Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Ross County 1–1 St. Johnstone

Saturday 2 January 2021, 15:00 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 22 · Half-time 1–1

Ross County Draper 21'

St. Johnstone Conway 26' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountySt. Johnstone
Goals11
xG0.811.57
Non-penalty xG0.810.79
Expected Points0.702.01

Ross County 14%Draw 29%St. Johnstone 57%

Most likely score 1–1, 20%. Final score 1–1, 20%.

St. Johnstone goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+4%13%5%1%4%14%5%1%1%6%5%2%1%16%20%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTGardyne on for Vigurs, 56'Tillson on for Hylton, 74'Reid on for Paton, 75'McKay on for Shaw, 86'Wotherspoon on for O'Halloran, 58'May on for Kane, 78'Bryson on for Conway, 86'Draper 21'Conway 26' (pen)St. Johnstone 1.57Ross County 0.8100.511.520153045607590HTGardyne on for Vigurs, 56'Tillson on for Hylton, 74'Reid on for Paton, 75'McKay on for Shaw, 86'Wotherspoon on for O'Halloran, 58'May on for Kane, 78'Bryson on for Conway, 86'Draper 21'Conway 26' (pen)1.570.81Ross CountySt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountySt. Johnstone

0.81 −0.15xG1.57 +0.35
0.81Non-penalty xG0.79
0.93 +0.34xG on target1.30 +0.45
10 +0.3Shots14 +1.6
5 +2.3Shots on target6 +3.1
1 −0.1Big chances1 −0.4
16 +1Touches in the opposition box22 +1
58% +10Possession42% −4
462 +68Passes328 −41
75% +2Pass accuracy68% +2
47% −2Field tilt53% 0
28 −11Final-third entries51 +15
7 −0.6Box entries10 +0.5
17.2 +3Passes per defensive action13.1 −2
10 +6.0Corners0 −4.5
10 −3Tackles18 +2
7 −4Interceptions14 +2
34 +10Clearances22 +3
5 +2.1Saves4 +2.4
13 −1Fouls8 −4
1 −0.6Offsides5 +3.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

Watson 87', 0.07 xGShaw 28', 0.05 xGKelly 32', 0.05 xGShaw 41', 0.05 xGKelly 59', 0.05 xGWatson 6', 0.04 xGNaismith 16', 0.04 xGNaismith 60', 0.04 xGReid 90+1', 0.03 xGDraper 21', 0.39 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals62%0.50 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.50 xG, 1 goal16%0.13 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals22%0.18 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

St. Johnstone

Gordon 73', 0.17 xGKane 48', 0.09 xGKane 67', 0.09 xGKane 13', 0.06 xGKane 56', 0.06 xGRooney 24', 0.05 xGKane 65', 0.05 xGKane 73', 0.05 xGDavidson 85', 0.05 xGKane 30', 0.03 xGKane 45', 0.03 xGMcNamara 68', 0.03 xGWotherspoon 76', 0.03 xG22%0.17 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.17 xG, 0 goals36%0.28 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.28 xG, 0 goals13%0.10 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals26%0.20 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.20 xG, 0 goals4%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountySt. Johnstone

0.61 6 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.34 8 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.14 2 shots, 0 goals
0.20 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.31 3 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
86 min (95%) · Ross County 0.81, St. Johnstone 0.74 xG
Ross County ahead
5 min (5%) · Ross County 0.00, St. Johnstone 0.83 xG

Line-ups

1231525191124618148LaidlawNaismithWatsonDonaldsonLakinVigursPatonDraperKellyHyltonShawYellow cardYellow cardGoal56'75'74'86'Ross County 4-1-4-1John Hughes1196415188241197ClarkRooneyGordonMcCartMcNamaraMcCannDavidsonBoothO'HalloranKaneConwayYellow cardYellow cardGoal58'78'86'St. Johnstone 3-4-3Callum Davidson

Ross County substitutes

  • 56' Gardyne for Vigurs
  • 74' Tillson for Hylton
  • 75' Reid for Paton
  • 86' McKay for Shaw

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 58' Wotherspoon for O'Halloran
  • 78' May for Kane
  • 86' Bryson for Conway

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0000.0451
NaismithRB900.080.0600.13103
WatsonCB900.110.0100.04210
Donaldson CB900.000.0100.0977
LakinLB900.000.0200.0138
Vigurs DM560.000.020−0.0243
PatonRM750.000.0220.0330
DraperCM9010.390.0300.0446
KellyCM900.110.1340.0056
HyltonLM740.000.2400.1104
ShawST860.100.041−0.0522
GardyneMF340.000.0100.0340
TillsonMF160.000.000−0.0100
ReidMF150.030.0000.0002
McKayFW40.000.0000.0000

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ClarkGK900.000.0000.0112
RooneyCB900.050.0200.16122
Gordon CB900.170.0310.12312
McCartCB900.000.0210.0849
McNamara RWB900.030.0520.1353
McCannCM900.000.0210.03311
DavidsonCM900.050.0100.0119
BoothLWB900.000.2010.24125
O'HalloranRW580.000.0000.0011
KaneST780.460.001−0.0322
ConwayLW8610.790.1420.1540
WotherspoonMF320.030.1010.0330
MayFW120.000.000−0.0201
BrysonMF40.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Naismith and Vigurs: 5 passesNaismith and Paton: 5 passesWatson and Paton: 5 passesDraper and Kelly: 5 passesWatson and Draper: 6 passesWatson and Kelly: 6 passesVigurs and Paton: 6 passesVigurs and Draper: 6 passesPaton and Kelly: 6 passesPaton and Shaw: 6 passesLaidlaw and Vigurs: 7 passesNaismith and Draper: 7 passesDonaldson and Kelly: 7 passesLakin and Paton: 7 passesVigurs and Kelly: 7 passesLaidlaw and Watson: 8 passesLakin and Kelly: 9 passesPaton and Hylton: 9 passesNaismith and Watson: 12 passesLakin and Vigurs: 13 passesLakin and Hylton: 13 passesWatson and Donaldson: 14 passesDonaldson and Lakin: 14 passesWatson and Vigurs: 15 passesDonaldson and Vigurs: 19 passesLaidlaw: 13 completed passesNaismith: 20 completed passesWatson: 38 completed passesDonaldson: 35 completed passesLakin: 36 completed passesVigurs: 47 completed passesPaton: 18 completed passesDraper: 18 completed passesKelly: 26 completed passesHylton: 16 completed passesShaw: 11 completed passes1231525191124618148LaidlawNaismithWatsonDonaldsonLakinVigursPatonDraperKellyHyltonShawStarters until 56' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

St. Johnstone

Clark and Rooney: 3 passesGordon and McCart: 3 passesGordon and Conway: 3 passesRooney and McCart: 3 passesMcNamara and McCann: 3 passesBooth and Davidson: 3 passesMcCann and Kane: 3 passesMcCann and Conway: 3 passesGordon and McCann: 4 passesGordon and Rooney: 5 passesMcCart and McCann: 7 passesRooney and McNamara: 8 passesRooney and McCann: 8 passesBooth and McCann: 8 passesBooth and Conway: 11 passesMcCart and Booth: 14 passesClark: 5 completed passesGordon: 11 completed passesRooney: 18 completed passesMcCart: 17 completed passesMcNamara: 7 completed passesBooth: 21 completed passesDavidson: 8 completed passesMcCann: 22 completed passesO'Halloran: 1 completed passesKane: 3 completed passesConway: 10 completed passes1619415248181197ClarkGordonRooneyMcCartMcNamaraBoothDavidsonMcCannO'HalloranKaneConwayStarters until 58' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
WatsonDonaldson13
WatsonNaismith11
VigursDonaldson11
LakinHylton10
VigursWatson10

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
RooneyMcNamara14
McCartBooth11
BoothMcCart10
BoothWotherspoon9
McCannBooth8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

3−2.32−4.420+4.811+2.57+1.911+4.55−3.08−1.410+2.33−1.91−4.02−1.86+1.17+1.24−0.34+0.80−2.71−2.63−1.40−1.90−1.31−0.14+2.520.00−0.80−0.31+0.50−0.61+0.32−5.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 21 matches

St. Johnstone

3−1.24−0.216+4.12−2.911+5.612+2.55−3.07+0.44−5.07−0.89+2.89+3.34−1.94−2.36−0.24−0.913+9.44+1.76+2.72−3.04+1.43+1.31−0.54+2.30−3.11−0.21+0.80−0.31+0.50−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 21 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.020.010.010.020.020.050.010.010.050.020.010.03−0.010.020.01−0.010.070.01−0.010.040.06−0.13−0.010.11LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.020.020.010.020.020.030.040.010.040.020.070.010.020.060.13−0.03−0.020.060.02−0.070.06−0.020.170.23LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.18AttackRoss County0.85 → 0.86St. Johnstone1.04 → 1.03Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.53 → 1.53St. Johnstone1.10 → 1.11

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
Top six<1%<1%0
11th43%44%+1
Bottom34%32%−2
St. Johnstone
Top six14%11%−3
11th7%8%+1
Bottom2%2%0
Hamilton Academical
11th27%25%−2
Bottom58%60%+2
Motherwell
Top six17%17%0
11th9%9%0
Bottom3%3%0

From the forecast before the match (2 January 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountySt. Johnstone
Expected goals0.821.41
Win21%50%
Expected Points0.921.79
Clean sheet24%44%

Ross County 21%Draw 28%St. Johnstone 50%

Most likely score 0–1, 14%. Both sides score 43%.

St. Johnstone goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+5%2%8%9%4%1%4%5%4%2%1%1%1%11%14%11%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 2 January 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawSt. Johnstone win
Ross County
Top six<1%1%<1%<1%
11th43%39%44%44%
Bottom34%22%32%39%
St. Johnstone
Top six14%7%11%20%
11th7%14%8%4%
Bottom2%5%2%1%
Hamilton Academical
11th27%21%25%31%
Bottom58%65%60%55%
Motherwell
Top six17%20%17%16%
11th9%10%9%8%
Bottom3%4%3%3%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. W2–030 DecHibernian (A)xG 0.69–1.42
  2. L0–226 DecSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.54–1.79
  3. L0–223 DecCeltic (A)xG 0.29–2.15
  4. L0–219 DecHamilton Academical (H)xG 0.91–0.80
  5. L0–212 DecAberdeen (A)xG 0.80–1.19
  6. L0–46 DecRangers (H)xG 0.74–3.28

St. Johnstone

  1. D0–030 DecHamilton Academical (H)xG 2.22–0.84
  2. L1–226 DecAberdeen (A)xG 0.88–1.34
  3. L0–323 DecRangers (H)xG 0.66–1.84
  4. L2–319 DecSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.03–1.07
  5. L1–212 DecLivingston (H)xG 1.05–0.98
  6. D1–16 DecCeltic (A)xG 1.30–1.73

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountySt. Johnstone
Position11th9th
Played2121
Won, drawn, lost4–⁠4–⁠134–⁠6–⁠11
Points16 (0.76 per game)18 (0.86 per game)
Expected Points per game0.841.47
Goals12–⁠3818–⁠30
xG per game0.96–⁠1.821.22–⁠0.98
Home: points, xG per game0.60, 0.95–⁠2.060.82, 1.17–⁠0.81
Away: points, xG per game0.91, 0.98–⁠1.610.90, 1.26–⁠1.17
ManagerJohn Hughes (3)Callum Davidson (21)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.18AttackRoss County0.85, 12thSt. Johnstone1.04, 7thDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.53, 11thSt. Johnstone1.10, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecRoss County attack: 0.85St. Johnstone attack: 1.041.040.85St. JohnstoneRoss CountyDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecRoss County defence: 1.53St. Johnstone defence: 1.101.531.10

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountySt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−20%+34%−6%−25%
Counter-attacks−74%−60%+90%−75%
Set pieces−25%+37%average−19%
Penalties−50%+99%−50%−25%
Headers+3%+27%+18%−18%
Left side−23%+19%+12%−12%
Centre−30%+55%−15%−26%
Right side−11%+4%+9%−37%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−23%−37%Centre−30%−26%Right side−11%−12%Open play−20%−25%Counter-attacks−74%−75%Set pieces−25%−19%Headers+3%−18%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdRoss County concededLeft side+12%+4%Centre−15%+55%Right side+9%+19%Open play−6%+34%Counter-attacks+90%−60%Set piecesaverage+37%Headers+18%+27%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountySt. Johnstone

0.96xG1.22
1.82xG against0.98
48%Possession46%
9.7Shots12.4
13.9Shots against9.9
2.7Shots on target2.9
1.1Big chances1.4
15.0Touches in the opposition box20.6
394Passes369
72%Pass accuracy66%
4.0Corners4.5
48%Field tilt53%
39.0Final-third entries36.1
7.6Box entries9.5
14.6Passes per defensive action15.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level400.871.87
Ahead130.521.54
Behind371.231.87

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level571.161.00
Ahead101.671.39
Behind241.170.78

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.130.311–4
16–300.120.264–6
31–450.160.182–3
46–600.140.350–8
61–750.190.441–10
76–900.220.284–7

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.122–2
16–300.120.121–3
31–450.210.185–10
46–600.180.222–4
61–750.240.113–2
76–900.310.235–9

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMRMCMCMLMSTLaidlaw 16Doohan 5Randall 10Watson 4Charles-Cook 2Donaldson 17Watson 2Iacovitti 17Morris 5Grivosti 1Reid 17Watson 1Iacovitti 1Vigurs 7Draper 4Iacovitti 3Gardyne 4Paton 3Charles-Cook 3Paton 11Tillson 8Gardyne 4Vigurs 9Kelly 5Draper 2Stewart 6Gardyne 6Paton 2Stewart 9Shaw 6McKay 64-1-4-1 in 6 of 21 starts

Formations: 4-1-4-1 (6), 4-5-1 (3), 4-2-3-1 (3), 5-4-1 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 5-3-2 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTClark 13Parish 8Kerr 15Rooney 5Craig 2Gordon 20McCart 20McNamara 19Rooney 1Kerr 1McCann 16Bryson 4McNamara 2Davidson 8Craig 6Wotherspoon 4Tanser 17Booth 4Conway 11McCann 2Craig 2Wotherspoon 13O'Halloran 8May 3May 10Hendry 7Kane 33-4-2-1 in 14 of 21 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (14), 5-3-2 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-1-2-2-1 (1), 4-1-2-1-2 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
19 September 2020St. Johnstone0–1Ross CountyxG 0.85–0.23

1 league meeting since 2020/21: Ross County won 1, St. Johnstone won 0, and 0 were drawn. Goals 1–0 and xG 0.23–0.85 per game.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Stewart191,650210.370.06
McKay8789100.250.12
Kelly7748020.100.24
Gardyne141,160000.070.22

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
May131,218530.490.16
Kane4468200.480.10
Conway131,063220.230.24
Hendry8681000.320.03

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.