Matches › 2020/21

Dundee United 2–1 Ross County

Saturday 31 October 2020, 15:00 · Tannadice Park · Round 13 · Half-time 1–0

Dundee United Clark 19' (pen), 52'

Ross County Shaw 81'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Dundee United	Ross County
Goals	2	1
xG	1.79	0.88
Non-penalty xG	1.00	0.88
Expected Points	2.11	0.63

Dundee United 62%Draw 26%Ross County 12%

Most likely score 2–1, 16%. Final score 2–1, 16%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedRoss County

1.79 +0.84xG0.88 −0.20

1.00Non-penalty xG0.88

1.56 +0.78xG on target0.43 −0.17

8 −2Shots13 +3

3 +0.6Shots on target3 +0.2

2 +0.8Big chances1 −0.3

15 +7.0Touches in the opposition box21 +4.2

35% −14Possession65% +18

287 −83Passes499 +112

53% −16Pass accuracy74% +1

26% −14Field tilt74% +27

17 −16Final-third entries62 +24

6 −1.8Box entries11 +3.2

18.4 +4Passes per defensive action13.0 −1

2 −3.1Corners8 +4.4

9 −6Tackles5 −8

16 +6Interceptions6 −5

37 +11Clearances7 −18

2 −1.8Saves1 −1.9

11 −2Fouls16 +1

1 −0.4Offsides1 −0.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Dundee United

Ross County

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedRoss County

0.56 4 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.72 10 shots, 1 goal

0.12 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

0.32 2 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.16 3 shots, 0 goals

0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–02–02–1

Level: 19 min (20%) · Dundee United 0.92, Ross County 0.17 xG
Dundee United ahead: 74 min (80%) · Dundee United 0.87, Ross County 0.71 xG

Line-ups

Dundee United substitutes

71' Sporle for Pawlett
77' Fuchs for Harkes
87' Appere for Clark

Ross County substitutes

11' Grivosti for Randall
66' Paton for Vigurs
66' Gardyne for Charles-Cook
74' Shaw for McKay · goal 81', yellow card 84'

Players

Dundee United

Player	Pos	Min	G	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Siegrist	GK	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	1
Smith	RB	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.03	5	9
Edwards	CB	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	14
Reynolds	CB	90		0.08	0.01	0	0.02	3	8
Robson	LB	90		0.00	0.01	0	0.04	3	9
Bolton	RM	90		0.00	0.12	1	0.16	2	6
Butcher	CM	90		0.00	0.02	0	0.02	2	9
Harkes	CM	77		0.00	0.11	1	0.10	1	4
Pawlett	LM	71		0.50	0.03	1	0.08	3	0
Clark	ST	87	2	1.02	0.02	0	0.00	3	4
Shankland	ST	90		0.18	0.13	1	0.09	0	1
Sporle	DF	19		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Fuchs	MF	13		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	3
Appere	FW	3		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Ross County

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Doohan	GK	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.08	8	0
Randall	RB	11			0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	0
Donaldson	CB	90			0.04	0.00	0	0.03	5	4
Iacovitti	CB	90			0.05	0.01	0	0.12	11	3
Reid	LB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.07	12	1
Charles-Cook	RM	66			0.00	0.01	0	0.00	4	1
Lakin	CM	90		1	0.15	0.21	2	0.19	6	1
Kelly	CM	90			0.10	0.05	2	0.10	12	5
Vigurs	LM	66			0.00	0.04	0	0.01	4	3
Stewart	ST	90			0.10	0.17	2	0.10	5	0
McKay	ST	74			0.05	0.08	1	0.08	3	0
Grivosti	DF	79			0.00	0.06	1	0.10	8	1
Paton	MF	24			0.00	0.02	1	−0.04	0	0
Gardyne	MF	24			0.00	0.02	0	0.07	6	0
Shaw	FW	16	1		0.40	0.00	0	0.01	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

From	To	Passes
Harkes	Pawlett	6
Pawlett	Shankland	5
Clark	Pawlett	5
Robson	Harkes	5
Butcher	Edwards	4

Ross County

From	To	Passes
Kelly	Reid	11
Grivosti	Kelly	10
Iacovitti	Doohan	9
Vigurs	Kelly	9
Vigurs	Reid	8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

Against its average of 12 matches

Ross County

Against its average of 12 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

Ross County

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Dundee United
Top six	22%	30%	+8
11th	11%	7%	−4
Bottom	5%	2%	−3
Ross County
Top six	7%	4%	−3
11th	23%	28%	+5
Bottom	15%	21%	+6
Hamilton Academical
11th	23%	24%	+1
Bottom	52%	50%	−2

From the forecast before the match (31 October 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Dundee United	Ross County
Expected goals	1.26	1.03
Win	41%	30%
Expected Points	1.52	1.19
Clean sheet	36%	28%

Dundee United 41%Draw 30%Ross County 30%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 47%.

From the forecast as it stood on 31 October 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Dundee United win	Draw	Ross County win
Dundee United
Top six	22%	30%	20%	13%
11th	11%	7%	11%	15%
Bottom	5%	2%	5%	8%
Ross County
Top six	7%	4%	6%	11%
11th	23%	28%	23%	17%
Bottom	15%	21%	15%	9%
Hamilton Academical
11th	23%	24%	22%	22%
Bottom	52%	50%	52%	54%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

Ross County

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Dundee United	Ross County
Position	6th	7th
Played	12	12
Won, drawn, lost	3–⁠4–⁠5	3–⁠3–⁠6
Points	13 (1.08 per game)	12 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.05	0.91
Goals	8–⁠16	7–⁠20
xG per game	0.95–⁠1.55	1.08–⁠1.89
Home: points, xG per game	0.83, 0.89–⁠1.62	0.83, 1.11–⁠2.27
Away: points, xG per game	1.33, 1.01–⁠1.48	1.17, 1.04–⁠1.50
Manager	Micky Mellon (12)	Stuart Kettlewell (12)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Dundee United		Ross County
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−24%	+30%	−20%	+33%
Counter-attacks	+49%	+177%	−100%	−56%
Set pieces	−39%	+13%	−16%	+14%
Penalties	−61%	−100%	−22%	+134%
Headers	−51%	+28%	+7%	+7%
Left side	+4%	+25%	−25%	+28%
Centre	−48%	+17%	−33%	+32%
Right side	−15%	+58%	+4%	+8%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdRoss County concededLeft side+4%+8%Centre−48%+32%Right side−15%+28%Open play−24%+33%Counter-attacks+49%−56%Set pieces−39%+14%Headers−51%+7%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdDundee United concededLeft side−25%+58%Centre−33%+17%Right side+4%+25%Open play−20%+30%Counter-attacks−100%+177%Set pieces−16%+13%Headers+7%+28%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedRoss County

0.95xG1.08

1.55xG against1.89

48%Possession47%

10.1Shots10.0

15.5Shots against14.4

2.4Shots on target2.8

1.2Big chances1.3

8.0Touches in the opposition box16.8

370Passes387

68%Pass accuracy72%

5.1Corners3.6

39%Field tilt47%

32.8Final-third entries37.6

7.8Box entries7.8

14.4Passes per defensive action14.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	53	0.74	1.41
Ahead	22	1.14	1.44
Behind	15	1.45	2.23

Ross County

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	44	1.06	1.70
Ahead	15	0.37	1.67
Behind	31	1.46	2.28

xG by period

Dundee United

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.17	0.15	2–1
16–30	0.08	0.18	1–2
31–45	0.16	0.37	2–2
46–60	0.25	0.23	2–2
61–75	0.05	0.34	0–4
76–90	0.25	0.28	1–5

Ross County

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.17	0.37	1–2
16–30	0.15	0.16	2–2
31–45	0.17	0.26	1–3
46–60	0.19	0.33	0–4
61–75	0.17	0.46	1–6
76–90	0.22	0.32	2–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

Formations: 3-5-2 (4), 4-4-2 (4), 4-1-4-1 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

Ross County

Formations: 4-1-4-1 (4), 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-3-3 (2), 5-3-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
15 August 2020	Ross County	1–2	Dundee United	xG 1.42–1.34

1 league meeting since 2020/21: Dundee United won 1, Ross County won 0, and 0 were drawn. Goals 2–1 and xG 1.34–1.42 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

Player	Starts	Min	G	xG per 90	xA per 90
Clark	10	811	3	0.34	0.03
Shankland	6	571	2	0.23	0.13
Pawlett	8	698	1	0.14	0.20
Chalmers	7	614	0	0.18	0.09

Ross County

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
McKay	6	499	1	0	0.35	0.14
Stewart	12	1,076	2	1	0.41	0.07
Charles-Cook	4	473	0	0	0.26	0.10
Gardyne	10	834	0	0	0.08	0.22

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.