Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Rangers 0–0 Falkirk

Sunday 30 November 2025, 14:00 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 14 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Steven McLean · Attendance 50,288

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

RangersFalkirk
Goals00
xG2.240.12
Expected Points2.860.08

Rangers 93%Draw 6%Falkirk 0%

Most likely score 2–0, 31%. Final score 0–0, 3%.

Falkirk goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+3%21%3%4%22%3%9%1%2%31%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTGassama on for Antman and Meghoma on for Aarons, 57'Danilo on for Aasgaard, 68'Curtis on for Bajrami, 75'Diomande on for Barron, 76'Agyeman on for Graham and Arfield on for Miller, 60'Hart on for Adams, 70'Ross on for Wilson and Edwards on for Lissah, 82'Rangers 2.24Falkirk 0.1201230153045607590HTGassama on for Antman and Meghoma on for Aarons, 57'Danilo on for Aasgaard, 68'Curtis on for Bajrami, 75'Diomande on for Barron, 76'Agyeman on for Graham and Arfield on for Miller, 60'Hart on for Adams, 70'Ross on for Wilson and Edwards on for Lissah, 82'2.240.12RangersFalkirk

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

RangersFalkirk

2.24 +1.00xG0.12 −1.16
2.20 +0.35xG on target0.09 −1.25
14 0Shots5 −7
4 −1.0Shots on target2 −2.5
4 +2.4Big chances0 −2.2
30 +3Touches in the opposition box17 −3
61% −2Possession39% −12
536 −4Passes347 −50
85% 0Pass accuracy74% −1
81% +14Field tilt19% −30
59 +5Final-third entries15 −20
15 0Box entries8 −3
10.4 0Passes per defensive action19.1 +6
4 −2.9Corners5 +0.5
16 0Tackles20 +2
11 +3.5Interceptions5 −3.4
32 +8Clearances29 −2
2 −0.8Saves4 0.0
11 −2Fouls17 +4
2 +0.4Offsides3 +0.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Rangers

Bajrami 66', 0.83 xGMiovski 77', 0.36 xGAasgaard 62', 0.24 xGAasgaard 62', 0.15 xGGassama 66', 0.13 xGMiovski 49', 0.10 xGBarron 45+1', 0.07 xGAasgaard 14', 0.06 xGDanilo 71', 0.06 xGBarron 5', 0.05 xGBajrami 43', 0.05 xGGassama 58', 0.05 xGAntman 20', 0.04 xGFernandez 90+4', 0.03 xG71%1.58 xGSix-yard box: 5 shots, 1.58 xG, 0 goals14%0.32 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.32 xG, 0 goals8%0.18 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals7%0.16 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Falkirk

Miller 13', 0.06 xGAgyeman 65', 0.02 xGWilliams 74', 0.01 xGWilliams 83', 0.01 xGAgyeman 87', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGCentral box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals82%0.09 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals9%0.01 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals9%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

RangersFalkirk

0.95 9 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.03 2 shots, 0 goals
0.97 2 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.06 1 shot, 0 goals
0.33 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.03 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
95 min (100%) · Rangers 2.24, Falkirk 0.12 xG

Line-ups

122437343818111428ButlandTavernierDjigaFernandezAaronsRaskinBarronAntmanAasgaardBajramiMiovski57'76'57'68'75'Rangers 4-2-3-1Danny Röhl192205282182229247BainAdamsAllanHendersonLissahTaitSpencerWilsonMillerWilliamsGrahamYellow cardYellow cardYellow card70'82'82'60'60'Falkirk 4-2-3-1John McGlynn

Rangers substitutes

  • 57' Meghoma for Aarons
  • 57' Gassama for Antman
  • 68' Danilo for Aasgaard
  • 75' Curtis for Bajrami
  • 76' Diomande for Barron

Falkirk substitutes

  • 60' Arfield for Miller
  • 60' Agyeman for Graham
  • 70' Hart for Adams
  • 82' Edwards for Lissah
  • 82' Ross for Wilson

Players

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ButlandGK900.000.0000.0322
TavernierRB900.000.3930.29126
DjigaCB900.000.0100.06413
FernandezCB900.030.0400.08913
AaronsLB570.000.0810.2053
RaskinDM900.000.0610.16123
BarronDM760.130.0200.0430
AntmanRW570.040.2320.2150
AasgaardAM680.450.041−0.0324
BajramiLW750.880.3820.3763
MiovskiST900.460.0300.0313
MeghomaDF330.000.0100.0354
GassamaFW330.190.0810.0831
DaniloFW220.060.4610.1612
CurtisFW150.000.0000.0004
DiomandeMF140.000.0000.0110

Falkirk

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
Bain GK900.000.0000.0122
AdamsRB700.000.0000.0125
Allan CB900.000.0000.04414
HendersonCB900.000.0000.0004
LissahLB820.000.0000.0245
Tait DM900.000.0200.0443
SpencerDM900.000.000−0.0111
WilsonRW820.000.0010.0016
MillerAM600.060.0100.0542
WilliamsLW900.030.0720.0844
GrahamST600.000.0100.0112
ArfieldMF300.000.0100.0101
AgyemanFW300.030.0000.0431
HartDF200.000.0000.0103
EdwardsDF80.000.0000.0002
RossFW80.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Rangers

Tavernier and Barron: 6 passesFernandez and Barron: 6 passesDjiga and Aarons: 7 passesFernandez and Aasgaard: 7 passesRaskin and Bajrami: 7 passesRaskin and Miovski: 7 passesBarron and Bajrami: 7 passesAasgaard and Bajrami: 8 passesDjiga and Antman: 9 passesAarons and Raskin: 9 passesRaskin and Barron: 9 passesButland and Djiga: 10 passesButland and Fernandez: 10 passesDjiga and Raskin: 10 passesFernandez and Raskin: 10 passesAarons and Aasgaard: 10 passesRaskin and Antman: 11 passesBarron and Antman: 11 passesDjiga and Barron: 12 passesTavernier and Raskin: 14 passesTavernier and Antman: 14 passesAarons and Barron: 14 passesAarons and Bajrami: 18 passesTavernier and Djiga: 20 passesFernandez and Aarons: 20 passesDjiga and Fernandez: 38 passesButland: 15 completed passesTavernier: 35 completed passesDjiga: 60 completed passesFernandez: 53 completed passesAarons: 47 completed passesRaskin: 41 completed passesBarron: 36 completed passesAntman: 24 completed passesAasgaard: 21 completed passesBajrami: 19 completed passesMiovski: 12 completed passes122437343818111428ButlandTavernierDjigaFernandezAaronsRaskinBarronAntmanAasgaardBajramiMiovskiStarters until 57' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Falkirk

Bain and Adams: 4 passesAdams and Miller: 4 passesLissah and Spencer: 4 passesLissah and Williams: 4 passesMiller and Williams: 4 passesSpencer and Miller: 5 passesWilson and Miller: 5 passesLissah and Tait: 6 passesAdams and Tait: 7 passesLissah and Miller: 7 passesBain and Spencer: 8 passesAllan and Spencer: 8 passesAllan and Tait: 9 passesTait and Wilson: 9 passesHenderson and Spencer: 10 passesAllan and Henderson: 11 passesAdams and Allan: 13 passesHenderson and Lissah: 13 passesBain and Allan: 15 passesBain and Henderson: 19 passesBain: 30 completed passesAdams: 17 completed passesAllan: 31 completed passesHenderson: 34 completed passesLissah: 23 completed passesTait: 22 completed passesSpencer: 22 completed passesWilson: 11 completed passesMiller: 13 completed passesWilliams: 9 completed passesGraham: 6 completed passes192205282182229247BainAdamsAllanHendersonLissahTaitSpencerWilsonMillerWilliamsGrahamStarters until 60' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Rangers

FromToPasses
FernandezDjiga27
DjigaFernandez20
DjigaTavernier14
AaronsFernandez12
ButlandFernandez11

Falkirk

FromToPasses
BainHenderson13
AllanBain10
BainAllan10
HendersonAllan9
AllanTait9

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Rangers

4+0.73−1.814+2.48+3.110+4.97+1.74−1.94−0.85−2.25−3.56+1.83−1.81−3.96+1.37+1.25+2.12−1.76+3.25+0.911+6.84+1.12+0.72+0.30−1.56+3.50−0.32+1.41−0.21+0.50−1.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 12 matches

Falkirk

9+1.414+7.112−2.66−1.46+1.015+6.48+1.612+5.55−2.05−3.55−2.59+4.52−0.84−0.29+2.22−2.66+2.11−1.12−0.54−0.12−2.20−1.50−1.120.01−1.71+0.21+0.80−0.62+1.91+0.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 13 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Rangers

0.010.010.030.020.020.010.030.030.040.040.040.050.070.080.110.010.080.080.140.010.020.070.410.32LessMore

Falkirk

0.010.010.010.020.010.010.010.010.010.010.020.020.02−0.010.030.030.020.020.030.02LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackRangers1.69 → 1.70Falkirk1.20 → 1.15Defence (lower is better)Rangers1.06 → 1.02Falkirk1.45 → 1.46

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Rangers
Title3%2%−1
Top six99%99%0
Falkirk
Top six52%55%+3
11th3%2%−1
Bottom1%1%0
Aberdeen
Top six30%28%−2
11th5%5%0
Bottom2%2%0
Dundee United
Top six21%20%−1
11th8%7%−1

From the forecast before the match (30 November 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

RangersFalkirk
Expected goals2.120.84
Win66%13%
Expected Points2.200.60
Clean sheet43%12%

Rangers 66%Draw 20%Falkirk 13%

Most likely score 2–0, 12%. Both sides score 50%.

Falkirk goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+6%4%2%4%1%4%1%8%7%3%4%4%2%2%2%11%10%12%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 30 November 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRangers winDrawFalkirk win
Rangers
Title3%4%2%1%
Top six99%>99%99%98%
Falkirk
Top six52%47%55%68%
11th3%4%2%1%
Bottom1%2%1%<1%
Aberdeen
Top six30%31%28%26%
11th5%5%5%5%
Bottom2%2%2%2%
Dundee United
Top six21%22%20%18%
11th8%8%7%9%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Rangers

  1. W2–122 NovLivingston (H)xG 1.39–1.37
  2. W3–09 NovDundee FC (A)xG 0.85–0.43
  3. W1–029 OctHibernian (A)xG 0.52–2.01
  4. W3–126 OctKilmarnock (H)xG 1.36–1.04
  5. D2–218 OctDundee United (H)xG 1.62–0.87
  6. D1–15 OctFalkirk (A)xG 1.09–1.43

Falkirk

  1. W3–022 NovDundee United (A)xG 1.78–0.74
  2. D1–18 NovLivingston (H)xG 1.82–0.62
  3. W3–11 NovKilmarnock (H)xG 2.08–0.43
  4. L0–429 OctCeltic (A)xG 0.47–4.29
  5. W2–125 OctDundee FC (H)xG 1.08–1.21
  6. W2–118 OctMotherwell (A)xG 1.35–1.01

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

RangersFalkirk
Position5th6th
Played1213
Won, drawn, lost5–⁠6–⁠15–⁠4–⁠4
Points21 (1.75 per game)19 (1.46 per game)
Expected Points per game1.401.36
Goals17–⁠1119–⁠21
xG per game1.24–⁠1.161.28–⁠1.47
Home: points, xG per game1.50, 1.27–⁠1.031.43, 1.47–⁠1.22
Away: points, xG per game2.00, 1.20–⁠1.291.50, 1.05–⁠1.75
ManagerDanny Röhl (4)John McGlynn (13)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackRangers1.69, 2ndFalkirk1.20, 7thDefence (lower is better)Rangers1.06, 2ndFalkirk1.45, 8th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovRangers attack: 1.69Falkirk attack: 1.201.691.20FalkirkRangersDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovRangers defence: 1.06Falkirk defence: 1.451.451.06

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

RangersFalkirk
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+8%−32%+5%+13%
Counter-attacks−80%−13%+10%+29%
Set pieces−11%+18%−13%−3%
Penalties−11%−11%−59%−18%
Headersaverage−11%−21%+26%
Left side+4%−13%−43%−23%
Centre−6%−17%−11%+19%
Right side−29%−14%+70%+26%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdFalkirk concededLeft side+4%+26%Centre−6%+19%Right side−29%−23%Open play+8%+13%Counter-attacks−80%+29%Set pieces−11%−3%Headersaverage+26%

Falkirk attacking

Falkirk createdRangers concededLeft side−43%−14%Centre−11%−17%Right side+70%−13%Open play+5%−32%Counter-attacks+10%−13%Set pieces−13%+18%Headers−21%−11%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersFalkirk

1.24xG1.28
1.16xG against1.47
63%Possession51%
13.9Shots11.8
10.2Shots against13.7
5.0Shots on target4.5
1.6Big chances2.2
26.8Touches in the opposition box19.8
540Passes397
85%Pass accuracy76%
6.9Corners4.5
66%Field tilt49%
54.1Final-third entries34.7
15.5Box entries10.6
10.7Passes per defensive action12.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level391.310.97
Ahead370.901.33
Behind141.901.24

Falkirk

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level411.431.63
Ahead211.070.67
Behind281.221.82

xG by period

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.200.086–0
16–300.220.242–2
31–450.300.101–2
46–600.140.211–1
61–750.070.221–4
76–900.300.326–2

Falkirk

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.240.142–0
16–300.260.383–6
31–450.200.382–6
46–600.190.223–2
61–750.220.206–4
76–900.160.153–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTButland 12Tavernier 9Aarons 2Djiga 1Djiga 6Fernandez 2Souttar 11Cornelius 5Meghoma 8Cornelius 1Miovski 1Diomande 6Barron 4Rothwell 4Raskin 8Aasgaard 2Antman 5Gassama 3Danilo 2Aasgaard 4Cameron 2Raskin 1Gassama 7Moore 4Meghoma 1Miovski 6Danilo 3Aasgaard 14-2-3-1 in 7 of 12 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (7), 3-4-3 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 3-5-2 (1)

Falkirk

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTBain 13Adams 13Neilson 6Allan 5Lissah 1Henderson 13McCann 6Lissah 5Neilson 1Spencer 13Cartwright 5Tait 8Wilson 6Miller 4Arfield 2Tait 4Williams 3Miller 3Miller 6Williams 4Ross 2MacIver 9Graham 3Samuel-Ogunsuyi 14-2-3-1 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
5 October 2025Falkirk1–1RangersxG 1.43–1.09

1 league meeting since 2020/21: Rangers won 0, Falkirk won 0, and 1 was a draw. Goals 1–1 and xG 1.09–1.43 per game.

Key players

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Tavernier9901430.270.24
Miovski7552110.310.10
Antman5471010.070.30
Aasgaard7590110.210.11

Falkirk

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
MacIver9661310.410.12
Miller13993330.270.21
Williams8667130.210.15
Tait12968100.100.10

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.