Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Aberdeen v Rangers

Saturday 30 January 2027, 15:00 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 25

Forecast

AberdeenRangers
Expected goals0.931.90
Win17%60%
Expected Points0.752.02
Clean sheet15%39%

Aberdeen 17%Draw 23%Rangers 60%

Most likely score 1–1, 11%. Both sides score 52%.

Rangers goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+6%7%3%1%5%6%3%1%3%5%5%3%1%2%1%11%11%11%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. L0–111 OctSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.23–1.10
  2. D1–119 SepHibernian (A)xG 0.70–1.40
  3. W4–015 SepMotherwell (A)xG 0.90–0.85
  4. D0–05 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 1.08–1.11
  5. L0–32 SepCeltic (A)xG 0.68–2.67
  6. L0–130 AugRangers (H)xG 0.35–2.10

Rangers

  1. W3–110 OctKilmarnock (H)xG 1.42–1.15
  2. W1–020 SepCeltic (A)xG 1.81–0.39
  3. W1–09 SepSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.49–1.26
  4. W1–05 SepMotherwell (H)xG 4.29–0.70
  5. W2–12 SepFalkirk (A)xG 1.57–1.00
  6. W1–030 AugAberdeen (A)xG 2.10–0.35

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenRangers
Position8th2nd
Played88
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠2–⁠46–⁠1–⁠1
Points8 (1.00 per game)19 (2.38 per game)
Expected Points per game0.982.06
Goals7–⁠911–⁠5
xG per game1.04–⁠1.612.17–⁠1.02
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 1.33–⁠1.542.25, 2.60–⁠1.20
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 0.75–⁠1.692.50, 1.73–⁠0.84
ManagerStephen Robinson (17)Derek McInnes (8)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackAberdeen1.11, 10thRangers1.92, 2ndDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.47, 9thRangers0.97, 2nd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctAberdeen attack: 1.11Rangers attack: 1.921.921.11RangersAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctAberdeen defence: 1.47Rangers defence: 0.971.470.97

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenRangers
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−50%−14%+42%−46%
Counter-attacks−64%+24%+20%+14%
Set pieces+30%−7%+42%−33%
Penalties−40%+80%+20%−40%
Headers+56%−23%+40%−50%
Left side−61%+11%+17%−14%
Centre−32%−41%+66%−31%
Right side−7%+28%+20%−59%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdRangers concededLeft side−61%−59%Centre−32%−31%Right side−7%−14%Open play−50%−46%Counter-attacks−64%+14%Set pieces+30%−33%Headers+56%−50%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdAberdeen concededLeft side+17%+28%Centre+66%−41%Right side+20%+11%Open play+42%−14%Counter-attacks+20%+24%Set pieces+42%−7%Headers+40%−23%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenRangers

1.04xG2.17
1.61xG against1.02
48%Possession55%
11.5Shots20.1
15.9Shots against9.5
2.9Shots on target6.2
1.5Big chances2.9
22.0Touches in the opposition box38.1
399Passes449
78%Pass accuracy80%
6.1Corners7.4
42%Field tilt60%
38.6Final-third entries47.5
12.5Box entries18.6
14.0Passes per defensive action11.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level390.971.61
Ahead120.841.56
Behind391.171.64

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level442.191.33
Ahead351.960.69
Behind112.750.87

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.030.220–3
16–300.120.221–0
31–450.120.401–3
46–600.120.161–1
61–750.160.350–2
76–900.490.264–0

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.340.203–1
16–300.480.061–0
31–450.410.272–2
46–600.350.151–0
61–750.260.191–0
76–900.330.153–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBCMCMCMSTSTMüller 8Cadden 7Lyons 1Mayo 6Milne 2Knoester 4Guinness… 1Guinness-WalkerOlusanya 1Molloy 4Happe 4Guinness… 7Guinness-WalkerCadden 1Ronan 5Olusanya 2Armstrong 2Aremu 7Briedl 2Marshall 3Yogane 1Yogane 3Mouloua 2Olusanya 2Nisbet 85-3-2 in 3 of 8 starts

Formations: 5-3-2 (3), 4-2-3-1 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 4-1-3-2 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPandur 8Sterling 6Makhanya 1Nedeljković 1Fernandez 8Godfrey 1Makhanya 6Rommens 1Penrice 6Rommens 1Chermiti 1Raskin 6Devlin 3Dragojevic 1Neil 5Diomande 1Curtis 3Kim 2Naderi 1Kim 3Naderi 3Devlin 1Gassama 7Curtis 1Shankland 5Kelsy 34-2-3-1 in 6 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
30 August 2026Aberdeen0–1RangersxG 0.35–2.10
21 March 2026Rangers4–1AberdeenxG 1.61–0.68
11 January 2026Aberdeen0–2RangersxG 0.32–1.94
6 January 2026Rangers2–0AberdeenxG 1.81–1.05
11 May 2025Rangers4–0AberdeenxG 2.60–0.57
13 April 2025Aberdeen2–2RangersxG 2.44–1.18

22 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 3, Rangers won 15, and 4 were drawn. Goals 19–46 and xG 0.93–2.06 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Nisbet8632410.340.04
Mayo6471010.240.01
Olusanya5501000.110.05
Guinness-Walker8675000.010.11

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Naderi4456410.770.18
Gassama7556020.340.17
Raskin6505000.220.12
Sterling6496000.010.28

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.