Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Dundee United 0–1 St. Johnstone

Saturday 30 October 2021, 15:00 · Tannadice Park · Round 12 · Half-time 0–1 · Attendance 7,580

St. Johnstone Crawford 17'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone
Goals01
xG1.840.33
Expected Points2.460.34

Dundee United 76%Draw 19%St. Johnstone 5%

Most likely score 2–0, 21%. Final score 0–1, 3%.

St. Johnstone goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+10%3%8%1%7%1%12%4%5%2%1%21%21%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTPawlett on for Appere and Niskanen on for Chalmers, 46'Freeman on for Smith, 67'Devine on for O'Halloran, 76'May on for Middleton and Ambrose on for Muller, 81'Crawford 17'Dundee United 1.84St. Johnstone 0.3300.511.520153045607590HTPawlett on for Appere and Niskanen on for Chalmers, 46'Freeman on for Smith, 67'Devine on for O'Halloran, 76'May on for Middleton and Ambrose on for Muller, 81'Crawford 17'1.840.33Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone

1.84 +0.91xG0.33 −0.58
2.46 +1.23xG on target0.34 −0.46
19 +8Shots6 −4
7 +2.8Shots on target2 −0.7
3 +1.6Big chances0 −0.9
35 +20Touches in the opposition box11 −6
63% +17Possession37% −6
546 +180Passes332 +12
79% +10Pass accuracy61% −3
73% +26Field tilt27% −18
56 +21Final-third entries29 +2
14 +6.5Box entries7 −0.9
12.8 −1Passes per defensive action20.9 +6
8 +3.4Corners3 −2.5
14 0Tackles15 +1
7 −4Interceptions5 −6
11 −11Clearances36 +15
1 −1.4Saves7 +4.2
7 −7Fouls11 −1
2 +0.3Offsides1 −0.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee United

Clark 90+3', 0.29 xGClark 61', 0.21 xGPawlett 84', 0.20 xGHarkes 60', 0.18 xGClark 84', 0.18 xGEdwards 59', 0.17 xGPawlett 71', 0.13 xGPawlett 86', 0.09 xGClark 60', 0.06 xGClark 90+3', 0.06 xGFuchs 76', 0.05 xGLevitt 9', 0.03 xGHarkes 24', 0.03 xGAppere 28', 0.03 xGMulgrew 60', 0.03 xGHarkes 87', 0.03 xGPawlett 90+3', 0.03 xGSmith 60', 0.02 xGEdwards 28', 0.01 xG31%0.56 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.56 xG, 0 goals57%1.04 xGCentral box: 9 shots, 1.04 xG, 0 goals7%0.12 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals4%0.08 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals2%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

St. Johnstone

Gordon 2', 0.10 xGO'Halloran 47', 0.06 xGKane 65', 0.06 xGMiddleton 2', 0.04 xGKane 4', 0.04 xGCrawford 17', 0.05 xG, goal12%0.04 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals39%0.13 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals18%0.06 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.06 xG, 0 goals30%0.10 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.10 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone

1.44 15 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.16 3 shots, 1 goal
0.40 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.17 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
17 min (18%) · Dundee United 0.03, St. Johnstone 0.22 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
76 min (82%) · Dundee United 1.81, St. Johnstone 0.11 xG

Line-ups

12812433231966111027SiegristSmithEdwardsMulgrewMcMannHarkesLevittFuchsChalmersClarkAppereYellow card67'46'46'Dundee United 4-3-3Tam Courts116641118132421149ClarkMullerGordonMcCartO'HalloranMacPhersonBrysonBoothCrawfordMiddletonKaneYellow cardGoal81'76'81'St. Johnstone 3-4-2-1Callum Davidson

Dundee United substitutes

  • 46' Niskanen for Chalmers
  • 46' Pawlett for Appere
  • 67' Freeman for Smith

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 76' Devine for O'Halloran
  • 81' Ambrose for Muller
  • 81' May for Middleton

Players

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SiegristGK900.000.0000.0441
SmithRB670.020.0100.0171
EdwardsCB900.190.1610.0365
MulgrewCB900.030.0200.15132
McMannLB900.000.0600.20156
HarkesCM900.250.3510.2683
LevittCM900.030.3320.1295
Fuchs CM900.050.1520.2142
ChalmersRW460.000.000−0.0101
ClarkST900.810.552−0.1402
AppereLW460.030.0210.0342
NiskanenDF440.000.2430.2851
PawlettMF440.440.0100.0052
FreemanDF230.000.0200.0220

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ClarkGK900.000.0000.0111
MullerCB810.000.0300.09610
GordonCB900.100.0000.00113
McCartCB900.000.4110.14410
O'HalloranRWB760.060.0200.0874
MacPherson CM9010.000.0630.0015
BrysonCM900.000.0210.0255
BoothLWB900.000.0100.0442
CrawfordAM9010.050.010−0.0121
MiddletonAM810.040.0600.1042
KaneST900.090.0200.0655
DevineMF140.000.0000.0212
AmbroseFW90.000.0000.0101
MayFW90.000.000−0.0102

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Edwards and Harkes: 4 passesMcMann and Levitt: 4 passesHarkes and Clark: 4 passesSiegrist and Edwards: 5 passesSmith and Chalmers: 5 passesEdwards and Levitt: 5 passesHarkes and Levitt: 5 passesHarkes and Chalmers: 5 passesHarkes and Appere: 5 passesSmith and Levitt: 6 passesLevitt and Clark: 6 passesSmith and Harkes: 7 passesMulgrew and Levitt: 7 passesFuchs and Levitt: 7 passesSiegrist and Mulgrew: 8 passesMcMann and Fuchs: 8 passesMcMann and Harkes: 8 passesMcMann and Appere: 10 passesEdwards and Mulgrew: 17 passesMulgrew and McMann: 23 passesSmith and Edwards: 30 passesSiegrist: 8 completed passesSmith: 34 completed passesEdwards: 30 completed passesMulgrew: 36 completed passesMcMann: 32 completed passesFuchs: 12 completed passesHarkes: 18 completed passesLevitt: 25 completed passesChalmers: 6 completed passesClark: 9 completed passesAppere: 12 completed passes12812433662319111027SiegristSmithEdwardsMulgrewMcMannFuchsHarkesLevittChalmersClarkAppereStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

St. Johnstone

Muller and Bryson: 4 passesMuller and MacPherson: 4 passesGordon and Bryson: 4 passesBooth and Crawford: 4 passesMiddleton and Crawford: 4 passesMuller and Kane: 5 passesMcCart and MacPherson: 5 passesMcCart and Kane: 5 passesO'Halloran and Bryson: 5 passesO'Halloran and MacPherson: 5 passesBooth and Bryson: 5 passesMiddleton and Kane: 5 passesMcCart and Gordon: 6 passesBryson and Crawford: 6 passesMuller and Crawford: 7 passesBryson and MacPherson: 7 passesMuller and Gordon: 8 passesMcCart and Bryson: 9 passesO'Halloran and Crawford: 9 passesBooth and Middleton: 9 passesBryson and Middleton: 9 passesMcCart and Booth: 10 passesMuller and O'Halloran: 17 passesClark: 1 completed passesMuller: 29 completed passesMcCart: 25 completed passesGordon: 13 completed passesO'Halloran: 19 completed passesBooth: 19 completed passesBryson: 29 completed passesMacPherson: 14 completed passesMiddleton: 13 completed passesCrawford: 17 completed passesKane: 10 completed passes116461124131814219ClarkMullerMcCartGordonO'HalloranBoothBrysonMacPhersonMiddletonCrawfordKaneStarters until 76' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

FromToPasses
McMannMulgrew26
SmithEdwards22
MulgrewMcMann16
EdwardsMulgrew15
MulgrewEdwards14

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
MullerO'Halloran9
O'HalloranMuller8
BrysonMcCart7
McCartKane7
O'HalloranCrawford6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

7+2.74−1.01−7.46−1.75−1.44−0.94−1.79+1.911+3.22−3.16+1.04−0.16−0.48+1.84−0.72−1.71−2.03+0.14+0.41−1.61−0.40−1.42+0.64+1.12+1.00−0.30−0.71+0.43+2.18−10.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 11 matches

St. Johnstone

9+3.319+13.618+6.25−0.44−0.83−4.19+1.43−2.99+0.75−2.87+0.78+3.16+2.56−0.18+2.82−1.72−1.55+2.93+0.75+0.64+1.00−1.80−0.51−0.81−1.11−0.21+0.40−0.80−0.56+5.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 11 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

0.010.010.020.020.020.020.020.030.040.020.060.020.040.020.020.100.060.11−0.020.020.130.01−0.100.100.180.22LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.030.020.030.010.030.040.010.040.030.020.07−0.010.050.01−0.020.010.020.10LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.19AttackDundee United0.93 → 0.93St. Johnstone1.01 → 0.99Defence (lower is better)Dundee United1.24 → 1.22St. Johnstone1.09 → 1.09

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee United
Top six67%57%−10
11th2%3%+1
St. Johnstone
Top six27%37%+10
11th7%4%−3
Bottom2%1%−1
St. Mirren
Top six28%29%+1
11th7%7%0
Bottom2%2%0

From the forecast before the match (30 October 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone
Expected goals0.941.01
Win32%36%
Expected Points1.281.40
Clean sheet36%39%

Dundee United 32%Draw 33%St. Johnstone 36%

Most likely score 0–0, 15%. Both sides score 39%.

St. Johnstone goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+7%2%7%2%6%6%3%1%2%2%1%15%14%13%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 30 October 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee United winDrawSt. Johnstone win
Dundee United
Top six67%78%68%57%
11th2%1%1%3%
St. Johnstone
Top six27%18%24%37%
11th7%10%7%4%
Bottom2%3%2%1%
St. Mirren
Top six28%26%28%29%
11th7%6%6%7%
Bottom2%2%2%2%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

  1. D1–127 OctLivingston (A)xG 1.83–0.34
  2. W2–123 OctMotherwell (H)xG 0.83–1.38
  3. W3–016 OctHibernian (A)xG 0.73–0.41
  4. W1–02 OctRoss County (H)xG 1.26–0.90
  5. D1–126 SepCeltic (A)xG 0.98–2.65
  6. W1–019 SepDundee FC (H)xG 0.72–0.84

St. Johnstone

  1. D1–127 OctHearts (H)xG 1.22–0.94
  2. L0–223 OctCeltic (A)xG 0.13–2.70
  3. L0–316 OctLivingston (H)xG 1.45–1.55
  4. W3–12 OctDundee FC (H)xG 1.90–0.41
  5. L0–126 SepHibernian (A)xG 0.22–1.90
  6. W1–018 SepAberdeen (A)xG 0.31–0.55

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone
Position4th10th
Played1111
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠3–⁠22–⁠4–⁠5
Points21 (1.91 per game)10 (0.91 per game)
Expected Points per game1.281.12
Goals11–⁠77–⁠12
xG per game0.93–⁠1.080.91–⁠1.30
Home: points, xG per game2.40, 0.75–⁠1.240.83, 1.14–⁠1.19
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 1.09–⁠0.941.00, 0.63–⁠1.44
ManagerTam Courts (11)Callum Davidson (49)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.19AttackDundee United0.93, 11thSt. Johnstone1.01, 9thDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.24, 7thSt. Johnstone1.09, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee United attack: 0.93St. Johnstone attack: 1.011.010.93St. JohnstoneDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee United defence: 1.24St. Johnstone defence: 1.091.241.09

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−10%−25%−29%−15%
Counter-attacks+92%−43%−39%+96%
Set pieces−44%+14%−6%+23%
Penalties−100%+4%−48%+57%
Headers−12%+25%−61%−13%
Left side−10%−3%−8%−20%
Centre+3%−7%−31%+22%
Right side−58%−46%−23%−32%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−10%−32%Centre+3%+22%Right side−58%−20%Open play−10%−15%Counter-attacks+92%+96%Set pieces−44%+23%Headers−12%−13%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdDundee United concededLeft side−8%−46%Centre−31%−7%Right side−23%−3%Open play−29%−25%Counter-attacks−39%−43%Set pieces−6%+14%Headers−61%+25%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone

0.93xG0.91
1.08xG against1.30
46%Possession44%
10.5Shots10.3
12.4Shots against11.5
4.2Shots on target2.7
1.4Big chances0.9
14.6Touches in the opposition box17.4
366Passes320
69%Pass accuracy64%
4.6Corners5.5
47%Field tilt45%
34.8Final-third entries27.5
7.5Box entries7.9
14.0Passes per defensive action15.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level600.931.13
Ahead200.621.18
Behind111.560.55

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level570.811.16
Ahead131.521.66
Behind190.801.49

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.160–0
16–300.120.141–2
31–450.290.244–2
46–600.150.112–1
61–750.170.212–1
76–900.110.212–1

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.151–1
16–300.060.130–1
31–450.140.193–2
46–600.150.292–2
61–750.230.260–3
76–900.190.291–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMCMLMSTSiegrist 8Carson 3Freeman 5Smith 5Smith 1Edwards 10Smith 1Mulgrew 10Reynolds 1McMann 7Robson 4Pawlett 5Niskanen 2Edwards 1Fuchs 9Levitt 5Butcher 4Clark 3Harkes 9Niskanen 5Pawlett 4Sporle 2Clark 6McNulty 4Shankland 14-5-1 in 4 of 11 starts

Formations: 4-5-1 (4), 4-3-3 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-4-1-1 (1), 4-3-2-1 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTClark 11Muller 5Brown 2Dendoncker 2Gordon 4Ambrose 4Kerr 3McCart 10Rooney 7Brown 2O'Halloran 2Wothersp… 6WotherspoonMcCann 4MacPhers… 3MacPhersonDavidson 4Middleton 3O'Halloran 2Craig 6Crawford 3Bryson 1Booth 8Devine 3Kane 8O'Halloran 2May 6Wotherspoon 3Crawford 13-5-2 in 3 of 11 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (3), 3-4-2-1 (3), 3-4-3 (2), 5-3-2 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
22 August 2021St. Johnstone0–1Dundee UnitedxG 0.85–1.36
12 January 2021Dundee United2–2St. JohnstonexG 0.82–2.25
24 October 2020St. Johnstone0–0Dundee UnitedxG 0.96–0.10
1 August 2020Dundee United1–1St. JohnstonexG 1.84–0.38

4 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 1, St. Johnstone won 0, and 3 were drawn. Goals 4–3 and xG 1.03–1.11 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Pawlett10838200.170.19
Niskanen7525130.110.20
Harkes9847220.170.06
Mulgrew10900110.100.13

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
May6527210.290.14
Kane8748200.280.02
Craig6535000.130.06
O'Halloran6506120.110.03

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.