Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

St. Johnstone 0–3 Livingston

Saturday 16 October 2021, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 9 · Half-time 0–2 · Attendance 4,274

Livingston Bailey 3', Anderson 29', Pittman 66'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneLivingston
Goals03
xG1.451.55
Expected Points1.261.44

St. Johnstone 32%Draw 30%Livingston 38%

Most likely score 1–1, 15%. Final score 0–3, 2%.

Livingston goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+3%7%6%2%5%5%1%4%11%10%4%2%4%4%2%1%15%12%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTDendoncker on for Rooney, 22'Middleton on for Wotherspoon, 63'Brown on for O'Halloran, 70'Davidson on for Ambrose, 78'Longridge on for Penrice, 46'McMillan on for Omeonga, 63'Forrest on for Anderson, 75'Sibbald on for Bailey, 83'Bailey 3'Anderson 29'Pittman 66'Livingston 1.55St. Johnstone 1.4500.511.520153045607590HTDendoncker on for Rooney, 22'Middleton on for Wotherspoon, 63'Brown on for O'Halloran, 70'Davidson on for Ambrose, 78'Longridge on for Penrice, 46'McMillan on for Omeonga, 63'Forrest on for Anderson, 75'Sibbald on for Bailey, 83'Bailey 3'Anderson 29'Pittman 66'1.551.45St. JohnstoneLivingston

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneLivingston

1.45 +0.55xG1.55 +0.90
1.22 +0.43xG on target1.94 +1.34
16 +5.5Shots11 +2.4
2 −1.0Shots on target4 +1.2
2 +1.1Big chances3 +2.2
25 +3.5Touches in the opposition box15 +5.7
65% +20Possession35% −4
465 +135Passes270 −22
75% +10Pass accuracy61% −1
62% +14Field tilt38% +1
44 +15Final-third entries22 0
10 +1.1Box entries7 +0.4
12.1 −2Passes per defensive action15.6 +1
12 +7.0Corners2 −2.5
8 −6Tackles18 0
6 −5Interceptions12 +1
12 −9Clearances35 +14
1 −2.0Saves2 −1.8
6 −7Fouls13 −3
1 −0.6Offsides0 −1.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

Kane 73', 0.45 xGMay 74', 0.33 xGKane 90+1', 0.15 xGDendoncker 81', 0.10 xGMcCart 81', 0.07 xGMiddleton 81', 0.05 xGCraig 6', 0.04 xGAmbrose 17', 0.04 xGKane 74', 0.04 xGMay 89', 0.04 xGMay 39', 0.03 xGAmbrose 52', 0.03 xGCraig 85', 0.03 xGKane 86', 0.03 xGAmbrose 49', 0.02 xGO'Halloran 11', 0.01 xG54%0.78 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.78 xG, 0 goals33%0.47 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 0.47 xG, 0 goals5%0.07 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals8%0.12 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Livingston

Montano 1', 0.35 xGAnderson 50', 0.09 xGPittman 1', 0.08 xGBailey 72', 0.08 xGForrest 90+3', 0.04 xGMontano 2', 0.03 xGMontano 51', 0.03 xGOmeonga 39', 0.02 xGPittman 66', 0.59 xG, goalBailey 3', 0.15 xG, goalAnderson 29', 0.09 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals83%1.28 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 1.28 xG, 2 goals10%0.16 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals7%0.11 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.11 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneLivingston

0.78 8 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.52 10 shots, 3 goals
0.67 8 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.03 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
3 min (3%) · St. Johnstone 0.00, Livingston 0.61 xG
Livingston ahead
92 min (97%) · St. Johnstone 1.45, Livingston 0.94 xG

Line-ups

119254111826241097ClarkRooneyAmbroseMcCartO'HalloranMacPhersonCraigBoothWotherspoonKaneMayYellow cardYellow card22'78'70'63'St. Johnstone 3-4-1-2Callum Davidson32256291833148119StryjekDevlinFitzwaterObileyePenriceHoltOmeongaBaileyPittmanMontanoAndersonYellow cardYellow cardGoalGoalYellow cardGoal46'63'83'75'Livingston 4-2-3-1David Martindale

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 22' Dendoncker for Rooney
  • 63' Middleton for Wotherspoon
  • 70' Brown for O'Halloran
  • 78' Davidson for Ambrose

Livingston substitutes

  • 46' Longridge for Penrice
  • 63' McMillan for Omeonga
  • 75' Forrest for Anderson
  • 83' Sibbald for Bailey

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ClarkGK900.000.0000.0230
RooneyCB220.000.0100.0313
AmbroseCB780.090.0000.0438
McCartCB900.070.1010.21144
O'HalloranRWB700.010.0100.0790
MacPherson CM900.000.2150.1741
Craig CM900.070.090−0.0123
BoothLWB900.000.0620.1482
WotherspoonAM630.000.0510.0662
KaneST900.660.013−0.0310
MayST900.400.0410.0110
DendonckerDF680.100.0100.0545
MiddletonFW270.050.000−0.0100
BrownDF200.000.0710.1420
DavidsonMF120.000.000−0.0100

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
StryjekGK900.000.0000.0323
DevlinRB900.000.010−0.0216
FitzwaterCB900.000.0300.0858
ObileyeCB900.000.3110.1839
PenriceLB460.000.0110.0325
Holt DM900.000.0100.0029
Omeonga DM630.020.0100.0223
BaileyRW8310.220.0520.0443
Pittman AM9010.670.0100.0126
MontanoLW900.420.0100.0029
AndersonST75120.180.6020.0811
LongridgeDF440.000.0100.0117
McMillanDF270.000.010−0.0111
ForrestFW150.040.0200.0310
SibbaldMF70.000.001−0.0210

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Ambrose and McCart: 3 passesAmbrose and Rooney: 3 passesMcCart and MacPherson: 3 passesCraig and Wotherspoon: 3 passesWotherspoon and May: 3 passesO'Halloran and MacPherson: 4 passesMacPherson and Craig: 4 passesBooth and May: 4 passesMcCart and Booth: 5 passesRooney and O'Halloran: 5 passesRooney and MacPherson: 5 passesCraig and Booth: 5 passesClark: 1 completed passesAmbrose: 5 completed passesMcCart: 11 completed passesRooney: 9 completed passesO'Halloran: 6 completed passesMacPherson: 11 completed passesCraig: 12 completed passesBooth: 8 completed passesWotherspoon: 5 completed passesKane: 2 completed passesMay: 6 completed passes125419111826241097ClarkAmbroseMcCartRooneyO'HalloranMacPhersonCraigBoothWotherspoonKaneMayStarters until 22' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Livingston

Stryjek and Obileye: 3 passesFitzwater and Holt: 3 passesPenrice and Omeonga: 3 passesOmeonga and Bailey: 4 passesOmeonga and Montano: 4 passesDevlin and Fitzwater: 5 passesDevlin and Holt: 5 passesFitzwater and Obileye: 5 passesObileye and Penrice: 5 passesObileye and Holt: 5 passesOmeonga and Holt: 5 passesPenrice and Montano: 6 passesBailey and Anderson: 6 passesStryjek: 2 completed passesDevlin: 11 completed passesFitzwater: 8 completed passesObileye: 9 completed passesPenrice: 13 completed passesOmeonga: 9 completed passesHolt: 14 completed passesBailey: 9 completed passesPittman: 1 completed passesMontano: 8 completed passesAnderson: 6 completed passes32256293318148119StryjekDevlinFitzwaterObileyePenriceOmeongaHoltBaileyPittmanMontanoAndersonStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
BoothMcCart20
McCartBooth17
AmbroseMcCart13
DendonckerMacPherson12
ClarkMcCart11

Livingston

FromToPasses
HoltFitzwater5
PenriceObileye5
ObileyeHolt4
BaileyAnderson4
DevlinFitzwater4

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

8+1.850.04−1.13−2.26−1.85−2.46−0.16−1.14−3.04−1.65+1.06−0.41−4.65+1.21−2.90−2.83+1.25+0.15+2.21−0.91+0.63+1.52+0.10−1.62+1.50−1.00−0.50−0.64−7.42−6.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 8 matches

Livingston

6+1.210+3.824+8.810+3.415+6.47−0.56−2.23−2.99+0.612+3.04−1.93−1.23−0.65+0.17+1.12−2.64+1.63+1.22−0.87+3.00−2.81+0.10−1.53+0.620.01−1.01+0.60−0.60−0.64+3.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 8 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.010.020.020.030.020.020.030.050.020.050.010.050.050.010.14−0.060.09−0.030.10−0.130.190.17LessMore

Livingston

0.010.010.030.010.020.03−0.010.010.010.060.010.020.020.01−0.040.03−0.02−0.010.010.23LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackSt. Johnstone0.99 → 1.00Livingston0.91 → 0.96Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.01 → 1.06Livingston1.22 → 1.24

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
Top six47%36%−11
11th3%5%+2
Bottom1%1%0
Livingston
Top six7%13%+6
11th21%15%−6
Bottom11%6%−5
Ross County
11th31%32%+1
Bottom35%38%+3
St. Mirren
Top six25%27%+2
Bottom3%3%0

From the forecast before the match (16 October 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneLivingston
Expected goals1.220.73
Win47%22%
Expected Points1.730.96
Clean sheet48%29%

St. Johnstone 47%Draw 31%Livingston 22%

Most likely score 1–0, 17%. Both sides score 37%.

Livingston goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+10%4%5%1%11%8%3%4%3%1%1%1%15%17%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 16 October 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawLivingston win
St. Johnstone
Top six47%55%44%36%
11th3%2%3%5%
Bottom1%<1%1%1%
Livingston
Top six7%4%7%13%
11th21%23%20%15%
Bottom11%14%9%6%
Ross County
11th31%30%31%32%
Bottom35%33%37%38%
St. Mirren
Top six25%23%26%27%
Bottom3%3%2%3%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. W3–12 OctDundee FC (H)xG 1.90–0.41
  2. L0–126 SepHibernian (A)xG 0.22–1.90
  3. W1–018 SepAberdeen (A)xG 0.31–0.55
  4. L1–211 SepRangers (H)xG 0.65–1.22
  5. D0–029 AugSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.81–1.72
  6. L0–122 AugDundee United (H)xG 0.85–1.36

Livingston

  1. L0–12 OctSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.03–0.77
  2. L0–325 SepHearts (A)xG 0.12–2.43
  3. W1–019 SepCeltic (H)xG 0.62–1.24
  4. D0–011 SepDundee FC (A)xG 0.44–1.08
  5. L0–228 AugHibernian (A)xG 0.63–1.05
  6. L1–221 AugMotherwell (H)xG 0.95–2.30

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneLivingston
Position8th10th
Played88
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠3–⁠31–⁠1–⁠6
Points9 (1.12 per game)4 (0.50 per game)
Expected Points per game1.170.86
Goals6–⁠63–⁠13
xG per game0.90–⁠1.140.65–⁠1.39
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 1.05–⁠1.170.75, 0.98–⁠1.19
Away: points, xG per game1.25, 0.76–⁠1.120.25, 0.31–⁠1.60
ManagerCallum Davidson (46)David Martindale (31)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackSt. Johnstone0.99, 7thLivingston0.91, 10thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.01, 5thLivingston1.22, 7th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctSt. Johnstone attack: 0.99Livingston attack: 0.910.990.91LivingstonSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctSt. Johnstone defence: 1.01Livingston defence: 1.221.221.01

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneLivingston
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−19%−45%−62%+12%
Counter-attacks−31%+48%+43%−46%
Set pieces−51%+53%−5%+37%
Penalties−20%+60%−100%−20%
Headers−79%−12%−49%+15%
Left side−15%−44%−6%−9%
Centre−46%+16%−55%+9%
Right side−3%−56%−51%+57%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdLivingston concededLeft side−15%+57%Centre−46%+9%Right side−3%−9%Open play−19%+12%Counter-attacks−31%−46%Set pieces−51%+37%Headers−79%+15%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−6%−56%Centre−55%+16%Right side−51%−44%Open play−62%−45%Counter-attacks+43%+48%Set pieces−5%+53%Headers−49%−12%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneLivingston

0.90xG0.65
1.14xG against1.39
45%Possession40%
10.5Shots8.6
9.8Shots against14.6
3.0Shots on target2.8
0.9Big chances0.8
21.5Touches in the opposition box9.3
330Passes292
65%Pass accuracy62%
5.0Corners4.5
48%Field tilt37%
28.6Final-third entries22.1
8.9Box entries6.6
14.3Passes per defensive action14.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level660.781.03
Ahead151.741.91
Behind90.420.68

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level470.571.05
Ahead110.781.88
Behind320.711.72

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.110–0
16–300.070.150–0
31–450.170.173–0
46–600.180.342–2
61–750.210.180–2
76–900.200.191–2

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.200–1
16–300.060.101–2
31–450.230.242–1
46–600.040.280–3
61–750.140.180–1
76–900.100.410–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTClark 8Muller 5Brown 2Dendoncker 1Kerr 3Ambrose 2Gordon 2McCart 7Rooney 7O'Halloran 1Wotherspoon 4McCann 4Craig 5Crawford 1Middleton 1Booth 5Devine 3O'Halloran 2Crawford 2Davidson 2Wotherspoon 3Kane 2Middleton 2May 3Kane 3O'Halloran 23-4-2-1 in 3 of 8 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (3), 5-3-2 (2), 3-5-2 (2), 3-4-3 (1)

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWStryjek 8Devlin 6McMillan 2Obileye 8Fitzwater 8Longridge 4Penrice 3Lewis 1Sibbald 3Pittman 3Bailey 2Holt 8Penrice 3Shinnie 2Williamson 2Forrest 2McMillan 2Sibbald 2Anderson 5Shinnie 3Forrest 4Lewis 2Penrice 14-3-3 in 4 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (4), 4-1-4-1 (2), 4-4-2 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
15 May 2021St. Johnstone0–0LivingstonxG 0.22–0.30
6 February 2021Livingston1–2St. JohnstonexG 0.86–1.78
12 December 2020St. Johnstone1–2LivingstonxG 1.05–0.98
26 September 2020Livingston2–0St. JohnstonexG 0.54–1.11

4 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 1, Livingston won 2, and 1 was a draw. Goals 3–5 and xG 1.04–0.67 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kane5483200.300.03
Wotherspoon7623000.020.11
Rooney8720000.040.08
Booth5450000.030.02

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Forrest6541100.100.10
Shinnie5471100.070.11
Penrice7630010.030.09
Devlin6592000.040.05

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.