Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Motherwell 2–0 Aberdeen

Saturday 11 September 2021, 15:00 · Fir Park · Round 5 · Half-time 1–0 · Attendance 5,623

Motherwell van Veen 26', Ojala 59'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

MotherwellAberdeen
Goals20
xG0.921.56
Expected Points0.891.82

Motherwell 20%Draw 29%Aberdeen 51%

Most likely score 1–1, 16%. Final score 2–0, 3%.

Aberdeen goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+7%11%9%5%2%8%6%2%3%6%6%2%1%16%12%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTLamie on for Woolery, 73'Goss on for van Veen, 80'Maguire on for Watt, 90+2'Bates on for Ramsay, 62'Emmanuel-Thomas on for Longstaff and McLennan on for Ojo, 67'van Veen 26'Ojala 59'Aberdeen 1.56Motherwell 0.9200.511.520153045607590HTLamie on for Woolery, 73'Goss on for van Veen, 80'Maguire on for Watt, 90+2'Bates on for Ramsay, 62'Emmanuel-Thomas on for Longstaff and McLennan on for Ojo, 67'van Veen 26'Ojala 59'1.560.92MotherwellAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

MotherwellAberdeen

0.92 −0.50xG1.56 +0.41
1.13 −0.94xG on target0.46 −0.64
6 −3.5Shots20 +8.2
2 −2.8Shots on target7 +3.2
3 +0.8Big chances0 −1.5
26% −16Possession74% +12
192 −110Passes567 +51
62% −5Pass accuracy85% +3
25% −6Field tilt75% +16
14 −17Final-third entries62 +21
5 −3.8Box entries12 +4.2
13.8 0Passes per defensive action7.7 −5
1 −3.8Corners6 +0.5
16 +3Tackles14 +3
10 −1Interceptions4 −7
14 −14Clearances15 −2
7 +4.5Saves0 −2.0
21 +6Fouls15 +3
2 +1.2Offsides2 +0.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Motherwell

Watt 25', 0.17 xGWatt 35', 0.07 xGSlattery 72', 0.05 xGvan Veen 39', 0.02 xGvan Veen 26', 0.39 xG, goalOjala 59', 0.22 xG, goal60%0.55 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.55 xG, 1 goal24%0.22 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.22 xG, 1 goal8%0.07 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals8%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Watkins 22', 0.23 xGWatkins 90', 0.21 xGWatkins 42', 0.19 xGMcLennan 76', 0.15 xGBrown 89', 0.14 xGWatkins 54', 0.11 xGWatkins 56', 0.11 xGBrown 74', 0.08 xGFerguson 31', 0.07 xGFerguson 45+1', 0.05 xGFerguson 74', 0.05 xGOjo 17', 0.04 xGFerguson 41', 0.03 xGMcCrorie 73', 0.03 xGRamsay 38', 0.02 xGRamsay 41', 0.02 xGFerguson 45', 0.02 xGGallagher 13', 0.01 xGLongstaff 32', 0.01 xGOjo 57', 0.01 xG12%0.18 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.18 xG, 0 goals47%0.73 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.73 xG, 0 goals15%0.24 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.24 xG, 0 goals25%0.39 xGEdge of the box: 9 shots, 0.39 xG, 0 goals1%0.01 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

MotherwellAberdeen

0.53 4 shots, 1 goalOpen play1.19 15 shots, 0 goals
0.39 2 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.38 5 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
26 min (28%) · Motherwell 0.55, Aberdeen 0.29 xG
Motherwell ahead
68 min (72%) · Motherwell 0.36, Aberdeen 1.28 xG

Line-ups

15211419231687329KellyMugabiJohansenOjalaMcGinleyGrimshawSlatteryO'HaraWooleryWattvan VeenGoalYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardGoalYellow card73'90+2'80'Motherwell 4-3-3Graham Alexander122523198441697LewisRamsayGallagherMcCrorieMacKenzieFergusonBrownLongstaffOjoRamirezWatkinsYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow card62'67'67'Aberdeen 4-3-3Stephen Glass

Motherwell substitutes

  • 73' Lamie for Woolery
  • 80' Goss for van Veen
  • 90+2' Maguire for Watt

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 62' Bates for Ramsay
  • 67' McLennan for Ojo
  • 67' Emmanuel-Thomas for Longstaff

Players

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
KellyGK900.000.0000.0340
MugabiRB900.000.0200.0337
JohansenCB900.000.0000.0446
OjalaCB9010.220.0000.12012
McGinleyLB900.000.0110.0323
Grimshaw CM900.000.0100.0105
SlatteryCM900.050.0100.0122
O'Hara CM900.000.1210.1825
Woolery RW7310.000.2010.1722
Watt ST900.230.0000.0221
van Veen LW80110.410.0710.0733
LamieDF170.000.0000.0001
GossMF100.000.0000.0001
MaguireMF00.000.000−0.0100

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LewisGK900.000.0000.0312
RamsayRB620.040.5810.2070
GallagherCB900.010.0410.16113
McCrorie CB900.030.0110.0884
MacKenzie LB900.000.0420.0437
Ferguson CM900.210.0920.19156
Brown CM900.220.0630.16106
LongstaffCM670.010.0820.2151
OjoRW670.050.0110.0120
RamirezST900.000.020−0.0300
WatkinsLW900.850.1010.0661
BatesDF280.000.0100.0534
McLennanFW230.150.1910.1922
Emmanuel-ThomasMF230.000.030−0.0220

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Motherwell

Kelly and Woolery: 3 passesJohansen and O'Hara: 3 passesMcGinley and Watt: 3 passesSlattery and van Veen: 3 passesWatt and van Veen: 3 passesKelly and Ojala: 4 passesKelly and Johansen: 4 passesMugabi and Slattery: 4 passesJohansen and Grimshaw: 4 passesMcGinley and van Veen: 4 passesSlattery and Woolery: 4 passesWoolery and van Veen: 4 passesKelly and Mugabi: 5 passesMugabi and Johansen: 5 passesOjala and Johansen: 5 passesOjala and McGinley: 5 passesMcGinley and Slattery: 5 passesMcGinley and O'Hara: 5 passesSlattery and O'Hara: 5 passesMugabi and Grimshaw: 6 passesGrimshaw and Woolery: 7 passesJohansen and Slattery: 9 passesGrimshaw and Slattery: 9 passesKelly: 10 completed passesMugabi: 9 completed passesOjala: 9 completed passesJohansen: 17 completed passesMcGinley: 13 completed passesGrimshaw: 15 completed passesSlattery: 22 completed passesO'Hara: 12 completed passesWoolery: 9 completed passesWatt: 3 completed passesvan Veen: 7 completed passes15142119231687329KellyMugabiOjalaJohansenMcGinleyGrimshawSlatteryO'HaraWooleryWattvan VeenStarters until 73' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Aberdeen

Lewis and Ferguson: 5 passesRamsay and Longstaff: 5 passesRamsay and Brown: 5 passesFerguson and Ramirez: 5 passesGallagher and Longstaff: 6 passesBrown and Watkins: 6 passesLewis and MacKenzie: 7 passesMacKenzie and Brown: 7 passesMcCrorie and Brown: 8 passesLongstaff and Watkins: 8 passesFerguson and Ojo: 8 passesMacKenzie and Watkins: 10 passesLongstaff and Ferguson: 10 passesLongstaff and Brown: 10 passesGallagher and Ferguson: 11 passesLewis and Gallagher: 12 passesGallagher and Brown: 12 passesRamsay and Ferguson: 13 passesGallagher and McCrorie: 13 passesMcCrorie and MacKenzie: 13 passesMcCrorie and Longstaff: 13 passesRamsay and Ojo: 14 passesFerguson and Brown: 16 passesLewis and McCrorie: 17 passesMacKenzie and Longstaff: 20 passesRamsay and Gallagher: 21 passesLewis: 26 completed passesRamsay: 32 completed passesGallagher: 45 completed passesMcCrorie: 40 completed passesMacKenzie: 33 completed passesLongstaff: 41 completed passesFerguson: 33 completed passesBrown: 37 completed passesOjo: 14 completed passesRamirez: 9 completed passesWatkins: 14 completed passes122523441981697LewisRamsayGallagherMcCrorieMacKenzieLongstaffFergusonBrownOjoRamirezWatkinsStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Motherwell

FromToPasses
GrimshawSlattery5
JohansenSlattery5
O'HaraMcGinley5
GrimshawMugabi5
WooleryGrimshaw4

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
GallagherBrown17
GallagherFerguson17
BrownFerguson15
RamsayGallagher14
MacKenzieFerguson13

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Motherwell

3−3.03−1.216−3.22−4.27−2.260.07+1.08+2.57+0.87−2.06−0.81−4.52−1.86+2.82−3.52−2.29+6.52−0.20−3.82−1.28+5.81+0.81−0.51−0.84+2.81+0.81+1.00−0.51+0.210.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 4 matches

Aberdeen

1−5.86−0.55−0.22−2.87−0.23−0.82−3.512+7.59+0.850.03−0.50−4.05−0.53−2.51−2.07+3.22+0.220.02−5.54+1.81+0.23+1.81−0.25+2.00−0.500.00−0.800.00−1.06−6.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 4 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Motherwell

0.020.010.010.04−0.010.010.010.020.01−0.02−0.010.030.020.110.070.35LessMore

Aberdeen

0.010.010.010.020.030.030.010.020.020.040.070.030.010.100.030.100.010.070.010.090.01−0.010.170.250.18LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.19AttackMotherwell1.04 → 1.03Aberdeen1.10 → 1.10Defence (lower is better)Motherwell1.42 → 1.40Aberdeen1.01 → 0.99

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Motherwell
Top six28%39%+11
11th10%7%−3
Bottom4%2%−2
Aberdeen
Top six83%75%−8
11th<1%1%+1

From the forecast before the match (11 September 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

MotherwellAberdeen
Expected goals0.981.27
Win28%42%
Expected Points1.141.57
Clean sheet28%37%

Motherwell 28%Draw 30%Aberdeen 42%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 46%.

Aberdeen goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+8%4%1%10%8%4%1%5%6%4%2%2%2%1%11%13%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 September 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowMotherwell winDrawAberdeen win
Motherwell
Top six28%39%29%21%
11th10%7%9%12%
Bottom4%2%4%6%
Aberdeen
Top six83%75%81%89%
11th<1%1%<1%<1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Motherwell

  1. W1–028 AugDundee FC (H)xG 0.23–1.15
  2. W2–121 AugLivingston (A)xG 2.30–0.95
  3. D1–18 AugSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.67–0.80
  4. L2–31 AugHibernian (H)xG 1.47–2.88
  5. L1–216 MayRoss County (H)xG 0.67–1.23
  6. D2–212 MayDundee United (A)xG 0.90–1.56

Aberdeen

  1. D1–129 AugRoss County (H)xG 2.94–1.15
  2. D1–122 AugHearts (A)xG 0.54–1.17
  3. W2–18 AugLivingston (A)xG 0.44–1.30
  4. W2–01 AugDundee United (H)xG 0.67–0.43
  5. L0–415 MayRangers (A)xG 1.98–1.19
  6. L0–112 MayHibernian (H)xG 1.28–0.44

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

MotherwellAberdeen
Position5th4th
Played44
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠1–⁠12–⁠2–⁠0
Points7 (1.75 per game)8 (2.00 per game)
Expected Points per game1.341.31
Goals6–⁠56–⁠3
xG per game1.42–⁠1.441.15–⁠1.01
Home: points, xG per game1.50, 0.85–⁠2.012.00, 1.80–⁠0.79
Away: points, xG per game2.00, 1.98–⁠0.882.00, 0.49–⁠1.23
ManagerGraham Alexander (22)Stephen Glass (9)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.19AttackMotherwell1.04, 6thAberdeen1.10, 5thDefence (lower is better)Motherwell1.42, 10thAberdeen1.01, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugMotherwell attack: 1.04Aberdeen attack: 1.101.101.04AberdeenMotherwellDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugMotherwell defence: 1.42Aberdeen defence: 1.011.421.01

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

MotherwellAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−18%+17%−3%−25%
Counter-attacks+104%+53%+8%+13%
Set pieces+76%−19%−3%−40%
Penalties−74%+50%−63%+29%
Headers+64%−18%+37%−30%
Left side+44%+38%−29%−6%
Centre+22%+4%−4%−50%
Right side−49%−3%+31%+2%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdAberdeen concededLeft side+44%+2%Centre+22%−50%Right side−49%−6%Open play−18%−25%Counter-attacks+104%+13%Set pieces+76%−40%Headers+64%−30%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdMotherwell concededLeft side−29%−3%Centre−4%+4%Right side+31%+38%Open play−3%+17%Counter-attacks+8%+53%Set pieces−3%−19%Headers+37%−18%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

MotherwellAberdeen

1.42xG1.15
1.44xG against1.01
42%Possession62%
9.5Shots11.8
13.8Shots against8.0
4.8Shots on target3.8
2.2Big chances1.5
302Passes516
67%Pass accuracy82%
4.8Corners5.5
31%Field tilt59%
31.0Final-third entries40.6
8.8Box entries7.8
13.6Passes per defensive action12.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level461.561.11
Ahead250.392.44
Behind192.400.97

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level540.911.17
Ahead160.490.74
Behind202.280.81

xG by period

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.300.081–0
16–300.100.231–1
31–450.050.071–2
46–600.360.321–1
61–750.190.490–1
76–900.410.252–0

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.200.150–0
16–300.230.011–0
31–450.050.320–2
46–600.190.322–1
61–750.250.121–0
76–900.230.082–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWKelly 4Mugabi 2O'Donnell 2Mugabi 2Ojala 2Lamie 4Carroll 4Slattery 4Grimshaw 2Donnelly 2O'Hara 2Maguire 2Woolery 2Amaluzor 2Watt 2van Veen 2Woolery 2Watt 1Shields 14-3-3 in every start

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWLewis 4Ramsay 3Gurr 1Gallagher 3McCrorie 3Considine 2MacKenzie 2Campbell 1Hayes 1Brown 3Ramirez 1McGeouch 1Ferguson 3Jenks 2Longstaff 1McGinn 1Ojo 3Hedges 1Ramirez 2Emmanuel-Tho… 2Emmanuel-ThomasHayes 2Samuels 1McLennan 14-3-3 in 1 of 4 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
23 January 2021Aberdeen2–0MotherwellxG 3.10–0.47
23 December 2020Motherwell0–0AberdeenxG 0.22–1.16
20 September 2020Aberdeen0–3MotherwellxG 0.70–1.75

3 league meetings since 2020/21: Motherwell won 1, Aberdeen won 1, and 1 was a draw. Goals 3–2 and xG 0.81–1.65 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Watt312,667650.260.11
O'Hara252,257500.160.07
Maguire161,528110.040.10
Carroll181,550040.010.12

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
McGinn131,093010.170.33
Watkins9758210.320.07
Ferguson383,372930.270.07
Hedges262,173540.160.17

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.