Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

St. Johnstone 1–0 St. Mirren

Saturday 29 August 2020, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 6 · Half-time 0–0

St. Johnstone May 72'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren
Goals10
xG2.840.29
Expected Points2.830.10

St. Johnstone 92%Draw 7%St. Mirren 1%

Most likely score 3–0, 20%. Final score 1–0, 10%.

St. Mirren goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+2%10%3%6%6%13%4%6%2%3%19%20%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTMay on for O'Halloran, 67'Davidson on for Hendry, 83'Kane on for Conway, 90'MacPherson on for McAllister, 38'Connolly on for Morias, 46'Dennis on for Fraser, 50'Jamieson on for Sheron, 89'May 72'St. Johnstone 2.84St. Mirren 0.2901230153045607590HTMay on for O'Halloran, 67'Davidson on for Hendry, 83'Kane on for Conway, 90'MacPherson on for McAllister, 38'Connolly on for Morias, 46'Dennis on for Fraser, 50'Jamieson on for Sheron, 89'May 72'2.840.29St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren

2.84 +2.16xG0.29 −0.90
2.21 +1.62xG on target0.12 −1.04
21 +11Shots5 −5
6 +3.6Shots on target2 −2.2
5 +4.4Big chances0 −1.5
48% +6Possession52% +14
380 +40Passes427 +132
65% −2Pass accuracy68% +9
49% −2Field tilt51% +19
41 +5Final-third entries41 +16
19 +11.8Box entries5 −2.2
9.6 −10Passes per defensive action12.2 −3
11 +7.8Corners2 −1.5
26 +11Tackles12 −2
17 +7.4Interceptions20 +9.0
17 −2Clearances21 −8
2 −0.4Saves5 +0.2
7 −5Fouls12 0
2 0.0Offsides0 −2.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

Gordon 50', 0.52 xGTanser 34', 0.30 xGHendry 41', 0.29 xGHendry 7', 0.28 xGKerr 45+1', 0.20 xGGordon 45+1', 0.14 xGConway 10', 0.07 xGConway 27', 0.07 xGKerr 45+2', 0.06 xGDavidson 85', 0.06 xGO'Halloran 33', 0.05 xGHendry 37', 0.05 xGMcNamara 75', 0.04 xGConway 10', 0.03 xGO'Halloran 13', 0.03 xGGordon 16', 0.03 xGO'Halloran 65', 0.03 xGMcNamara 84', 0.03 xGMcNamara 15', 0.02 xGMcNamara 55', 0.02 xGMay 72', 0.52 xG, goal32%0.92 xGSix-yard box: 4 shots, 0.92 xG, 0 goals41%1.17 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 1.17 xG, 1 goal17%0.48 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.48 xG, 0 goals9%0.25 xGEdge of the box: 7 shots, 0.25 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

St. Mirren

Obika 81', 0.09 xGDennis 90+5', 0.07 xGDennis 80', 0.05 xGDennis 90+2', 0.05 xGMacPherson 80', 0.03 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals90%0.27 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.27 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals10%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren

1.69 11 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.15 2 shots, 0 goals
1.15 10 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.15 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
74 min (76%) · St. Johnstone 2.71, St. Mirren 0.00 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
23 min (24%) · St. Johnstone 0.13, St. Mirren 0.29 xG

Line-ups

12564151810311722ParishKerrGordonMcCartMcNamaraMcCannWotherspoonTanserO'HalloranConwayHendry67'90'83'St. Johnstone 3-4-2-1Callum Davidson12252171061611199AlnwickFraserMcCarthyTaitMcGrathMcAllisterSheronFoleyDurmusMoriasObika50'38'89'46'St. Mirren 3-1-4-2Jim Goodwin

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 67' May for O'Halloran · goal 72'
  • 83' Davidson for Hendry
  • 90' Kane for Conway

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 38' MacPherson for McAllister · yellow card 66'
  • 46' Connolly for Morias
  • 50' Dennis for Fraser
  • 89' Jamieson for Sheron

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ParishGK900.000.0100.0321
KerrCB900.270.0610.2385
GordonCB900.680.0100.0436
McCartCB900.000.0310.10610
McNamaraRWB900.120.7230.3589
McCannCM900.000.000−0.0116
WotherspoonCM900.000.0610.1193
TanserLWB900.300.0220.06410
O'HalloranAM670.110.0100.0942
ConwayAM9010.170.6650.2372
HendryST830.620.0310.0444
MayFW2310.520.031−0.0112
DavidsonMF70.060.0000.0011
KaneFW00.000.0000.0001

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
AlnwickGK900.000.0100.0541
FraserCB500.000.0100.0424
McCarthyCB900.000.0000.04410
TaitCB900.000.3210.241112
McGrathDM900.000.0810.0222
McAllisterRWB380.000.0100.0120
SheronCM890.000.0200.0336
FoleyCM900.000.0100.1197
DurmusLWB900.000.0820.0617
MoriasST460.000.000−0.0301
ObikaST900.090.020−0.0102
MacPherson MF520.030.0200.0641
ConnollyFW440.000.0000.0003
DennisFW400.180.111−0.0911
JamiesonFW10.000.000––0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Kerr and McCann: 4 passesKerr and Hendry: 4 passesGordon and Hendry: 4 passesWotherspoon and Hendry: 4 passesO'Halloran and Hendry: 4 passesConway and Hendry: 5 passesMcCart and Wotherspoon: 6 passesTanser and Wotherspoon: 6 passesWotherspoon and O'Halloran: 6 passesMcCart and Hendry: 7 passesMcNamara and Hendry: 7 passesWotherspoon and McCann: 7 passesO'Halloran and Conway: 7 passesKerr and Conway: 8 passesMcNamara and O'Halloran: 8 passesWotherspoon and Conway: 8 passesMcNamara and Conway: 9 passesMcCart and Tanser: 10 passesKerr and McNamara: 14 passesMcNamara and Wotherspoon: 14 passesParish: 6 completed passesKerr: 23 completed passesGordon: 15 completed passesMcCart: 21 completed passesMcNamara: 30 completed passesTanser: 13 completed passesWotherspoon: 32 completed passesMcCann: 14 completed passesO'Halloran: 8 completed passesConway: 23 completed passesHendry: 17 completed passes12564153101811722ParishKerrGordonMcCartMcNamaraTanserWotherspoonMcCannO'HalloranConwayHendryStarters until 67' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

St. Mirren

Alnwick and Obika: 3 passesFraser and Tait: 3 passesSheron and McGrath: 3 passesFoley and Durmus: 3 passesMcAllister and Obika: 3 passesAlnwick and Fraser: 4 passesMcCarthy and Tait: 4 passesMcGrath and Morias: 4 passesFraser and Morias: 5 passesMcCarthy and Fraser: 6 passesTait and Durmus: 6 passesMcGrath and McAllister: 7 passesFraser and McGrath: 11 passesAlnwick: 5 completed passesMcCarthy: 10 completed passesFraser: 14 completed passesTait: 13 completed passesSheron: 7 completed passesMcGrath: 19 completed passesFoley: 5 completed passesMcAllister: 6 completed passesDurmus: 7 completed passesMorias: 8 completed passesObika: 5 completed passes15222617161011199AlnwickMcCarthyFraserTaitSheronMcGrathFoleyMcAllisterDurmusMoriasObikaStarters until 38' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
KerrMcNamara10
ConwayWotherspoon10
WotherspoonMcNamara8
McNamaraWotherspoon8
McCartTanser7

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
McGrathFraser9
TaitFoley8
AlnwickObika8
FoleyTait8
DurmusTait7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

2−3.06+3.04−1.81−4.412+2.013+7.06+0.212+5.411+3.29+4.47+4.65−2.64−2.413+7.24−0.86+2.03+1.04+1.04+1.23+0.20−1.63+1.220.02−1.02+0.200.02+1.81+0.80−1.25−8.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 5 matches

St. Mirren

8+0.89+2.214−6.26−4.08+2.210+4.87−1.04−4.212+3.85+0.812+6.58+4.03−2.08+1.55−0.21−2.52−0.82−1.04+0.51−1.51−0.22+0.83+1.01−1.50−0.200.00−0.200.00−1.53−8.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 4 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.010.020.010.010.020.030.030.020.030.060.110.030.020.040.050.010.050.060.01−0.04−0.010.220.280.20LessMore

St. Mirren

0.020.010.010.010.010.010.050.010.010.030.030.02−0.010.070.040.040.02−0.010.02−0.02−0.110.070.22LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.00.51.01.52.0League average 0.95AttackSt. Johnstone0.74 → 0.76St. Mirren0.76 → 0.68Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.10 → 1.03St. Mirren1.26 → 1.32

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
Top six24%34%+10
11th12%8%−4
Bottom10%7%−3
St. Mirren
Top six27%18%−9
11th13%16%+3
Bottom10%14%+4

From the forecast before the match (29 August 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren
Expected goals1.060.90
Win38%30%
Expected Points1.461.21
Clean sheet41%35%

St. Johnstone 38%Draw 32%St. Mirren 30%

Most likely score 0–0, 15%. Both sides score 39%.

St. Mirren goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+6%2%6%2%8%7%3%1%3%3%1%15%12%14%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 29 August 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawSt. Mirren win
St. Johnstone
Top six24%34%21%15%
11th12%8%13%16%
Bottom10%7%10%14%
St. Mirren
Top six27%18%26%38%
11th13%16%13%9%
Bottom10%14%10%6%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. L0–123 AugHibernian (H)xG 0.52–1.53
  2. L0–120 AugAberdeen (H)xG 0.42–0.29
  3. W2–115 AugKilmarnock (A)xG 1.65–0.86
  4. L0–312 AugRangers (A)xG 0.44–1.73
  5. D1–11 AugDundee United (A)xG 0.38–1.84

St. Mirren

  1. D1–122 AugRoss County (H)xG 1.31–2.21
  2. W1–015 AugHamilton Academical (A)xG 1.97–0.83
  3. L0–39 AugRangers (A)xG 0.42–2.65
  4. W1–01 AugLivingston (H)xG 1.04–0.55

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren
Position8th6th
Played54
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠1–⁠32–⁠1–⁠1
Points4 (0.80 per game)7 (1.75 per game)
Expected Points per game0.891.24
Goals3–⁠73–⁠4
xG per game0.68–⁠1.251.19–⁠1.56
Home: points, xG per game0.00, 0.47–⁠0.912.00, 1.18–⁠1.38
Away: points, xG per game1.33, 0.82–⁠1.481.50, 1.20–⁠1.74
ManagerCallum Davidson (5)Jim Goodwin (4)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.00.51.01.52.0League average 0.95AttackSt. Johnstone0.74, 11thSt. Mirren0.76, 10thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.10, 7thSt. Mirren1.26, 10th

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.01 Aug23 AugSt. Johnstone attack: 0.74St. Mirren attack: 0.760.760.74St. MirrenSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.01 Aug23 AugSt. Johnstone defence: 1.10St. Mirren defence: 1.261.261.10

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−29%−18%−7%+41%
Counter-attacks−21%−37%+71%−67%
Set pieces−47%−7%+15%−6%
Penalties−83%+97%−67%−67%
Headers−36%−2%−21%+47%
Left side−19%−7%−14%−1%
Centre−39%−18%+22%+21%
Right side−38%−21%−19%+58%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−19%+58%Centre−39%+21%Right side−38%−1%Open play−29%+41%Counter-attacks−21%−67%Set pieces−47%−6%Headers−36%+47%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−14%−21%Centre+22%−18%Right side−19%−7%Open play−7%−18%Counter-attacks+71%−37%Set pieces+15%−7%Headers−21%−2%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren

0.68xG1.19
1.25xG against1.56
42%Possession38%
10.2Shots10.0
11.6Shots against17.5
2.4Shots on target4.2
0.6Big chances1.5
340Passes294
67%Pass accuracy59%
3.2Corners3.5
51%Field tilt32%
35.8Final-third entries24.5
7.2Box entries7.2
19.9Passes per defensive action15.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level600.571.24
Ahead0––
Behind300.891.25

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level261.661.14
Ahead471.141.34
Behind170.562.83

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.230–1
16–300.030.120–1
31–450.000.130–1
46–600.130.341–1
61–750.120.120–1
76–900.310.312–2

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.211–0
16–300.450.222–1
31–450.180.150–0
46–600.210.400–0
61–750.000.360–3
76–900.220.220–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTParish 5Kerr 4Craig 1McCann 1Gordon 5McCart 4McNamara 3Kerr 1Rooney 1McCann 3McNamara 2Craig 4Conway 1Tanser 3Booth 2Wotherspoon 3Conway 2McCann 1O'Halloran 3Hendry 1Hendry 4O'Halloran 13-4-2-1 in 2 of 5 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (2), 4-1-2-2-1 (1), 4-1-2-1-2 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

St. Mirren

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMAMSTSTAlnwick 4Fraser 4McCarthy 3Foley 1Shaughnessy 4Tait 4Foley 3Sheron 3McAllister 1MacPherson 3McGrath 2McGrath 2McAllister 2Obika 4Morias 2Durmus 24-3-1-2 in 2 of 4 starts

Formations: 4-3-1-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
McCann5450000.040.02
Kerr5450000.020.04
Parish5450000.000.00

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.