Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Hearts 2–1 Aberdeen

Saturday 20 May 2023, 12:30 · Tynecastle Park · Round 36 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee Kevin Clancy · Attendance 18,661

Hearts Ginnelly 43', Shankland 56'

Aberdeen Pollock 31'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

HeartsAberdeen
Goals21
xG2.551.01
Expected Points2.330.49

Hearts 72%Draw 18%Aberdeen 11%

Most likely score 2–1, 11%. Final score 2–1, 11%.

Aberdeen goalsHearts goals0123456+0123456+2%2%1%6%4%1%6%2%5%1%5%6%3%2%2%1%1%8%9%11%8%10%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTGrant on for Ginnelly, 65'Smith on for McKay, 76'Forrest on for Oda, 77'Kiomourtzoglou on for Haring, 86'MacKenzie on for MacDonald, Duncan on for Hayes, and Morris on for Barron, 60'Markanday on for Watkins, 79'Bavidge on for Ramadani, 87'Ginnelly 43'Shankland 56'Pollock 31'Hearts 2.55Aberdeen 1.0101230153045607590HTGrant on for Ginnelly, 65'Smith on for McKay, 76'Forrest on for Oda, 77'Kiomourtzoglou on for Haring, 86'MacKenzie on for MacDonald, Duncan on for Hayes, and Morris on for Barron, 60'Markanday on for Watkins, 79'Bavidge on for Ramadani, 87'Ginnelly 43'Shankland 56'Pollock 31'2.551.01HeartsAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HeartsAberdeen

2.55 +1.04xG1.01 −0.26
1.82 +0.52xG on target1.45 +0.21
30 +18Shots9 −3
8 +3.8Shots on target4 +0.3
4 +2.1Big chances3 +1.2
49 +27Touches in the opposition box27 +6
61% +6Possession39% −8
447 +8Passes283 −72
73% −2Pass accuracy61% −9
81% +32Field tilt19% −22
51 +17Final-third entries29 −6
28 +16Box entries16 +6
10.5 −4Passes per defensive action10.8 −4
5 −0.3Corners2 −3.1
25 +10Tackles14 −1
8 −0.1Interceptions13 +4.2
14 −5Clearances23 −2
3 −0.1Saves6 +2.9
6 −4Fouls15 +5
1 −0.1Offsides2 +0.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hearts

Ginnelly 46', 0.55 xGCochrane 34', 0.19 xGCochrane 34', 0.17 xGCochrane 45', 0.13 xGShankland 59', 0.13 xGForrest 83', 0.11 xGOda 16', 0.10 xGGrant 79', 0.10 xGShankland 34', 0.08 xGAtkinson 35', 0.07 xGMcKay 35', 0.07 xGShankland 38', 0.07 xGShankland 14', 0.06 xGShankland 20', 0.06 xGMcKay 58', 0.06 xGShankland 45+1', 0.05 xGMcKay 35', 0.04 xGDevlin 46', 0.04 xGOda 7', 0.03 xGShankland 36', 0.03 xGHaring 38', 0.03 xGHaring 53', 0.03 xGHaring 55', 0.03 xGDevlin 55', 0.03 xGDevlin 20', 0.02 xGOda 38', 0.02 xGOda 53', 0.02 xGSmith 83', 0.02 xGShankland 56', 0.17 xG, goalGinnelly 43', 0.02 xG, goal22%0.55 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.55 xG, 0 goals54%1.38 xGCentral box: 13 shots, 1.38 xG, 1 goal11%0.28 xGWide in the box: 6 shots, 0.28 xG, 0 goals11%0.29 xGEdge of the box: 8 shots, 0.29 xG, 1 goal2%0.05 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Pollock 40', 0.23 xGPollock 52', 0.14 xGMiovski 41', 0.13 xGWatkins 18', 0.10 xGRamadani 21', 0.10 xGMiovski 70', 0.08 xGClarkson 20', 0.06 xGClarkson 90+1', 0.03 xGPollock 31', 0.15 xG, goal15%0.15 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.15 xG, 1 goal66%0.67 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.67 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals19%0.19 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.19 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HeartsAberdeen

2.37 25 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.40 5 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.10 1 shot, 0 goals
0.18 5 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.52 3 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
45 min (49%) · Hearts 1.31, Aberdeen 0.55 xG
Hearts ahead
35 min (38%) · Hearts 0.43, Aberdeen 0.11 xG
Aberdeen ahead
12 min (13%) · Hearts 0.81, Aberdeen 0.36 xG

Line-ups

28122115191458891830ClarkAtkinsonSibbickRowlesCochraneDevlinHaringOdaShanklandMcKayGinnellyYellow cardGoalGoal86'77'76'65'Hearts 4-2-3-1Steven Naismith2418274258162017159RoosPollockMacDonaldScalesRichardsonBarronRamadaniClarksonHayesWatkinsMiovskiGoalYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow card60'60'87'60'79'Aberdeen 3-5-2Barry Robson

Hearts substitutes

  • 65' Grant for Ginnelly
  • 76' Smith for McKay
  • 77' Forrest for Oda
  • 86' Kiomourtzoglou for Haring

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 60' MacKenzie for MacDonald
  • 60' Duncan for Hayes
  • 60' Morris for Barron
  • 79' Markanday for Watkins
  • 87' Bavidge for Ramadani

Players

Hearts

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ClarkGK900.000.0000.0111
AtkinsonRB900.070.1350.271016
SibbickCB900.000.0100.0666
RowlesCB900.000.0000.0426
CochraneLB9010.490.3010.40148
Devlin DM900.090.1420.0671
HaringDM860.090.0410.0573
OdaRW770.170.1220.29103
ShanklandAM9010.660.0420.0431
McKayLW7610.170.6230.43181
GinnellyST6510.580.4050.0060
GrantMF250.100.010−0.0312
SmithDF140.020.0100.0120
ForrestMF130.110.0510.0400
KiomourtzoglouMF40.000.0000.0101

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
RoosGK900.000.0000.0101
PollockCB9010.520.0200.1079
MacDonaldCB600.000.0000.0003
ScalesCB900.000.0210.08413
RichardsonRWB900.000.0300.1066
BarronCM600.000.0000.0216
Ramadani CM870.100.0000.0525
ClarksonCM9010.090.1530.1496
Hayes LWB600.000.1810.0725
Watkins ST790.100.0310.0952
Miovski ST900.210.0000.0833
MacKenzieDF300.000.020−0.0111
DuncanMF300.000.0500.0322
MorrisFW300.000.0200.1350
MarkandayFW110.000.0000.0000
BavidgeFW30.000.000––0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hearts

Clark and Atkinson: 5 passesAtkinson and Ginnelly: 5 passesSibbick and Cochrane: 5 passesSibbick and Oda: 5 passesDevlin and Shankland: 5 passesSibbick and Devlin: 6 passesCochrane and Shankland: 6 passesDevlin and Oda: 6 passesDevlin and Ginnelly: 6 passesHaring and Oda: 6 passesOda and Shankland: 6 passesAtkinson and Shankland: 7 passesRowles and McKay: 7 passesHaring and McKay: 7 passesCochrane and Devlin: 8 passesDevlin and Haring: 8 passesRowles and Haring: 9 passesSibbick and Haring: 10 passesCochrane and Haring: 10 passesAtkinson and Devlin: 13 passesAtkinson and Haring: 13 passesRowles and Cochrane: 13 passesRowles and Sibbick: 14 passesMcKay and Ginnelly: 14 passesAtkinson and Oda: 23 passesCochrane and McKay: 26 passesClark: 13 completed passesAtkinson: 35 completed passesRowles: 28 completed passesSibbick: 32 completed passesCochrane: 41 completed passesDevlin: 34 completed passesHaring: 34 completed passesOda: 25 completed passesShankland: 14 completed passesMcKay: 26 completed passesGinnelly: 16 completed passes28121521191458891830ClarkAtkinsonRowlesSibbickCochraneDevlinHaringOdaShanklandMcKayGinnellyStarters until 65' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Aberdeen

Scales and Hayes: 3 passesMacDonald and Clarkson: 3 passesPollock and Barron: 3 passesPollock and Ramadani: 3 passesPollock and Miovski: 3 passesPollock and Watkins: 3 passesClarkson and Miovski: 3 passesRamadani and Miovski: 3 passesScales and Barron: 4 passesMiovski and Watkins: 4 passesRichardson and Ramadani: 5 passesClarkson and Barron: 5 passesScales and Clarkson: 6 passesClarkson and Watkins: 6 passesBarron and Ramadani: 6 passesRoos: 3 completed passesScales: 12 completed passesMacDonald: 5 completed passesPollock: 10 completed passesRichardson: 9 completed passesHayes: 6 completed passesClarkson: 15 completed passesBarron: 13 completed passesRamadani: 9 completed passesMiovski: 4 completed passesWatkins: 7 completed passes2442718251720816915RoosScalesMacDonaldPollockRichardsonHayesClarksonBarronRamadaniMiovskiWatkinsStarters until 60' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hearts

FromToPasses
CochraneMcKay20
OdaAtkinson12
AtkinsonOda11
SibbickRowles10
RowlesCochrane10

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
ScalesClarkson12
ClarksonScales6
DuncanClarkson6
BarronClarkson5
ClarksonPollock5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hearts

11+6.011+4.210−2.91−6.76+1.67−0.312+5.32−3.84−4.55−2.04−1.419+14.23−0.41−3.59+3.07+3.33−0.21−1.52−1.02−1.71−1.93+1.01+0.11−0.24+2.14+3.40−0.31+0.50−0.30−0.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 35 matches

Aberdeen

4−0.69+2.522+3.710+0.87+0.510+4.017+10.115+8.99+1.99+1.24−1.68+2.51−2.68+2.211+4.24+0.16+1.52−0.710+6.16+1.92+0.30−1.40−1.00−1.46+3.81+0.20−0.31+0.52+1.84+3.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 35 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hearts

0.010.030.010.030.010.010.030.010.060.060.010.100.130.060.110.090.020.180.02−0.010.060.170.240.25LessMore

Aberdeen

0.010.010.010.010.060.010.030.010.050.020.010.010.030.060.030.04−0.020.080.07−0.070.010.100.100.100.12LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.25AttackHearts1.27 → 1.30Aberdeen1.12 → 1.09Defence (lower is better)Hearts1.29 → 1.26Aberdeen1.28 → 1.32

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

HeartsAberdeen
Expected goals1.571.04
Win49%25%
Expected Points1.731.00
Clean sheet35%21%

Hearts 49%Draw 26%Aberdeen 25%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.

Aberdeen goalsHearts goals0123456+0123456+8%7%4%1%6%2%5%2%5%5%3%2%2%1%11%13%9%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 20 May 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Hearts

  1. D2–213 MaySt. Mirren (A)xG 2.13–1.06
  2. L0–27 MayCeltic (H)xG 0.28–1.39
  3. W6–122 AprRoss County (H)xG 3.68–1.59
  4. L0–115 AprHibernian (A)xG 0.89–0.99
  5. L0–28 AprSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.94–1.25
  6. L1–21 AprKilmarnock (A)xG 0.68–2.72

Aberdeen

  1. D0–013 MayHibernian (H)xG 0.30–1.95
  2. L0–17 MayRangers (A)xG 1.30–2.00
  3. W2–023 AprRangers (H)xG 0.94–1.90
  4. W1–014 AprRoss County (A)xG 0.65–0.94
  5. W2–08 AprKilmarnock (H)xG 2.20–1.09
  6. W1–01 AprSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.00–0.82

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HeartsAberdeen
Position4th3rd
Played3535
Won, drawn, lost14–⁠7–⁠1417–⁠3–⁠15
Points49 (1.40 per game)54 (1.54 per game)
Expected Points per game1.321.22
Goals58–⁠5352–⁠53
xG per game1.51–⁠1.601.27–⁠1.58
Home: points, xG per game2.00, 1.94–⁠1.572.11, 1.61–⁠1.20
Away: points, xG per game0.83, 1.11–⁠1.620.94, 0.91–⁠1.98
ManagerSteven Naismith (4)Barry Robson (12)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.25AttackHearts1.27, 3rdAberdeen1.12, 6thDefence (lower is better)Hearts1.29, 6thAberdeen1.28, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayHearts attack: 1.27Aberdeen attack: 1.121.271.12AberdeenHeartsDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayHearts defence: 1.29Aberdeen defence: 1.281.291.28

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HeartsAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+13%+22%−13%+7%
Counter-attacks+27%−52%+87%−1%
Set pieces−9%+40%−12%+20%
Penalties+59%+1%+30%+88%
Headers−16%+38%+8%+6%
Left side−8%+12%−10%+18%
Centre+8%+32%−15%+1%
Right side+23%+19%+1%+17%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdAberdeen concededLeft side−8%+17%Centre+8%+1%Right side+23%+18%Open play+13%+7%Counter-attacks+27%−1%Set pieces−9%+20%Headers−16%+6%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdHearts concededLeft side−10%+19%Centre−15%+32%Right side+1%+12%Open play−13%+22%Counter-attacks+87%−52%Set pieces−12%+40%Headers+8%+38%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HeartsAberdeen

1.51xG1.27
1.60xG against1.58
55%Possession47%
12.1Shots11.8
14.0Shots against14.7
4.2Shots on target3.7
1.9Big chances1.8
22.4Touches in the opposition box20.5
440Passes355
76%Pass accuracy70%
5.3Corners5.1
49%Field tilt41%
34.4Final-third entries35.4
11.8Box entries10.0
14.0Passes per defensive action15.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hearts

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level341.651.34
Ahead271.672.01
Behind291.221.51

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level391.111.58
Ahead291.571.20
Behind221.152.08

xG by period

Hearts

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.220.167–9
16–300.190.2012–7
31–450.330.299–5
46–600.190.308–12
61–750.230.289–8
76–900.350.3713–12

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.080.245–8
16–300.170.198–5
31–450.280.2910–10
46–600.250.2210–7
61–750.240.3110–10
76–900.230.339–13

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hearts

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTClark 17Gordon 16Stewart 2Smith 17Sibbick 5Hill 5Sibbick 18Neilson 4Halkett 3Rowles 24Kingsley 11Cochrane 9Cochrane 14Halliday 9Snodgrass 5Devlin 21Halliday 8Kiomourtzoglou 8Snodgrass 14Haring 7Grant 4Ginnelly 10Forrest 6Hill 5Shankland 8Smith 5Grant 3McKay 23Forrest 3Grant 3Shankland 19Ginnelly 10Humphrys 34-2-3-1 in 12 of 35 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (12), 3-4-3 (8), 3-4-2-1 (6), 4-1-4-1 (4), 3-5-2 (2), 4-3-3 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

Aberdeen

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTRoos 28Gorter 4Lewis 3McCrorie 18Pollock 12Richardson 9Stewart 21MacDonald 12Scales 27MacKenzie 3Kennedy 13McCrorie 7Besuijen 4Ramadani 32Barron 7Duncan 4Clarkson 22Shinnie 11McCrorie 6Hayes 11Duk 5MacKenzie 4Coulson 8Clarkson 7Hayes 7Miovski 34Duncan 1Duk 22Coulson 8Hayes 23-5-2 in 14 of 35 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (14), 4-2-3-1 (11), 3-1-4-2 (3), 4-4-2 (3), 4-3-3 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
18 March 2023Aberdeen3–0HeartsxG 2.03–0.52
18 January 2023Hearts5–0AberdeenxG 3.54–1.02
16 October 2022Aberdeen2–0HeartsxG 1.73–1.36
2 March 2022Hearts2–0AberdeenxG 1.15–0.92
30 October 2021Aberdeen2–1HeartsxG 1.11–0.95
22 August 2021Hearts1–1AberdeenxG 1.17–0.54

6 league meetings since 2020/21: Hearts won 2, Aberdeen won 3, and 1 was a draw. Goals 9–8 and xG 1.45–1.22 per game.

Key players

Hearts

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Shankland302,7682240.700.12
Humphrys7788300.400.04
Ginnelly231,8671130.270.16
Grant101,151220.220.14

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Miovski352,7661620.510.04
Besuijen9897310.230.18
Duk272,3701620.320.04
Kennedy151,231210.100.16

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.