United
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−27%+25%−10%−18%
Counter-attacks−5%−51%+53%−59%
Set pieces+25%+31%−33%+23%
Penalties−12%+76%−100%−12%
Headers+31%+10%−5%+11%
Left side−5%+49%−4%−6%
Centre−1%+10%+2%−6%
Right side−43%+24%−54%−14%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdDundee United concededLeft side−5%−14%Centre−1%−6%Right side−43%−6%Open play−27%−18%Counter-attacks−5%−59%Set pieces+25%+23%Headers+31%+11%

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdMotherwell concededLeft side−4%+24%Centre+2%+10%Right side−54%+49%Open play−10%+25%Counter-attacks+53%−51%Set pieces−33%+31%Headers−5%+10%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

MotherwellDundee United

1.05xG0.93
1.55xG against1.10
40%Possession47%
9.3Shots10.7
16.3Shots against12.3
3.8Shots on target4.3
1.7Big chances1.4
16.5Touches in the opposition box15.5
286Passes373
62%Pass accuracy68%
4.5Corners4.7
32%Field tilt46%
24.6Final-third entries34.2
7.2Box entries7.3
13.4Passes per defensive action14.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level351.011.52
Ahead251.041.59
Behind301.111.56

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level550.841.05
Ahead180.571.34
Behind171.601.00

xG by period

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.130.213–2
16–300.110.253–5
31–450.100.161–6
46–600.300.346–3
61–750.240.233–4
76–900.170.363–4

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.080.140–0
16–300.120.131–5
31–450.220.265–2
46–600.170.123–2
61–750.170.193–1
76–900.180.273–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWKelly 15O'Donnell 9Mugabi 6Mugabi 7Johansen 6Ojala 10Lamie 7McGinley 11Carroll 4Grimshaw 10Slattery 14Donnelly 2O'Hara 8Goss 6Maguire 5Woolery 10Roberts 3Amaluzor 2Watt 7Shields 4van Veen 4Watt 7van Veen 4Woolery 34-3-3 in every start

Dundee United

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMCMLMSTSiegrist 12Carson 3Freeman 8Smith 5Smith 2Edwards 14Smith 1Mulgrew 14Reynolds 1McMann 11Robson 4Pawlett 8Niskanen 2Chalmers 2Fuchs 12Levitt 6Butcher 5Clark 4Harkes 13Hoti 1Niskanen 8Pawlett 4Sporle 2Clark 9McNulty 4Appere 14-5-1 in 6 of 15 starts

Formations: 4-5-1 (6), 4-3-3 (3), 4-4-1-1 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-3-2-1 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
23 October 2021Dundee United2–1MotherwellxG 0.83–1.38
12 May 2021Dundee United2–2MotherwellxG 1.56–0.90
3 February 2021Motherwell2–1Dundee UnitedxG 1.90–0.97
26 December 2020Dundee United1–1MotherwellxG 0.67–1.82
8 August 2020Motherwell0–1Dundee UnitedxG 1.13–0.89

5 league meetings since 2020/21: Motherwell won 1, Dundee United won 2, and 2 were drawn. Goals 6–7 and xG 1.43–0.98 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Watt141,246700.380.05
van Veen8794410.290.10
Woolery131,068110.230.06
Goss6572040.050.23

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Pawlett131,130200.160.16
Clark131,073210.220.09
Niskanen10777130.080.17
Harkes131,207320.150.07

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.