Matches › 2022/23

Hearts 1–1 Hibernian

Saturday 27 May 2023, 12:30 · Tynecastle Park · Round 38 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee Don Robertson · Attendance 18,971

Hearts Oda 8' · Cochrane sent off 29'

Hibernian Nisbet 31'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Hearts	Hibernian
Goals	1	1
xG	0.11	1.50
Expected Points	0.30	2.46

Hearts 2%Draw 23%Hibernian 74%

Most likely score 0–1, 30%. Final score 1–1, 4%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HeartsHibernian

0.11 −1.42xG1.50 +0.21

0.22 −1.09xG on target1.38 +0.17

4 −8Shots17 +3

1 −3.3Shots on target6 +1.3

0 −2.0Big chances1 −0.7

6 −17Touches in the opposition box33 +11

32% −23Possession68% +15

184 −251Passes379 −11

38% −37Pass accuracy70% −4

26% −22Field tilt74% +20

11 −24Final-third entries48 +6

0 −12Box entries17 +5

14.8 +1Passes per defensive action8.5 −3

4 −1.2Corners9 +3.5

16 0Tackles9 −6

5 −3.3Interceptions1 −7.9

30 +11Clearances8 −13

5 +1.8Saves0 −2.3

12 +2Fouls15 +2

1 −0.1Offsides1 −0.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Hearts

Hibernian

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HeartsHibernian

0.10 3 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.52 9 shots, 0 goals

0.01 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.98 8 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–01–1

Level: 78 min (77%) · Hearts 0.12, Hibernian 1.36 xG
Hearts ahead: 23 min (23%) · Hearts 0.00, Hibernian 0.13 xG

Line-ups

Hearts substitutes

18' Kiomourtzoglou for Haring
31' Sibbick for McKay
77' Forrest for Oda
90+5' Halliday for Ginnelly

Hibernian substitutes

46' Henderson for Miller · off 90+1'
46' McKirdy for Jeggo
52' Campbell for Doyle-Hayes · yellow card 90'
56' Cabraja for Stevenson
68' Delferrière for Cadden
90+1' Devlin for Henderson · yellow card 90+4'

Players

Hearts

Player	Pos	Min	G	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Clark	GK	90		0.00	0.01	0	0.05	3	2
Atkinson	RB	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	9
Hill	CB	90		0.00	0.01	0	0.01	2	10
Rowles	CB	90		0.01	0.00	0	0.01	1	7
Cochrane	LB	29		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Devlin	DM	90		0.03	0.00	0	0.03	2	5
Haring	DM	18		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Oda	RW	77	1	0.04	0.01	0	0.02	2	4
Shankland	AM	90		0.03	0.01	0	−0.02	1	2
McKay	LW	31		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Ginnelly	ST	90		0.00	0.01	0	0.02	3	5
Kiomourtzoglou	MF	72		0.00	0.01	0	0.03	1	6
Sibbick	DF	59		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	2
Forrest	MF	13		0.00	0.02	1	−0.01	0	5
Halliday	MF	0		0.00	0.00	0	–	–	0

Hibernian

Player	Pos	Min	G	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Marshall	GK	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.03	1	0
Miller	RB	46		0.23	0.03	1	0.04	4	1
Fish	CB	90		0.35	0.07	1	0.15	5	5
Hanlon	CB	90		0.09	0.34	3	0.46	4	0
Stevenson	LB	56		0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	1
Jeggo	DM	46		0.00	0.02	1	0.01	0	2
Cadden	RM	68		0.00	0.13	1	0.31	5	0
Doyle-Hayes	CM	52		0.05	0.02	0	0.00	1	2
Newell	CM	90		0.16	0.27	5	0.13	12	3
Youan	LM	90		0.15	0.05	1	0.05	5	2
Nisbet	ST	90	1	0.18	0.04	0	0.05	1	1
Henderson	MF	44		0.00	0.07	0	−0.06	3	0
McKirdy	FW	44		0.19	0.00	0	0.00	1	0
Campbell	MF	38		0.09	0.03	0	0.07	2	1
Cabraja	DF	34		0.00	0.07	1	0.27	7	0
Delferrière	MF	22		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	1
Devlin	DF	0		0.00	0.01	1	0.01	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hearts

From	To	Passes
Clark	Shankland	6
Rowles	Ginnelly	4
Shankland	Ginnelly	4
Devlin	Oda	3
Devlin	Atkinson	3

Hibernian

From	To	Passes
Fish	Campbell	12
Hanlon	Fish	11
Fish	Hanlon	11
Stevenson	Youan	8
Newell	Fish	8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hearts

Against its average of 37 matches

Hibernian

Against its average of 37 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hearts

Hibernian

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Hearts	Hibernian
Expected goals	1.50	1.13
Win	45%	28%
Expected Points	1.62	1.11
Clean sheet	32%	22%

Hearts 45%Draw 27%Hibernian 28%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.

From the forecast as it stood on 27 May 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Hearts

Hibernian

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Hearts	Hibernian
Position	4th	5th
Played	37	37
Won, drawn, lost	15–⁠8–⁠14	15–⁠6–⁠16
Points	53 (1.43 per game)	51 (1.38 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.32	1.40
Goals	62–⁠56	56–⁠58
xG per game	1.53–⁠1.62	1.29–⁠1.33
Home: points, xG per game	2.06, 1.97–⁠1.54	1.74, 1.44–⁠1.36
Away: points, xG per game	0.84, 1.11–⁠1.69	1.00, 1.14–⁠1.30
Manager	Steven Naismith (6)	Lee Johnson (37)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Hearts		Hibernian
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	+14%	+23%	−4%	−11%
Counter-attacks	+22%	−46%	+41%	+2%
Set pieces	−4%	+40%	−1%	−7%
Penalties	+50%	−5%	−18%	+64%
Headers	−10%	+37%	−3%	−22%
Left side	−7%	+14%	+1%	−21%
Centre	+13%	+31%	−19%	−8%
Right side	+22%	+24%	+25%	+1%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdHibernian concededLeft side−7%+1%Centre+13%−8%Right side+22%−21%Open play+14%−11%Counter-attacks+22%+2%Set pieces−4%−7%Headers−10%−22%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdHearts concededLeft side+1%+24%Centre−19%+31%Right side+25%+14%Open play−4%+23%Counter-attacks+41%−46%Set pieces−1%+40%Headers−3%+37%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HeartsHibernian

1.53xG1.29

1.62xG against1.33

55%Possession53%

12.5Shots14.4

14.0Shots against12.3

4.3Shots on target4.7

2.0Big chances1.7

23.0Touches in the opposition box21.8

435Passes390

75%Pass accuracy74%

5.2Corners5.5

49%Field tilt54%

34.5Final-third entries42.4

12.1Box entries12.0

13.9Passes per defensive action11.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hearts

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	33	1.74	1.35
Ahead	28	1.59	1.93
Behind	29	1.25	1.61

Hibernian

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	36	1.15	1.40
Ahead	22	1.49	1.29
Behind	31	1.32	1.27

xG by period

Hearts

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.23	0.15	8–9
16–30	0.18	0.20	12–7
31–45	0.34	0.31	10–7
46–60	0.21	0.30	9–13
61–75	0.22	0.28	9–8
76–90	0.34	0.38	14–12

Hibernian

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.18	0.18	6–12
16–30	0.13	0.18	6–6
31–45	0.25	0.22	11–8
46–60	0.25	0.27	8–13
61–75	0.22	0.18	13–7
76–90	0.25	0.30	12–12

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hearts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (14), 3-4-3 (8), 3-4-2-1 (6), 4-1-4-1 (4), 3-5-2 (2), 4-3-3 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

Hibernian

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (14), 4-1-4-1 (11), 3-5-2 (4), 5-3-2 (3), 4-4-2 (3), 3-4-1-2 (1), 4-3-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
15 April 2023	Hibernian	1–0	Hearts	xG 0.99–0.89
2 January 2023	Hearts	3–0	Hibernian	xG 1.76–1.19
7 August 2022	Hibernian	1–1	Hearts	xG 1.50–0.96
9 April 2022	Hearts	3–1	Hibernian	xG 0.94–0.52
1 February 2022	Hibernian	0–0	Hearts	xG 1.02–1.37
12 September 2021	Hearts	0–0	Hibernian	xG 1.23–1.09

6 league meetings since 2020/21: Hearts won 2, Hibernian won 1, and 3 were drawn. Goals 7–3 and xG 1.19–1.05 per game.

Key players

Hearts

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Shankland	32	2,948	24	4	0.71	0.11
Ginnelly	25	2,022	12	4	0.28	0.16
Humphrys	7	788	3	0	0.40	0.04
Oda	6	466	0	0	0.30	0.08

Hibernian

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Nisbet	15	1,286	11	1	0.61	0.07
Kukharevych	10	871	5	1	0.42	0.12
Boyle	10	936	5	1	0.33	0.13
Youan	30	2,540	9	7	0.26	0.17

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.