Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

St. Johnstone 1–1 Hearts

Wednesday 27 October 2021, 19:45 · McDiarmid Park · Round 11 · Half-time 1–1 · Attendance 6,083

St. Johnstone Gordon 11'

Hearts Ginnelly 40'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneHearts
Goals11
xG1.220.94
Expected Points1.650.99

St. Johnstone 43%Draw 36%Hearts 21%

Most likely score 1–1, 29%. Final score 1–1, 29%.

Hearts goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+3%3%1%12%3%8%8%4%1%1%1%24%29%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTAmbrose on for Dendoncker and Devine on for Brown, 46'Middleton on for May, 81'Woodburn on for Ginnelly, 75'Mackay-Steven on for McKay, 89'Gordon 11'Ginnelly 40'St. Johnstone 1.22Hearts 0.9400.511.50153045607590HTAmbrose on for Dendoncker and Devine on for Brown, 46'Middleton on for May, 81'Woodburn on for Ginnelly, 75'Mackay-Steven on for McKay, 89'Gordon 11'Ginnelly 40'1.220.94St. JohnstoneHearts

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneHearts

1.22 +0.34xG0.94 −0.49
1.29 +0.54xG on target1.62 0.00
9 −1Shots18 +6
4 +1.4Shots on target4 −0.1
1 +0.1Big chances0 −1.5
10 −9Touches in the opposition box23 −1
31% −14Possession69% +14
208 −124Passes476 +28
51% −14Pass accuracy80% +3
32% −15Field tilt68% +13
13 −16Final-third entries46 −1
1 −7.6Box entries12 −0.7
16.4 +1Passes per defensive action8.6 −4
6 +0.5Corners6 +0.7
19 +6Tackles9 −6
7 −3.9Interceptions9 +0.1
29 +8Clearances12 −6
3 +0.2Saves2 −2.4
11 −1Fouls12 +1
1 −0.4Offsides4 +1.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

McCart 31', 0.09 xGMcCart 49', 0.05 xGKane 31', 0.04 xGMacPherson 36', 0.04 xGBooth 11', 0.03 xGMay 11', 0.03 xGGordon 65', 0.02 xGDevine 71', 0.02 xGGordon 11', 0.91 xG, goal77%0.93 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.93 xG, 1 goal8%0.10 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals12%0.15 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals2%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Hearts

Gnanduillet 49', 0.25 xGGnanduillet 6', 0.08 xGGinnelly 72', 0.07 xGSmith 72', 0.06 xGGnanduillet 76', 0.05 xGWoodburn 86', 0.05 xGGnanduillet 45+3', 0.04 xGSmith 25', 0.03 xGHalkett 28', 0.03 xGGnanduillet 45+3', 0.03 xGBaningime 50', 0.03 xGSouttar 72', 0.03 xGWoodburn 80', 0.03 xGGinnelly 23', 0.02 xGMcKay 27', 0.02 xGSouttar 60', 0.02 xGWoodburn 80', 0.01 xGGinnelly 40', 0.10 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals15%0.14 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals68%0.64 xGWide in the box: 9 shots, 0.64 xG, 1 goal14%0.13 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals3%0.03 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneHearts

0.10 3 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.67 12 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.15 2 shots, 1 goal
1.12 6 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.12 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
64 min (69%) · St. Johnstone 1.02, Hearts 0.74 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
29 min (31%) · St. Johnstone 0.20, Hearts 0.20 xG

Line-ups

15642188212479ClarkDendonckerGordonMcCartBrownMacPhersonDavidsonCrawfordBoothMayKaneGoalYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow card46'46'81'St. Johnstone 3-5-2Callum Davidson14193214616302118GordonSouttarHalkettKingsleySmithDevlinBaningimeHallidayGinnellyGnanduilletMcKayYellow cardYellow cardGoal75'89'Hearts 3-4-3Robbie Neilson

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 46' Devine for Brown
  • 46' Ambrose for Dendoncker
  • 81' Middleton for May

Hearts substitutes

  • 75' Woodburn for Ginnelly
  • 89' Mackay-Steven for McKay

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ClarkGK900.000.0000.0110
DendonckerCB460.000.0000.0001
Gordon CB9010.920.0000.01113
McCart CB900.130.0100.0438
BrownRWB460.000.0000.0002
MacPhersonCM900.040.1850.0373
Davidson CM900.000.0000.00010
CrawfordCM900.000.010−0.0115
BoothLWB900.030.0100.0235
May ST810.030.0120.0113
KaneST900.040.000−0.0303
DevineMF440.020.0000.0001
AmbroseFW440.000.0000.0115
MiddletonFW90.000.0000.0000

Hearts

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GordonGK900.000.0000.0121
Souttar CB900.050.0410.19144
HalkettCB900.030.0100.0973
KingsleyCB900.000.0110.08103
SmithRWB900.090.2910.0944
Devlin CM900.000.1920.0383
BaningimeCM9010.030.0420.0425
HallidayLWB900.000.1820.0645
GinnellyRW7510.190.0430.0331
GnanduilletST900.440.0600.0401
McKayLW890.020.1820.1260
WoodburnMF150.100.021−0.0322
Mackay-StevenFW10.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Dendoncker and Davidson: 3 passesDendoncker and Kane: 3 passesMcCart and MacPherson: 3 passesBooth and Davidson: 3 passesBooth and Crawford: 3 passesMacPherson and Kane: 3 passesDavidson and Kane: 3 passesBrown and May: 4 passesMcCart and Booth: 5 passesClark: 4 completed passesDendoncker: 7 completed passesGordon: 3 completed passesMcCart: 4 completed passesBrown: 4 completed passesBooth: 8 completed passesMacPherson: 7 completed passesDavidson: 8 completed passesCrawford: 4 completed passesKane: 2 completed passesMay: 2 completed passes15642241882197ClarkDendonckerGordonMcCartBrownBoothMacPhersonDavidsonCrawfordKaneMayStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Hearts

Gordon and Halkett: 5 passesKingsley and Baningime: 5 passesSmith and McKay: 5 passesDevlin and McKay: 5 passesBaningime and Ginnelly: 5 passesGinnelly and McKay: 5 passesHalkett and Smith: 6 passesDevlin and Ginnelly: 6 passesHalkett and Halliday: 7 passesHalkett and McKay: 7 passesSmith and Baningime: 7 passesSmith and Gnanduillet: 7 passesHalliday and Devlin: 7 passesSmith and Devlin: 8 passesHalkett and Baningime: 9 passesHalliday and McKay: 10 passesSouttar and Ginnelly: 11 passesKingsley and McKay: 12 passesKingsley and Devlin: 13 passesHalkett and Devlin: 14 passesSouttar and Smith: 16 passesSmith and Ginnelly: 17 passesSouttar and Halkett: 18 passesKingsley and Halliday: 18 passesSouttar and Devlin: 21 passesHalkett and Kingsley: 32 passesGordon: 7 completed passesSouttar: 45 completed passesHalkett: 54 completed passesKingsley: 46 completed passesSmith: 36 completed passesHalliday: 31 completed passesDevlin: 41 completed passesBaningime: 23 completed passesGinnelly: 19 completed passesGnanduillet: 8 completed passesMcKay: 25 completed passes14193216146302118GordonSouttarHalkettKingsleySmithHallidayDevlinBaningimeGinnellyGnanduilletMcKayStarters until 75' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
BoothMcCart8
MacPhersonCrawford6
MacPhersonMcCart5
CrawfordMacPherson4
DavidsonMcCart3

Hearts

FromToPasses
HalkettKingsley18
KingsleyHalkett17
SmithSouttar14
HallidayKingsley13
SouttarHalkett13

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

2−4.17+1.715+3.58+2.95+0.28+1.08+0.43−3.219+11.811+3.51−5.82−3.22−1.73−3.43−2.45+1.44+0.50−2.31−1.44−0.44+1.13+1.31+0.63+1.35+3.20−1.31+0.41+0.21+0.60−0.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 10 matches

Hearts

3−1.22−2.99−1.16+0.63−2.16−0.17+0.68+2.26+0.56+0.610+4.14−0.83−2.13−0.13−0.60−3.23−1.35+2.33+1.50−1.50−2.33+0.20−0.31+0.51+0.30−0.41+0.11−4.63−4.71−4.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 10 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.01−0.01−0.01−0.01−0.030.030.020.03LessMore

Hearts

0.010.010.050.020.010.030.020.020.030.050.030.060.030.060.040.020.05−0.010.020.010.030.010.090.08LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.17AttackSt. Johnstone0.99 → 1.01Hearts1.23 → 1.23Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.09 → 1.09Hearts1.07 → 1.09

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
Top six26%25%−1
11th8%7%−1
Bottom2%2%0
Hearts
Title1%1%0
Top six95%95%0

From the forecast before the match (27 October 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneHearts
Expected goals1.011.10
Win32%37%
Expected Points1.271.41
Clean sheet33%37%

St. Johnstone 32%Draw 31%Hearts 37%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 43%.

Hearts goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+7%3%7%3%6%7%4%1%2%2%1%13%13%12%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 27 October 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawHearts win
St. Johnstone
Top six26%36%25%19%
11th8%4%7%11%
Bottom2%1%2%3%
Hearts
Title1%1%1%2%
Top six95%91%95%98%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. L0–223 OctCeltic (A)xG 0.13–2.70
  2. L0–316 OctLivingston (H)xG 1.45–1.55
  3. W3–12 OctDundee FC (H)xG 1.90–0.41
  4. L0–126 SepHibernian (A)xG 0.22–1.90
  5. W1–018 SepAberdeen (A)xG 0.31–0.55
  6. L1–211 SepRangers (H)xG 0.65–1.22

Hearts

  1. D1–123 OctDundee FC (H)xG 1.49–0.52
  2. D1–116 OctRangers (A)xG 0.49–3.34
  3. W2–02 OctMotherwell (H)xG 2.16–1.12
  4. W3–025 SepLivingston (H)xG 2.43–0.12
  5. D2–218 SepRoss County (A)xG 1.21–1.44
  6. D0–012 SepHibernian (H)xG 1.23–1.09

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneHearts
Position10th2nd
Played1010
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠3–⁠55–⁠5–⁠0
Points9 (0.90 per game)20 (2.00 per game)
Expected Points per game1.071.70
Goals6–⁠1116–⁠7
xG per game0.88–⁠1.341.43–⁠1.08
Home: points, xG per game0.80, 1.13–⁠1.242.00, 1.65–⁠0.81
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 0.63–⁠1.442.00, 1.10–⁠1.48
ManagerCallum Davidson (48)Robbie Neilson (10)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.17AttackSt. Johnstone0.99, 8thHearts1.23, 4thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.09, 6thHearts1.07, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctSt. Johnstone attack: 0.99Hearts attack: 1.231.230.99HeartsSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctSt. Johnstone defence: 1.09Hearts defence: 1.071.091.07

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneHearts
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−22%−14%−11%+2%
Counter-attacks−35%+75%−67%−32%
Set pieces−34%+34%+24%−1%
Penalties−40%+80%+200%−100%
Headers−61%−7%−22%−25%
Left side−5%−36%+23%+4%
Centre−40%+39%−18%−14%
Right side−17%−37%−4%+24%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdHearts concededLeft side−5%+24%Centre−40%−14%Right side−17%+4%Open play−22%+2%Counter-attacks−35%−32%Set pieces−34%−1%Headers−61%−25%

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side+23%−37%Centre−18%+39%Right side−4%−36%Open play−11%−14%Counter-attacks−67%+75%Set pieces+24%+34%Headers−22%−7%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneHearts

0.88xG1.43
1.34xG against1.08
45%Possession55%
10.4Shots12.3
10.9Shots against12.2
2.6Shots on target4.1
0.9Big chances1.5
19.2Touches in the opposition box23.9
332Passes448
65%Pass accuracy77%
5.5Corners5.3
46%Field tilt55%
29.0Final-third entries47.2
8.6Box entries12.7
15.1Passes per defensive action13.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level570.741.16
Ahead121.741.91
Behind210.801.49

Hearts

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level451.770.93
Ahead381.120.99
Behind70.942.50

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.160–1
16–300.060.130–1
31–450.140.193–1
46–600.160.292–2
61–750.250.270–3
76–900.210.301–3

Hearts

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.200.093–1
16–300.210.133–0
31–450.360.223–2
46–600.320.141–1
61–750.200.133–1
76–900.140.363–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTClark 10Muller 5Brown 2Rooney 2Ambrose 4Gordon 3Kerr 3McCart 9Rooney 7O'Halloran 2Brown 1Wotherspoon 4McCann 4MacPherson 2Craig 6Middleton 1Bryson 1Booth 7Devine 3Middleton 3O'Halloran 2Crawford 2Wotherspoon 5Kane 2May 2Kane 5May 3O'Halloran 23-4-2-1 in 3 of 10 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (3), 3-4-3 (2), 5-3-2 (2), 3-5-2 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1)

Hearts

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWGordon 10Souttar 8Moore 3Halkett 10Kingsley 6Cochrane 3Smith 9McKay 1Baningime 10Woodburn 1Devlin 4Haring 4Halliday 1Cochrane 6Halliday 3Kingsley 1McKay 4Ginnelly 3Woodburn 2Boyce 10Mackay-Steven 5Woodburn 4Gnanduillet 13-4-3 in 6 of 10 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (6), 3-4-2-1 (3), 3-4-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kane7658200.310.02
Craig6535000.130.06
O'Halloran6506120.110.03
Wotherspoon9756000.020.10

Hearts

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Boyce10842610.660.05
Mackay-Steven6494120.400.06
Kingsley7611200.140.08
Woodburn7464010.060.12

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.