Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Ross County 3–2 Dundee FC

Saturday 11 December 2021, 15:00 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 18 · Half-time 1–2 · Attendance 3,122

Ross County Samuel 23', Mullen 64' (og), Charles-Cook 78'

Dundee FC McCowan 15', 38'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountyDundee FC
Goals32
xG2.131.64
Expected Points1.750.96

Ross County 49%Draw 28%Dundee FC 23%

Most likely score 2–1, 15%. Final score 3–2, 8%.

Dundee FC goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+1%2%10%8%3%4%5%1%3%9%8%4%3%2%1%15%14%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTVokins on for Randall, 22'White on for Paton, 46'Spittal on for Cancola, 75'McGhee on for Adam, 13'Griffiths on for McGowan, 69'Cummings on for Fontaine, 89'Samuel 23'Mullen 64' (og)Charles-Cook 78'McCowan 15'McCowan 38'Ross County 2.13Dundee FC 1.6401230153045607590HTVokins on for Randall, 22'White on for Paton, 46'Spittal on for Cancola, 75'McGhee on for Adam, 13'Griffiths on for McGowan, 69'Cummings on for Fontaine, 89'Samuel 23'Mullen 64' (og)Charles-Cook 78'McCowan 15'McCowan 38'2.131.64Ross CountyDundee FC

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountyDundee FC

2.13 +1.07xG1.64 +0.81
2.18 +1.07xG on target0.80 −0.08
7 −3Shots14 +4
5 +0.7Shots on target5 +1.0
4 +2.7Big chances1 +0.1
13 −6Touches in the opposition box26 +10
55% +12Possession45% +5
377 +54Passes302 +9
68% +1Pass accuracy58% −4
40% −1Field tilt60% +23
33 +5Final-third entries33 +7
8 −0.9Box entries10 +1.6
12.6 −5Passes per defensive action11.3 −5
4 +0.3Corners6 +1.4
11 −2Tackles16 +3
13 +3.3Interceptions10 +0.6
20 −6Clearances8 −14
3 −0.7Saves2 −2.1
13 +1Fouls15 +2
2 −0.4Offsides1 −1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

Samuel 23', 0.44 xGSamuel 76', 0.31 xGClarke 75', 0.21 xGHungbo 6', 0.03 xGHungbo 74', 0.02 xGSamuel 23', 0.87 xG, goalCharles-Cook 78', 0.24 xG, goal66%1.39 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 1.39 xG, 1 goal32%0.68 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.68 xG, 1 goal1%0.03 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Dundee FC

Mullen 71', 0.73 xGMcCowan 52', 0.20 xGGriffiths 85', 0.10 xGMcGowan 48', 0.09 xGMcCowan 52', 0.09 xGMullen 87', 0.08 xGSweeney 21', 0.07 xGMullen 90', 0.07 xGMcMullan 50', 0.05 xGFontaine 31', 0.03 xGKerr 71', 0.02 xGMullen 37', 0.01 xGMcCowan 38', 0.07 xG, goalMcCowan 15', 0.04 xG, goal44%0.72 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.72 xG, 0 goals41%0.68 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 0.68 xG, 0 goals15%0.24 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.24 xG, 2 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountyDundee FC

1.81 6 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.64 7 shots, 1 goal
0.31 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces1.00 7 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
44 min (48%) · Ross County 1.26, Dundee FC 0.90 xG
Ross County ahead
12 min (13%) · Ross County 0.00, Dundee FC 0.25 xG
Dundee FC ahead
35 min (38%) · Ross County 0.87, Dundee FC 0.49 xG

Line-ups

31201552642381710Maynard-BrewerClarkeWatsonBaldwinRandallPatonCancolaHungboCallachanCharles-CookSamuelGoalYellow cardGoal22'46'75'Ross County 4-2-3-1Malky Mackay1245317242618109LegzdinsKerrFontaineSweeneyMarshallMcCowanAndersonAdamMcMullanMcGowanMullenYellow cardYellow cardGoalGoalYellow cardOwn goal89'13'69'Dundee FC 4-4-1-1James McPake

Ross County substitutes

  • 22' Vokins for Randall
  • 46' White for Paton
  • 75' Spittal for Cancola

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 13' McGhee for Adam
  • 69' Griffiths for McGowan
  • 89' Cummings for Fontaine

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
Maynard-BrewerGK900.000.0000.0110
ClarkeRB900.210.0100.0688
WatsonCB900.000.0000.0427
BaldwinCB900.000.4610.0757
RandallLB220.000.0000.0001
PatonDM460.000.0100.0422
CancolaDM750.000.0000.0013
HungboRW900.050.0400.1171
CallachanAM900.000.0100.03311
Charles-Cook LW9010.240.5030.3652
SamuelST9011.620.010−0.0323
VokinsDF680.000.0100.0551
WhiteFW440.000.010−0.0110
SpittalMF150.000.0100.0212

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LegzdinsGK900.000.0000.0000
Kerr RB900.020.0110.0434
Fontaine CB8910.030.021−0.0427
SweeneyCB900.070.0510.1039
MarshallLB9010.000.0420.0967
McCowanRM9020.400.0910.1565
Anderson CM900.000.0300.0421
AdamCM130.000.000−0.0100
McMullanLM900.050.2240.24112
McGowanAM690.090.1800.0641
MullenST900.890.020−0.0220
McGheeDF770.000.0100.0001
GriffithsFW210.100.000−0.0100
CummingsFW10.000.000––0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Clarke and Cancola: 3 passesClarke and Samuel: 3 passesBaldwin and Callachan: 3 passesRandall and Charles-Cook: 3 passesClarke and Hungbo: 4 passesBaldwin and Watson: 4 passesClarke and Paton: 6 passesBaldwin and Randall: 6 passesClarke and Watson: 7 passesMaynard-Brewer: 3 completed passesClarke: 15 completed passesBaldwin: 10 completed passesWatson: 9 completed passesRandall: 7 completed passesCancola: 4 completed passesPaton: 8 completed passesHungbo: 3 completed passesCallachan: 2 completed passesCharles-Cook: 2 completed passesSamuel: 6 completed passes31205152462381710Maynard-BrewerClarkeBaldwinWatsonRandallCancolaPatonHungboCallachanCharles-CookSamuelStarters until 22' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
ClarkeWatson11
CallachanClarke9
WatsonClarke8
ClarkeHungbo8
BaldwinVokins8

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
MarshallMcCowan11
KerrMullen9
McCowanMarshall9
SweeneyLegzdins6
McGowanMcMullan6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

5−0.59+3.513−3.05−2.34−2.77−1.17−0.36−0.57−1.414+6.55−0.311+6.73−0.58+3.41−4.94−0.74+1.11−1.32−0.930.01−1.10−2.31+0.50−1.43+1.50−0.90−0.12+1.50−0.20−0.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 15 matches

Dundee FC

5−0.22−6.08−0.36−0.67+0.43−2.73−2.86−2.55−1.460.08+4.63−0.47+1.47+2.62−1.93−0.83+0.59+5.87+3.93+0.92+0.32+0.60−1.22+0.60−0.90−0.32+1.00−0.21+0.27−7.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 16 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.010.010.020.030.010.020.020.020.030.020.030.060.05−0.010.010.020.04−0.01−0.010.01−0.020.210.17LessMore

Dundee FC

0.010.010.010.010.010.010.040.020.030.040.020.010.040.030.01−0.02−0.050.040.070.080.070.080.07LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.18AttackRoss County0.99 → 1.03Dundee FC0.89 → 0.92Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.47 → 1.50Dundee FC1.43 → 1.48

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
Top six3%4%+1
11th23%23%0
Bottom36%25%−11
Dundee FC
Top six7%3%−4
11th21%22%+1
Bottom25%34%+9
Hibernian
Top six76%78%+2

From the forecast before the match (11 December 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountyDundee FC
Expected goals1.351.05
Win43%29%
Expected Points1.571.14
Clean sheet35%26%

Ross County 43%Draw 29%Dundee FC 29%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 49%.

Dundee FC goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+9%5%2%7%2%8%9%5%2%4%4%2%1%1%10%12%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 December 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawDundee FC win
Ross County
Top six3%4%2%1%
11th23%23%24%21%
Bottom36%25%38%50%
Dundee FC
Top six7%3%6%11%
11th21%22%23%18%
Bottom25%34%24%14%
Hibernian
Top six76%78%76%74%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. D0–01 DecSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.93–1.89
  2. D1–127 NovDundee United (H)xG 1.53–0.47
  3. W1–024 NovHibernian (H)xG 1.21–0.52
  4. L2–47 NovRangers (A)xG 0.48–1.23
  5. W5–027 OctDundee FC (A)xG 1.57–0.48
  6. L2–323 OctLivingston (H)xG 2.11–0.57

Dundee FC

  1. L0–34 DecRangers (A)xG 0.44–2.81
  2. W1–01 DecSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.01–0.34
  3. W3–027 NovMotherwell (H)xG 1.69–0.61
  4. L2–47 NovCeltic (H)xG 0.66–1.95
  5. W1–030 OctSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.66–0.79
  6. L0–527 OctRoss County (H)xG 0.48–1.57

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountyDundee FC
Position12th10th
Played1516
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠5–⁠84–⁠4–⁠8
Points11 (0.73 per game)16 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game1.191.01
Goals19–⁠2715–⁠30
xG per game1.06–⁠1.400.83–⁠1.58
Home: points, xG per game0.86, 1.31–⁠1.141.33, 1.00–⁠1.31
Away: points, xG per game0.62, 0.84–⁠1.620.57, 0.61–⁠1.92
ManagerMalky Mackay (15)James McPake (16)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.18AttackRoss County0.99, 7thDundee FC0.89, 12thDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.47, 12thDundee FC1.43, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecRoss County attack: 0.99Dundee FC attack: 0.890.990.89Dundee FCRoss CountyDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecRoss County defence: 1.47Dundee FC defence: 1.431.471.43

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountyDundee FC
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−14%+23%−38%+47%
Counter-attacks−86%+5%−48%−20%
Set pieces−25%+12%−10%−19%
Penalties+40%−53%−56%+31%
Headers−49%+43%−16%−10%
Left side−28%+29%−43%+21%
Centre−30%+6%−35%+28%
Right side+9%+37%−12%+31%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdDundee FC concededLeft side−28%+31%Centre−30%+28%Right side+9%+21%Open play−14%+47%Counter-attacks−86%−20%Set pieces−25%−19%Headers−49%−10%

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdRoss County concededLeft side−43%+37%Centre−35%+6%Right side−12%+29%Open play−38%+23%Counter-attacks−48%+5%Set pieces−10%+12%Headers−16%+43%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountyDundee FC

1.06xG0.83
1.40xG against1.58
43%Possession40%
10.4Shots10.3
15.0Shots against16.2
4.3Shots on target4.0
1.3Big chances0.9
19.1Touches in the opposition box15.8
323Passes293
68%Pass accuracy62%
3.7Corners4.6
41%Field tilt38%
27.7Final-third entries25.9
8.9Box entries8.4
17.9Passes per defensive action15.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level450.761.30
Ahead141.801.27
Behind321.161.57

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level360.771.30
Ahead170.900.96
Behind370.852.14

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.110.153–4
16–300.140.182–5
31–450.250.237–6
46–600.050.220–4
61–750.210.284–3
76–900.300.343–5

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.190.112–2
16–300.120.323–6
31–450.060.372–8
46–600.230.283–7
61–750.110.263–4
76–900.130.242–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMaynard-Brewer 10Laidlaw 5Clarke 7Randall 4Burroughs 2Baldwin 9Clarke 3Donaldson 1Iacovitti 14Paton 1Burroughs 1B. Paton 5Randall 4Charles-Cook 2Tillson 9Callachan 5Paton 6Spittal 5Cancola 4Hungbo 5Baldwin 2Spittal 2Callachan 7Paton 3Tillson 3Charles-Cook 9Spittal 4Callachan 1White 11A. Samuel 2Samuel 14-2-3-1 in 6 of 15 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-5-1 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 3-4-1-2 (2), 4-4-1-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWLegzdins 16Kerr 12Elliot 4Ashcroft 12Fontaine 6Kerr 1Sweeney 12McGhee 1Marshall 14Anderson 1McGhee 1McGhee 8McMullan 2Sweeney 1Anderson 9Byrne 8McGowan 5Adam 12McMullan 9McCowan 3McGowan 2Mullen 5Griffiths 5McMullan 2McCowan 6McGowan 3McMullan 24-3-3 in 6 of 16 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (6), 4-5-1 (3), 4-4-1-1 (2), 3-5-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
27 October 2021Dundee FC0–5Ross CountyxG 0.48–1.57

1 league meeting since 2020/21: Ross County won 1, Dundee FC won 0, and 0 were drawn. Goals 5–0 and xG 1.57–0.48 per game.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Spittal121,081400.170.18
Hungbo6610210.170.16
White111,040220.240.03
Callachan131,148210.220.04

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Cummings4594300.420.09
Griffiths6510100.280.06
Mullen5471300.280.03
McMullan151,270060.100.20

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.