Saturday 28 August 2021, 15:00 · Fir Park · Round 4 · Half-time 1–0 · Attendance 4,998
Motherwell Watt 34' · Carroll sent off 79'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
Motherwell
Dundee FC
Goals
1
0
xG
0.23
1.15
Expected Points
0.53
2.14
Motherwell 6%Draw 33%Dundee FC 60%
Most likely score 0–1, 29%. Final score 1–0, 6%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
MotherwellDundee FC
0.23 −1.58xG1.15 +0.45
0.53 −2.05xG on target0.05 −1.19
4 −7.3Shots15 +6.7
3 −2.3Shots on target2 −2.0
0 −3.0Big chances1 0.0
40% −3Possession60% +21
302 0Passes441 +162
64% −4Pass accuracy76% +13
29% −2Field tilt71% +39
29 −3Final-third entries44 +21
6 −3.7Box entries15 +9.3
13.5 0Passes per defensive action9.6 −5
3 −2.3Corners4 −1.0
15 +3Tackles20 +6
10 −1.0Interceptions4 −4.7
33 +7Clearances19 −1
2 −0.7Saves2 −3.3
18 +3Fouls14 +1
0 −1.0Offsides0 −1.7
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Motherwell
Dundee FC
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
34'
0–01–0
0'HTFT
Level
34 min (35%) · Motherwell 0.05, Dundee FC 0.30 xG
Motherwell ahead
63 min (65%) · Motherwell 0.17, Dundee FC 0.85 xG
Line-ups
Motherwell substitutes
68'van Veen for Woolery · yellow card 73'
68'Goss for Amaluzor
81'McGinley for Watt
Dundee FC substitutes
29'McGowan for Adam · yellow card 90+5'
60'Sheridan for Byrne
78'McDaid for McCowan
Players
Motherwell
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Kelly
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.05
6
0
Mugabi
RB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.04
6
10
Ojala
CB
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.03
2
18
Lamie
CB
90
0.15
0.06
0
0.12
3
7
Carroll
LB
79
1
0.00
0.17
2
0.20
4
3
Grimshaw
CM
90
0.00
0.22
1
0.06
4
2
Slattery
CM
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.04
3
8
O'Hara
CM
90
0.00
0.38
0
0.07
2
3
Amaluzor
RW
68
0.00
0.05
0
0.08
2
4
Watt
ST
81
1
0.02
0.02
0
0.04
3
3
Woolery
LW
68
0.03
0.00
0
−0.05
2
1
van Veen
FW
22
0.00
0.00
0
−0.02
0
2
Goss
MF
22
0.03
0.00
0
0.01
1
2
McGinley
MF
9
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
2
Dundee FC
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Legzdins
GK
90
0.00
0.49
1
0.24
5
1
Kerr
RB
90
0.07
0.09
1
0.15
6
9
Ashcroft
CB
90
0.08
0.02
1
0.12
8
10
Fontaine
CB
90
0.12
0.02
0
0.08
10
4
Anderson
LB
90
0.13
0.13
1
0.10
2
3
McMullan
RM
90
0.16
0.11
1
0.17
7
1
McGhee
CM
90
0.03
0.14
1
0.23
5
6
Byrne
CM
60
0.00
0.02
0
−0.02
0
2
Adam
CM
29
0.02
0.01
0
0.01
2
1
McCowan
LM
78
0.00
0.05
2
0.11
4
1
Cummings
ST
90
0.47
0.36
2
0.14
1
1
McGowan
MF
61
0.00
0.15
0
0.13
6
3
Sheridan
FW
30
0.08
0.01
0
−0.02
0
0
McDaid
FW
12
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
2
1
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Motherwell
Dundee FC
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Motherwell
From
To
Passes
Carroll
Lamie
8
Lamie
Ojala
8
Slattery
Mugabi
8
Ojala
Lamie
6
Ojala
Slattery
6
Dundee FC
From
To
Passes
Kerr
Ashcroft
14
Ashcroft
McGowan
13
McGhee
Fontaine
12
McGhee
McCowan
12
Fontaine
Legzdins
12
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Motherwell
Against its average of 3 matches
Dundee FC
Against its average of 3 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Motherwell
Dundee FC
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Motherwell
Top six
25%
31%
+6
11th
10%
8%
−2
Bottom
5%
3%
−2
Dundee FC
Top six
4%
2%
−2
11th
18%
17%
−1
Bottom
53%
60%
+7
Ross County
11th
28%
30%
+2
Bottom
22%
20%
−2
From the forecast before the match (28 August 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Motherwell
Dundee FC
Expected goals
1.94
1.06
Win
57%
20%
Expected Points
1.95
0.82
Clean sheet
35%
14%
Motherwell 57%Draw 23%Dundee FC 20%
Most likely score 1–1, 11%. Both sides score 56%.
From the forecast as it stood on 28 August 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Motherwell win
Draw
Dundee FC win
Motherwell
Top six
25%
31%
21%
15%
11th
10%
8%
11%
16%
Bottom
5%
3%
5%
10%
Dundee FC
Top six
4%
2%
5%
10%
11th
18%
17%
19%
17%
Bottom
53%
60%
49%
40%
Ross County
11th
28%
30%
26%
23%
Bottom
22%
20%
26%
26%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Motherwell
Dundee FC
Position
7th
9th
Played
3
3
Won, drawn, lost
1–1–1
0–2–1
Points
4 (1.33 per game)
2 (0.67 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.62
0.37
Goals
5–5
4–10
xG per game
1.81–1.54
0.70–3.26
Home: points, xG per game
0.00, 1.47–2.88
1.00, 0.94–2.14
Away: points, xG per game
2.00, 1.98–0.88
0.00, 0.24–5.51
Manager
Graham Alexander (21)
James McPake (3)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Motherwell
Dundee FC
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−8%
+12%
−23%
+64%
Counter-attacks
+101%
+71%
−6%
+91%
Set pieces
+93%
−6%
−17%
+3%
Penalties
−61%
+73%
−50%
+207%
Headers
+61%
−7%
−4%
+12%
Left side
+43%
+27%
−36%
+8%
Centre
+30%
+11%
−23%
+71%
Right side
−35%
−1%
+1%
+50%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.
Matchups
Motherwell attacking
Motherwell createdDundee FC concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side+43%+50%Centre+30%+71%Right side−35%+8%Open play−8%+64%Counter-attacks+101%+91%Set pieces+93%+3%Headers+61%+12%
Dundee FC attacking
Dundee FC createdMotherwell concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−36%−1%Centre−23%+11%Right side+1%+27%Open play−23%+12%Counter-attacks−6%+71%Set pieces−17%−6%Headers−4%−7%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
MotherwellDundee FC
1.81xG0.70
1.54xG against3.26
43%Possession39%
11.3Shots8.3
13.3Shots against20.0
5.3Shots on target4.0
3.0Big chances1.0
302Passes279
68%Pass accuracy62%
5.3Corners5.0
32%Field tilt32%
31.7Final-third entries22.7
9.7Box entries5.7
13.7Passes per defensive action14.2
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Motherwell
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
50
1.88
1.18
Ahead
14
0.54
3.83
Behind
25
2.40
0.97
Dundee FC
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
34
0.57
3.07
Ahead
9
0.06
3.12
Behind
47
0.93
3.43
xG by period
Motherwell
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.41
0.05
1–0
16–30
0.12
0.27
1–1
31–45
0.01
0.07
0–2
46–60
0.48
0.42
1–1
61–75
0.26
0.58
0–1
76–90
0.54
0.16
2–0
Dundee FC
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.22
0.22
1–1
16–30
0.02
0.84
0–2
31–45
0.06
0.34
1–1
46–60
0.28
0.64
1–3
61–75
0.01
0.55
0–1
76–90
0.11
0.67
1–2
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
Most used players by position
Motherwell
Dundee FC
Formations: 4-3-3 (2), 4-5-1 (1)
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Key players
Motherwell
Player
Starts
Min
G
A
xG per 90
xA per 90
Watt
30
2,586
5
5
0.26
0.11
O'Hara
24
2,167
5
0
0.16
0.06
Maguire
16
1,528
1
1
0.04
0.10
Carroll
17
1,471
0
3
0.01
0.12
Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.