Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Ross County 1–0 St. Mirren

Saturday 5 March 2022, 15:00 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 30 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee David Dickinson · Attendance 3,229

Ross County Hungbo 49' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountySt. Mirren
Goals10
xG1.230.31
Non-penalty xG0.440.31
Expected Points2.330.42

Ross County 69%Draw 25%St. Mirren 5%

Most likely score 1–0, 39%. Final score 1–0, 39%.

St. Mirren goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+10%3%14%2%19%6%3%1%39%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTSpittal on for Hungbo, 75'Drysdale on for Charles-Cook, 84'Samuel on for H. Paton, 90+2'Main on for Greive and Erhahon on for Kiltie, 46'Brophy on for McCarthy, 53'Henderson on for Power, 87'Hungbo 49' (pen)Ross County 1.23St. Mirren 0.3100.511.50153045607590HTSpittal on for Hungbo, 75'Drysdale on for Charles-Cook, 84'Samuel on for H. Paton, 90+2'Main on for Greive and Erhahon on for Kiltie, 46'Brophy on for McCarthy, 53'Henderson on for Power, 87'Hungbo 49' (pen)1.230.31Ross CountySt. Mirren

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountySt. Mirren

1.23 +0.18xG0.31 −0.56
0.44Non-penalty xG0.31
1.02 −0.21xG on target0.16 −0.68
7 −2.8Shots8 −2.5
2 −2.0Shots on target2 −1.6
1 −0.4Big chances0 −0.9
24 +8Touches in the opposition box12 −4
40% −3Possession60% +15
287 −28Passes417 +79
62% −3Pass accuracy71% +5
35% −7Field tilt65% +24
29 0Final-third entries42 +13
12 +3.9Box entries6 −2.6
13.1 −3Passes per defensive action14.4 −2
2 −2.1Corners3 −2.1
19 +6Tackles4 −10
8 −2.4Interceptions9 −0.5
30 +4Clearances12 −8
2 −1.6Saves1 −3.0
15 +2Fouls9 −2
2 −0.3Offsides1 −1.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

Ramsay 63', 0.25 xGCallachan 11', 0.06 xGCallachan 2', 0.05 xGCharles-Cook 29', 0.04 xGTillson 37', 0.03 xGWhite 76', 0.02 xG66%0.29 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.29 xG, 0 goals23%0.10 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals11%0.05 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

St. Mirren

Jones 66', 0.09 xGMain 60', 0.07 xGTanser 71', 0.04 xGJones 83', 0.04 xGGogic 20', 0.03 xGBrophy 57', 0.02 xGGogic 19', 0.01 xGMain 64', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals29%0.09 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.09 xG, 0 goals29%0.09 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals39%0.12 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals3%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountySt. Mirren

0.12 3 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.29 7 shots, 0 goals
0.04 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.28 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.01 1 shot, 0 goals
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
49 min (53%) · Ross County 0.96, St. Mirren 0.04 xG
Ross County ahead
43 min (47%) · Ross County 0.27, St. Mirren 0.28 xG

Line-ups

11951628222361726LaidlawRamsayBaldwinIacovittiRandallCallachanTillsonHungboH. PatonCharles-CookWhiteGoal75'90+2'84'Ross County 4-2-3-1Malky Mackay2625418311613721LynessTaitMcCarthyShaughnessyDunneTanserKiltiePowerGogicJonesGreive53'46'87'46'St. Mirren 5-4-1Stephen Robinson

Ross County substitutes

  • 75' Spittal for Hungbo
  • 84' Drysdale for Charles-Cook
  • 90+2' Samuel for H. Paton

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 46' Erhahon for Kiltie · yellow card 54'
  • 46' Main for Greive
  • 53' Brophy for McCarthy
  • 87' Henderson for Power

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0000.0120
RamsayRB900.250.1700.2156
BaldwinCB900.000.0400.1379
IacovittiCB900.000.0100.0649
RandallLB900.000.0100.0127
CallachanDM900.100.0300.0777
TillsonDM900.030.0100.0125
HungboRW7510.790.3110.08101
H. PatonAM900.000.1030.1763
Charles-CookLW840.040.0110.0231
WhiteST900.020.010−0.0114
SpittalMF150.000.0000.0104
DrysdaleDF60.000.0000.0003
SamuelFW00.000.0000.0000

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LynessGK900.000.0000.0461
TaitRWB900.000.0510.0455
McCarthyCB530.000.0000.0123
ShaughnessyCB900.000.0000.0245
DunneCB900.000.0100.0786
TanserLWB900.040.0310.13141
KiltieRM460.000.010−0.0110
PowerCM870.000.0100.0134
GogicCM900.030.0400.1231
JonesLM900.130.0510.12110
GreiveST460.000.0010.0000
Erhahon MF440.000.0100.0220
MainFW440.080.0210.0210
BrophyFW370.020.000−0.0610
HendersonMF30.000.0200.0210

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Baldwin and Iacovitti: 4 passesBaldwin and Charles-Cook: 4 passesRandall and Tillson: 4 passesRandall and Callachan: 4 passesTillson and Hungbo: 4 passesCallachan and White: 4 passesBaldwin and Tillson: 5 passesTillson and Callachan: 5 passesTillson and H. Paton: 5 passesCallachan and Charles-Cook: 5 passesH. Paton and White: 5 passesRamsay and Tillson: 6 passesRamsay and Hungbo: 6 passesRamsay and H. Paton: 6 passesBaldwin and White: 6 passesH. Paton and Charles-Cook: 6 passesLaidlaw and Baldwin: 7 passesCallachan and H. Paton: 7 passesRamsay and Baldwin: 10 passesHungbo and H. Paton: 12 passesLaidlaw: 8 completed passesRamsay: 17 completed passesBaldwin: 25 completed passesIacovitti: 13 completed passesRandall: 9 completed passesTillson: 19 completed passesCallachan: 21 completed passesHungbo: 17 completed passesH. Paton: 20 completed passesCharles-Cook: 11 completed passesWhite: 9 completed passes11951622282361726LaidlawRamsayBaldwinIacovittiRandallTillsonCallachanHungboH. PatonCharles-CookWhiteStarters until 75' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

St. Mirren

Lyness and Shaughnessy: 3 passesTait and Shaughnessy: 3 passesTait and Jones: 3 passesMcCarthy and Tanser: 3 passesDunne and Jones: 3 passesPower and Jones: 3 passesTait and Power: 4 passesShaughnessy and McCarthy: 4 passesMcCarthy and Dunne: 4 passesDunne and Power: 4 passesTait and Kiltie: 5 passesTait and McCarthy: 6 passesGogic and Jones: 6 passesLyness and Dunne: 7 passesTanser and Gogic: 9 passesShaughnessy and Dunne: 10 passesDunne and Tanser: 13 passesTanser and Jones: 13 passesLyness: 8 completed passesTait: 10 completed passesShaughnessy: 15 completed passesMcCarthy: 15 completed passesDunne: 23 completed passesTanser: 21 completed passesKiltie: 8 completed passesGogic: 13 completed passesPower: 8 completed passesJones: 15 completed passesGreive: 2 completed passes2624518311136721LynessTaitShaughnessyMcCarthyDunneTanserKiltieGogicPowerJonesGreiveStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
H. PatonHungbo8
BaldwinWhite7
BaldwinRamsay6
H. PatonCallachan5
RamsayBaldwin5

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
DunneTanser16
TanserJones16
ShaughnessyDunne13
DunneLyness9
DunneJones8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

5−0.39+2.813−2.54−3.73−3.115+6.97−0.77+0.63−5.77−1.913+7.79+4.53−0.24−1.26−0.16+1.77+3.93+0.21−2.26+2.32−0.30−2.20−0.72+0.45+2.91+0.10−0.10−0.60−0.31+0.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 29 matches

St. Mirren

1−2.96−0.48+1.64−1.14−2.49+1.82−4.43−4.69+1.41−5.050.06+2.02−4.15−1.63−0.85+2.43+0.52−1.94+0.42+0.10−1.31+0.11−0.71−1.20−1.10−0.20−0.70−0.22+1.56−10.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 28 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.010.010.030.010.020.010.020.030.030.030.040.040.020.01−0.010.040.040.020.070.020.14−0.070.020.21LessMore

St. Mirren

0.010.010.020.010.010.020.020.010.010.040.030.050.010.010.010.040.03−0.02−0.010.010.020.100.08LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackRoss County1.04 → 1.03St. Mirren0.89 → 0.86Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.42 → 1.39St. Mirren1.27 → 1.27

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
Top six11%22%+11
11th4%1%−3
Bottom<1%–0
St. Mirren
Top six24%12%−12
11th3%5%+2
Dundee United
Top six42%43%+1
11th1%1%0
Motherwell
Top six51%52%+1

From the forecast before the match (5 March 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountySt. Mirren
Expected goals1.321.04
Win43%29%
Expected Points1.561.15
Clean sheet35%27%

Ross County 43%Draw 29%St. Mirren 29%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 48%.

St. Mirren goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+9%5%2%7%2%8%9%4%2%4%4%2%1%1%10%12%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 5 March 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawSt. Mirren win
Ross County
Top six11%22%5%1%
11th4%1%4%7%
Bottom<1%–<1%0%
St. Mirren
Top six24%12%23%46%
11th3%5%2%1%
Dundee United
Top six42%43%45%39%
11th1%1%1%2%
Motherwell
Top six51%52%52%48%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. W1–02 MarMotherwell (A)xG 1.05–1.17
  2. W3–126 FebSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.28–0.57
  3. L0–219 FebHibernian (A)xG 0.19–1.00
  4. D1–19 FebLivingston (H)xG 0.48–1.75
  5. W2–15 FebDundee FC (A)xG 1.78–1.12
  6. D1–11 FebAberdeen (H)xG 0.32–0.74

St. Mirren

  1. L0–22 MarCeltic (A)xG 0.36–1.60
  2. L0–226 FebHearts (H)xG 0.11–3.13
  3. D1–119 FebLivingston (A)xG 0.13–1.29
  4. W2–19 FebSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.22–1.02
  5. W1–05 FebHibernian (A)xG 0.38–1.22
  6. D1–11 FebMotherwell (H)xG 0.46–0.81

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountySt. Mirren
Position8th9th
Played2928
Won, drawn, lost8–⁠9–⁠127–⁠12–⁠9
Points33 (1.14 per game)33 (1.18 per game)
Expected Points per game1.141.04
Goals42–⁠4726–⁠39
xG per game1.05–⁠1.430.87–⁠1.53
Home: points, xG per game1.29, 1.13–⁠1.371.14, 0.87–⁠1.20
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 0.98–⁠1.491.21, 0.88–⁠1.86
ManagerMalky Mackay (29)Stephen Robinson (2)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackRoss County1.04, 6thSt. Mirren0.89, 10thDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.42, 12thSt. Mirren1.27, 8th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarRoss County attack: 1.04St. Mirren attack: 0.891.040.89St. MirrenRoss CountyDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarRoss County defence: 1.42St. Mirren defence: 1.271.421.27

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountySt. Mirren
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−19%+14%−43%+38%
Counter-attacks−59%+60%−9%+9%
Set pieces−24%+39%+8%+2%
Penalties+86%−20%−18%+10%
Headers−44%+53%+14%+13%
Left side−15%+45%−26%+36%
Centre−27%+15%−21%+24%
Right side−18%+9%−45%+26%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−15%+26%Centre−27%+24%Right side−18%+36%Open play−19%+38%Counter-attacks−59%+9%Set pieces−24%+2%Headers−44%+13%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdRoss County concededLeft side−26%+9%Centre−21%+15%Right side−45%+45%Open play−43%+14%Counter-attacks−9%+60%Set pieces+8%+39%Headers+14%+53%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountySt. Mirren

1.05xG0.87
1.43xG against1.53
43%Possession45%
9.8Shots10.5
15.9Shots against15.6
4.0Shots on target3.6
1.4Big chances0.9
16.4Touches in the opposition box16.1
315Passes338
65%Pass accuracy66%
4.1Corners5.1
42%Field tilt41%
29.1Final-third entries28.7
8.1Box entries8.6
16.4Passes per defensive action16.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level460.901.32
Ahead161.191.45
Behind271.231.60

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level490.861.37
Ahead170.921.46
Behind240.851.89

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.174–7
16–300.210.196–9
31–450.160.2011–8
46–600.110.224–9
61–750.190.299–5
76–900.300.368–9

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.215–4
16–300.100.211–7
31–450.140.265–7
46–600.220.334–7
61–750.110.355–10
76–900.230.166–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMaynard-Brewer 17Laidlaw 12Randall 11Clarke 10Ramsay 3Baldwin 18Watson 7Clarke 5Iacovitti 23H. Paton 1Burroughs 1Vokins 12Randall 7B. Paton 5Tillson 17Callachan 10Spittal 10H. Paton 11Cancola 9Charles-Cook 1Hungbo 12Charles-Cook 8Spittal 3Callachan 14H. Paton 5Tillson 4Charles-Cook 17Hungbo 5Spittal 5White 21Samuel 4A. Samuel 24-2-3-1 in 16 of 29 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (16), 4-4-2 (3), 4-5-1 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 3-4-1-2 (2), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

St. Mirren

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTAlnwick 27Lyness 1Fraser 10Millar 6Tait 5Shaughnessy 18McCarthy 11Dunne 16Fraser 11Tanser 19Tait 5Brophy 4Power 25McGrath 3Millar 3Flynn 7Erhahon 6Ronan 5Shaughnessy 8Kiltie 4Fraser 4Ronan 7Kiltie 6McGrath 6Jones 6McGrath 6Ronan 5Main 12Brophy 9Greive 44-2-3-1 in 6 of 28 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 3-4-2-1 (6), 3-4-1-2 (6), 3-1-4-2 (4), 5-4-1 (3), 3-5-1-1 (2), 4-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
1 December 2021St. Mirren0–0Ross CountyxG 1.89–0.93
16 October 2021Ross County2–3St. MirrenxG 1.15–1.10
21 April 2021Ross County1–3St. MirrenxG 0.65–2.23
27 February 2021St. Mirren1–0Ross CountyxG 1.41–1.91
26 December 2020Ross County0–2St. MirrenxG 0.54–1.79
22 August 2020St. Mirren1–1Ross CountyxG 1.31–2.21

6 league meetings since 2020/21: Ross County won 0, St. Mirren won 4, and 2 were drawn. Goals 4–10 and xG 1.23–1.62 per game.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Samuel8884100.290.05
Charles-Cook282,3151320.230.09
Hungbo171,447530.180.13
Spittal201,803420.120.17

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Brophy181,487600.300.01
Tanser231,941240.070.22
McGrath181,588210.100.15
Ronan201,589630.110.13

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.