Matches › 2025/26

Aberdeen 6–2 Livingston

Saturday 24 January 2026, 15:00 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 23 · Half-time 3–2 · Referee Ross Hardie · Attendance 17,794

Aberdeen Bilalovic 9', Nisbet 45+4', 45+8', Nilsen 75', Keskinen 85', 90+2' · Milne sent off 69'

Livingston Susoho 28', Muirhead 32' · Bokila sent off 70'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Aberdeen	Livingston
Goals	6	2
xG	3.08	2.01
Expected Points	2.13	0.64

Aberdeen 63%Draw 24%Livingston 13%

Most likely score 3–2, 16%. Final score 6–2, 1%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenLivingston

3.08 +1.85xG2.01 +0.98

4.70 +3.66xG on target1.81 +0.81

17 +5Shots7 −3

7 +3.1Shots on target4 +0.5

5 +3.3Big chances3 +1.7

37 +16Touches in the opposition box16 −4

61% +13Possession39% −8

501 +103Passes331 −48

83% +5Pass accuracy72% −2

82% +38Field tilt18% −25

58 +22Final-third entries20 −15

19 +8.5Box entries6 −3.0

10.1 −5Passes per defensive action10.4 −2

8 +3.0Corners2 −2.7

14 −2Tackles19 +1

7 +0.8Interceptions15 +6.7

18 −13Clearances18 −16

2 −1.3Saves1 −1.8

16 +2Fouls13 −2

2 0.0Offsides0 −1.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Aberdeen

Livingston

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenLivingston

2.35 9 shots, 4 goalsOpen play0.05 2 shots, 0 goals

0.09 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

0.63 7 shots, 2 goalsSet pieces1.96 5 shots, 2 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–01–23–24–2

Level: 17 min (17%) · Aberdeen 0.85, Livingston 1.23 xG
Aberdeen ahead: 67 min (66%) · Aberdeen 1.22, Livingston 0.75 xG
Livingston ahead: 17 min (17%) · Aberdeen 1.01, Livingston 0.04 xG

Line-ups

Aberdeen substitutes

63' Jensen for Devlin
63' Milanovic for Bilalovic
72' Nilsen for Cameron · goal 75'
81' Clarkson for Armstrong
81' Olusanya for Nisbet · 1 assist

Livingston substitutes

46' Zimmerman for L. Smith
55' Fati for Lawal
55' Danso for Tait
65' Bokila for Muirhead · red card 70'
76' Tamm for McLennan

Players

Aberdeen

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Mitov	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	0
Devlin	RB	63			0.00	0.04	0	−0.14	2	3
Milne	CB	69			0.00	0.01	0	0.07	4	5
Knoester	CB	90			0.07	0.14	0	0.18	6	9
Frame	LB	90		1	0.00	0.53	1	0.30	17	6
Shinnie	DM	90		1	0.00	0.17	2	0.12	6	8
Cameron	DM	72			0.03	0.14	2	−0.01	3	3
Bilalovic	RW	63	1		0.23	0.02	0	0.06	4	0
Armstrong	AM	81		1	0.00	0.40	3	0.10	6	2
Keskinen	LW	90	2	1	0.74	0.52	2	0.41	16	0
Nisbet	ST	81	2		1.56	0.02	1	0.01	2	0
Jensen	DF	27			0.00	0.01	0	0.01	2	2
Milanovic	MF	27			0.09	0.08	3	0.03	2	0
Nilsen	MF	18	1		0.23	0.04	0	0.03	2	3
Clarkson	MF	9			0.08	0.01	0	0.00	3	0
Olusanya	FW	9		1	0.06	0.00	1	0.00	1	0

Livingston

Player	Pos	Min	G	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Prior	GK	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	1
Brenet	RB	90		0.00	0.04	0	0.08	3	7
Finlayson	CB	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.05	3	7
McGowan	CB	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.02	2	12
Lawal	LB	55		0.00	0.01	0	−0.01	1	6
Tait	CM	55		0.00	0.01	0	0.01	1	5
L. Smith	CM	46		0.01	0.00	0	0.00	1	1
Susoho	CM	90	1	0.72	0.01	0	0.00	1	6
McLennan	RW	76		0.40	0.00	0	0.07	4	2
Muirhead	ST	65	1	0.85	0.00	1	0.15	0	0
May	LW	90		0.02	0.17	1	0.03	3	4
Zimmerman	FW	44		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	1
Fati	DF	35		0.00	0.02	0	0.03	2	1
Danso	MF	35		0.00	0.01	0	0.04	4	4
Bokila	FW	5		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Tamm	FW	14		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

Livingston

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

From	To	Passes
Knoester	Milne	16
Frame	Keskinen	14
Shinnie	Frame	14
Frame	Armstrong	13
Shinnie	Cameron	11

Livingston

From	To	Passes
Susoho	Brenet	9
Brenet	Susoho	8
Finlayson	Brenet	8
McGowan	Fati	8
Susoho	May	7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

Against its average of 22 matches

Livingston

Against its average of 22 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

Livingston

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Aberdeen
Top six	13%	17%	+4
11th	2%	1%	−1
Bottom	<1%	<1%	0
Livingston
11th	21%	18%	−3
Bottom	73%	78%	+5
Kilmarnock
11th	50%	54%	+4
Bottom	23%	18%	−5
Falkirk
Top six	73%	70%	−3

From the forecast before the match (24 January 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Aberdeen	Livingston
Expected goals	1.77	0.93
Win	57%	19%
Expected Points	1.94	0.81
Clean sheet	40%	17%

Aberdeen 57%Draw 24%Livingston 19%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 51%.

From the forecast as it stood on 24 January 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Aberdeen win	Draw	Livingston win
Aberdeen
Top six	13%	17%	8%	6%
11th	2%	1%	2%	4%
Bottom	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%
Livingston
11th	21%	18%	22%	29%
Bottom	73%	78%	71%	59%
Kilmarnock
11th	50%	54%	49%	41%
Bottom	23%	18%	24%	34%
Falkirk
Top six	73%	70%	76%	78%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

Livingston

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Aberdeen	Livingston
Position	8th	12th
Played	22	22
Won, drawn, lost	7–⁠4–⁠11	1–⁠8–⁠13
Points	25 (1.14 per game)	11 (0.50 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.21	0.89
Goals	20–⁠28	22–⁠42
xG per game	1.23–⁠1.50	1.03–⁠1.90
Home: points, xG per game	1.18, 1.40–⁠1.37	0.64, 1.21–⁠1.72
Away: points, xG per game	1.09, 1.05–⁠1.64	0.36, 0.85–⁠2.08
Manager	Peter Leven (1)	David Martindale (159)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Aberdeen		Livingston
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−16%	−9%	−24%	+31%
Counter-attacks	+12%	+41%	−62%	+12%
Set pieces	−2%	+40%	−41%	+35%
Penalties	−40%	−10%	+50%	+110%
Headers	−34%	+30%	−32%	+17%
Left side	+12%	+14%	−37%	+26%
Centre	−18%	+6%	−35%	+27%
Right side	−12%	+16%	−26%	+42%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdLivingston concededLeft side+12%+42%Centre−18%+27%Right side−12%+26%Open play−16%+31%Counter-attacks+12%+12%Set pieces−2%+35%Headers−34%+17%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdAberdeen concededLeft side−37%+16%Centre−35%+6%Right side−26%+14%Open play−24%−9%Counter-attacks−62%+41%Set pieces−41%+40%Headers−32%+30%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenLivingston

1.23xG1.03

1.50xG against1.90

48%Possession47%

12.2Shots10.0

15.1Shots against13.8

3.9Shots on target3.5

1.7Big chances1.3

20.6Touches in the opposition box19.7

398Passes378

78%Pass accuracy74%

5.0Corners4.7

44%Field tilt43%

35.7Final-third entries35.1

10.5Box entries9.0

15.2Passes per defensive action12.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	49	1.15	1.31
Ahead	14	0.90	1.41
Behind	28	1.51	1.89

Livingston

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	45	0.93	1.95
Ahead	9	1.15	2.52
Behind	36	1.12	1.68

xG by period

Aberdeen

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.11	0.19	0–2
16–30	0.15	0.18	5–4
31–45	0.24	0.20	2–4
46–60	0.19	0.35	1–5
61–75	0.23	0.27	5–5
76–90	0.30	0.30	7–8

Livingston

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.08	0.34	2–6
16–30	0.15	0.23	4–5
31–45	0.25	0.36	4–6
46–60	0.11	0.36	1–7
61–75	0.21	0.24	4–5
76–90	0.23	0.37	7–13

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (8), 3-4-2-1 (7), 3-4-3 (4), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

Livingston

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (11), 4-3-3 (9), 3-5-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
30 November 2025	Livingston	0–1	Aberdeen	xG 0.99–0.76
13 September 2025	Aberdeen	0–0	Livingston	xG 1.22–0.56
15 May 2024	Aberdeen	5–1	Livingston	xG 1.77–1.65
6 April 2024	Livingston	0–0	Aberdeen	xG 0.76–0.92
20 December 2023	Aberdeen	2–1	Livingston	xG 1.00–1.53
5 August 2023	Livingston	0–0	Aberdeen	xG 0.76–0.70

17 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 9, Livingston won 4, and 4 were drawn. Goals 25–13 and xG 1.49–1.00 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Karlsson	16	1,292	5	0	0.34	0.12
Armstrong	16	1,373	1	3	0.16	0.20
Nisbet	11	956	1	1	0.19	0.14
Aouchiche	16	1,280	3	0	0.23	0.09

Livingston

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Muirhead	7	699	2	1	0.51	0.18
Yengi	11	1,054	2	0	0.30	0.08
McLennan	5	543	2	0	0.25	0.10
Bokila	9	819	5	0	0.33	0.02

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.