Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Dundee United 2–2 St. Johnstone

Tuesday 12 January 2021, 18:30 · Tannadice Park · Round 23 · Half-time 1–2

Dundee United Appere 9', Shankland 53'

St. Johnstone Melamed 16', Kane 38'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone
Goals22
xG0.822.25
Expected Points0.462.34

Dundee United 8%Draw 20%St. Johnstone 71%

Most likely score 1–2, 16%. Final score 2–2, 4%.

St. Johnstone goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+3%7%10%7%4%1%4%6%2%3%4%3%1%13%16%12%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTBolton on for Neilson, 55'McNulty on for Appere, 65'May on for Kane and Tanser on for Booth, 78'Conway on for Wotherspoon, 87'Hendry on for Melamed, 88'Appere 9'Shankland 53'Melamed 16'Kane 38'St. Johnstone 2.25Dundee United 0.8201230153045607590HTBolton on for Neilson, 55'McNulty on for Appere, 65'May on for Kane and Tanser on for Booth, 78'Conway on for Wotherspoon, 87'Hendry on for Melamed, 88'Appere 9'Shankland 53'Melamed 16'Kane 38'2.250.82Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone

0.82 −0.06xG2.25 +1.02
0.99 +0.18xG on target0.93 +0.06
6 −3.1Shots23 +10.5
2 −0.6Shots on target6 +3.0
1 0.0Big chances4 +2.6
14 +4Touches in the opposition box37 +16
50% +4Possession50% +4
416 +60Passes401 +34
58% −8Pass accuracy59% −7
38% +1Field tilt62% +10
30 0Final-third entries45 +8
8 +0.9Box entries18 +8.5
10.5 −6Passes per defensive action13.3 −2
3 −1.1Corners5 +0.7
13 −1Tackles14 −2
9 −2Interceptions11 −1
22 −3Clearances12 −8
4 +0.5Saves0 −1.7
18 +5Fouls16 +4
2 +0.7Offsides3 +1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee United

Shankland 23', 0.11 xGShankland 4', 0.05 xGHarkes 35', 0.03 xGRobson 55', 0.02 xGAppere 9', 0.59 xG, goalShankland 53', 0.03 xG, goal13%0.11 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.11 xG, 0 goals72%0.59 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.59 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals5%0.04 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals10%0.08 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.08 xG, 1 goal

St. Johnstone

Melamed 62', 0.42 xGTanser 84', 0.38 xGMelamed 63', 0.23 xGMelamed 12', 0.20 xGKane 59', 0.09 xGMcCart 47', 0.07 xGKane 50', 0.07 xGKane 58', 0.07 xGMcCann 62', 0.07 xGMelamed 19', 0.06 xGWotherspoon 80', 0.06 xGDavidson 15', 0.05 xGWotherspoon 67', 0.05 xGMelamed 15', 0.04 xGKane 46', 0.04 xGMelamed 69', 0.04 xGBooth 24', 0.03 xGMcCann 47', 0.03 xGWotherspoon 57', 0.03 xGWotherspoon 18', 0.02 xGRooney 64', 0.02 xGMelamed 16', 0.10 xG, goalKane 38', 0.07 xG, goal8%0.17 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.17 xG, 1 goal49%1.11 xGCentral box: 9 shots, 1.11 xG, 1 goal23%0.52 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.52 xG, 0 goals16%0.36 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.36 xG, 0 goals4%0.10 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone

0.79 5 shots, 1 goalOpen play1.47 16 shots, 1 goal
0.03 1 shot, 1 goalCounter-attacks0.38 1 shot, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.40 6 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
68 min (76%) · Dundee United 0.79, St. Johnstone 1.64 xG
Dundee United ahead
7 min (8%) · Dundee United 0.00, St. Johnstone 0.39 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
15 min (17%) · Dundee United 0.03, St. Johnstone 0.21 xG

Line-ups

13056210423172427SiegristNeilsonConnollyReynoldsL. SmithClarkPowersHarkesRobsonShanklandAppereYellow cardYellow cardGoalGoal55'65'Dundee United 3-5-2Micky Mellon11964182682410917ClarkRooneyGordonMcCartMcCannCraigDavidsonBoothWotherspoonKaneMelamedYellow cardYellow cardGoalGoal78'87'78'88'St. Johnstone 3-4-3Callum Davidson

Dundee United substitutes

  • 55' Bolton for Neilson
  • 65' McNulty for Appere · yellow card 79'

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 78' Tanser for Booth
  • 78' May for Kane
  • 87' Conway for Wotherspoon
  • 88' Hendry for Melamed

Players

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SiegristGK900.000.0000.0220
NeilsonCB550.000.0000.0323
Connolly CB900.000.0100.0887
ReynoldsCB900.000.0000.02213
L. SmithRWB900.000.0300.0974
ClarkCM9010.000.5320.3173
Powers CM900.000.0310.0637
HarkesCM900.030.0500.0021
RobsonLWB900.020.000−0.0118
ShanklandST9010.180.080−0.0544
AppereST65110.590.0320.0311
BoltonDF350.000.0000.0010
McNulty FW250.000.000−0.0110

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ClarkGK900.000.0000.0231
Rooney CB900.020.0200.0269
GordonCB900.000.0200.0445
McCartCB900.070.0610.1078
McCannRWB900.100.0200.0322
CraigCM900.000.0310.0971
Davidson CM900.050.0200.0113
BoothLWB780.030.1210.2293
WotherspoonRW8720.160.7890.3884
KaneST7810.340.0310.0032
MelamedLW8811.090.0310.1530
TanserMF120.380.0700.2131
MayFW120.000.0520.0320
ConwayFW30.000.0000.0000
HendryFW20.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Siegrist and Connolly: 4 passesSiegrist and Reynolds: 4 passesConnolly and Neilson: 4 passesNeilson and Harkes: 4 passesReynolds and Robson: 4 passesL. Smith and Appere: 4 passesHarkes and Clark: 4 passesHarkes and Shankland: 4 passesConnolly and Reynolds: 5 passesConnolly and Robson: 5 passesConnolly and Shankland: 5 passesL. Smith and Powers: 5 passesRobson and Harkes: 5 passesPowers and Shankland: 5 passesConnolly and Clark: 6 passesNeilson and Clark: 6 passesL. Smith and Harkes: 6 passesRobson and Shankland: 6 passesAppere and Shankland: 6 passesL. Smith and Shankland: 7 passesRobson and Powers: 7 passesHarkes and Powers: 7 passesPowers and Clark: 7 passesClark and Shankland: 7 passesL. Smith and Clark: 11 passesSiegrist: 9 completed passesConnolly: 24 completed passesNeilson: 13 completed passesReynolds: 9 completed passesL. Smith: 18 completed passesRobson: 18 completed passesHarkes: 21 completed passesPowers: 20 completed passesClark: 21 completed passesAppere: 7 completed passesShankland: 19 completed passes15306217234102724SiegristConnollyNeilsonReynoldsL. SmithRobsonHarkesPowersClarkAppereShanklandStarters until 55' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

St. Johnstone

Rooney and Davidson: 4 passesBooth and Wotherspoon: 4 passesCraig and Kane: 4 passesMcCart and Rooney: 5 passesGordon and McCann: 5 passesMcCann and Davidson: 5 passesMcCann and Melamed: 5 passesBooth and Melamed: 5 passesGordon and Rooney: 6 passesRooney and Craig: 6 passesMcCann and Wotherspoon: 6 passesBooth and Kane: 6 passesCraig and Wotherspoon: 7 passesKane and Wotherspoon: 8 passesMcCart and Gordon: 9 passesMcCart and Craig: 10 passesMcCart and Wotherspoon: 10 passesMelamed and Wotherspoon: 10 passesRooney and McCann: 15 passesMcCart and Booth: 16 passesBooth and Craig: 20 passesClark: 7 completed passesMcCart: 36 completed passesGordon: 16 completed passesRooney: 23 completed passesMcCann: 19 completed passesBooth: 29 completed passesDavidson: 16 completed passesCraig: 32 completed passesMelamed: 11 completed passesKane: 11 completed passesWotherspoon: 25 completed passes14619182482617910ClarkMcCartGordonRooneyMcCannBoothDavidsonCraigMelamedKaneWotherspoonStarters until 78' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

FromToPasses
ClarkL. Smith10
PowersClark8
PowersHarkes7
L. SmithClark7
ConnollyClark6

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
McCartBooth11
BoothCraig11
CraigBooth9
RooneyMcCann8
WotherspoonKane8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

6+0.96−1.217+0.49+1.93−4.45−1.67−0.76−1.07−0.811+1.42−3.110+4.87+3.04−1.22−3.57+2.811+8.13+0.74+1.52−1.43+1.11−0.41+0.12+0.61−0.80−0.60−0.10−0.40−0.41+0.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 22 matches

St. Johnstone

4−0.22−2.210−2.13−1.86+0.35−4.65−2.87+0.46−2.816+8.23−3.47+1.24−1.811+4.84−2.25+0.25+1.01−1.49+5.62−2.91−1.64+2.23+1.52+0.230.01−0.21+0.70−0.31+0.50−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 22 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

0.010.020.020.010.010.010.010.020.020.010.010.040.060.010.010.07−0.040.040.01−0.020.04−0.010.080.11LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.020.010.040.030.020.010.020.050.010.020.030.030.100.060.080.120.07−0.03−0.06−0.020.300.35LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.17AttackDundee United0.90 → 0.92St. Johnstone1.04 → 1.08Defence (lower is better)Dundee United1.23 → 1.28St. Johnstone1.11 → 1.13

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee United
Top six35%34%−1
11th2%2%0
Bottom<1%<1%0
St. Johnstone
Top six9%7%−2
11th7%8%+1
Bottom2%2%0
Kilmarnock
Top six27%28%+1
11th3%3%0
St. Mirren
Top six36%37%+1
11th3%3%0

From the forecast before the match (12 January 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone
Expected goals0.891.13
Win28%40%
Expected Points1.161.52
Clean sheet32%41%

Dundee United 28%Draw 32%St. Johnstone 40%

Most likely score 0–1, 14%. Both sides score 41%.

St. Johnstone goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+8%3%8%3%5%6%3%1%2%2%1%14%14%11%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 12 January 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee United winDrawSt. Johnstone win
Dundee United
Top six35%50%34%24%
11th2%1%2%3%
Bottom<1%<1%<1%1%
St. Johnstone
Top six9%3%7%15%
11th7%12%8%4%
Bottom2%4%2%1%
Kilmarnock
Top six27%23%28%28%
11th3%3%3%4%
St. Mirren
Top six36%33%37%38%
11th3%3%3%3%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

  1. D0–02 JanAberdeen (A)xG 0.46–0.85
  2. L0–330 DecCeltic (A)xG 0.95–2.09
  3. D1–126 DecMotherwell (H)xG 0.67–1.82
  4. W2–023 DecKilmarnock (H)xG 0.93–0.65
  5. D1–119 DecHibernian (A)xG 1.43–2.12
  6. L1–213 DecRangers (H)xG 0.43–1.34

St. Johnstone

  1. D1–12 JanRoss County (A)xG 1.57–0.81
  2. D0–030 DecHamilton Academical (H)xG 2.22–0.84
  3. L1–226 DecAberdeen (A)xG 0.88–1.34
  4. L0–323 DecRangers (H)xG 0.66–1.84
  5. L2–319 DecSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.03–1.07
  6. L1–212 DecLivingston (H)xG 1.05–0.98

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone
Position6th9th
Played2222
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠8–⁠84–⁠7–⁠11
Points26 (1.18 per game)19 (0.86 per game)
Expected Points per game0.981.49
Goals17–⁠2719–⁠31
xG per game0.88–⁠1.471.23–⁠0.97
Home: points, xG per game1.36, 0.90–⁠1.440.82, 1.17–⁠0.81
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 0.87–⁠1.500.91, 1.29–⁠1.13
ManagerMicky Mellon (22)Callum Davidson (22)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.17AttackDundee United0.90, 10thSt. Johnstone1.04, 6thDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.23, 9thSt. Johnstone1.11, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanDundee United attack: 0.90St. Johnstone attack: 1.041.040.90St. JohnstoneDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanDundee United defence: 1.23St. Johnstone defence: 1.111.231.11

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−29%+28%−7%−24%
Counter-attacks+84%+124%+99%−76%
Set pieces−42%+8%+1%−19%
Penalties−52%−76%−28%−28%
Headers−60%+20%+15%−19%
Left side+6%+33%+12%−13%
Centre−52%+12%−18%−24%
Right side−23%+44%+13%−36%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side+6%−36%Centre−52%−24%Right side−23%−13%Open play−29%−24%Counter-attacks+84%−76%Set pieces−42%−19%Headers−60%−19%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdDundee United concededLeft side+12%+44%Centre−18%+12%Right side+13%+33%Open play−7%+28%Counter-attacks+99%+124%Set pieces+1%+8%Headers+15%+20%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone

0.88xG1.23
1.47xG against0.97
46%Possession46%
9.1Shots12.5
15.5Shots against9.9
2.6Shots on target3.0
1.0Big chances1.4
10.5Touches in the opposition box20.7
356Passes367
66%Pass accuracy66%
4.1Corners4.3
36%Field tilt53%
30.0Final-third entries36.7
7.1Box entries9.5
16.5Passes per defensive action15.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level490.661.22
Ahead181.131.35
Behind231.152.11

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level581.130.99
Ahead91.671.39
Behind231.310.77

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.142–3
16–300.170.174–4
31–450.120.293–4
46–600.180.213–3
61–750.050.350–6
76–900.230.315–7

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.112–2
16–300.160.142–4
31–450.200.185–10
46–600.170.212–4
61–750.250.103–2
76–900.300.235–9

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTSiegrist 21Mehmet 1L. Smith 8Connolly 4Bolton 4Edwards 13Connolly 12Reynolds 19Robson 13Butcher 3Harkes 2Bolton 8L. Smith 4Chalmers 3Pawlett 10Butcher 10Powers 2Harkes 15Fuchs 4Robson 6Sporle 4Bolton 3Clark 12McNulty 7Chalmers 1Shankland 15Appere 4Butcher 34-4-2 in 8 of 22 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (8), 3-5-2 (7), 5-3-2 (2), 4-1-4-1 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTClark 14Parish 8Kerr 15Rooney 6Craig 2Gordon 21McCart 21McNamara 20Rooney 1Kerr 1McCann 17Bryson 4McNamara 2Davidson 9Craig 6Wotherspoon 4Tanser 17Booth 5Conway 12McCann 2Craig 2Wotherspoon 13O'Halloran 9May 3May 10Hendry 7Kane 43-4-2-1 in 14 of 22 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (14), 3-4-3 (2), 5-3-2 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-1-2-2-1 (1), 4-1-2-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
24 October 2020St. Johnstone0–0Dundee UnitedxG 0.96–0.10
1 August 2020Dundee United1–1St. JohnstonexG 1.84–0.38

2 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 0, St. Johnstone won 0, and 2 were drawn. Goals 1–1 and xG 0.97–0.67 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Clark161,339800.360.06
Shankland151,396310.210.10
Pawlett121,037100.140.14
Sporle7726110.120.16

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
May131,230530.480.15
Kane5546200.490.09
Conway141,149320.270.23
Hendry8681000.320.03

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.