Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

St. Mirren 3–2 St. Johnstone

Saturday 19 December 2020, 15:00 · Simple Digital Arena · Round 18 · Half-time 1–2

St. Mirren Erhahon 38', Erwin 82', Obika 87'

St. Johnstone May 22' (pen), Tanser 44' · Kerr sent off 45'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. MirrenSt. Johnstone
Goals32
xG1.071.03
Non-penalty xG1.070.25
Expected Points1.291.33

St. Mirren 30%Draw 38%St. Johnstone 32%

Most likely score 1–1, 29%. Final score 3–2, 1%.

St. Johnstone goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+5%19%5%6%6%3%14%4%1%4%1%29%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTKerr (St. Johnstone), red card 45'McAllister on for Erhahon and Obika on for Connolly, 61'Mason on for Durmus and MacPherson on for Fraser, 74'Morias on for Erwin, 85'Rooney on for Conway, 61'Hendry on for May and Bryson on for Wotherspoon, 75'Melamed on for Davidson, 90'Erhahon 38'Erwin 82'Obika 87'May 22' (pen)Tanser 44'St. Mirren 1.07St. Johnstone 1.0300.511.50153045607590HTKerr (St. Johnstone), red card 45'McAllister on for Erhahon and Obika on for Connolly, 61'Mason on for Durmus and MacPherson on for Fraser, 74'Morias on for Erwin, 85'Rooney on for Conway, 61'Hendry on for May and Bryson on for Wotherspoon, 75'Melamed on for Davidson, 90'Erhahon 38'Erwin 82'Obika 87'May 22' (pen)Tanser 44'1.071.03St. MirrenSt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. MirrenSt. Johnstone

1.07 0.00xG1.03 −0.19
1.07Non-penalty xG0.25
0.91 +0.04xG on target1.62 +0.73
14 +3Shots6 −6
4 +0.6Shots on target4 +1.1
2 +1.0Big chances1 −0.4
15 −2Touches in the opposition box7 −14
67% +24Possession33% −14
519 +190Passes253 −121
78% +14Pass accuracy55% −12
73% +32Field tilt27% −27
61 +29Final-third entries18 −19
6 −1.1Box entries2 −7.8
10.7 −4Passes per defensive action25.4 +10
4 −0.6Corners3 −1.5
9 −4Tackles10 −6
9 −2Interceptions12 0
12 −11Clearances29 +9
2 −2.1Saves1 −0.6
12 0Fouls15 +3
1 −0.6Offsides2 −0.1

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Mirren

Shaughnessy 56', 0.06 xGMason 78', 0.06 xGMacPherson 90+4', 0.06 xGErwin 47', 0.04 xGMcGrath 74', 0.04 xGMacPherson 84', 0.04 xGErwin 14', 0.03 xGMcGrath 18', 0.03 xGErhahon 45+2', 0.03 xGMcCarthy 62', 0.03 xGObika 81', 0.03 xGObika 87', 0.30 xG, goalErwin 82', 0.27 xG, goalErhahon 38', 0.07 xG, goal25%0.27 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.27 xG, 1 goal50%0.53 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.53 xG, 2 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals21%0.22 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.22 xG, 0 goals5%0.05 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals

St. Johnstone

Gordon 88', 0.07 xGGordon 59', 0.05 xGMcCart 69', 0.05 xGConway 32', 0.04 xGTanser 44', 0.04 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals68%0.17 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals32%0.08 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. MirrenSt. Johnstone

0.63 10 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.08 2 shots, 1 goal
0.44 4 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.17 3 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
33 min (34%) · St. Mirren 0.40, St. Johnstone 0.83 xG
St. Mirren ahead
7 min (7%) · St. Mirren 0.06, St. Johnstone 0.07 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
56 min (58%) · St. Mirren 0.62, St. Johnstone 0.14 xG

Line-ups

12254221177251123AlnwickFraserMcCarthyShaughnessyTaitConnollyMcGrathDoyle-HayesErhahonDurmusErwinYellow cardGoalGoal74'61'61'74'85'St. Mirren 4-5-1Jim Goodwin156415188371014ClarkKerrGordonMcCartMcNamaraMcCannDavidsonTanserConwayWotherspoonMaySent offYellow cardYellow cardGoalGoal90'61'75'75'St. Johnstone 3-4-2-1Callum Davidson

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 61' Obika for Connolly · goal 87'
  • 61' McAllister for Erhahon · 2 assists
  • 74' Mason for Durmus
  • 74' MacPherson for Fraser
  • 85' Morias for Erwin

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 61' Rooney for Conway
  • 75' Bryson for Wotherspoon
  • 75' Hendry for May
  • 90' Melamed for Davidson

Players

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
AlnwickGK900.000.0000.0450
FraserRB740.000.0100.0213
McCarthyCB900.030.0510.20148
Shaughnessy CB900.060.0100.0995
TaitLB900.000.0520.1381
ConnollyRM610.000.0400.0610
McGrathCM900.070.0110.0033
Doyle-HayesCM900.000.0420.0766
ErhahonCM6110.100.0100.0132
DurmusLM740.000.0100.0000
ErwinST8510.340.020−0.0100
ObikaFW2910.330.021−0.0100
McAllisterFW2920.000.3820.2230
MasonDF160.060.0100.0532
MacPhersonMF160.100.0100.0122
MoriasFW50.000.0000.0100

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ClarkGK900.000.0000.0241
Kerr CB450.000.0100.0525
GordonCB900.120.0000.04415
McCart CB900.050.0000.0448
McNamaraRWB900.000.0010.0027
McCann CM900.000.0100.0123
DavidsonCM900.000.0000.0014
TanserLWB9010.040.0300.0523
ConwayAM610.040.0200.0630
WotherspoonAM750.000.051−0.0122
MayST7510.790.0100.0210
RooneyMF290.000.0000.0006
BrysonMF150.000.0000.0000
HendryFW150.000.0000.0000
MelamedFW00.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Mirren

Alnwick and Shaughnessy: 4 passesFraser and Connolly: 4 passesShaughnessy and Erwin: 4 passesTait and Erwin: 4 passesDoyle-Hayes and Durmus: 4 passesDoyle-Hayes and Erwin: 4 passesErhahon and Erwin: 4 passesConnolly and Doyle-Hayes: 5 passesErhahon and Durmus: 5 passesShaughnessy and Doyle-Hayes: 6 passesMcGrath and Doyle-Hayes: 6 passesShaughnessy and Tait: 7 passesShaughnessy and Erhahon: 7 passesMcCarthy and Erwin: 7 passesTait and Erhahon: 8 passesTait and Durmus: 8 passesAlnwick and McCarthy: 9 passesFraser and Doyle-Hayes: 9 passesTait and Doyle-Hayes: 9 passesMcCarthy and Doyle-Hayes: 11 passesFraser and McCarthy: 15 passesFraser and McGrath: 15 passesShaughnessy and McCarthy: 15 passesAlnwick: 12 completed passesFraser: 28 completed passesShaughnessy: 24 completed passesMcCarthy: 40 completed passesTait: 19 completed passesConnolly: 7 completed passesMcGrath: 14 completed passesDoyle-Hayes: 32 completed passesErhahon: 18 completed passesDurmus: 10 completed passesErwin: 12 completed passes12245221177251123AlnwickFraserShaughnessyMcCarthyTaitConnollyMcGrathDoyle-HayesErhahonDurmusErwinStarters until 61' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

St. Johnstone

Clark and Kerr: 3 passesClark and Tanser: 3 passesKerr and McCann: 3 passesTanser and May: 3 passesDavidson and Wotherspoon: 3 passesClark and Davidson: 4 passesKerr and McNamara: 4 passesMcCart and Tanser: 4 passesMcCart and McCann: 4 passesMcCart and Wotherspoon: 4 passesMcNamara and Conway: 4 passesMcCann and Wotherspoon: 4 passesWotherspoon and May: 5 passesTanser and Wotherspoon: 8 passesClark: 11 completed passesKerr: 8 completed passesGordon: 6 completed passesMcCart: 12 completed passesMcNamara: 7 completed passesTanser: 9 completed passesDavidson: 7 completed passesMcCann: 11 completed passesWotherspoon: 11 completed passesConway: 6 completed passesMay: 9 completed passes156415381810714ClarkKerrGordonMcCartMcNamaraTanserDavidsonMcCannWotherspoonConwayMayStarters until 45' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
McCarthyDoyle-Hayes17
ShaughnessyMcCarthy14
Doyle-HayesMcCarthy14
FraserMcCarthy14
McGrathDoyle-Hayes12

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
MayWotherspoon6
WotherspoonTanser6
McCannWotherspoon5
ConwayMcNamara5
McNamaraMcCann5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Mirren

5+0.13−4.24−1.58+0.710+1.57−0.64−4.15−3.11−3.960.03−1.37+2.43−3.611+6.86+2.03+0.33−0.15+1.13+0.71−0.60−1.14+1.93+0.73+2.10−0.13+2.60−0.30−0.89−5.60−6.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 14 matches

St. Johnstone

5+0.96+1.916+3.94−0.79+3.99−0.517+9.36−0.615+6.38+0.13−3.16+0.32−4.47+0.65−1.11−3.62−1.52−0.42−1.23−2.20−2.71−0.73+1.51−0.62−1.10−1.31+0.90−0.40−0.51+0.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 17 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Mirren

0.010.010.020.040.010.030.010.010.070.060.020.030.040.100.040.030.040.04−0.010.01−0.02−0.020.160.15LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.010.020.010.020.020.020.010.030.020.02−0.020.010.02−0.01−0.010.010.020.04LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.24AttackSt. Mirren0.92 → 0.96St. Johnstone1.07 → 1.08Defence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.28 → 1.30St. Johnstone1.08 → 1.12

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Mirren
Top six23%36%+13
11th11%7%−4
Bottom4%2%−2
St. Johnstone
Top six43%30%−13
11th3%5%+2
Bottom1%2%+1
Dundee United
Top six26%27%+1
11th8%8%0

From the forecast before the match (19 December 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. MirrenSt. Johnstone
Expected goals0.881.10
Win28%40%
Expected Points1.161.52
Clean sheet33%42%

St. Mirren 28%Draw 32%St. Johnstone 40%

Most likely score 0–1, 15%. Both sides score 40%.

St. Johnstone goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+8%3%7%3%5%6%3%1%2%2%14%15%11%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 19 December 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Mirren winDrawSt. Johnstone win
St. Mirren
Top six23%36%22%14%
11th11%7%11%14%
Bottom4%2%4%7%
St. Johnstone
Top six43%30%38%56%
11th3%5%3%2%
Bottom1%2%1%<1%
Dundee United
Top six26%27%28%24%
11th8%8%8%7%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Mirren

  1. W1–012 DecMotherwell (A)xG 1.08–1.78
  2. D1–15 DecAberdeen (H)xG 2.58–0.39
  3. W1–021 NovLivingston (A)xG 0.39–0.46
  4. D0–06 NovDundee United (H)xG 1.38–0.20
  5. L1–22 OctAberdeen (A)xG 0.48–0.92
  6. L0–126 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 0.49–0.65

St. Johnstone

  1. L1–212 DecLivingston (H)xG 1.05–0.98
  2. D1–16 DecCeltic (A)xG 1.30–1.73
  3. D2–224 NovHibernian (A)xG 1.02–1.56
  4. D1–121 NovMotherwell (H)xG 2.14–0.69
  5. W1–06 NovKilmarnock (H)xG 0.61–0.46
  6. D0–024 OctDundee United (H)xG 0.96–0.10

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. MirrenSt. Johnstone
Position10th8th
Played1417
Won, drawn, lost4–⁠3–⁠74–⁠5–⁠8
Points15 (1.07 per game)17 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game1.231.52
Goals9–⁠1615–⁠22
xG per game1.07–⁠1.331.22–⁠0.91
Home: points, xG per game0.86, 1.31–⁠1.040.89, 1.11–⁠0.70
Away: points, xG per game1.29, 0.83–⁠1.611.12, 1.34–⁠1.16
ManagerJim Goodwin (14)Callum Davidson (17)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.24AttackSt. Mirren0.92, 11thSt. Johnstone1.07, 7thDefence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.28, 7thSt. Johnstone1.08, 3rd

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecSt. Mirren attack: 0.92St. Johnstone attack: 1.071.070.92St. JohnstoneSt. MirrenDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecSt. Mirren defence: 1.28St. Johnstone defence: 1.081.281.08

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. MirrenSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−23%+23%−4%−32%
Counter-attacks−21%−100%+131%−82%
Set pieces+9%−16%−3%−19%
Penalties−66%−66%−72%−44%
Headers−40%+31%+17%−16%
Left side−5%−7%+15%−12%
Centre+1%−17%−7%−33%
Right side−46%+72%−1%−44%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−5%−44%Centre+1%−33%Right side−46%−12%Open play−23%−32%Counter-attacks−21%−82%Set pieces+9%−19%Headers−40%−16%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side+15%+72%Centre−7%−17%Right side−1%−7%Open play−4%+23%Counter-attacks+131%−100%Set pieces−3%−16%Headers+17%+31%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenSt. Johnstone

1.07xG1.22
1.33xG against0.91
43%Possession46%
11.2Shots12.1
14.1Shots against9.7
3.4Shots on target2.9
1.0Big chances1.4
17.5Touches in the opposition box21.0
330Passes374
63%Pass accuracy67%
4.6Corners4.5
40%Field tilt54%
31.9Final-third entries37.3
7.1Box entries9.8
14.5Passes per defensive action15.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level421.261.20
Ahead240.751.26
Behind241.041.59

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level591.050.98
Ahead82.311.00
Behind231.250.72

xG by period

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.210.203–1
16–300.210.212–4
31–450.230.211–3
46–600.100.292–2
61–750.080.251–5
76–900.240.160–1

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.112–2
16–300.060.110–2
31–450.240.123–7
46–600.180.232–2
61–750.270.133–2
76–900.310.225–7

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

GKRBCBCBLBDMRMCMCMLMSTAlnwick 11Zlamal 3Fraser 12Tait 1MacPherson 1McCarthy 13Shaughnessy 11Foley 3Tait 1Tait 9Obika 2Fraser 2Erhahon 4Sheron 3McGrath 2McAllister 5Connolly 2MacPherson 2McGrath 9Sheron 3Doyle-Hayes 1Foley 6Erhahon 4MacPherson 3Durmus 5Obika 3McGrath 2Obika 5Erwin 4Morias 34-1-4-1 in 4 of 14 starts

Formations: 4-1-4-1 (4), 4-5-1 (2), 4-3-1-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (2), 3-4-3 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTClark 9Parish 8Kerr 14Rooney 2Craig 2Gordon 16McCart 16McNamara 15Kerr 1Rooney 1McCann 13Bryson 3McNamara 2Davidson 6Craig 5Wotherspoon 3Tanser 15Booth 2Conway 9McCann 2Craig 1Wotherspoon 10O'Halloran 8May 2May 8Hendry 7Kane 13-4-2-1 in 11 of 17 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (11), 5-3-2 (2), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-1-2-2-1 (1), 4-1-2-1-2 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
29 August 2020St. Johnstone1–0St. MirrenxG 2.84–0.29

1 league meeting since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 0, St. Johnstone won 1, and 0 were drawn. Goals 0–1 and xG 0.29–2.84 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Erwin4505100.370.02
Obika11957200.310.07
Morias6548000.280.04
McGrath141,164210.150.12

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
May10934430.440.18
Conway11941220.250.25
Hendry8643000.330.03
Wotherspoon131,160320.160.18

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.