Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Aberdeen 0–3 Motherwell

Sunday 20 September 2020, 15:00 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 8 · Half-time 0–3

Motherwell O'Hara 4' (pen), Long 9', Mugabi 23'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

AberdeenMotherwell
Goals03
xG0.701.75
Non-penalty xG0.700.97
Expected Points0.522.24

Aberdeen 9%Draw 24%Motherwell 67%

Most likely score 0–2, 17%. Final score 0–3, 7%.

Motherwell goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+3%7%2%3%6%1%4%5%2%16%17%15%15%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTLogan on for Taylor, Edmondson on for Ojo, and Hoban on for McGinn, 46'McLennan on for Wright, 66'Anderson on for Watkins, 77'White on for Long, 71'Lang on for Watt, 79'Maguire on for Polworth, 86'O'Hara 4' (pen)Long 9'Mugabi 23'Motherwell 1.75Aberdeen 0.7000.511.520153045607590HTLogan on for Taylor, Edmondson on for Ojo, and Hoban on for McGinn, 46'McLennan on for Wright, 66'Anderson on for Watkins, 77'White on for Long, 71'Lang on for Watt, 79'Maguire on for Polworth, 86'O'Hara 4' (pen)Long 9'Mugabi 23'1.750.70AberdeenMotherwell

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenMotherwell

0.70 −0.52xG1.75 +0.94
0.70Non-penalty xG0.97
0.00 −1.35xG on target2.42 +1.81
9 +0.2Shots9 −3.4
0 −3.6Shots on target3 +0.6
1 −0.8Big chances3 +2.4
66% +19Possession34% −18
548 +153Passes282 −108
79% +8Pass accuracy62% −13
74% +30Field tilt26% −19
49 +20Final-third entries18 −20
8 −1.2Box entries7 −3.4
12.2 −4Passes per defensive action16.0 +2
4 +0.4Corners5 −1.7
10 −3Tackles15 +1
8 −0.6Interceptions21 +11.4
14 −7Clearances20 −2
0 −1.4Saves0 −2.4
13 −1Fouls15 +1
1 +0.2Offsides4 +1.9

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Aberdeen

Watkins 43', 0.33 xGWatkins 74', 0.10 xGTaylor 28', 0.08 xGEdmondson 82', 0.07 xGWright 45', 0.03 xGFerguson 61', 0.03 xGFerguson 88', 0.03 xGFerguson 89', 0.03 xGFerguson 89', 0.03 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals80%0.56 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.56 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals11%0.08 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals9%0.06 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals

Motherwell

Gallagher 51', 0.09 xGMugabi 4', 0.07 xGGrimshaw 36', 0.06 xGPolworth 27', 0.05 xGPolworth 63', 0.05 xGCampbell 72', 0.03 xGMugabi 23', 0.34 xG, goalLong 9', 0.28 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals92%0.89 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.89 xG, 2 goals5%0.05 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals3%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenMotherwell

0.54 5 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.47 5 shots, 1 goal
0.16 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.50 3 shots, 1 goal
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
4 min (4%) · Aberdeen 0.00, Motherwell 0.86 xG
Motherwell ahead
86 min (96%) · Aberdeen 0.70, Motherwell 0.90 xG

Line-ups

1401441019817255011LewisMcCrorieTaylorConsidineMcGinnFergusonOjoHayesWrightWatkinsHedgesYellow cardYellow card46'46'46'66'77'Aberdeen 3-4-1-2Derek McInnes13331164761923299CarsonO'DonnellGallagherMugabiLamieO'HaraCampbellPolworthGrimshawWattLongGoalGoalGoal86'79'71'Motherwell 4-4-2Steve Robinson

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 46' Edmondson for Ojo
  • 46' Logan for Taylor · yellow card 46'
  • 46' Hoban for McGinn
  • 66' McLennan for Wright
  • 77' Anderson for Watkins

Motherwell substitutes

  • 71' White for Long
  • 79' Lang for Watt
  • 86' Maguire for Polworth

Players

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LewisGK900.000.0000.0102
McCrorie CB900.000.0100.0525
TaylorCB460.080.0000.0224
ConsidineCB900.000.2110.49132
McGinnRWB460.000.0910.0140
Ferguson CM900.110.0310.10104
OjoCM460.000.000−0.0211
HayesLWB900.000.0410.0796
WrightAM660.030.0100.0221
WatkinsST770.420.010−0.0110
HedgesST900.000.1300.1593
EdmondsonFW440.070.1110.1731
Logan DF440.000.0100.0881
HobanDF440.000.0000.0434
McLennanFW240.000.0610.0500
AndersonFW130.000.0000.0000

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
CarsonGK900.000.0000.0330
O'DonnellRB900.000.0410.0752
GallagherCB900.090.1310.19410
MugabiCB9010.410.000−0.01111
LamieLB900.000.0000.0436
O'HaraRM9010.790.000−0.0106
CampbellCM900.030.0400.09411
PolworthCM8610.100.2720.0854
GrimshawLM900.060.000−0.0104
WattST790.000.0310.0661
LongST7110.280.0710.0931
WhiteFW190.000.0000.0001
LangFW110.000.0000.0001
MaguireMF40.000.000−0.0101

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

Lewis and Taylor: 4 passesLewis and McCrorie: 4 passesConsidine and Watkins: 4 passesFerguson and Hedges: 4 passesTaylor and Hayes: 5 passesMcCrorie and Ferguson: 5 passesMcGinn and Hedges: 5 passesOjo and Wright: 5 passesLewis and Considine: 6 passesConsidine and Ojo: 6 passesMcCrorie and Wright: 6 passesMcCrorie and Ojo: 7 passesHayes and Hedges: 7 passesTaylor and Considine: 8 passesMcGinn and Ferguson: 8 passesOjo and Hayes: 8 passesWright and Hedges: 8 passesOjo and Ferguson: 9 passesFerguson and Hayes: 9 passesConsidine and Hayes: 10 passesConsidine and Hedges: 10 passesMcCrorie and McGinn: 12 passesTaylor and Ojo: 13 passesConsidine and Ferguson: 14 passesTaylor and McCrorie: 19 passesLewis: 9 completed passesTaylor: 27 completed passesConsidine: 35 completed passesMcCrorie: 28 completed passesMcGinn: 19 completed passesOjo: 28 completed passesFerguson: 28 completed passesHayes: 25 completed passesWright: 13 completed passesHedges: 18 completed passesWatkins: 5 completed passes1144401081917251150LewisTaylorConsidineMcCrorieMcGinnOjoFergusonHayesWrightHedgesWatkinsStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Motherwell

Carson and O'Hara: 4 passesGallagher and Grimshaw: 4 passesCampbell and O'Hara: 4 passesCarson and Mugabi: 5 passesCarson and Lamie: 5 passesMugabi and Lamie: 5 passesMugabi and Polworth: 5 passesO'Donnell and O'Hara: 5 passesMugabi and Gallagher: 6 passesGrimshaw and Polworth: 6 passesPolworth and Long: 6 passesO'Donnell and Watt: 7 passesPolworth and Watt: 7 passesLamie and Polworth: 8 passesGallagher and O'Donnell: 8 passesO'Donnell and Campbell: 8 passesPolworth and Campbell: 8 passesCarson: 12 completed passesMugabi: 15 completed passesLamie: 16 completed passesGallagher: 19 completed passesO'Donnell: 22 completed passesGrimshaw: 9 completed passesPolworth: 20 completed passesCampbell: 15 completed passesO'Hara: 12 completed passesLong: 8 completed passesWatt: 12 completed passes11643133219679932CarsonMugabiLamieGallagherO'DonnellGrimshawPolworthCampbellO'HaraLongWattStarters until 71' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
ConsidineFerguson22
ConsidineHayes16
HayesFerguson13
HobanLogan12
FergusonHayes11

Motherwell

FromToPasses
LamiePolworth6
O'DonnellCampbell6
O'DonnellWatt6
GallagherO'Donnell5
GallagherMugabi4

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

3−1.22−3.812−0.26−1.07−0.84−2.05−2.09+4.010+2.63−1.230.08+3.470.05+0.65+2.820.04+0.220.02+0.810.03+2.03−1.00−0.40−0.20−0.40−0.60−0.61−5.01−4.60−5.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 5 matches

Motherwell

1−2.67+2.014+1.05−3.17+0.114+5.910+2.46−0.36−0.15−2.98+2.39+3.04+1.06+0.62−3.07+2.75+2.34+2.14+1.71−3.17+5.41−0.32+1.62+0.40−1.42+0.72+1.60−1.31+0.32+1.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 7 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

0.010.010.010.030.010.050.010.050.020.050.090.020.010.040.130.010.09−0.03−0.040.01−0.010.230.180.21LessMore

Motherwell

0.010.010.010.010.010.020.02−0.010.010.040.030.050.02−0.010.010.020.040.150.03−0.170.32LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.06AttackAberdeen1.08 → 1.07Motherwell0.79 → 0.89Defence (lower is better)Aberdeen0.81 → 0.92Motherwell1.16 → 1.14

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Aberdeen
Title1%<1%−1
Top six97%93%−4
Motherwell
Top six17%26%+9
11th16%14%−2
Bottom15%9%−6

From the forecast before the match (20 September 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

AberdeenMotherwell
Expected goals1.320.60
Win54%16%
Expected Points1.910.79
Clean sheet55%27%

Aberdeen 54%Draw 30%Motherwell 16%

Most likely score 1–0, 19%. Both sides score 34%.

Motherwell goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+8%3%12%4%13%8%2%6%3%1%2%1%15%19%

From the forecast as it stood on 20 September 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowAberdeen winDrawMotherwell win
Aberdeen
Title1%1%1%<1%
Top six97%98%96%93%
Motherwell
Top six17%13%18%26%
11th16%18%15%14%
Bottom15%19%13%9%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. W1–012 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 1.76–0.49
  2. W1–030 AugHibernian (A)xG 1.73–0.46
  3. W2–123 AugLivingston (H)xG 2.15–1.62
  4. W1–020 AugSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.29–0.42
  5. L0–11 AugRangers (H)xG 0.15–1.25

Motherwell

  1. W1–012 SepSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.26–1.02
  2. L0–330 AugCeltic (A)xG 0.22–2.06
  3. L0–122 AugHamilton Academical (H)xG 0.73–2.22
  4. D0–015 AugHibernian (A)xG 0.89–1.45
  5. D2–212 AugLivingston (H)xG 0.50–2.03
  6. L0–18 AugDundee United (H)xG 1.13–0.89

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenMotherwell
Position4th11th
Played57
Won, drawn, lost4–⁠0–⁠11–⁠2–⁠4
Points12 (2.40 per game)5 (0.71 per game)
Expected Points per game1.620.81
Goals5–⁠23–⁠8
xG per game1.22–⁠0.850.81–⁠1.57
Home: points, xG per game2.00, 1.35–⁠1.121.00, 0.66–⁠1.54
Away: points, xG per game3.00, 1.01–⁠0.440.33, 1.02–⁠1.61
ManagerDerek McInnes (5)Steve Robinson (7)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.06AttackAberdeen1.08, 3rdMotherwell0.79, 11thDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen0.81, 3rdMotherwell1.16, 6th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepAberdeen attack: 1.08Motherwell attack: 0.791.080.79MotherwellAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepAberdeen defence: 0.81Motherwell defence: 1.161.160.81

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenMotherwell
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−19%−22%−41%−10%
Counter-attacks−83%−42%−100%+171%
Set pieces−21%−29%−39%+46%
Penalties+131%−83%−8%+84%
Headers−29%−41%+7%+32%
Left side−36%−27%−22%−11%
Centre−21%−9%−61%+31%
Right side−6%−51%−29%−1%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdMotherwell concededLeft side−36%−1%Centre−21%+31%Right side−6%−11%Open play−19%−10%Counter-attacks−83%+171%Set pieces−21%+46%Headers−29%+32%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdAberdeen concededLeft side−22%−51%Centre−61%−9%Right side−29%−27%Open play−41%−22%Counter-attacks−100%−42%Set pieces−39%−29%Headers+7%−41%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenMotherwell

1.22xG0.81
0.85xG against1.57
47%Possession52%
8.8Shots12.4
10.2Shots against12.0
3.6Shots on target2.4
1.8Big chances0.6
395Passes390
72%Pass accuracy75%
3.6Corners6.7
43%Field tilt45%
29.2Final-third entries38.2
9.2Box entries10.4
16.5Passes per defensive action13.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level411.440.56
Ahead351.381.13
Behind140.160.99

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level500.691.61
Ahead180.411.91
Behind231.401.23

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.050–0
16–300.150.131–1
31–450.230.091–0
46–600.270.122–0
61–750.310.230–1
76–900.130.221–0

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.302–1
16–300.130.160–1
31–450.090.171–1
46–600.140.100–1
61–750.290.400–2
76–900.090.450–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTLewis 5Hoban 3McCrorie 2Hayes 1McKenna 4Taylor 3Considine 2Kennedy 2Hernández 2Logan 1Ferguson 3Wright 1Kennedy 1McCrorie 2Hedges 1Ojo 1Hayes 4Considine 1Ferguson 2Hedges 1Bryson 1Watkins 2Wright 2Kennedy 1Wright 1Hedges 1Watkins 13-4-2-1 in 1 of 5 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

Motherwell

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBCMCMCMSTSTCarson 7O'Donnell 4Grimshaw 2Gallagher 1Gallagher 6Lamie 4Seedorf 2Hastie 2Mugabi 6Lamie 3McGinley 2Grimshaw 2Campbell 6Seedorf 1O'Hara 7Polworth 3Turnbull 3Donnelly 1Long 4White 3Lang 3Watt 2Turnbull 15-3-2 in 2 of 7 starts

Formations: 5-3-2 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Ferguson5450200.350.04
Hayes5450000.040.11
Lewis5450000.000.00

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Lamie7609000.040.06
Campbell6520200.050.02
O'Hara7586000.050.02
Gallagher7630000.010.04

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.