Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
AberdeenRoss County
1.19 −0.07xG0.80 −0.26
1.87 +0.50xG on target0.09 −0.50
5 −6Shots5 −5
3 −1.0Shots on target1 −1.6
2 +0.5Big chances1 −0.3
14 −6Touches in the opposition box11 −5
49% −1Possession51% +2
418 +3Passes438 +39
75% +2Pass accuracy76% +3
40% −11Field tilt60% +11
26 −11Final-third entries43 +2
7 −2.5Box entries4 −4.2
16.9 +3Passes per defensive action14.9 0
4 −0.8Corners3 −1.0
5 −7Tackles17 +4
11 0Interceptions9 −1
16 −4Clearances17 −7
1 −1.1Saves1 −1.6
11 −4Fouls13 −2
3 +1.5Offsides2 +0.2
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Aberdeen
Ross County
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
5'57'
1–02–0
0'HTFT
Level
5 min (5%) · Aberdeen 0.61, Ross County 0.00 xG
Aberdeen ahead
87 min (95%) · Aberdeen 0.58, Ross County 0.80 xG
Line-ups
Aberdeen substitutes
74'Logan for McLennan
84'Cosgrove for Kennedy
90'Ngwenya for Hayes
90'Ojo for Campbell
90'McGinn for Main
Ross County substitutes
17'Reid for Iacovitti
36'McKay for Randall
64'Gardyne for Tillson
64'Hylton for Paton
Players
Aberdeen
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Lewis
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.04
4
0
Hoban
CB
90
0.05
0.00
0
0.11
3
6
Taylor
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.03
4
5
Considine
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.17
7
4
McLennan
RWB
74
1
0.00
0.07
1
0.11
4
3
McCrorie
CM
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.00
2
1
Campbell
CM
90
0.00
0.01
0
−0.01
1
4
Hayes
CM
90
0.00
0.09
1
0.17
9
4
Kennedy
LWB
84
0.07
0.03
0
0.04
6
2
Hedges
AM
90
1
0.07
0.09
2
0.02
5
1
Main
ST
90
2
1.00
0.04
1
0.10
1
0
Logan
DF
16
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
1
1
Cosgrove
FW
6
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
1
0
Ngwenya
DF
0
0.00
0.03
0
0.02
1
2
Ojo
MF
0
0.00
0.00
0
–
–
0
McGinn
MF
0
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
0
0
Ross County
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Laidlaw
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.06
5
1
Randall
RB
36
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
2
Donaldson
CB
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.13
12
11
Morris
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.04
5
8
Iacovitti
LB
17
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
0
Kelly
RM
90
0.00
0.19
1
0.01
4
1
Paton
CM
64
0.05
0.00
0
−0.02
1
3
Vigurs
CM
90
0.00
0.03
0
0.01
2
2
Charles-Cook
LM
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.05
5
3
Tillson
AM
64
0.00
0.00
0
−0.03
0
5
Stewart
ST
90
0.62
0.02
0
0.08
2
0
Reid
MF
73
0.00
0.01
0
0.02
4
3
McKay
FW
54
0.09
0.03
1
0.03
1
2
Gardyne
MF
26
0.04
0.02
1
0.03
3
0
Hylton
FW
26
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
2
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Aberdeen
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Aberdeen
From
To
Passes
Considine
Campbell
14
Hoban
McLennan
13
Campbell
Considine
9
Considine
Hayes
9
Campbell
Hoban
9
Ross County
From
To
Passes
Donaldson
Vigurs
14
Morris
Donaldson
12
Vigurs
Donaldson
11
Vigurs
Kelly
9
Vigurs
Reid
9
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Aberdeen
Against its average of 15 matches
Ross County
Against its average of 16 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Aberdeen
Ross County
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Aberdeen
Top six
99%
99%
0
Ross County
Top six
2%
1%
−1
11th
31%
32%
+1
Bottom
31%
35%
+4
Hamilton Academical
Top six
1%
1%
0
11th
24%
25%
+1
Bottom
49%
46%
−3
From the forecast before the match (12 December 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Aberdeen
Ross County
Expected goals
1.79
0.83
Win
60%
16%
Expected Points
2.03
0.73
Clean sheet
44%
17%
Aberdeen 60%Draw 24%Ross County 16%
Most likely score 1–0, 13%. Both sides score 47%.
From the forecast as it stood on 12 December 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Aberdeen win
Draw
Ross County win
Aberdeen
Top six
99%
99%
98%
98%
Ross County
Top six
2%
1%
2%
5%
11th
31%
32%
30%
27%
Bottom
31%
35%
29%
19%
Hamilton Academical
Top six
1%
1%
1%
2%
11th
24%
25%
24%
21%
Bottom
49%
46%
50%
57%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Aberdeen
Ross County
Position
4th
10th
Played
15
16
Won, drawn, lost
8–4–3
3–4–9
Points
28 (1.87 per game)
13 (0.81 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.44
0.86
Goals
21–17
10–30
xG per game
1.26–1.13
1.06–1.93
Home: points, xG per game
2.00, 1.37–1.24
0.75, 1.00–2.25
Away: points, xG per game
1.71, 1.14–0.99
0.88, 1.12–1.62
Manager
Derek McInnes (15)
Stuart Kettlewell (16)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Aberdeen
Ross County
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−14%
−24%
−17%
+37%
Counter-attacks
−33%
−30%
−84%
−47%
Set pieces
−29%
−32%
−12%
+25%
Penalties
+82%
+52%
−43%
+128%
Headers
−15%
−32%
+21%
+22%
Left side
−26%
−25%
−14%
+25%
Centre
−31%
−36%
−28%
+50%
Right side
+8%
−9%
−3%
+4%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Matchups
Aberdeen attacking
Aberdeen createdRoss County concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−26%+4%Centre−31%+50%Right side+8%+25%Open play−14%+37%Counter-attacks−33%−47%Set pieces−29%+25%Headers−15%+22%
Ross County attacking
Ross County createdAberdeen concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−14%−9%Centre−28%−36%Right side−3%−25%Open play−17%−24%Counter-attacks−84%−30%Set pieces−12%−32%Headers+21%−32%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
AberdeenRoss County
1.26xG1.06
1.13xG against1.93
50%Possession49%
11.2Shots10.1
10.9Shots against13.5
4.0Shots on target2.6
1.5Big chances1.3
20.0Touches in the opposition box15.8
415Passes399
74%Pass accuracy72%
4.8Corners4.0
51%Field tilt50%
36.7Final-third entries40.7
9.5Box entries8.2
14.0Passes per defensive action14.7
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Aberdeen
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
43
1.43
0.93
Ahead
29
1.27
1.38
Behind
17
0.83
1.18
Ross County
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
42
0.94
1.85
Ahead
13
0.39
1.65
Behind
34
1.47
2.14
xG by period
Aberdeen
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.27
0.15
3–3
16–30
0.12
0.11
4–3
31–45
0.23
0.17
5–2
46–60
0.17
0.19
3–5
61–75
0.18
0.21
2–2
76–90
0.28
0.28
4–2
Ross County
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.14
0.31
1–3
16–30
0.14
0.28
3–4
31–45
0.18
0.21
2–3
46–60
0.14
0.40
0–7
61–75
0.23
0.44
1–8
76–90
0.23
0.29
3–5
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts