Matches › 2025/26

Motherwell 2–2 Kilmarnock

Saturday 30 August 2025, 15:00 · Fir Park · Round 4 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee Dan McFarlane · Attendance 6,230

Motherwell Maswanhise 45+1', Longelo 62'

Kilmarnock Daniels 19', Stanger 82'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Motherwell	Kilmarnock
Goals	2	2
xG	1.76	1.20
Expected Points	1.76	0.95

Motherwell 49%Draw 29%Kilmarnock 22%

Most likely score 1–1, 16%. Final score 2–2, 9%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

MotherwellKilmarnock

1.76 +0.36xG1.20 +0.21

2.01 +0.59xG on target2.13 +1.22

15 +4Shots7 −3

4 +0.3Shots on target5 +2.0

1 −1.3Big chances2 0.0

35 +13Touches in the opposition box13 −6

74% +22Possession26% −17

673 +213Passes237 −129

88% +7Pass accuracy69% −6

82% +34Field tilt18% −21

73 +36Final-third entries20 −10

19 +7.0Box entries7 −2.3

6.4 −7Passes per defensive action13.3 −1

9 +6.3Corners0 −5.7

8 −8Tackles23 +2

8 0.0Interceptions13 +4.3

10 −15Clearances28 −10

3 −1.7Saves3 0.0

17 +5Fouls18 +4

4 +1.0Offsides0 −2.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Motherwell

Kilmarnock

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

MotherwellKilmarnock

0.44 7 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.37 3 shots, 1 goal

0.83 3 shots, 1 goalCounter-attacks0.09 2 shots, 0 goals

0.49 5 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.74 2 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–11–12–12–2

Level: 50 min (52%) · Motherwell 0.43, Kilmarnock 0.53 xG
Motherwell ahead: 20 min (21%) · Motherwell 0.18, Kilmarnock 0.62 xG
Kilmarnock ahead: 27 min (28%) · Motherwell 1.15, Kilmarnock 0.06 xG

Line-ups

Motherwell substitutes

73' Priestman for Watt
73' Charles-Cook for Said
74' Hendry for Maswanhise
88' Koutroumbis for O'Donnell
90+5' Balmer for Just

Kilmarnock substitutes

46' Lowery for Lyons
46' Dackers for Daniels · yellow card 90+3'
70' Magennis for Anderson · yellow card 84'
70' McKenzie for Polworth
83' Watkins for Stanger

Players

Motherwell

Player	Pos	Min	G	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Ward	GK	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.05	4	1
O'Donnell	RB	88		0.00	0.11	1	0.12	8	3
Gordon	CB	90		0.01	0.20	1	0.08	4	0
McGinn	CB	90		0.00	0.01	0	0.12	8	6
Longelo	LB	90	1	0.09	0.30	1	0.20	18	5
Just	CM	90		0.12	0.08	1	0.11	10	2
Watt	CM	73		0.00	0.21	4	0.17	18	5
Fadinger	CM	90		0.04	0.03	0	0.03	4	3
Maswanhise	RW	74	1	0.75	0.02	0	−0.02	0	0
Stamatelopoulos	ST	90		0.53	0.10	1	0.18	1	0
Said	LW	73		0.15	0.10	2	0.22	7	0
Priestman	MF	17		0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	1	0
Charles-Cook	FW	17		0.00	0.03	0	0.02	3	0
Hendry	FW	16		0.07	0.00	0	0.01	0	1
Koutroumbis	DF	2		0.00	0.00	0	0.01	2	0
Balmer	DF	0		0.00	0.00	0	–	–	0

Kilmarnock

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Stryjek	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	4	1
Brannan	RWB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.02	5	8
Stanger	CB	83	1		0.62	0.00	0	0.03	4	4
Mayo	CB	90			0.00	0.05	1	0.09	3	8
Deas	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.05	5	14
Thompson	LWB	90			0.00	0.06	1	0.17	5	10
Watson	CM	90			0.00	0.03	1	0.06	2	8
Lyons	CM	46		1	0.00	0.17	2	0.18	0	3
Polworth	CM	70			0.04	0.03	0	0.02	0	4
Daniels	ST	46	1		0.36	0.00	0	0.00	0	2
Anderson	ST	70			0.05	0.00	0	−0.09	0	2
Lowery	MF	44			0.00	0.00	0	−0.03	1	4
Dackers	FW	44			0.12	0.01	0	−0.06	0	2
Magennis	MF	20			0.00	0.14	1	0.02	0	0
McKenzie	MF	20			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	2
Watkins	FW	7			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Motherwell

Kilmarnock

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Motherwell

From	To	Passes
McGinn	Longelo	24
Gordon	Watt	19
McGinn	Ward	18
Ward	McGinn	17
McGinn	Watt	17

Kilmarnock

From	To	Passes
Mayo	Stanger	9
Stanger	Brannan	7
Brannan	Stanger	6
Mayo	Stryjek	6
Lyons	Brannan	5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Motherwell

Against its average of 3 matches

Kilmarnock

Against its average of 3 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Motherwell

Kilmarnock

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Motherwell
Top six	53%	49%	−4
11th	4%	4%	0
Bottom	1%	1%	0
Kilmarnock
Top six	37%	37%	0
11th	7%	7%	0
Bottom	3%	2%	−1

From the forecast before the match (30 August 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Motherwell	Kilmarnock
Expected goals	1.54	1.13
Win	46%	27%
Expected Points	1.65	1.08
Clean sheet	32%	21%

Motherwell 46%Draw 27%Kilmarnock 27%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 54%.

From the forecast as it stood on 30 August 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Motherwell win	Draw	Kilmarnock win
Motherwell
Top six	53%	62%	49%	43%
11th	4%	2%	4%	5%
Bottom	1%	1%	1%	2%
Kilmarnock
Top six	37%	30%	37%	50%
11th	7%	9%	7%	4%
Bottom	3%	3%	2%	2%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Motherwell

Kilmarnock

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Motherwell	Kilmarnock
Position	5th	6th
Played	3	3
Won, drawn, lost	0–⁠3–⁠0	0–⁠3–⁠0
Points	3 (1.00 per game)	3 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.26	1.16
Goals	4–⁠4	4–⁠4
xG per game	1.40–⁠1.45	0.99–⁠1.29
Home: points, xG per game	1.00, 2.15–⁠0.83	1.00, 1.01–⁠1.04
Away: points, xG per game	1.00, 1.02–⁠1.76	1.00, 0.94–⁠1.77
Manager	Jens Berthel Askou (3)	Stuart Kettlewell (3)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Motherwell		Kilmarnock
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	+13%	+5%	−15%	−12%
Counter-attacks	−7%	+46%	−31%	+48%
Set pieces	−6%	+39%	+7%	+5%
Penalties	−81%	−53%	−25%	+71%
Headers	+14%	+20%	+9%	−1%
Left side	+12%	+13%	−25%	+25%
Centre	−23%	+31%	−11%	−18%
Right side	+52%	−1%	+8%	average

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdKilmarnock concededLeft side+12%averageCentre−23%−18%Right side+52%+25%Open play+13%−12%Counter-attacks−7%+48%Set pieces−6%+5%Headers+14%−1%

Kilmarnock attacking

Kilmarnock createdMotherwell concededLeft side−25%−1%Centre−11%+31%Right side+8%+13%Open play−15%+5%Counter-attacks−31%+46%Set pieces+7%+39%Headers+9%+20%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

MotherwellKilmarnock

1.40xG0.99

1.45xG against1.29

52%Possession43%

11.3Shots10.0

14.3Shots against11.0

3.7Shots on target3.0

2.3Big chances2.0

21.7Touches in the opposition box19.3

460Passes366

81%Pass accuracy76%

2.7Corners5.7

48%Field tilt39%

36.7Final-third entries30.0

12.0Box entries9.3

13.4Passes per defensive action13.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Motherwell

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	45	0.62	1.68
Ahead	21	1.77	2.12
Behind	24	2.52	0.47

Kilmarnock

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	65	0.83	0.69
Ahead	16	0.94	3.09
Behind	9	2.19	2.35

xG by period

Motherwell

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.00	0.20	0–1
16–30	0.22	0.04	1–0
31–45	0.13	0.06	0–0
46–60	0.36	0.07	1–0
61–75	0.44	0.35	1–2
76–90	0.25	0.73	1–1

Kilmarnock

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.04	0.13	0–0
16–30	0.10	0.34	0–2
31–45	0.42	0.11	3–0
46–60	0.14	0.05	1–0
61–75	0.24	0.31	0–1
76–90	0.05	0.34	0–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Motherwell

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (2), 4-3-3 (1)

Kilmarnock

Formations: 5-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
14 May 2025	Motherwell	3–0	Kilmarnock	xG 2.57–0.53
5 April 2025	Kilmarnock	2–0	Motherwell	xG 1.22–0.18
8 January 2025	Kilmarnock	0–0	Motherwell	xG 1.72–0.39
20 December 2024	Motherwell	1–1	Kilmarnock	xG 0.76–1.03
3 February 2024	Motherwell	1–1	Kilmarnock	xG 1.14–0.24
4 November 2023	Kilmarnock	1–0	Motherwell	xG 1.95–0.61

15 league meetings since 2020/21: Motherwell won 5, Kilmarnock won 5, and 5 were drawn. Goals 17–17 and xG 1.09–1.09 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Stamatelopoulos	15	1,064	5	1	0.37	0.04
Slattery	15	1,281	7	1	0.14	0.13
Maswanhise	20	1,836	7	3	0.20	0.07
Halliday	35	2,651	3	2	0.12	0.11

Kilmarnock

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Anderson	15	1,537	11	1	0.65	0.05
Watson	26	2,398	5	1	0.13	0.06
Polworth	19	1,782	3	1	0.08	0.11
Lyons	33	2,783	1	1	0.08	0.07

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.