Saturday 29 August 2020, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 6 · Half-time 0–0
St. Johnstone May 72'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
St. Johnstone
St. Mirren
Goals
1
0
xG
2.84
0.29
Expected Points
2.83
0.10
St. Johnstone 92%Draw 7%St. Mirren 1%
Most likely score 3–0, 20%. Final score 1–0, 10%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren
2.84 +2.16xG0.29 −0.90
2.21 +1.62xG on target0.12 −1.04
21 +11Shots5 −5
6 +3.6Shots on target2 −2.2
5 +4.4Big chances0 −1.5
48% +6Possession52% +14
380 +40Passes427 +132
65% −2Pass accuracy68% +9
49% −2Field tilt51% +19
41 +5Final-third entries41 +16
19 +11.8Box entries5 −2.2
9.6 −10Passes per defensive action12.2 −3
11 +7.8Corners2 −1.5
26 +11Tackles12 −2
17 +7.4Interceptions20 +9.0
17 −2Clearances21 −8
2 −0.4Saves5 +0.2
7 −5Fouls12 0
2 0.0Offsides0 −2.2
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
St. Johnstone
St. Mirren
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
72'
0–01–0
0'HTFT
Level
74 min (76%) · St. Johnstone 2.71, St. Mirren 0.00 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
23 min (24%) · St. Johnstone 0.13, St. Mirren 0.29 xG
Line-ups
St. Johnstone substitutes
67'May for O'Halloran · goal 72'
83'Davidson for Hendry
90'Kane for Conway
St. Mirren substitutes
38'MacPherson for McAllister · yellow card 66'
46'Connolly for Morias
50'Dennis for Fraser
89'Jamieson for Sheron
Players
St. Johnstone
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Parish
GK
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.03
2
1
Kerr
CB
90
0.27
0.06
1
0.23
8
5
Gordon
CB
90
0.68
0.01
0
0.04
3
6
McCart
CB
90
0.00
0.03
1
0.10
6
10
McNamara
RWB
90
0.12
0.72
3
0.35
8
9
McCann
CM
90
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
1
6
Wotherspoon
CM
90
0.00
0.06
1
0.11
9
3
Tanser
LWB
90
0.30
0.02
2
0.06
4
10
O'Halloran
AM
67
0.11
0.01
0
0.09
4
2
Conway
AM
90
1
0.17
0.66
5
0.23
7
2
Hendry
ST
83
0.62
0.03
1
0.04
4
4
May
FW
23
1
0.52
0.03
1
−0.01
1
2
Davidson
MF
7
0.06
0.00
0
0.00
1
1
Kane
FW
0
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
St. Mirren
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Alnwick
GK
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.05
4
1
Fraser
CB
50
0.00
0.01
0
0.04
2
4
McCarthy
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.04
4
10
Tait
CB
90
0.00
0.32
1
0.24
11
12
McGrath
DM
90
0.00
0.08
1
0.02
2
2
McAllister
RWB
38
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
2
0
Sheron
CM
89
0.00
0.02
0
0.03
3
6
Foley
CM
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.11
9
7
Durmus
LWB
90
0.00
0.08
2
0.06
1
7
Morias
ST
46
0.00
0.00
0
−0.03
0
1
Obika
ST
90
0.09
0.02
0
−0.01
0
2
MacPherson
MF
52
0.03
0.02
0
0.06
4
1
Connolly
FW
44
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
3
Dennis
FW
40
0.18
0.11
1
−0.09
1
1
Jamieson
FW
1
0.00
0.00
0
–
–
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
St. Johnstone
St. Mirren
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
St. Johnstone
From
To
Passes
Kerr
McNamara
10
Conway
Wotherspoon
10
Wotherspoon
McNamara
8
McNamara
Wotherspoon
8
McCart
Tanser
7
St. Mirren
From
To
Passes
McGrath
Fraser
9
Tait
Foley
8
Alnwick
Obika
8
Foley
Tait
8
Durmus
Tait
7
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
St. Johnstone
Against its average of 5 matches
St. Mirren
Against its average of 4 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
St. Johnstone
St. Mirren
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
St. Johnstone
Top six
24%
34%
+10
11th
12%
8%
−4
Bottom
10%
7%
−3
St. Mirren
Top six
27%
18%
−9
11th
13%
16%
+3
Bottom
10%
14%
+4
From the forecast before the match (29 August 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
St. Johnstone
St. Mirren
Expected goals
1.06
0.90
Win
38%
30%
Expected Points
1.46
1.21
Clean sheet
41%
35%
St. Johnstone 38%Draw 32%St. Mirren 30%
Most likely score 0–0, 15%. Both sides score 39%.
From the forecast as it stood on 29 August 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
St. Johnstone win
Draw
St. Mirren win
St. Johnstone
Top six
24%
34%
21%
15%
11th
12%
8%
13%
16%
Bottom
10%
7%
10%
14%
St. Mirren
Top six
27%
18%
26%
38%
11th
13%
16%
13%
9%
Bottom
10%
14%
10%
6%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
St. Johnstone
St. Mirren
Position
8th
6th
Played
5
4
Won, drawn, lost
1–1–3
2–1–1
Points
4 (0.80 per game)
7 (1.75 per game)
Expected Points per game
0.89
1.24
Goals
3–7
3–4
xG per game
0.68–1.25
1.19–1.56
Home: points, xG per game
0.00, 0.47–0.91
2.00, 1.18–1.38
Away: points, xG per game
1.33, 0.82–1.48
1.50, 1.20–1.74
Manager
Callum Davidson (5)
Jim Goodwin (4)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
St. Johnstone
St. Mirren
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−29%
−18%
−7%
+41%
Counter-attacks
−21%
−37%
+71%
−67%
Set pieces
−47%
−7%
+15%
−6%
Penalties
−83%
+97%
−67%
−67%
Headers
−36%
−2%
−21%
+47%
Left side
−19%
−7%
−14%
−1%
Centre
−39%
−18%
+22%
+21%
Right side
−38%
−21%
−19%
+58%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren
0.68xG1.19
1.25xG against1.56
42%Possession38%
10.2Shots10.0
11.6Shots against17.5
2.4Shots on target4.2
0.6Big chances1.5
340Passes294
67%Pass accuracy59%
3.2Corners3.5
51%Field tilt32%
35.8Final-third entries24.5
7.2Box entries7.2
19.9Passes per defensive action15.0
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
St. Johnstone
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
60
0.57
1.24
Ahead
0
–
–
Behind
30
0.89
1.25
St. Mirren
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
26
1.66
1.14
Ahead
47
1.14
1.34
Behind
17
0.56
2.83
xG by period
St. Johnstone
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.10
0.23
0–1
16–30
0.03
0.12
0–1
31–45
0.00
0.13
0–1
46–60
0.13
0.34
1–1
61–75
0.12
0.12
0–1
76–90
0.31
0.31
2–2
St. Mirren
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.14
0.21
1–0
16–30
0.45
0.22
2–1
31–45
0.18
0.15
0–0
46–60
0.21
0.40
0–0
61–75
0.00
0.36
0–3
76–90
0.22
0.22
0–0
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Key players
St. Johnstone
Player
Starts
Min
G
A
xG per 90
xA per 90
McCann
5
450
0
0
0.04
0.02
Kerr
5
450
0
0
0.02
0.04
Parish
5
450
0
0
0.00
0.00
Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.