Matches › 2023/24

Livingston 1–1 St. Mirren

Saturday 2 September 2023, 15:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 4 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Nick Walsh · Attendance 2,075

Livingston Perez 89'

St. Mirren Nachmani 90+6'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Livingston	St. Mirren
Goals	1	1
xG	1.45	0.67
Expected Points	2.02	0.69

Livingston 58%Draw 29%St. Mirren 13%

Most likely score 1–0, 19%. Final score 1–1, 17%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonSt. Mirren

1.45 +0.60xG0.67 −0.93

1.06 +0.21xG on target1.43 −0.52

13 +4.3Shots8 −4.0

2 −0.7Shots on target4 0.0

1 0.0Big chances3 −0.3

50% +12Possession50% +5

316 +44Passes310 +1

60% −1Pass accuracy62% +2

51% +20Field tilt49% +4

22 +4Final-third entries24 −8

9 +2.3Box entries4 −7.3

13.9 +2Passes per defensive action13.1 −4

6 +1.3Corners2 −3.0

11 −14Tackles15 −2

8 −5.7Interceptions13 +6.0

24 −3Clearances35 +8

3 +1.0Saves1 −1.0

17 +3.3Fouls13 +5.0

2 +1.0Offsides1 −1.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Livingston

St. Mirren

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonSt. Mirren

0.47 6 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.39 6 shots, 0 goals

0.98 7 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.28 2 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–0

Level: 91 min (93%) · Livingston 1.45, St. Mirren 0.44 xG
Livingston ahead: 7 min (7%) · Livingston 0.00, St. Mirren 0.23 xG

Line-ups

Livingston substitutes

25' Sangare for Shinnie · yellow card 70', 1 assist
67' Anderson for Guthrie
82' Kelly for Pittman
90+3' Mackay for Nouble

St. Mirren substitutes

46' Dunne for Taylor
67' Greive for Kiltie
80' Bolton for McMenamin
80' Jamieson for Baccus
80' Nachmani for Olusanya · goal 90+6'

Players

Livingston

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
George	GK	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.06	8	0
Perez	CB	90	1		0.73	0.04	1	0.01	2	7
Obileye	CB	90			0.18	0.01	0	0.05	5	7
Devlin	CB	90			0.02	0.05	1	−0.02	3	6
Brandon	RWB	90			0.05	0.05	1	0.14	9	6
Holt	CM	90			0.00	0.09	1	−0.02	0	4
Shinnie	CM	25			0.00	0.12	1	0.01	0	0
Penrice	LWB	90			0.03	0.27	1	0.22	2	2
Pittman	AM	82			0.16	0.08	1	−0.04	0	3
Nouble	AM	90			0.12	0.02	0	0.01	2	1
Guthrie	ST	67			0.12	0.02	0	−0.03	1	2
Sangare	DF	65		1	0.05	0.13	2	0.06	2	6
Anderson	FW	23			0.00	0.00	1	0.01	1	1
Kelly	MF	8			0.00	0.15	1	0.08	2	0
Mackay	MF	0			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

St. Mirren

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Hemming	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	3	1
Fraser	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.02	3	10
Gogic	CB	90		1	0.00	0.21	2	0.12	0	8
Taylor	CB	46			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	2	8
Strain	RWB	90			0.00	0.09	0	0.22	9	4
Baccus	CM	80			0.20	0.01	0	0.00	2	9
Boyd-Munce	CM	90			0.05	0.04	0	0.00	1	12
Tanser	LWB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.04	4	4
McMenamin	AM	80			0.05	0.20	2	0.12	3	2
Kiltie	AM	67			0.07	0.01	0	0.09	1	2
Olusanya	ST	80			0.05	0.01	0	0.01	0	1
Dunne	DF	44			0.00	0.01	1	0.02	4	2
Greive	FW	23			0.02	0.00	0	0.01	1	0
Bolton	DF	10			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	2
Jamieson	FW	10			0.00	0.00	1	0.00	0	1
Nachmani	FW	10	1		0.23	0.00	0	0.00	0	1

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

St. Mirren

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

From	To	Passes
George	Guthrie	9
Holt	Brandon	9
Perez	Obileye	8
Brandon	Perez	6
Brandon	Holt	5

St. Mirren

From	To	Passes
Fraser	Strain	11
Strain	Baccus	8
Tanser	Boyd-Munce	7
Boyd-Munce	Tanser	7
Strain	McMenamin	7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

Against its average of 3 matches

St. Mirren

Against its average of 3 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

St. Mirren

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Livingston
Top six	23%	21%	−2
11th	16%	17%	+1
Bottom	15%	17%	+2
St. Mirren
Top six	47%	46%	−1
11th	7%	8%	+1
Bottom	4%	4%	0

From the forecast before the match (2 September 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Livingston	St. Mirren
Expected goals	1.32	1.12
Win	41%	31%
Expected Points	1.50	1.21
Clean sheet	33%	27%

Livingston 41%Draw 29%St. Mirren 31%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 50%.

From the forecast as it stood on 2 September 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Livingston win	Draw	St. Mirren win
Livingston
Top six	23%	30%	21%	16%
11th	16%	13%	17%	19%
Bottom	15%	10%	17%	20%
St. Mirren
Top six	47%	40%	46%	57%
11th	7%	9%	8%	4%
Bottom	4%	7%	4%	2%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

St. Mirren

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Livingston	St. Mirren
Position	8th	2nd
Played	3	3
Won, drawn, lost	1–⁠1–⁠1	2–⁠1–⁠0
Points	4 (1.33 per game)	7 (2.33 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.20	1.45
Goals	3–⁠6	7–⁠5
xG per game	0.85–⁠1.32	1.60–⁠1.53
Home: points, xG per game	1.00, 0.76–⁠0.70	2.00, 1.62–⁠1.59
Away: points, xG per game	1.50, 0.90–⁠1.62	3.00, 1.55–⁠1.41
Manager	David Martindale (102)	Steve Robinson (6)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Livingston		St. Mirren
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−32%	+11%	−25%	+8%
Counter-attacks	−62%	−5%	+52%	−5%
Set pieces	−21%	+10%	−8%	−46%
Penalties	−48%	−28%	+124%	+150%
Headers	+14%	−2%	+23%	−29%
Left side	−28%	+52%	−31%	average
Centre	−29%	−2%	−15%	+4%
Right side	−39%	−6%	+5%	−42%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−28%−42%Centre−29%+4%Right side−39%averageOpen play−32%+8%Counter-attacks−62%−5%Set pieces−21%−46%Headers+14%−29%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdLivingston concededLeft side−31%−6%Centre−15%−2%Right side+5%+52%Open play−25%+11%Counter-attacks+52%−5%Set pieces−8%+10%Headers+23%−2%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonSt. Mirren

0.85xG1.60

1.32xG against1.53

38%Possession45%

8.7Shots12.0

15.3Shots against8.3

2.7Shots on target4.0

1.0Big chances3.3

272Passes309

61%Pass accuracy61%

4.7Corners5.0

31%Field tilt46%

18.4Final-third entries31.7

6.7Box entries11.3

11.4Passes per defensive action17.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	37	1.45	0.79
Ahead	27	0.74	0.91
Behind	27	0.13	2.44

St. Mirren

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	29	2.07	0.13
Ahead	55	0.93	2.43
Behind	6	5.72	0.00

xG by period

Livingston

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.06	0.14	1–1
16–30	0.02	0.06	0–0
31–45	0.03	0.14	0–0
46–60	0.15	0.30	0–0
61–75	0.45	0.21	2–1
76–90	0.14	0.46	0–4

St. Mirren

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.33	0.01	2–0
16–30	0.27	0.02	1–0
31–45	0.24	0.28	1–1
46–60	0.38	0.10	1–0
61–75	0.17	0.54	0–2
76–90	0.21	0.59	2–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

Formations: 3-5-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1)

St. Mirren

Formations: 3-4-3 (1), 3-4-2-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
1 April 2023	St. Mirren	3–0	Livingston	xG 3.07–1.20
28 December 2022	Livingston	1–1	St. Mirren	xG 1.59–1.36
1 October 2022	St. Mirren	2–1	Livingston	xG 0.77–1.45
11 May 2022	St. Mirren	0–0	Livingston	xG 0.64–0.85
19 February 2022	Livingston	1–1	St. Mirren	xG 1.29–0.13
20 November 2021	St. Mirren	1–1	Livingston	xG 0.91–0.76

10 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 0, St. Mirren won 5, and 5 were drawn. Goals 5–12 and xG 0.95–0.98 per game.

Key players

Livingston

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Anderson	21	1,916	7	2	0.26	0.07
Bradley	12	945	1	2	0.12	0.14
Nouble	32	2,866	7	3	0.16	0.07
Montano	27	2,183	4	2	0.12	0.09

St. Mirren

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Greive	12	1,161	6	0	0.36	0.04
O'Hara	35	2,991	11	3	0.26	0.07
Strain	38	3,120	4	5	0.08	0.16
Kiltie	21	2,157	3	2	0.12	0.11

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.