Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Aberdeen 4–1 St. Mirren

Saturday 6 August 2022, 15:00 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 2 · Half-time 3–0 · Referee Alan James Muir · Attendance 14,420

Aberdeen Miovski 24' (pen), 37', Clarkson 45', Duk 87'

St. Mirren Ayunga 53' (pen) · Gallagher sent off 23'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

AberdeenSt. Mirren
Goals41
xG3.370.93
Non-penalty xG2.590.14
Expected Points2.790.13

Aberdeen 90%Draw 8%St. Mirren 2%

Most likely score 3–1, 20%. Final score 4–1, 17%.

St. Mirren goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+1%6%4%14%2%5%3%4%2%2%9%1%1%5%20%17%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

012340153045607590HTGallagher (St. Mirren), second yellow card 23'Clarkson on for Coulson, 12'Roberts on for Kennedy, 63'Ramirez on for Miovski and Duk on for Hayes, 72'Flynn on for Main, 45'Greive on for Baccus and Brophy on for Ayunga, 78'Taylor on for Strain, 90+1'Miovski 24' (pen)Miovski 37'Clarkson 45'Duk 87'Ayunga 53' (pen)Aberdeen 3.37St. Mirren 0.93012340153045607590HTGallagher (St. Mirren), second yellow card 23'Clarkson on for Coulson, 12'Roberts on for Kennedy, 63'Ramirez on for Miovski and Duk on for Hayes, 72'Flynn on for Main, 45'Greive on for Baccus and Brophy on for Ayunga, 78'Taylor on for Strain, 90+1'Miovski 24' (pen)Miovski 37'Clarkson 45'Duk 87'Ayunga 53' (pen)3.370.93AberdeenSt. Mirren

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenSt. Mirren

3.37 +3.14xG0.93 −1.45
2.59Non-penalty xG0.14
4.37 +4.24xG on target0.99 −1.66
23 +18.0Shots6 −13.0
10 +7.0Shots on target1 −5.0
7 +7.0Big chances1 −4.0
75% +44Possession25% −24
594 +275Passes191 −151
86% +16Pass accuracy59% −8
86% +70Field tilt14% −36
63 +32Final-third entries16 −24
17 +8.0Box entries6 −11.0
9.5 −27Passes per defensive action18.2 −1
4 +1.0Corners4 −4.0
9 −4Tackles16 +1
5 −9.0Interceptions8 +2.0
14 −17Clearances18 −2
0 −7.0Saves6 +5.0
12 0.0Fouls15 +6.0
0 0.0Offsides1 0.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Aberdeen

Miovski 49', 0.33 xGMiovski 60', 0.33 xGScales 90', 0.18 xGScales 33', 0.16 xGScales 22', 0.11 xGScales 29', 0.08 xGMiovski 45', 0.08 xGBesuijen 22', 0.07 xGBesuijen 60', 0.05 xGBesuijen 75', 0.05 xGClarkson 14', 0.04 xGMcCrorie 76', 0.04 xGRamadani 8', 0.03 xGKennedy 18', 0.03 xGClarkson 66', 0.03 xGHayes 16', 0.02 xGKennedy 40', 0.02 xGBesuijen 77', 0.02 xGMiovski 21', 0.01 xGDuk 87', 0.54 xG, goalMiovski 37', 0.33 xG, goalClarkson 45', 0.05 xG, goal21%0.53 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.53 xG, 1 goal53%1.36 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 1.36 xG, 1 goal14%0.37 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.37 xG, 0 goals11%0.29 xGEdge of the box: 9 shots, 0.29 xG, 1 goal1%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

St. Mirren

Brophy 85', 0.05 xGTait 41', 0.03 xGMain 8', 0.02 xGShaughnessy 84', 0.02 xGBaccus 51', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals79%0.11 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals14%0.02 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals7%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenSt. Mirren

2.20 17 shots, 3 goalsOpen play0.09 3 shots, 0 goals
0.08 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.31 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.05 2 shots, 0 goals
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
24 min (26%) · Aberdeen 1.10, St. Mirren 0.02 xG
Aberdeen ahead
67 min (74%) · Aberdeen 2.28, St. Mirren 0.91 xG

Line-ups

242554221623310179RoosRichardsonStewartScalesCoulsonRamadaniMcCrorieKennedyBesuijenHayesMiovskiYellow cardGoalGoal12'63'72'72'Aberdeen 4-2-3-1Jim Goodwin123314182171611710CarsonStrainGallagherShaughnessyDunneTaitBaccusErhahonKiltieAyungaMainYellow cardSent off, second yellowYellow cardGoalYellow card90+1'78'78'45'St. Mirren 5-3-2Steve Robinson

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 12' Clarkson for Coulson · goal 45'
  • 63' Roberts for Kennedy
  • 72' Ramirez for Miovski · 1 assist
  • 72' Duk for Hayes · goal 87'

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 45' Flynn for Main
  • 78' Greive for Baccus
  • 78' Brophy for Ayunga
  • 90+1' Taylor for Strain

Players

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
RoosGK900.000.0000.0201
RichardsonRB900.000.2840.33173
StewartCB900.000.0200.1154
ScalesCB900.530.3440.28117
CoulsonLB120.000.0000.0221
RamadaniDM900.030.0500.0174
McCrorie DM900.040.0000.0514
KennedyRW6310.060.2230.0861
BesuijenAM900.180.2520.2060
HayesLW720.020.1620.0250
MiovskiST7221.860.041−0.0100
ClarksonMF7810.120.0710.1584
RobertsMF270.000.2200.0730
RamirezFW1810.000.2010.0010
DukFW1810.540.0000.0820

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
CarsonGK900.000.0000.0560
StrainRWB900.000.0310.0248
Gallagher CB230.000.0000.0111
ShaughnessyCB900.020.0810.0018
DunneCB900.000.0000.0323
TaitLWB900.030.020−0.0134
BaccusCM780.010.010−0.0122
ErhahonCM900.000.0200.0537
Kiltie CM900.000.0830.0635
Ayunga ST7810.790.010−0.0213
MainST450.020.0100.0432
FlynnMF450.000.0000.0004
GreiveFW120.000.000−0.0200
BrophyFW120.050.000––0
TaylorFW00.00––0.000–

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Mirren

Dunne and Erhahon: 3 passesBaccus and Erhahon: 4 passesCarson: 4 completed passesShaughnessy: 0 completed passesDunne: 3 completed passesGallagher: 3 completed passesStrain: 1 completed passesTait: 2 completed passesBaccus: 5 completed passesErhahon: 4 completed passesKiltie: 5 completed passesMain: 0 completed passesAyunga: 1 completed passes141831232171611107CarsonShaughnessyDunneGallagherStrainTaitBaccusErhahonKiltieMainAyungaStarters until 23' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
RamadaniClarkson21
RichardsonStewart20
StewartRichardson19
RamadaniRichardson17
StewartRamadani16

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
DunneErhahon5
StrainAyunga5
CarsonAyunga4
KiltieBaccus3
ErhahonBaccus3

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

3−2.012+6.02−7.08+6.01−6.01−9.02−15.03−8.09+3.03−2.03−3.03−2.05+4.07+5.02−1.04+3.030.03+3.02+1.00−1.010.02+2.04+4.00−1.01−1.02+1.01+1.000.000.06−28.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 1 match

St. Mirren

5+1.060.014+6.06−3.040.011+5.09−2.05+1.05−1.05−4.04−3.03+2.04−2.05−1.04−1.01−2.03−2.03−1.03+1.03+1.01−4.00−2.02+1.04+2.03+2.00−2.02+2.000.010.02−9.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 1 match

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

0.010.010.020.010.020.020.030.040.040.040.020.060.100.09−0.010.110.110.060.010.12−0.050.030.140.190.18LessMore

St. Mirren

0.030.020.030.010.010.010.01−0.010.010.010.010.030.040.020.020.02−0.01−0.01−0.10−0.010.07LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.17AttackAberdeen1.02 → 1.08St. Mirren0.90 → 0.90Defence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.14 → 1.12St. Mirren1.31 → 1.37

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Aberdeen
Top six54%63%+9
11th5%3%−2
Bottom3%2%−1
St. Mirren
Top six17%13%−4
11th17%19%+2
Bottom16%19%+3
St. Johnstone
11th20%20%0
Bottom28%26%−2

From the forecast before the match (6 August 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

AberdeenSt. Mirren
Expected goals1.370.80
Win49%21%
Expected Points1.780.93
Clean sheet45%26%

Aberdeen 49%Draw 29%St. Mirren 21%

Most likely score 1–0, 15%. Both sides score 42%.

St. Mirren goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+9%4%1%5%1%11%9%3%5%4%2%2%1%12%15%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 6 August 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowAberdeen winDrawSt. Mirren win
Aberdeen
Top six54%63%50%42%
11th5%3%6%7%
Bottom3%2%3%5%
St. Mirren
Top six17%13%19%27%
11th17%19%16%12%
Bottom16%19%15%10%
St. Johnstone
11th20%20%20%20%
Bottom28%26%28%30%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. L0–231 JulCeltic (A)xG 0.23–1.90
  2. D0–015 MaySt. Mirren (H)xG 1.16–0.37
  3. L0–111 MaySt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.28–0.68
  4. D1–17 MayHibernian (A)xG 0.63–2.02
  5. W1–030 AprDundee FC (H)xG 1.54–0.85
  6. L1–223 AprLivingston (H)xG 2.15–1.54

St. Mirren

  1. L0–131 JulMotherwell (H)xG 2.38–1.16
  2. D0–015 MayAberdeen (A)xG 0.37–1.16
  3. D0–011 MayLivingston (H)xG 0.64–0.85
  4. W2–07 MayDundee FC (H)xG 1.83–0.95
  5. W1–030 AprSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.87–0.25
  6. L0–123 AprHibernian (H)xG 0.69–0.72

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenSt. Mirren
Position12th10th
Played11
Won, drawn, lost0–⁠0–⁠10–⁠0–⁠1
Points0 (0.00 per game)0 (0.00 per game)
Expected Points per game0.272.21
Goals0–⁠20–⁠1
xG per game0.23–⁠1.902.38–⁠1.16
Home: points, xG per game–⁠0.00, 2.38–⁠1.16
Away: points, xG per game0.00, 0.23–⁠1.90–⁠
ManagerJim Goodwin (13)Steve Robinson (5)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.17AttackAberdeen1.02, 6thSt. Mirren0.90, 11thDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.14, 4thSt. Mirren1.31, 9th

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenSt. Mirren
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−30%−7%−10%+8%
Counter-attacks−62%−55%+36%+14%
Set pieces−8%+2%+10%−4%
Penalties+25%−6%−53%+178%
Headers−6%−3%+50%−5%
Left side−20%−4%−11%+16%
Centre−30%average+18%−4%
Right side−23%−22%−33%+14%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−20%+14%Centre−30%−4%Right side−23%+16%Open play−30%+8%Counter-attacks−62%+14%Set pieces−8%−4%Headers−6%−5%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdAberdeen concededLeft side−11%−22%Centre+18%averageRight side−33%−4%Open play−10%−7%Counter-attacks+36%−55%Set pieces+10%+2%Headers+50%−3%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenSt. Mirren

0.23xG2.38
1.90xG against1.16
31%Possession49%
5.0Shots19.0
21.0Shots against9.0
3.0Shots on target6.0
0.0Big chances5.0
319Passes342
70%Pass accuracy67%
3.0Corners8.0
16%Field tilt50%
31.0Final-third entries40.0
9.0Box entries17.0
36.7Passes per defensive action19.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level30.006.30
Ahead0––
Behind870.241.75

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level423.211.93
Ahead0––
Behind481.650.49

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.020.430–1
16–300.000.430–0
31–450.190.100–0
46–600.000.150–0
61–750.000.500–1
76–900.020.290–0

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.050.020–0
16–300.550.000–0
31–450.900.880–1
46–600.170.120–0
61–750.290.060–0
76–900.420.080–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTRoos 1Richardson 1Stewart 1McCrorie 1Coulson 1Ramadani 1Polvara 1Kennedy 1Besuijen 1Hayes 1Miovski 14-2-3-1 in every start

St. Mirren

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBCMCMCMSTSTCarson 1Strain 1Gallagher 1Shaughne… 1ShaughnessyDunne 1Tanser 1Baccus 1Erhahon 1O'Hara 1Ayunga 1Greive 15-3-2 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
15 May 2022Aberdeen0–0St. MirrenxG 1.16–0.37
25 January 2022St. Mirren1–0AberdeenxG 0.13–0.47
4 December 2021Aberdeen4–1St. MirrenxG 4.40–0.95
26 September 2021St. Mirren3–2AberdeenxG 1.50–1.11
13 February 2021Aberdeen0–0St. MirrenxG 0.51–0.66
5 December 2020St. Mirren1–1AberdeenxG 2.58–0.39

7 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 2, St. Mirren won 2, and 3 were drawn. Goals 9–7 and xG 1.28–0.95 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Besuijen161,484200.130.10
Hayes292,600210.050.16
McCrorie312,749110.040.01

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Greive10921210.310.03
Tanser312,623240.060.21
Main161,695210.200.03
Tait211,886010.090.06

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.