Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Aberdeen 1–1 Ross County

Sunday 29 August 2021, 15:00 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 4 · Half-time 0–1 · Attendance 14,434

Aberdeen Ramirez 88'

Ross County Charles-Cook 33'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

AberdeenRoss County
Goals11
xG2.941.15
Expected Points2.470.38

Aberdeen 77%Draw 15%Ross County 8%

Most likely score 3–1, 11%. Final score 1–1, 5%.

Ross County goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+3%5%3%7%6%2%8%7%2%5%8%5%1%2%3%2%1%1%10%11%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

012340153045607590HTWatkins on for Samuels and Emmanuel-Thomas on for Longstaff, 64'Hayes on for Ferguson, 81'H. Paton on for Cancola, 21'Baldwin on for Charles-Cook, 76'Watson on for Randall, 82'Ramirez 88'Charles-Cook 33'Aberdeen 2.94Ross County 1.15012340153045607590HTWatkins on for Samuels and Emmanuel-Thomas on for Longstaff, 64'Hayes on for Ferguson, 81'H. Paton on for Cancola, 21'Baldwin on for Charles-Cook, 76'Watson on for Randall, 82'Ramirez 88'Charles-Cook 33'2.941.15AberdeenRoss County

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenRoss County

2.94 +2.39xG1.15 +0.41
2.00 +1.19xG on target0.82 +0.28
23 +15.0Shots8 +1.0
5 +1.7Shots on target5 +3.3
3 +2.0Big chances2 +1.0
75% +17Possession25% −15
601 +114Passes194 −122
86% +6Pass accuracy56% −14
83% +31Field tilt17% −12
60 +26Final-third entries16 −8
14 +8.3Box entries6 +0.3
7.7 −7Passes per defensive action22.4 +1
12 +8.7Corners7 +5.0
7 −5Tackles10 −8
4 −9.3Interceptions11 +4.7
17 −1Clearances44 +14
3 +1.3Saves4 0.0
11 −1Fouls17 +4
1 −0.7Offsides1 −1.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Aberdeen

Samuels 11', 0.56 xGMcCrorie 30', 0.25 xGOjo 61', 0.21 xGBrown 69', 0.18 xGSamuels 38', 0.17 xGHayes 88', 0.13 xGBrown 30', 0.10 xGRamirez 74', 0.10 xGGallagher 3', 0.09 xGRamirez 18', 0.07 xGOjo 25', 0.05 xGMcCrorie 55', 0.05 xGRamirez 52', 0.04 xGFerguson 69', 0.04 xGFerguson 18', 0.03 xGFerguson 23', 0.03 xGFerguson 70', 0.03 xGBrown 70', 0.03 xGFerguson 39', 0.02 xGSamuels 52', 0.02 xGLongstaff 52', 0.01 xGHayes 84', 0.01 xGRamirez 88', 0.74 xG, goal72%2.12 xGSix-yard box: 7 shots, 2.12 xG, 1 goal16%0.47 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.47 xG, 0 goals4%0.13 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals7%0.21 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.21 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Ross County

Callachan 69', 0.24 xGCallachan 13', 0.17 xGH. Paton 32', 0.12 xGCharles-Cook 47', 0.12 xGClarke 90+1', 0.10 xGWhite 41', 0.07 xGSpittal 66', 0.03 xGCharles-Cook 33', 0.30 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals51%0.59 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.59 xG, 1 goal46%0.53 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.53 xG, 0 goals3%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenRoss County

2.12 11 shots, 1 goalOpen play1.05 7 shots, 1 goal
0.82 12 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.10 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
40 min (42%) · Aberdeen 1.17, Ross County 0.69 xG
Ross County ahead
55 min (58%) · Aberdeen 1.77, Ross County 0.46 xG

Line-ups

12252241984416923LewisRamsayGallagherMcCrorieCampbellFergusonBrownLongstaffOjoRamirezSamuelsYellow cardYellow cardGoal81'64'64'Aberdeen 4-3-3Stephen Glass12201624224178726LaidlawRandallClarkeIacovittiB. PatonTillsonCancolaCharles-CookCallachanSpittalWhiteYellow cardGoal82'21'76'Ross County 4-2-3-1Malky Mackay

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 64' Emmanuel-Thomas for Longstaff
  • 64' Watkins for Samuels
  • 81' Hayes for Ferguson

Ross County substitutes

  • 21' H. Paton for Cancola · yellow card 90+1'
  • 76' Baldwin for Charles-Cook
  • 82' Watson for Randall · yellow card 90+5'

Players

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LewisGK900.000.0000.0212
RamsayRB900.000.63100.54185
GallagherCB900.090.0200.17103
McCrorie CB900.300.0100.1386
CampbellLB900.000.0900.19121
FergusonCM810.140.0500.0430
BrownCM900.320.0100.0235
LongstaffCM640.010.6310.1461
Ojo RW900.250.0200.0244
RamirezST9010.960.031−0.0800
SamuelsLW640.740.0100.0031
Emmanuel-ThomasMF260.000.2110.0211
WatkinsFW260.000.0110.0022
HayesMF90.140.0000.0110

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0000.0110
RandallRB820.000.0100.04211
ClarkeCB900.100.0000.0239
IacovittiCB900.000.0010.01213
B. PatonLB900.000.0000.0017
Tillson DM900.000.0000.0105
CancolaDM210.000.0000.0101
Charles-CookRW7610.410.0210.0424
CallachanAM900.420.0310.0413
SpittalLW900.030.3510.2646
WhiteST900.070.0210.0015
H. Paton MF690.120.0100.0338
BaldwinDF140.000.0000.0000
Watson DF80.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

Gallagher and Ojo: 7 passesFerguson and Ojo: 7 passesRamsay and McCrorie: 8 passesRamsay and Brown: 8 passesCampbell and Ferguson: 8 passesLongstaff and Brown: 8 passesBrown and Ojo: 8 passesLewis and Gallagher: 10 passesGallagher and Brown: 10 passesGallagher and Campbell: 12 passesCampbell and Brown: 12 passesLewis and McCrorie: 13 passesGallagher and Longstaff: 13 passesCampbell and Samuels: 14 passesMcCrorie and Campbell: 15 passesMcCrorie and Brown: 16 passesRamsay and Ferguson: 18 passesRamsay and Ojo: 20 passesMcCrorie and Longstaff: 20 passesCampbell and Longstaff: 23 passesRamsay and Gallagher: 24 passesGallagher and McCrorie: 34 passesLewis: 18 completed passesRamsay: 50 completed passesGallagher: 63 completed passesMcCrorie: 64 completed passesCampbell: 54 completed passesLongstaff: 44 completed passesBrown: 40 completed passesFerguson: 26 completed passesOjo: 22 completed passesRamirez: 11 completed passesSamuels: 10 completed passes12252244481916923LewisRamsayGallagherMcCrorieCampbellLongstaffBrownFergusonOjoRamirezSamuelsStarters until 64' · lines join pairs with 7+ passes

Ross County

Clarke and Iacovitti: 3 passesCharles-Cook and White: 3 passesLaidlaw: 1 completed passesRandall: 2 completed passesClarke: 5 completed passesIacovitti: 3 completed passesB. Paton: 4 completed passesCancola: 3 completed passesTillson: 1 completed passesCharles-Cook: 2 completed passesCallachan: 2 completed passesSpittal: 1 completed passesWhite: 3 completed passes12201624422178726LaidlawRandallClarkeIacovittiB. PatonCancolaTillsonCharles-CookCallachanSpittalWhiteStarters until 21' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
GallagherMcCrorie26
McCrorieGallagher19
McCrorieLongstaff15
GallagherRamsay15
CampbellLongstaff14

Ross County

FromToPasses
SpittalCallachan6
B. PatonSpittal4
B. PatonWhite4
RandallSpittal4
WhiteTillson4

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

6−1.03−4.711−2.04−1.72−3.76+3.03−2.08−0.38+4.05+2.01−4.05−0.72−4.71−2.74+0.32+0.320.05+3.70−1.02+1.00−1.75+2.70−0.700.02+1.700.010.02−7.01−6.03−6.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 3 matches

Ross County

3−3.06+1.031+13.79−1.08−2.012+0.37−1.77+2.79+0.710+6.06−1.38+4.71−0.74−1.05−1.08+5.32−1.73+0.720.030.03+1.01−1.01+0.30−0.310.00−0.700.00−0.31+1.01+0.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 3 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

0.010.010.010.010.020.020.080.050.060.040.050.020.080.030.070.09−0.02−0.01−0.030.040.020.14−0.030.210.28LessMore

Ross County

0.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.040.010.010.030.010.030.030.02−0.020.050.17LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.20AttackAberdeen1.09 → 1.10Ross County0.96 → 0.95Defence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.02 → 1.01Ross County1.57 → 1.59

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Aberdeen
Top six80%78%−2
11th1%1%0
Ross County
Top six5%6%+1
11th26%24%−2
Bottom24%24%0
Motherwell
Top six27%27%0
11th9%10%+1
Bottom4%4%0
Dundee FC
Top six4%4%0
11th19%19%0
Bottom49%49%0

From the forecast before the match (29 August 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

AberdeenRoss County
Expected goals1.620.76
Win57%17%
Expected Points1.980.76
Clean sheet47%20%

Aberdeen 57%Draw 26%Ross County 17%

Most likely score 1–0, 14%. Both sides score 43%.

Ross County goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+10%6%3%4%1%9%4%7%5%2%3%2%14%12%12%

From the forecast as it stood on 29 August 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowAberdeen winDrawRoss County win
Aberdeen
Top six80%84%78%69%
11th1%<1%1%1%
Ross County
Top six5%4%6%10%
11th26%28%24%23%
Bottom24%27%24%17%
Motherwell
Top six27%26%27%31%
11th9%9%10%10%
Bottom4%4%4%4%
Dundee FC
Top six4%4%4%5%
11th19%20%19%16%
Bottom49%48%49%51%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. D1–122 AugHearts (A)xG 0.54–1.17
  2. W2–18 AugLivingston (A)xG 0.44–1.30
  3. W2–01 AugDundee United (H)xG 0.67–0.43
  4. L0–415 MayRangers (A)xG 1.98–1.19
  5. L0–112 MayHibernian (H)xG 1.28–0.44
  6. W2–11 MayLivingston (A)xG 1.78–1.35

Ross County

  1. L2–422 AugRangers (H)xG 1.44–2.40
  2. L0–38 AugHibernian (A)xG 0.48–1.62
  3. D0–031 JulSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.31–1.68
  4. W2–116 MayMotherwell (A)xG 1.23–0.67
  5. W2–112 MayHamilton Academical (H)xG 0.41–0.69
  6. W2–01 MayDundee United (A)xG 2.18–0.16

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenRoss County
Position4th10th
Played33
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠1–⁠00–⁠1–⁠2
Points7 (2.33 per game)1 (0.33 per game)
Expected Points per game0.930.50
Goals5–⁠22–⁠7
xG per game0.55–⁠0.970.74–⁠1.90
Home: points, xG per game3.00, 0.67–⁠0.430.50, 0.88–⁠2.04
Away: points, xG per game2.00, 0.49–⁠1.230.00, 0.48–⁠1.62
ManagerStephen Glass (8)Malky Mackay (3)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.20AttackAberdeen1.09, 5thRoss County0.96, 10thDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.02, 4thRoss County1.57, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugAberdeen attack: 1.09Ross County attack: 0.961.090.96Ross CountyAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugAberdeen defence: 1.02Ross County defence: 1.571.571.02

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenRoss County
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−29%−33%−37%+42%
Counter-attacks+35%+34%−36%−52%
Set pieces−32%−32%−32%+23%
Penalties−45%+47%+7%+102%
Headers−8%−20%−5%+4%
Left side−25%−34%−36%+43%
Centre−36%−47%−42%+22%
Right side−7%+8%−16%+53%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdRoss County concededLeft side−25%+53%Centre−36%+22%Right side−7%+43%Open play−29%+42%Counter-attacks+35%−52%Set pieces−32%+23%Headers−8%+4%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdAberdeen concededLeft side−36%+8%Centre−42%−47%Right side−16%−34%Open play−37%−33%Counter-attacks−36%+34%Set pieces−32%−32%Headers−5%−20%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenRoss County

0.55xG0.74
0.97xG against1.90
58%Possession40%
8.0Shots7.0
8.0Shots against16.7
3.3Shots on target1.7
1.0Big chances1.0
487Passes316
80%Pass accuracy70%
3.3Corners2.0
52%Field tilt30%
34.4Final-third entries24.3
5.7Box entries5.7
14.8Passes per defensive action21.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level600.501.05
Ahead210.490.74
Behind91.030.93

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level420.361.52
Ahead0––
Behind481.082.23

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.060.140–0
16–300.130.021–0
31–450.000.270–1
46–600.210.392–1
61–750.130.071–0
76–900.020.071–0

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.190–1
16–300.010.310–3
31–450.100.141–1
46–600.010.230–1
61–750.120.470–0
76–900.340.561–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTLewis 3Ramsay 2Gurr 1McCrorie 2Gallagher 2Considine 2MacKenzie 2Hayes 1Ferguson 2McGeouch 1Brown 2McGinn 1Ojo 2Hedges 1Jenks 2Ramirez 1Hayes 2McLennan 1Emmanuel-Thomas 2Ramirez 14-2-3-1 in 1 of 3 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1)

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMCMLMSTLaidlaw 3Randall 2Donaldson 1Clarke 1Donaldson 1Iacovitti 3Watson 1Charles-Cook 1Paton 1Samuel 1Randall 1Cancola 1H. Paton 1Tillson 3Callachan 2Watson 1Spittal 2Charles-C… 1Charles-CookCharles-C… 1Charles-CookCallachan 1Spittal 1White 34-5-1 in 1 of 3 starts

Formations: 4-5-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
16 January 2021Ross County4–1AberdeenxG 0.95–2.28
12 December 2020Aberdeen2–0Ross CountyxG 1.19–0.80
27 September 2020Ross County0–3AberdeenxG 0.46–3.26

3 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 2, Ross County won 1, and 0 were drawn. Goals 6–4 and xG 2.24–0.74 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
McGinn131,093010.170.33
Ferguson373,291930.270.07
Hedges262,173540.160.17
Hayes373,038330.050.14

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
White141,288550.320.05
Shaw121,284610.290.06
Spittal10796110.100.12
Charles-Cook121,295000.140.07

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.