Matches › 2024/25

Motherwell 3–0 Kilmarnock

Wednesday 14 May 2025, 19:45 · Fir Park · Round 37 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Duncan Nicolson · Attendance 4,941

Motherwell Armstrong 77', 86', Slattery 83'

Kilmarnock Deas sent off 29'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Motherwell	Kilmarnock
Goals	3	0
xG	2.57	0.53
Expected Points	2.69	0.20

Motherwell 86%Draw 11%Kilmarnock 3%

Most likely score 2–0, 18%. Final score 3–0, 16%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

MotherwellKilmarnock

2.57 +1.48xG0.53 −0.87

3.15 +2.01xG on target0.58 −0.72

24 +14.3Shots13 +0.3

8 +4.8Shots on target3 −0.9

4 +2.1Big chances0 −2.1

38 +20Touches in the opposition box15 −7

69% +28Possession31% −13

572 +255Passes264 −43

89% +19Pass accuracy72% +6

75% +41Field tilt25% −19

68 +42Final-third entries32 0

25 +17.6Box entries5 −5.2

10.8 −8Passes per defensive action19.7 +5

5 +0.7Corners4 −1.6

11 −5Tackles18 +3

7 −1.0Interceptions10 +1.1

26 −8Clearances28 −9

3 −0.6Saves5 +2.5

11 0Fouls7 −4

2 +0.3Offsides1 −0.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Motherwell

Kilmarnock

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

MotherwellKilmarnock

1.81 20 shots, 3 goalsOpen play0.21 7 shots, 0 goals

0.75 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.32 6 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–03–0

Level: 80 min (83%) · Motherwell 2.30, Kilmarnock 0.41 xG
Motherwell ahead: 16 min (17%) · Motherwell 0.26, Kilmarnock 0.12 xG

Line-ups

Motherwell substitutes

46' Armstrong for Paton · goal 77', goal 86'
63' Ebiye for Watt · 1 assist
78' Thompson for Sparrow
88' Zdravkovski for Miller
88' Dickson for Slattery

Kilmarnock substitutes

46' McKenzie for Anderson · off 60'
46' Watkins for Vassell
60' Polworth for McKenzie
71' Ramsay for Armstrong
89' Burke for Murray

Players

Motherwell

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Oxborough	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	1	0
Sparrow	RB	78			0.11	0.01	0	0.01	1	0
O'Donnell	CB	90		1	0.02	0.70	3	0.55	16	12
Casey	CB	90			0.02	0.08	2	0.18	12	9
Seddon	LB	90			0.02	0.19	1	0.54	21	6
Halliday	DM	90			0.07	0.19	1	0.13	10	8
Miller	DM	88		1	0.20	0.15	1	0.09	3	5
Paton	RW	46			0.06	0.03	1	0.07	5	1
Slattery	AM	88	1		0.22	0.23	0	0.29	10	2
Wilson	LW	90			0.16	0.06	2	0.00	4	4
Watt	ST	63			0.77	0.29	3	0.33	5	1
Armstrong	FW	44	2		0.37	0.06	0	0.03	0	2
Ebiye	FW	27		1	0.54	0.11	1	0.00	0	1
Thompson	MF	12			0.01	0.00	0	0.02	1	0
Zdravkovski	MF	2			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	0
Dickson	FW	2			0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	0

Kilmarnock

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
O'Hara	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.07	8	0
Mayo	RB	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.07	8	12
Deas	CB	29	0.00	0.00	0	0.02	1	3
Findlay	CB	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.01	5	8
Ndaba	LB	90	0.02	0.01	1	0.03	4	11
Armstrong	RM	71	0.11	0.05	2	0.04	3	4
Watson	CM	90	0.02	0.01	0	0.00	1	8
Donnelly	CM	90	0.29	0.02	1	−0.01	1	11
Murray	LM	89	0.00	0.10	2	0.04	7	4
Vassell	ST	46	0.04	0.00	0	0.01	2	0
Anderson	ST	46	0.03	0.03	1	0.00	0	0
McKenzie	MF	14	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	0
Watkins	FW	44	0.00	0.00	0	0.02	1	1
Polworth	MF	30	0.02	0.03	1	0.00	0	1
Ramsay	DF	19	0.00	0.00	0	−0.02	0	0
Burke	FW	1	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Motherwell

Kilmarnock

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Motherwell

From	To	Passes
Seddon	Wilson	23
Casey	O'Donnell	22
O'Donnell	Seddon	21
O'Donnell	Casey	21
Wilson	Seddon	20

Kilmarnock

From	To	Passes
Mayo	Watson	6
Mayo	Armstrong	6
Deas	Findlay	5
Findlay	Mayo	5
Ndaba	Findlay	5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Motherwell

Against its average of 36 matches

Kilmarnock

Against its average of 36 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Motherwell

Kilmarnock

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Motherwell	Kilmarnock
Expected goals	1.32	1.29
Win	37%	35%
Expected Points	1.38	1.34
Clean sheet	28%	27%

Motherwell 37%Draw 28%Kilmarnock 35%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 54%.

From the forecast as it stood on 14 May 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Motherwell

Kilmarnock

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Motherwell	Kilmarnock
Position	8th	9th
Played	36	36
Won, drawn, lost	13–⁠6–⁠17	12–⁠8–⁠16
Points	45 (1.25 per game)	44 (1.22 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.10	1.35
Goals	42–⁠62	45–⁠60
xG per game	1.09–⁠1.53	1.40–⁠1.42
Home: points, xG per game	1.53, 1.14–⁠1.53	1.78, 1.80–⁠1.11
Away: points, xG per game	1.00, 1.05–⁠1.53	0.67, 0.99–⁠1.73
Manager	Michael Wimmer (10)	Derek McInnes (112)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Motherwell		Kilmarnock
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−29%	+14%	−13%	+1%
Counter-attacks	−17%	−22%	−42%	−14%
Set pieces	+1%	+11%	+22%	+11%
Penalties	−60%	average	+60%	−20%
Headers	+25%	+11%	+6%	−16%
Left side	−47%	+25%	+3%	−1%
Centre	−12%	+1%	−11%	+5%
Right side	−9%	+12%	−5%	+1%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdKilmarnock concededLeft side−47%+1%Centre−12%+5%Right side−9%−1%Open play−29%+1%Counter-attacks−17%−14%Set pieces+1%+11%Headers+25%−16%

Kilmarnock attacking

Kilmarnock createdMotherwell concededLeft side+3%+12%Centre−11%+1%Right side−5%+25%Open play−13%+14%Counter-attacks−42%−22%Set pieces+22%+11%Headers+6%+11%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

MotherwellKilmarnock

1.09xG1.40

1.53xG against1.42

41%Possession44%

9.7Shots12.7

14.2Shots against12.5

3.2Shots on target3.9

1.9Big chances2.1

18.0Touches in the opposition box22.3

317Passes307

70%Pass accuracy65%

4.3Corners5.6

34%Field tilt44%

26.1Final-third entries31.6

7.4Box entries10.2

18.7Passes per defensive action14.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Motherwell

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	38	1.18	1.50
Ahead	22	1.08	1.60
Behind	30	1.00	1.53

Kilmarnock

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	39	1.45	1.43
Ahead	21	1.60	1.20
Behind	30	1.19	1.55

xG by period

Motherwell

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.13	0.22	6–8
16–30	0.22	0.22	10–10
31–45	0.15	0.29	10–9
46–60	0.15	0.32	4–13
61–75	0.13	0.16	3–9
76–90	0.31	0.32	9–13

Kilmarnock

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.23	0.24	6–7
16–30	0.21	0.20	5–9
31–45	0.16	0.25	4–9
46–60	0.19	0.23	9–9
61–75	0.25	0.21	8–10
76–90	0.35	0.29	13–16

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Motherwell

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (11), 3-5-2 (9), 3-4-3 (4), 3-4-1-2 (3), 4-4-1-1 (2), 5-3-2 (2), 3-5-1-1 (2), 4-2-3-1 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

Kilmarnock

Formations: 4-4-2 (19), 3-4-1-2 (5), 4-3-3 (3), 3-4-2-1 (3), 3-5-2 (2), 3-4-3 (2), 4-2-3-1 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
5 April 2025	Kilmarnock	2–0	Motherwell	xG 1.22–0.18
8 January 2025	Kilmarnock	0–0	Motherwell	xG 1.72–0.39
20 December 2024	Motherwell	1–1	Kilmarnock	xG 0.76–1.03
3 February 2024	Motherwell	1–1	Kilmarnock	xG 1.14–0.24
4 November 2023	Kilmarnock	1–0	Motherwell	xG 1.95–0.61
26 August 2023	Motherwell	2–1	Kilmarnock	xG 2.15–1.05

14 league meetings since 2020/21: Motherwell won 4, Kilmarnock won 5, and 5 were drawn. Goals 14–17 and xG 0.99–1.13 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Ebiye	3	597	2	0	0.42	0.04
Stamatelopoulos	13	897	5	1	0.34	0.04
Watt	14	1,556	1	2	0.22	0.12
Armstrong	7	601	2	0	0.31	0.01

Kilmarnock

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Anderson	14	1,383	11	1	0.69	0.05
Kennedy	13	1,129	4	1	0.16	0.32
Vassell	19	1,463	2	1	0.32	0.11
Armstrong	24	1,903	3	8	0.14	0.27

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.