Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Ross County 0–2 Dundee United

Saturday 6 February 2021, 15:00 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 28 · Half-time 0–0

Dundee United Shankland 63', Edwards 76'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountyDundee United
Goals02
xG0.741.65
Expected Points0.682.07

Ross County 14%Draw 26%Dundee United 60%

Most likely score 0–1, 16%. Final score 0–2, 14%.

Dundee United goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+7%7%2%5%5%2%2%4%4%2%1%16%14%14%11%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTLakin on for Paton and Shaw on for Hylton, 68'Gardyne on for McKay, 69'Draper on for Kelly and Iacovitti on for Tremarco, 77'Bolton on for Sporle, 75'Harkes on for Fuchs, 80'Powers on for Butcher, 82'Shankland 63'Edwards 76'Dundee United 1.65Ross County 0.7400.511.520153045607590HTLakin on for Paton and Shaw on for Hylton, 68'Gardyne on for McKay, 69'Draper on for Kelly and Iacovitti on for Tremarco, 77'Bolton on for Sporle, 75'Harkes on for Fuchs, 80'Powers on for Butcher, 82'Shankland 63'Edwards 76'1.650.74Ross CountyDundee United

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountyDundee United

0.74 −0.26xG1.65 +0.78
1.40 +0.67xG on target1.87 +1.07
14 +4.3Shots17 +7.8
5 +2.0Shots on target6 +3.4
0 −1.3Big chances2 +1.0
26 +11Touches in the opposition box33 +20
58% +10Possession42% −6
422 +38Passes318 −57
67% −4Pass accuracy57% −10
48% +1Field tilt52% +12
31 −6Final-third entries36 +4
16 +8.5Box entries18 +10.0
9.5 −5Passes per defensive action11.5 −4
5 +0.7Corners6 +1.9
16 +3Tackles21 +8
12 +1Interceptions10 −2
17 −7Clearances17 −7
4 +0.9Saves5 +1.6
15 0Fouls14 +1
2 +0.4Offsides3 +1.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

White 58', 0.09 xGMcKay 47', 0.08 xGWhite 51', 0.08 xGWhite 56', 0.07 xGAndreu 40', 0.06 xGAndreu 7', 0.05 xGNaismith 47', 0.05 xGMcKay 55', 0.05 xGAndreu 56', 0.05 xGAndreu 33', 0.04 xGKelly 61', 0.04 xGHylton 7', 0.03 xGHjelde 46', 0.03 xGLakin 72', 0.03 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals32%0.24 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.24 xG, 0 goals44%0.33 xGWide in the box: 6 shots, 0.33 xG, 0 goals24%0.18 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Dundee United

Shankland 28', 0.09 xGFuchs 31', 0.09 xGBolton 80', 0.08 xGShankland 36', 0.07 xGSporle 31', 0.06 xGShankland 39', 0.06 xGMcNulty 1', 0.05 xGEdwards 21', 0.05 xGPawlett 36', 0.05 xGFuchs 1', 0.04 xGShankland 59', 0.04 xGSporle 43', 0.03 xGSporle 65', 0.03 xGPowers 89', 0.03 xGButcher 49', 0.02 xGShankland 63', 0.52 xG, goalEdwards 76', 0.33 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals80%1.32 xGCentral box: 9 shots, 1.32 xG, 2 goals10%0.17 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals4%0.06 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals6%0.10 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountyDundee United

0.63 11 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.58 10 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.52 1 shot, 1 goal
0.11 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.55 6 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
63 min (70%) · Ross County 0.71, Dundee United 1.18 xG
Dundee United ahead
27 min (30%) · Ross County 0.03, Dundee United 0.47 xG

Line-ups

12354328182414269LaidlawNaismithMorrisHjeldeTremarcoAndreuKellyPatonHyltonWhiteMcKayYellow card77'77'68'68'69'Ross County 4-4-2John Hughes1212617818663249SiegristL. SmithEdwardsReynoldsRobsonPawlettButcherFuchsSporleShanklandMcNultyYellow cardGoalYellow cardYellow cardGoal82'80'75'Dundee United 4-4-2Micky Mellon

Ross County substitutes

  • 68' Lakin for Paton
  • 68' Shaw for Hylton
  • 69' Gardyne for McKay
  • 77' Iacovitti for Tremarco
  • 77' Draper for Kelly

Dundee United substitutes

  • 75' Bolton for Sporle
  • 80' Harkes for Fuchs
  • 82' Powers for Butcher

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0000.0341
NaismithRB900.050.0800.1251
MorrisCB900.000.0000.0338
HjeldeCB900.030.1300.1248
TremarcoLB770.000.1010.0447
AndreuRM900.190.0900.1279
Kelly CM770.040.0500.1174
PatonCM680.000.0510.07112
HyltonLM680.030.1520.0751
WhiteST900.240.031−0.0201
McKayST690.130.3540.2353
LakinMF220.030.0000.0220
ShawFW220.000.010−0.0700
GardyneMF210.000.0000.0111
IacovittiDF130.000.0100.0221
DraperDF130.000.0000.0004

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SiegristGK900.000.0000.0341
L. Smith RB9010.000.2220.1337
EdwardsCB9010.380.000−0.10314
ReynoldsCB900.000.0000.0446
RobsonLB900.000.2420.1252
Pawlett RM9010.050.3040.0534
Butcher CM820.020.2000.1887
FuchsCM800.140.1610.1553
SporleLM750.110.0600.0525
ShanklandST9010.790.1320.3080
McNultyST900.050.0910.1042
BoltonDF150.080.0000.0000
HarkesMF100.000.0000.0001
PowersDF80.030.0100.0120

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Naismith and Paton: 6 passesHjelde and Morris: 6 passesHjelde and Tremarco: 6 passesHjelde and Kelly: 6 passesTremarco and Hylton: 6 passesAndreu and Hylton: 6 passesAndreu and McKay: 6 passesWhite and McKay: 6 passesLaidlaw and Hjelde: 7 passesNaismith and McKay: 7 passesHjelde and Paton: 7 passesMorris and Kelly: 7 passesAndreu and White: 7 passesNaismith and Andreu: 8 passesAndreu and Paton: 8 passesAndreu and Kelly: 8 passesTremarco and Paton: 9 passesHylton and McKay: 10 passesNaismith and Kelly: 11 passesPaton and Kelly: 11 passesPaton and Hylton: 11 passesPaton and McKay: 13 passesLaidlaw: 19 completed passesNaismith: 29 completed passesHjelde: 22 completed passesMorris: 21 completed passesTremarco: 28 completed passesAndreu: 27 completed passesPaton: 35 completed passesKelly: 31 completed passesHylton: 18 completed passesWhite: 11 completed passesMcKay: 24 completed passes12345328241814269LaidlawNaismithHjeldeMorrisTremarcoAndreuPatonKellyHyltonWhiteMcKayStarters until 68' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Dundee United

L. Smith and Butcher: 4 passesReynolds and Robson: 4 passesRobson and Shankland: 4 passesFuchs and Butcher: 4 passesSiegrist and Shankland: 5 passesReynolds and Shankland: 5 passesButcher and Sporle: 5 passesButcher and McNulty: 5 passesL. Smith and Shankland: 6 passesPawlett and Butcher: 6 passesFuchs and Sporle: 6 passesFuchs and Shankland: 6 passesRobson and Pawlett: 7 passesPawlett and Sporle: 7 passesPawlett and McNulty: 7 passesPawlett and Shankland: 7 passesFuchs and McNulty: 8 passesL. Smith and McNulty: 9 passesL. Smith and Fuchs: 10 passesRobson and Sporle: 10 passesMcNulty and Shankland: 11 passesSiegrist: 12 completed passesL. Smith: 22 completed passesEdwards: 10 completed passesReynolds: 14 completed passesRobson: 18 completed passesPawlett: 27 completed passesFuchs: 17 completed passesButcher: 19 completed passesSporle: 18 completed passesMcNulty: 20 completed passesShankland: 12 completed passes1212617866183924SiegristL. SmithEdwardsReynoldsRobsonPawlettFuchsButcherSporleMcNultyShanklandStarters until 75' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
PatonMcKay8
TremarcoPaton8
LaidlawHjelde7
KellyPaton7
McKayHylton7

Dundee United

FromToPasses
McNultyShankland9
PawlettMcNulty7
RobsonPawlett7
RobsonShankland6
SiegristShankland6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

9+3.74−2.319+4.113+4.56+0.610+2.410+2.86−1.310+0.77−1.26+1.06+1.11−2.65−0.23−2.76+1.86+2.72−0.43−0.32−2.37+5.12+0.92+0.90−1.61−0.92+1.20−0.32+1.51+0.50−0.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 27 matches

Dundee United

2−3.16−0.711−5.69+1.87−0.33−3.56−1.513+6.016+8.217+7.36+0.69+3.84−0.310+4.63−2.38+3.98+4.75+2.45+2.33−0.45+2.84+2.71+0.12+0.42+0.22+1.40−0.11+0.61+0.60−0.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 27 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.010.010.010.020.050.010.010.010.030.040.020.070.010.030.040.100.020.050.040.030.03−0.090.160.19LessMore

Dundee United

0.010.020.010.010.010.020.020.010.020.050.020.080.040.030.010.010.090.06−0.16−0.03−0.010.150.200.210.17LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.19AttackRoss County0.94 → 0.92Dundee United0.88 → 0.90Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.61 → 1.62Dundee United1.40 → 1.37

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
11th43%49%+6
Bottom21%30%+9
Dundee United
Top six2%4%+2
11th14%5%−9
Bottom2%<1%−2
Hamilton Academical
11th20%26%+6
Bottom71%65%−6
Kilmarnock
11th13%12%−1
Bottom3%3%0

From the forecast before the match (6 February 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountyDundee United
Expected goals1.151.23
Win34%37%
Expected Points1.301.41
Clean sheet29%32%

Ross County 34%Draw 29%Dundee United 37%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 49%.

Dundee United goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+7%3%8%3%1%6%8%5%2%2%3%2%10%11%10%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 6 February 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawDundee United win
Ross County
11th43%36%46%49%
Bottom21%12%21%30%
Dundee United
Top six2%<1%1%4%
11th14%24%14%5%
Bottom2%5%2%<1%
Hamilton Academical
11th20%14%20%26%
Bottom71%77%72%65%
Kilmarnock
11th13%15%12%12%
Bottom3%3%3%3%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. W2–13 FebHamilton Academical (A)xG 1.44–0.49
  2. L1–227 JanMotherwell (H)xG 1.86–1.56
  3. L0–523 JanRangers (A)xG 0.50–2.67
  4. W4–116 JanAberdeen (H)xG 0.95–2.28
  5. L1–310 JanLivingston (A)xG 1.28–1.74
  6. D1–12 JanSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.81–1.57

Dundee United

  1. L1–23 FebMotherwell (A)xG 0.97–1.90
  2. L0–230 JanHibernian (H)xG 0.51–1.34
  3. L1–527 JanSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.23–3.25
  4. D0–016 JanHamilton Academical (A)xG 0.63–0.67
  5. D2–212 JanSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.82–2.25
  6. D0–02 JanAberdeen (A)xG 0.46–0.85

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountyDundee United
Position11th7th
Played2727
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠5–⁠166–⁠10–⁠11
Points23 (0.85 per game)28 (1.04 per game)
Expected Points per game0.870.92
Goals21–⁠5121–⁠38
xG per game1.00–⁠1.800.87–⁠1.55
Home: points, xG per game0.77, 1.01–⁠2.001.14, 0.89–⁠1.62
Away: points, xG per game0.93, 1.00–⁠1.610.92, 0.86–⁠1.47
ManagerJohn Hughes (9)Micky Mellon (27)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.19AttackRoss County0.94, 10thDundee United0.88, 11thDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.61, 11thDundee United1.40, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebRoss County attack: 0.94Dundee United attack: 0.880.940.88Dundee UnitedRoss CountyDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebRoss County defence: 1.61Dundee United defence: 1.401.611.40

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountyDundee United
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−17%+39%−27%+26%
Counter-attacks+54%−64%+23%+103%
Set pieces−29%+28%−40%+20%
Penalties−57%+114%−57%−36%
Headers+5%+16%−54%+17%
Left side−14%+17%+1%+34%
Centre−16%+52%−43%+14%
Right side−22%+12%−30%+47%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdDundee United concededLeft side−14%+47%Centre−16%+14%Right side−22%+34%Open play−17%+26%Counter-attacks+54%+103%Set pieces−29%+20%Headers+5%+17%

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdRoss County concededLeft side+1%+12%Centre−43%+52%Right side−30%+17%Open play−27%+39%Counter-attacks+23%−64%Set pieces−40%+28%Headers−54%+16%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountyDundee United

1.00xG0.87
1.80xG against1.55
48%Possession48%
9.7Shots9.2
14.0Shots against15.6
3.0Shots on target2.6
1.3Big chances1.0
15.0Touches in the opposition box13.1
384Passes375
71%Pass accuracy66%
4.3Corners4.1
47%Field tilt40%
36.7Final-third entries31.7
7.5Box entries8.0
14.2Passes per defensive action15.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level381.021.75
Ahead150.551.89
Behind361.181.82

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level480.701.30
Ahead151.111.42
Behind261.062.08

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.353–6
16–300.150.267–9
31–450.160.202–5
46–600.150.330–9
61–750.160.381–12
76–900.220.278–10

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.130.153–3
16–300.190.214–9
31–450.100.313–7
46–600.170.215–3
61–750.060.360–7
76–900.230.316–9

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMRMCMCMLMSTLaidlaw 22Doohan 5Randall 10Naismith 5Watson 4Donaldson 19Morris 7Watson 4Iacovitti 21Hjelde 2Grivosti 1Reid 17Iacovitti 2Shaw 1Vigurs 11Draper 4Iacovitti 3Paton 5Charles-Cook 5Gardyne 4Paton 12Tillson 8Draper 6Vigurs 10Kelly 8Lakin 4Stewart 6Gardyne 6Hylton 5Shaw 11Stewart 9McKay 64-1-4-1 in 8 of 27 starts

Formations: 4-1-4-1 (8), 4-5-1 (4), 4-3-3 (3), 4-2-3-1 (3), 3-5-2 (2), 5-4-1 (2), 3-5-1-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

Dundee United

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTSiegrist 25Mehmet 2Edwards 16Smith 7Neilson 6Connolly 21Butcher 1Reynolds 25Robson 1Bolton 10Smith 9Chalmers 3Butcher 17Clark 9McNulty 1Pawlett 10Robson 8Powers 6Harkes 21Fuchs 7Robson 12Sporle 6Bolton 3Clark 12McNulty 8Chalmers 1Shankland 20Appere 6Robson 33-5-2 in 10 of 27 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (10), 4-4-2 (8), 4-1-4-1 (3), 5-3-2 (2), 4-4-1-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
31 October 2020Dundee United2–1Ross CountyxG 1.79–0.88
15 August 2020Ross County1–2Dundee UnitedxG 1.42–1.34

2 league meetings since 2020/21: Ross County won 0, Dundee United won 2, and 0 were drawn. Goals 2–4 and xG 1.15–1.56 per game.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Stewart191,650210.370.06
McKay8837200.300.11
Shaw121,167610.290.05
Gardyne141,229000.070.22

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Clark211,745810.290.11
Shankland201,846410.200.12
Sporle8816120.160.15
Pawlett121,104100.140.14

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.