Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Hearts 2–0 St. Johnstone

Tuesday 18 January 2022, 19:45 · Tynecastle Park · Round 21 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Nick Walsh · Attendance 16,589

Hearts Ginnelly 46', 75'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

HeartsSt. Johnstone
Goals20
xG1.711.14
Expected Points1.790.94

Hearts 51%Draw 27%St. Johnstone 23%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Final score 2–0, 9%.

St. Johnstone goalsHearts goals0123456+0123456+4%5%3%1%9%7%2%9%8%2%5%6%4%1%1%2%1%13%12%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTMcEneff on for Mackay-Steven, 70'Moore on for Halkett, 71'Halliday on for McKay, 83'Kane on for May and Gilmour on for Butterfield, 64'Crawford on for Davidson and Middleton on for Ciftci, 80'Ginnelly 46'Ginnelly 75'Hearts 1.71St. Johnstone 1.1400.511.520153045607590HTMcEneff on for Mackay-Steven, 70'Moore on for Halkett, 71'Halliday on for McKay, 83'Kane on for May and Gilmour on for Butterfield, 64'Crawford on for Davidson and Middleton on for Ciftci, 80'Ginnelly 46'Ginnelly 75'1.711.14HeartsSt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HeartsSt. Johnstone

1.71 +0.36xG1.14 +0.51
2.42 +0.96xG on target1.16 +0.63
16 +3.2Shots14 +5.3
8 +3.5Shots on target6 +3.8
3 +1.4Big chances1 +0.4
26 +3Touches in the opposition box16 +2
58% +4Possession42% −1
486 +47Passes351 +15
78% +3Pass accuracy70% +5
78% +25Field tilt22% −18
53 +9Final-third entries25 −4
15 +2.7Box entries5 −2.5
13.9 0Passes per defensive action15.2 −1
4 −1.7Corners2 −2.5
14 −1Tackles9 −6
6 −2.3Interceptions16 +5.4
12 −7Clearances20 −3
6 +1.8Saves6 +2.8
9 −3Fouls11 −1
0 −2.1Offsides4 +2.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hearts

Mackay-Steven 65', 0.30 xGGinnelly 65', 0.14 xGDevlin 82', 0.10 xGSmith 10', 0.07 xGMcKay 24', 0.06 xGSmith 23', 0.04 xGMcKay 25', 0.04 xGKingsley 61', 0.04 xGMcKay 62', 0.04 xGSouttar 20', 0.03 xGSmith 23', 0.03 xGKingsley 38', 0.02 xGSmith 40', 0.02 xGHalkett 24', 0.01 xGGinnelly 75', 0.45 xG, goalGinnelly 46', 0.32 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals42%0.72 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.72 xG, 1 goal43%0.74 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.74 xG, 1 goal9%0.16 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals5%0.09 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals

St. Johnstone

May 64', 0.23 xGCiftci 25', 0.17 xGMay 5', 0.12 xGDavidson 32', 0.12 xGDavidson 32', 0.09 xGGordon 90+2', 0.08 xGO'Halloran 66', 0.07 xGMcCart 90', 0.07 xGCiftci 66', 0.06 xGBooth 64', 0.04 xGMcCart 90+2', 0.04 xGMacPherson 79', 0.03 xGKane 77', 0.02 xGCiftci 37', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals80%0.91 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 0.91 xG, 0 goals6%0.07 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals11%0.13 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals3%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HeartsSt. Johnstone

0.76 10 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.93 10 shots, 0 goals
0.87 3 shots, 2 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.08 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.22 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
46 min (49%) · Hearts 0.65, St. Johnstone 0.51 xG
Hearts ahead
47 min (51%) · Hearts 1.07, St. Johnstone 0.63 xG

Line-ups

14193214517183011GordonSouttarHalkettKingsleySmithDevlinHaringCochraneMcKayGinnellyMackay-StevenYellow cardYellow cardGoalGoal71'83'70'Hearts 3-4-3Robbie Neilson1564118341824237ClarkClearyGordonMcCartO'HalloranDavidsonButterfieldMacPhersonBoothCiftciMayYellow cardYellow cardYellow card80'64'80'64'St. Johnstone 3-5-2Callum Davidson

Hearts substitutes

  • 70' McEneff for Mackay-Steven
  • 71' Moore for Halkett
  • 83' Halliday for McKay

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 64' Gilmour for Butterfield
  • 64' Kane for May
  • 80' Crawford for Davidson
  • 80' Middleton for Ciftci

Players

Hearts

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GordonGK900.000.0000.0220
Souttar CB900.030.0700.1577
HalkettCB710.010.0100.0754
KingsleyCB900.060.1810.27113
Smith RWB900.170.170−0.0293
DevlinCM900.100.0200.0435
HaringCM900.000.0330.0338
CochraneLWB900.000.0720.0363
McKayRW8320.140.3550.41160
GinnellyST9020.900.0100.0920
Mackay-StevenLW700.300.020−0.0401
McEneffMF200.000.0000.0010
MooreDF190.000.0000.0111
HallidayMF70.000.0000.0100

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ClarkGK900.000.0000.0220
Cleary CB900.000.0100.0236
Gordon CB900.080.0310.04312
McCartCB900.110.0000.0537
O'HalloranRWB900.070.1610.2843
Davidson CM800.210.0000.0104
ButterfieldCM640.000.0000.0005
MacPhersonCM900.030.0400.0942
BoothLWB900.040.0110.0796
CiftciST800.240.0220.0333
MayST640.350.0910.0501
GilmourMF260.000.000−0.0111
KaneFW260.020.0000.0000
CrawfordFW100.000.0820.0110
MiddletonFW100.000.000−0.1200

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hearts

Kingsley and McKay: 7 passesSouttar and Devlin: 7 passesSouttar and Ginnelly: 7 passesCochrane and Devlin: 7 passesDevlin and Ginnelly: 7 passesHalkett and Cochrane: 8 passesHalkett and Devlin: 8 passesKingsley and Haring: 8 passesSouttar and Haring: 8 passesDevlin and Haring: 8 passesMcKay and Ginnelly: 8 passesHaring and McKay: 9 passesGordon and Souttar: 10 passesHalkett and Haring: 10 passesSmith and Ginnelly: 10 passesKingsley and Devlin: 11 passesKingsley and Mackay-Steven: 11 passesSmith and Haring: 11 passesSmith and Devlin: 13 passesSmith and McKay: 17 passesSouttar and Smith: 18 passesKingsley and Cochrane: 22 passesHalkett and Kingsley: 30 passesHalkett and Souttar: 32 passesGordon: 18 completed passesHalkett: 56 completed passesKingsley: 49 completed passesSouttar: 46 completed passesSmith: 41 completed passesCochrane: 32 completed passesDevlin: 34 completed passesHaring: 30 completed passesMcKay: 28 completed passesGinnelly: 15 completed passesMackay-Steven: 15 completed passes11934217145183011GordonHalkettKingsleySouttarSmithCochraneDevlinHaringMcKayGinnellyMackay-StevenStarters until 70' · lines join pairs with 7+ passes

St. Johnstone

Clark and Cleary: 3 passesClark and McCart: 3 passesClark and Booth: 3 passesCleary and McCart: 3 passesCleary and MacPherson: 3 passesGordon and MacPherson: 3 passesMcCart and May: 3 passesO'Halloran and Butterfield: 3 passesO'Halloran and Davidson: 3 passesButterfield and MacPherson: 4 passesCleary and Butterfield: 5 passesCleary and Davidson: 5 passesBooth and Butterfield: 5 passesMacPherson and Ciftci: 5 passesCleary and O'Halloran: 6 passesMcCart and MacPherson: 7 passesCleary and Ciftci: 8 passesMcCart and Butterfield: 8 passesBooth and Ciftci: 9 passesMcCart and Booth: 10 passesBooth and MacPherson: 10 passesGordon and McCart: 12 passesCleary and Gordon: 13 passesClark: 9 completed passesCleary: 25 completed passesGordon: 21 completed passesMcCart: 24 completed passesO'Halloran: 10 completed passesBooth: 22 completed passesButterfield: 17 completed passesMacPherson: 19 completed passesDavidson: 6 completed passesCiftci: 11 completed passesMay: 5 completed passes1564112434188237ClarkClearyGordonMcCartO'HalloranBoothButterfieldMacPhersonDavidsonCiftciMayStarters until 64' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hearts

FromToPasses
HalkettKingsley18
SouttarHalkett18
HalkettSouttar14
CochraneKingsley13
KingsleyHalkett12

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
GordonCleary14
GordonMcCart13
McCartGordon12
ClearyGordon10
McCartBooth9

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hearts

6+2.110−1.73−2.54−2.88+0.26+0.28+1.25−1.16+0.34−1.54−2.04−0.82−2.37+3.75+1.22−1.42−0.73+1.22+0.44+2.45+2.80−0.41+0.60−0.71+0.61+0.12−3.01−3.82−3.61−3.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 20 matches

St. Johnstone

3−3.16−1.018+4.36+0.54−0.74−3.74−4.28+1.67−1.03−4.43−3.73−2.58+4.56+0.77+1.52−2.09+5.31−1.213+10.67+2.70−3.01−0.92+1.50−1.62+0.10−1.11+0.20−0.90−0.40−0.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 20 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hearts

0.010.010.020.010.020.030.070.030.020.060.020.040.030.050.070.03−0.02−0.01−0.010.10−0.01−0.010.130.150.17LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.010.010.010.020.010.04−0.010.020.030.020.010.040.040.01−0.010.030.050.010.050.070.05LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackHearts1.20 → 1.22St. Johnstone0.84 → 0.84Defence (lower is better)Hearts1.11 → 1.12St. Johnstone1.15 → 1.16

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Hearts
Top six>99%>99%0
St. Johnstone
Top six<1%<1%0
11th27%28%+1
Bottom31%36%+5
Dundee FC
11th25%26%+1
Bottom42%39%−3
Livingston
Top six7%7%0
11th10%9%−1
Bottom6%5%−1

From the forecast before the match (18 January 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

HeartsSt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.370.77
Win51%20%
Expected Points1.810.90
Clean sheet46%25%

Hearts 51%Draw 29%St. Johnstone 20%

Most likely score 1–0, 16%. Both sides score 41%.

St. Johnstone goalsHearts goals0123456+0123456+8%3%5%1%11%8%3%5%4%1%2%1%12%16%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 January 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowHearts winDrawSt. Johnstone win
Hearts
Top six>99%>99%>99%99%
St. Johnstone
Top six<1%<1%<1%1%
11th27%28%28%23%
Bottom31%36%31%19%
Dundee FC
11th25%26%24%23%
Bottom42%39%42%48%
Livingston
Top six7%7%8%7%
11th10%9%10%14%
Bottom6%5%6%8%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hearts

  1. W2–126 DecRoss County (H)xG 1.73–1.00
  2. W1–018 DecDundee FC (A)xG 1.02–0.14
  3. L0–212 DecRangers (H)xG 1.00–1.86
  4. W1–05 DecLivingston (A)xG 1.84–1.25
  5. L0–12 DecCeltic (A)xG 0.67–2.86
  6. W2–027 NovSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.16–1.16

St. Johnstone

  1. L1–326 DecCeltic (H)xG 0.26–2.57
  2. L1–222 DecRoss County (H)xG 0.32–2.15
  3. L0–218 DecMotherwell (A)xG 0.52–0.31
  4. L0–215 DecRangers (A)xG 0.30–1.90
  5. L0–111 DecAberdeen (H)xG 0.21–0.77
  6. L0–11 DecDundee FC (A)xG 0.34–1.01

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HeartsSt. Johnstone
Position3rd12th
Played2020
Won, drawn, lost10–⁠6–⁠43–⁠5–⁠12
Points36 (1.80 per game)14 (0.70 per game)
Expected Points per game1.530.85
Goals29–⁠1811–⁠25
xG per game1.35–⁠1.220.63–⁠1.40
Home: points, xG per game2.10, 1.69–⁠0.970.55, 0.72–⁠1.42
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 1.01–⁠1.470.89, 0.52–⁠1.36
ManagerRobbie Neilson (20)Callum Davidson (58)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackHearts1.20, 4thSt. Johnstone0.84, 11thDefence (lower is better)Hearts1.11, 5thSt. Johnstone1.15, 6th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanHearts attack: 1.20St. Johnstone attack: 0.841.200.84St. JohnstoneHeartsDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanHearts defence: 1.11St. Johnstone defence: 1.151.151.11

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HeartsSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+4%+9%−48%+3%
Counter-attacks+27%−38%−71%+169%
Set pieces−12%+23%−36%+11%
Penalties+127%−100%−62%+51%
Headers−23%−15%−60%+15%
Left side+40%−8%−32%+7%
Centre−36%+9%−55%+16%
Right side+39%+35%−43%+10%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side+40%+10%Centre−36%+16%Right side+39%+7%Open play+4%+3%Counter-attacks+27%+169%Set pieces−12%+11%Headers−23%+15%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdHearts concededLeft side−32%+35%Centre−55%+9%Right side−43%−8%Open play−48%+9%Counter-attacks−71%−38%Set pieces−36%+23%Headers−60%−15%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HeartsSt. Johnstone

1.35xG0.63
1.22xG against1.40
54%Possession43%
12.8Shots8.7
13.3Shots against14.7
4.5Shots on target2.2
1.6Big chances0.6
23.1Touches in the opposition box14.4
439Passes336
75%Pass accuracy64%
5.7Corners4.5
52%Field tilt41%
43.6Final-third entries29.1
12.3Box entries7.5
13.6Passes per defensive action16.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hearts

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level431.531.13
Ahead311.440.94
Behind160.731.99

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level520.581.27
Ahead130.921.78
Behind250.591.45

xG by period

Hearts

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.204–4
16–300.160.185–1
31–450.310.176–4
46–600.290.193–2
61–750.240.196–5
76–900.200.295–2

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.181–2
16–300.060.172–4
31–450.090.214–4
46–600.100.252–4
61–750.160.231–4
76–900.120.351–7

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hearts

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWGordon 20Souttar 18Moore 5Smith 1Halkett 19Kingsley 13Cochrane 4Smith 14Moore 3McKay 2Baningime 15Woodburn 1McEneff 1Devlin 13Haring 8Halliday 1Cochrane 10Halliday 7Kingsley 3McKay 8Ginnelly 6Woodburn 3Boyce 13Ginnelly 3Woodburn 2Mackay-Steven 8Woodburn 7McKay 43-4-3 in 13 of 20 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (13), 3-4-2-1 (4), 4-2-3-1 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTClark 18Parish 2Muller 7Brown 5Dendoncker 5Gordon 13Ambrose 4Kerr 3McCart 19Rooney 11Brown 4O'Halloran 4Bryson 7Davidson 5MacPherson 5Craig 9Wotherspoon 4Butterfield 3Booth 16Devine 4Crawford 8Middleton 6Davidson 3O'Halloran 6Wotherspoon 5Kane 4Kane 8May 7O'Halloran 23-4-2-1 in 11 of 20 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (11), 3-5-2 (3), 3-4-1-2 (2), 3-4-3 (2), 5-3-2 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
27 October 2021St. Johnstone1–1HeartsxG 1.22–0.94

1 league meeting since 2020/21: Hearts won 0, St. Johnstone won 0, and 1 was a draw. Goals 1–1 and xG 0.94–1.22 per game.

Key players

Hearts

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Boyce131,158710.640.05
McKay141,245020.130.33
Gnanduillet3459100.340.10
Mackay-Steven10813230.300.10

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
May9867210.220.12
Middleton8714000.150.09
Kane121,148300.210.02
Craig9870000.090.06

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.