Matches › 2025/26

Livingston 3–1 Falkirk

Saturday 9 August 2025, 15:00 · Home of the Set Fare Arena · Round 2 · Half-time 2–0 · Referee Chris Graham · Attendance 3,316

Livingston Pittman 18', Smith 45+3', Bokila 88'

Falkirk MacIver 74'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Livingston	Falkirk
Goals	3	1
xG	1.59	0.78
Non-penalty xG	0.80	0.78
Expected Points	2.06	0.67

Livingston 59%Draw 27%Falkirk 13%

Most likely score 1–1, 18%. Final score 3–1, 5%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonFalkirk

1.59 −0.24xG0.78 −1.24

0.80Non-penalty xG0.78

2.49 −0.18xG on target0.55 −1.17

9 −6Shots8 −6

5 −1.0Shots on target3 −1.0

3 +1.0Big chances2 −2.0

14 −12Touches in the opposition box17 −14

41% −23Possession59% +7

300 −179Passes427 +30

61% −19Pass accuracy72% −10

41% −25Field tilt59% +3

23 −22Final-third entries43 +2

10 −2Box entries8 −7

11.0 +2.7Passes per defensive action11.3 −9.6

4 −1.0Corners5 +3.0

23 +3Tackles9 −7

6 −1.0Interceptions8 +5.0

43 +10Clearances22 −7

2 +2.0Saves2 −1.0

23 +9.0Fouls15 +6.0

0 −1.0Offsides3 +1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Livingston

Falkirk

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonFalkirk

0.78 7 shots, 3 goalsOpen play0.35 4 shots, 0 goals

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.08 1 shot, 0 goals

0.02 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.36 3 shots, 1 goal

0.79 1 shot, 0 goalsPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–02–02–1

Level: 18 min (19%) · Livingston 0.32, Falkirk 0.48 xG
Livingston ahead: 75 min (81%) · Livingston 1.27, Falkirk 0.30 xG

Line-ups

Livingston substitutes

14' Blaney for Wilson
37' Sylla for Carey
46' Montano for Montgomery · yellow card 79', 1 assist
67' Bokila for Muirhead · yellow card 85', goal 88'
67' Yengi for Smith

Falkirk substitutes

26' Agyeman for Ross
46' Mackie for McCann
46' Graham for Nesbitt
67' Cartwright for Tait
76' Arfield for MacIver

Players

Livingston

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Prior	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	2
Lawal	RB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	1	6
McGowan	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.01	1	16
Wilson	CB	14			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	1
Montgomery	LB	46			0.00	0.02	0	0.01	1	4
Pittman	CM	90	1		0.30	0.03	2	−0.01	1	4
Tait	CM	90		1	0.00	0.04	1	0.01	4	3
Carey	CM	37			0.00	0.01	1	0.02	0	2
Smith	RW	67	1		0.08	0.22	1	0.35	8	3
Muirhead	ST	67		1	0.91	0.62	1	0.17	4	1
Winter	LW	90			0.06	0.03	0	0.05	1	6
Blaney	DF	76			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	2	8
Sylla	MF	53			0.00	0.01	0	−0.05	2	10
Montano	FW	44		1	0.05	0.05	2	0.05	2	7
Bokila	FW	23	1		0.19	0.00	0	0.00	1	0
Yengi	FW	23			0.00	0.00	0	−0.03	1	1

Falkirk

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Bain	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.04	4	0
Adams	RB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.06	6	8
Neilson	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.09	8	9
Henderson	CB	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.07	7	8
McCann	LB	46			0.00	0.12	1	0.20	2	0
Spencer	DM	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.01	7	5
Tait	DM	67			0.30	0.01	0	0.00	1	1
Miller	RW	90		1	0.03	0.34	5	0.16	9	1
Nesbitt	AM	46			0.02	0.01	1	0.08	5	0
Ross	LW	26			0.00	0.01	0	0.01	1	1
MacIver	ST	76	1		0.37	0.04	0	−0.01	0	1
Agyeman	FW	64			0.08	0.00	0	0.00	1	4
Mackie	DF	44			0.00	0.05	0	0.12	4	0
Graham	FW	44			0.00	0.00	0	−0.09	0	0
Cartwright	MF	23			0.00	0.01	0	0.00	1	1
Arfield	MF	14			0.00	0.00	1	−0.03	0	1

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Falkirk

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

From	To	Passes
Lawal	Smith	10
Pittman	Lawal	7
McGowan	Prior	6
Prior	Wilson	6
Tait	Smith	5

Falkirk

From	To	Passes
Bain	Henderson	10
Henderson	Neilson	10
Adams	Spencer	9
Spencer	Neilson	9
Neilson	Adams	9

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

Against its average of 1 match

Falkirk

Against its average of 1 match

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

Falkirk

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Livingston
Top six	13%	17%	+4
11th	21%	20%	−1
Bottom	22%	16%	−6
Falkirk
Top six	14%	10%	−4
11th	16%	16%	0
Bottom	38%	46%	+8

From the forecast before the match (9 August 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Livingston	Falkirk
Expected goals	1.55	1.09
Win	47%	26%
Expected Points	1.69	1.05
Clean sheet	34%	21%

Livingston 47%Draw 27%Falkirk 26%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.

From the forecast as it stood on 9 August 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Livingston win	Draw	Falkirk win
Livingston
Top six	13%	17%	11%	7%
11th	21%	20%	22%	22%
Bottom	22%	16%	24%	33%
Falkirk
Top six	14%	10%	13%	22%
11th	16%	16%	17%	16%
Bottom	38%	46%	37%	24%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

Falkirk

D2–23 AugDundee United (H)xG 2.02–1.19

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Livingston	Falkirk
Position	7th	5th
Played	1	1
Won, drawn, lost	0–⁠1–⁠0	0–⁠1–⁠0
Points	1 (1.00 per game)	1 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game	2.10	1.96
Goals	2–⁠2	2–⁠2
xG per game	1.83–⁠0.91	2.02–⁠1.19
Home: points, xG per game	–⁠	1.00, 2.02–⁠1.19
Away: points, xG per game	1.00, 1.83–⁠0.91	–⁠
Manager	David Martindale (138)	John McGlynn (1)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Livingston		Falkirk
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	+2%	−1%	+4%	+3%
Counter-attacks	−17%	+22%	−17%	+48%
Set pieces	−5%	−14%	+34%	−15%
Penalties	+183%	−17%	−17%	−17%
Headers	−4%	−17%	+12%	+1%
Left side	−7%	+7%	−6%	−11%
Centre	−9%	−12%	+33%	+4%
Right side	+16%	+1%	−8%	+7%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdFalkirk concededLeft side−7%+7%Centre−9%+4%Right side+16%−11%Open play+2%+3%Counter-attacks−17%+48%Set pieces−5%−15%Headers−4%+1%

Falkirk attacking

Falkirk createdLivingston concededLeft side−6%+1%Centre+33%−12%Right side−8%+7%Open play+4%−1%Counter-attacks−17%+22%Set pieces+34%−14%Headers+12%−17%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonFalkirk

1.83xG2.02

0.91xG against1.19

64%Possession52%

15.0Shots14.0

8.0Shots against11.0

6.0Shots on target4.0

2.0Big chances4.0

26.0Touches in the opposition box31.0

479Passes397

80%Pass accuracy81%

5.0Corners2.0

66%Field tilt56%

45.0Final-third entries41.0

12.0Box entries15.0

8.3Passes per defensive action20.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	42	0.39	0.88
Ahead	0	–	–
Behind	48	3.09	0.94

Falkirk

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	78	1.19	1.25
Ahead	0	–	–
Behind	12	7.42	0.83

xG by period

Livingston

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.02	0.07	0–0
16–30	0.02	0.12	0–0
31–45	0.09	0.62	0–2
46–60	0.10	0.00	0–0
61–75	0.86	0.00	1–0
76–90	0.74	0.10	1–0

Falkirk

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.01	0.00	0–0
16–30	0.59	0.32	0–0
31–45	0.42	0.30	0–1
46–60	0.32	0.07	1–0
61–75	0.52	0.42	1–1
76–90	0.15	0.09	0–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

Falkirk

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.