Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

St. Mirren 1–0 Livingston

Saturday 20 December 2025, 15:00 · The SMISA Stadium · Round 18 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Chris Graham · Attendance 5,764

St. Mirren Mandron 72'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. MirrenLivingston
Goals10
xG2.230.24
Expected Points2.720.17

St. Mirren 87%Draw 11%Livingston 2%

Most likely score 2–0, 24%. Final score 1–0, 18%.

Livingston goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+6%1%5%6%5%9%2%3%18%24%18%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTRichardson on for Idowu and Mandron on for Nlundulu, 67'O'Hara on for McMenamin and Tanser on for John, 83'Winter on for Bokila and Shinnie on for May, 68'Muirhead on for Yengi, 77'McLennan on for Montano, 78'Smith on for Tait, 83'Mandron 72'St. Mirren 2.23Livingston 0.2401230153045607590HTRichardson on for Idowu and Mandron on for Nlundulu, 67'O'Hara on for McMenamin and Tanser on for John, 83'Winter on for Bokila and Shinnie on for May, 68'Muirhead on for Yengi, 77'McLennan on for Montano, 78'Smith on for Tait, 83'Mandron 72'2.230.24St. MirrenLivingston

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. MirrenLivingston

2.23 +1.12xG0.24 −0.86
0.62 −0.29xG on target0.00 −1.13
16 +3.9Shots4 −5.9
4 +0.5Shots on target0 −3.6
5 +3.5Big chances1 −0.4
33 +10Touches in the opposition box10 −10
58% +15Possession42% −4
478 +150Passes351 −24
77% +6Pass accuracy72% −2
66% +20Field tilt34% −9
64 +28Final-third entries44 +10
19 +8.3Box entries5 −3.6
17.9 0Passes per defensive action14.1 +1
7 +1.1Corners4 −0.6
5 −8Tackles17 −1
5 −1.7Interceptions9 +0.8
20 −11Clearances52 +18
0 −3.3Saves2 −0.5
9 −4Fouls13 −3
2 +0.1Offsides1 −0.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Mirren

Ayunga 8', 0.58 xGAyunga 25', 0.23 xGPhillips 63', 0.23 xGAyunga 8', 0.22 xGAyunga 8', 0.17 xGAyunga 28', 0.14 xGNlundulu 8', 0.11 xGNlundulu 41', 0.08 xGFraser 81', 0.06 xGNlundulu 5', 0.04 xGMcMenamin 65', 0.04 xGMcMenamin 16', 0.03 xGTanser 90+5', 0.03 xGIdowu 37', 0.02 xGKing 81', 0.02 xGMandron 72', 0.22 xG, goal46%1.02 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 1.02 xG, 1 goal36%0.81 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.81 xG, 0 goals13%0.30 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.30 xG, 0 goals4%0.10 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Livingston

Bokila 34', 0.07 xGBokila 11', 0.06 xGBrenet 90+5', 0.06 xGSylla 14', 0.05 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals74%0.17 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals26%0.06 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.06 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. MirrenLivingston

0.61 7 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.19 3 shots, 0 goals
0.46 2 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
1.16 7 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.05 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
72 min (76%) · St. Mirren 2.11, Livingston 0.17 xG
St. Mirren ahead
23 min (24%) · St. Mirren 0.12, Livingston 0.06 xG

Line-ups

1225211088141324711GeorgeFraserKingFreckletonMcMenaminPhillipsNlunduluGogicJohnIdowuAyunga83'67'83'67'St. Mirren 3-5-2Stephen Robinson283019272625241881739PriorBrenetFinlaysonWilsonMontanoTaitSyllaBokilaPittmanMayYengiYellow card78'83'68'68'77'Livingston 4-2-3-1David Martindale

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 67' Richardson for Idowu
  • 67' Mandron for Nlundulu · goal 72'
  • 83' O'Hara for McMenamin
  • 83' Tanser for John

Livingston substitutes

  • 68' Shinnie for May
  • 68' Winter for Bokila
  • 77' Muirhead for Yengi
  • 78' McLennan for Montano
  • 83' Smith for Tait

Players

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GeorgeGK900.000.0000.0320
FraserCB900.060.2110.37184
KingCB900.020.0500.23137
FreckletonCB900.000.1500.32127
McMenaminRWB830.070.0300.0643
PhillipsCM900.230.1320.1044
NlunduluCM670.220.0330.0011
GogicCM900.000.0410.0533
JohnLWB8310.000.7830.2871
IdowuST670.020.2510.1421
AyungaST901.350.0210.0030
RichardsonMF230.000.000−0.0110
MandronFW2310.220.021−0.0401
O'HaraMF70.000.0000.0001
TanserMF70.030.0300.0810

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
PriorGK900.000.0000.0454
BrenetRB900.060.0200.0345
Finlayson CB900.000.0100.05711
WilsonCB900.000.0100.11916
MontanoLB780.000.1310.1666
TaitDM830.000.0500.0946
SyllaDM900.050.0000.03411
BokilaRW680.130.0000.0111
PittmanAM900.000.0100.00314
MayLW680.000.1200.1155
YengiST770.000.041−0.0731
ShinnieMF220.000.0300.0113
WinterFW220.000.0000.0011
MuirheadFW130.000.0000.0111
McLennanMF120.000.000−0.0111
SmithFW70.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Mirren

Freckleton and Fraser: 5 passesFraser and Ayunga: 5 passesMcMenamin and Idowu: 5 passesKing and Idowu: 6 passesGeorge and Fraser: 7 passesFreckleton and Phillips: 7 passesGogic and McMenamin: 7 passesPhillips and John: 7 passesPhillips and Ayunga: 8 passesGeorge and King: 9 passesKing and McMenamin: 9 passesFraser and Gogic: 9 passesMcMenamin and Phillips: 9 passesKing and Gogic: 10 passesKing and Phillips: 10 passesFraser and Phillips: 10 passesFraser and Nlundulu: 10 passesGogic and John: 10 passesFreckleton and Idowu: 11 passesFreckleton and Gogic: 12 passesMcMenamin and Nlundulu: 12 passesFraser and McMenamin: 14 passesFreckleton and John: 16 passesKing and Freckleton: 19 passesKing and Fraser: 23 passesGeorge: 16 completed passesKing: 52 completed passesFreckleton: 45 completed passesFraser: 48 completed passesGogic: 29 completed passesMcMenamin: 29 completed passesIdowu: 17 completed passesPhillips: 34 completed passesJohn: 24 completed passesNlundulu: 16 completed passesAyunga: 14 completed passes1521221310788241411GeorgeKingFreckletonFraserGogicMcMenaminIdowuPhillipsJohnNlunduluAyungaStarters until 67' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Livingston

Prior and Sylla: 4 passesFinlayson and Tait: 4 passesMontano and Bokila: 4 passesWilson and Yengi: 5 passesFinlayson and Pittman: 5 passesBrenet and Yengi: 5 passesMontano and May: 5 passesPittman and Tait: 6 passesYengi and Bokila: 6 passesMay and Yengi: 7 passesSylla and Brenet: 8 passesWilson and Finlayson: 8 passesFinlayson and Montano: 8 passesBrenet and Pittman: 8 passesPrior and Finlayson: 9 passesPrior and Wilson: 10 passesSylla and Wilson: 12 passesPrior: 23 completed passesSylla: 17 completed passesWilson: 22 completed passesFinlayson: 23 completed passesBrenet: 18 completed passesPittman: 19 completed passesTait: 12 completed passesMontano: 15 completed passesMay: 11 completed passesYengi: 15 completed passesBokila: 7 completed passes282427193082526173918PriorSyllaWilsonFinlaysonBrenetPittmanTaitMontanoMayYengiBokilaStarters until 68' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
KingFraser14
FreckletonJohn13
FraserMcMenamin13
KingFreckleton13
FraserKing11

Livingston

FromToPasses
PriorWilson10
FinlaysonWilson8
WilsonSylla8
SyllaWilson8
BrenetShinnie8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Mirren

3−1.59+1.5170.05−1.73−1.84−1.95−1.16−1.25−0.46+1.240.04+1.01−2.82−1.73−0.73−0.13+0.11−1.16+3.15+2.52−0.10−1.71−0.71−2.00−0.90−0.52+0.90−0.10−0.54−3.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 15 matches

Livingston

8+2.48+1.226+9.89+1.88+2.711+3.68−0.212+5.09+0.610+1.45+0.23−1.62−1.66−0.29+2.64+0.34−0.35+2.33−1.16+1.81−1.50−1.81−0.51−0.95+2.10−1.51+0.71+0.20−0.50−1.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 16 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Mirren

0.010.020.020.030.010.020.010.020.030.060.010.030.140.070.030.140.060.010.030.020.030.190.020.250.34LessMore

Livingston

0.010.020.030.010.030.090.020.030.010.010.030.020.020.020.03−0.030.01−0.01−0.01−0.05−0.010.130.15LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.33AttackSt. Mirren1.17 → 1.19Livingston1.03 → 0.99Defence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.41 → 1.36Livingston1.63 → 1.66

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Mirren
Top six11%15%+4
11th7%4%−3
Bottom3%1%−2
Livingston
Bottom42%48%+6
Dundee FC
11th32%35%+3
Bottom36%33%−3
Kilmarnock
Top six2%1%−1
11th22%23%+1
Bottom16%14%−2

From the forecast before the match (20 December 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. MirrenLivingston
Expected goals1.670.97
Win53%21%
Expected Points1.850.89
Clean sheet38%19%

St. Mirren 53%Draw 25%Livingston 21%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 51%.

Livingston goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+8%6%3%1%6%2%5%2%6%5%3%2%2%1%11%12%10%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 20 December 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Mirren winDrawLivingston win
St. Mirren
Top six11%15%7%5%
11th7%4%10%11%
Bottom3%1%4%6%
Livingston
Bottom42%48%41%29%
Dundee FC
11th32%35%29%28%
Bottom36%33%36%42%
Kilmarnock
Top six2%1%2%1%
11th22%23%22%22%
Bottom16%14%16%18%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Mirren

  1. W2–06 DecDundee United (H)xG 1.24–1.01
  2. D3–33 DecAberdeen (A)xG 1.83–2.08
  3. L1–329 NovDundee FC (A)xG 1.39–0.68
  4. L0–122 NovCeltic (H)xG 1.53–0.88
  5. L0–38 NovHibernian (H)xG 0.78–1.62
  6. D2–229 OctHearts (H)xG 1.01–1.57

Livingston

  1. D2–213 DecDundee FC (H)xG 0.89–0.46
  2. L0–36 DecMotherwell (A)xG 0.67–2.41
  3. L0–130 NovAberdeen (H)xG 0.99–0.76
  4. L1–222 NovRangers (A)xG 1.37–1.39
  5. D1–18 NovFalkirk (A)xG 0.62–1.82
  6. D2–21 NovHibernian (H)xG 1.87–0.76

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. MirrenLivingston
Position9th12th
Played1516
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠5–⁠71–⁠6–⁠9
Points14 (0.93 per game)9 (0.56 per game)
Expected Points per game1.161.03
Goals14–⁠2217–⁠31
xG per game1.11–⁠1.431.10–⁠1.70
Home: points, xG per game1.12, 1.01–⁠1.230.71, 1.29–⁠1.25
Away: points, xG per game0.71, 1.23–⁠1.660.44, 0.95–⁠2.05
ManagerStephen Robinson (86)David Martindale (153)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.33AttackSt. Mirren1.17, 7thLivingston1.03, 11thDefence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.41, 7thLivingston1.63, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecSt. Mirren attack: 1.17Livingston attack: 1.031.171.03LivingstonSt. MirrenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecSt. Mirren defence: 1.41Livingston defence: 1.631.631.41

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. MirrenLivingston
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−22%+3%−21%+27%
Counter-attacks−53%+112%−57%−36%
Set pieces+23%−11%−39%+9%
Penalties−62%−62%+77%+112%
Headers+15%+20%−37%+3%
Left side−21%+6%−40%+40%
Centre−13%+23%−31%−7%
Right side−8%−4%−21%+34%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdLivingston concededLeft side−21%+34%Centre−13%−7%Right side−8%+40%Open play−22%+27%Counter-attacks−53%−36%Set pieces+23%+9%Headers+15%+3%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−40%−4%Centre−31%+23%Right side−21%+6%Open play−21%+3%Counter-attacks−57%+112%Set pieces−39%−11%Headers−37%+20%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenLivingston

1.11xG1.10
1.43xG against1.70
43%Possession46%
12.1Shots9.9
13.3Shots against13.2
3.5Shots on target3.6
1.5Big chances1.4
23.1Touches in the opposition box19.8
328Passes375
72%Pass accuracy74%
5.9Corners4.6
46%Field tilt43%
35.9Final-third entries33.6
10.7Box entries8.6
17.5Passes per defensive action12.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level591.171.36
Ahead180.911.71
Behind141.111.38

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level450.901.84
Ahead91.471.41
Behind361.261.60

xG by period

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.140–0
16–300.210.164–3
31–450.160.272–4
46–600.180.162–1
61–750.170.373–4
76–900.260.333–10

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.160–4
16–300.180.224–4
31–450.210.283–3
46–600.120.420–7
61–750.240.194–3
76–900.270.426–10

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTGeorge 15Fraser 13Gogic 12King 6Freckleton 14Richards… 12RichardsonMcMena… 3McMenaminPhillips 15Baccus 11Taylor 3Donnelly 3O'Hara 8McMena… 2McMenaminIdowu 2John 14Tanser 1Ayunga 8Nlundulu 6Idowu 2Mandron 143-5-2 in 12 of 15 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (12), 5-3-2 (3)

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPrior 16Finlayson 8Brenet 4Lawal 3McGowan 6Finlayson 6Sylla 2Wilson 15Blaney 3Montgomery 8Montano 5Finlayson 1Tait 9Pittman 7Sylla 8Susoho 7Carey 1Smith 10Pittman 1Montano 1Pittman 7Tait 3Susoho 2Yengi 4May 4Winter 3Bokila 7Muirhead 4Yengi 34-2-3-1 in 9 of 16 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (9), 4-3-3 (5), 3-5-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
17 February 2024Livingston1–0St. MirrenxG 0.97–2.07
25 November 2023St. Mirren1–0LivingstonxG 0.81–0.59
2 September 2023Livingston1–1St. MirrenxG 1.45–0.67
1 April 2023St. Mirren3–0LivingstonxG 3.07–1.20
28 December 2022Livingston1–1St. MirrenxG 1.59–1.36
1 October 2022St. Mirren2–1LivingstonxG 0.77–1.45

13 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 6, Livingston won 1, and 6 were drawn. Goals 14–7 and xG 1.03–0.96 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
McMenamin5513110.300.32
Nlundulu6579200.330.05
Mandron141,126220.190.11
Ayunga8770200.250.03

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Muirhead6549110.470.19
Yengi7709200.390.09
Bokila7643500.360.02
May9784020.140.20

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.