Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Dundee United 2–2 Hearts

Saturday 5 March 2022, 15:00 · Tannadice Park · Round 30 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee William Collum · Attendance 7,172

Dundee United Smith 46', Clark 57' (pen)

Hearts Boyce 1', Halkett 81'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee UnitedHearts
Goals22
xG1.280.77
Non-penalty xG0.490.77
Expected Points1.850.83

Dundee United 51%Draw 32%Hearts 17%

Most likely score 1–0, 24%. Final score 2–2, 4%.

Hearts goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+6%5%2%7%2%12%10%4%2%2%24%22%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTNeilson on for Edwards, 44'Spörle on for McMann, 76'Cochrane on for Mackay-Steven, 8'Haring on for Devlin, 30'Halliday on for Cochrane, 39'Ginnelly on for Atkinson, 46'Sibbick on for Souttar, 61'Smith 46'Clark 57' (pen)Boyce 1'Halkett 81'Dundee United 1.28Hearts 0.7700.511.50153045607590HTNeilson on for Edwards, 44'Spörle on for McMann, 76'Cochrane on for Mackay-Steven, 8'Haring on for Devlin, 30'Halliday on for Cochrane, 39'Ginnelly on for Atkinson, 46'Sibbick on for Souttar, 61'Smith 46'Clark 57' (pen)Boyce 1'Halkett 81'1.280.77Dundee UnitedHearts

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedHearts

1.28 +0.35xG0.77 −0.65
0.49Non-penalty xG0.77
1.44 +0.42xG on target0.96 −0.48
8 −2Shots14 +1
2 −1.3Shots on target3 −1.7
1 −0.2Big chances1 −0.9
21 +5Touches in the opposition box35 +12
35% −12Possession65% +10
295 −80Passes532 +93
59% −10Pass accuracy76% +1
30% −14Field tilt70% +15
26 −9Final-third entries42 −2
10 +2.0Box entries22 +10.0
15.6 +1Passes per defensive action12.9 0
2 −2.7Corners5 −0.7
21 +6Tackles9 −6
14 +3.9Interceptions9 +0.7
30 +8Clearances8 −9
2 −1.0Saves0 −3.9
14 +2Fouls7 −5
3 +1.6Offsides1 −1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee United

Clark 1', 0.12 xGGraham 45+1', 0.11 xGHarkes 31', 0.10 xGSmith 12', 0.08 xGHarkes 17', 0.02 xGHarkes 24', 0.02 xGSmith 46', 0.04 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals67%0.33 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.33 xG, 0 goals16%0.08 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.08 xG, 0 goals16%0.08 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.08 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Hearts

Halkett 65', 0.10 xGSimms 78', 0.10 xGMcKay 5', 0.09 xGSimms 27', 0.07 xGBoyce 67', 0.06 xGHaring 79', 0.06 xGMackay-Steven 3', 0.05 xGSimms 90+2', 0.05 xGSimms 4', 0.03 xGSimms 21', 0.03 xGHaring 68', 0.02 xGHalkett 21', 0.01 xGHalkett 81', 0.07 xG, goalBoyce 1', 0.05 xG, goal13%0.10 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.10 xG, 0 goals36%0.28 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.28 xG, 1 goal48%0.37 xGWide in the box: 6 shots, 0.37 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals3%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedHearts

0.38 6 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.49 8 shots, 1 goal
0.11 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.28 6 shots, 1 goal
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
23 min (25%) · Dundee United 0.90, Hearts 0.09 xG
Dundee United ahead
24 min (26%) · Dundee United 0.00, Hearts 0.40 xG
Hearts ahead
46 min (49%) · Dundee United 0.37, Hearts 0.27 xG

Line-ups

11229187223633910SiegristEdwardsGrahamButcherNiskanenSmithHarkesMcDonaldMcMannMcNultyClarkYellow cardYellow cardGoalYellow cardYellow cardGoal44'76'Dundee United 3-5-2Tam Courts112419314618101120GordonAtkinsonSouttarHalkettKingsleyDevlinBaningimeMcKayBoyceMackay-StevenSimmsGoalYellow cardGoalYellow card46'61'30'8'Hearts 4-2-3-1Robbie Neilson

Dundee United substitutes

  • 44' Neilson for Edwards
  • 76' Spörle for McMann

Hearts substitutes

  • 8' Cochrane for Mackay-Steven · off 39'
  • 30' Haring for Devlin
  • 39' Halliday for Cochrane
  • 46' Ginnelly for Atkinson · yellow card 65'
  • 61' Sibbick for Souttar

Players

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SiegristGK900.000.0000.0002
EdwardsCB440.000.0000.0004
Graham CB900.110.0100.04518
Butcher CB900.000.0500.12621
NiskanenRWB900.000.0000.0237
SmithCM9010.110.2210.3065
HarkesCM900.150.2410.2054
McDonald CM900.000.0110.0444
McMannLWB760.000.1820.32112
McNulty ST900.000.040−0.0110
ClarkST90110.900.4620.1000
NeilsonDF460.000.0000.0434
SpörleDF140.000.0000.0111

Hearts

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GordonGK900.000.0000.0120
AtkinsonRB460.000.0100.0440
SouttarCB610.000.0400.1394
Halkett CB9010.180.0100.0645
KingsleyLB900.000.1720.43144
DevlinDM300.000.0100.0130
BaningimeDM900.000.051−0.0205
McKayRW9010.090.3130.23112
BoyceAM9010.100.1920.0432
Mackay-StevenLW810.050.0410.0620
Simms ST900.270.2110.1440
CochraneDF310.000.030−0.0100
HaringMF600.070.0100.0122
HallidayMF510.000.0200.0063
Ginnelly FW440.000.000−0.0321
SibbickDF290.000.0100.0551

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Siegrist and McMann: 3 passesButcher and Edwards: 3 passesButcher and Clark: 3 passesEdwards and Graham: 3 passesGraham and McDonald: 3 passesHarkes and McDonald: 3 passesMcDonald and Smith: 3 passesMcNulty and Clark: 3 passesGraham and Clark: 4 passesMcDonald and Clark: 4 passesSiegrist and Graham: 5 passesButcher and McDonald: 5 passesMcMann and Harkes: 6 passesMcMann and McDonald: 7 passesSiegrist: 7 completed passesButcher: 13 completed passesEdwards: 5 completed passesGraham: 12 completed passesNiskanen: 2 completed passesMcMann: 12 completed passesHarkes: 5 completed passesMcDonald: 16 completed passesSmith: 3 completed passesMcNulty: 4 completed passesClark: 8 completed passes11812297332362910SiegristButcherEdwardsGrahamNiskanenMcMannHarkesMcDonaldSmithMcNultyClarkStarters until 44' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

FromToPasses
McMannHarkes8
McDonaldMcMann7
GrahamClark5
McDonaldNeilson5
NeilsonMcDonald5

Hearts

FromToPasses
HalkettKingsley28
KingsleyHalkett17
AtkinsonSouttar13
HalkettSouttar12
SouttarAtkinson11

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

5+0.511+4.618+1.19+0.96−1.42−4.08+1.74−1.89+1.59+0.57+1.812+6.910+6.09+2.95−1.24−0.34+0.71−1.57+3.09+5.22−0.51−0.61−0.21−0.32−0.50−0.80−0.30−0.51+0.61+0.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 29 matches

Hearts

1−3.59+4.37+2.06+1.76−0.39+2.210+3.93−3.26−0.47+1.23−1.93−3.23−2.52−2.55+1.33−0.74+0.62−2.13+0.520.00−1.50−1.52−0.20−0.51+0.61+0.40−0.42+1.16−5.32−5.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 29 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

0.010.010.010.010.030.020.030.020.030.040.010.040.020.160.090.06−0.010.140.100.010.33LessMore

Hearts

0.010.010.010.030.020.030.080.030.040.030.030.030.080.010.020.080.170.04−0.010.100.010.030.04−0.100.020.28LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackDundee United0.91 → 0.92Hearts1.27 → 1.25Defence (lower is better)Dundee United1.30 → 1.29Hearts1.14 → 1.15

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee United
Top six42%40%−2
11th1%1%0
Motherwell
Top six51%52%+1
Livingston
Top six74%74%0

From the forecast before the match (5 March 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee UnitedHearts
Expected goals1.031.37
Win27%44%
Expected Points1.111.61
Clean sheet25%36%

Dundee United 27%Draw 28%Hearts 44%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 49%.

Hearts goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+9%4%1%9%9%4%1%5%7%5%2%2%2%2%10%12%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 5 March 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee United winDrawHearts win
Dundee United
Top six42%70%40%26%
11th1%<1%1%2%
Motherwell
Top six51%43%52%55%
Livingston
Top six74%69%74%77%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

  1. L1–22 MarLivingston (A)xG 0.93–2.16
  2. D1–126 FebAberdeen (A)xG 0.94–0.91
  3. D1–120 FebRangers (H)xG 0.58–3.93
  4. W2–09 FebMotherwell (H)xG 1.53–1.11
  5. D0–05 FebSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.13–0.39
  6. D0–01 FebDundee FC (A)xG 0.69–0.87

Hearts

  1. W2–02 MarAberdeen (H)xG 1.15–0.92
  2. W2–026 FebSt. Mirren (A)xG 3.13–0.11
  3. L1–219 FebSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.56–0.69
  4. L1–29 FebDundee FC (H)xG 1.76–0.86
  5. L0–56 FebRangers (A)xG 0.57–4.76
  6. D0–01 FebHibernian (A)xG 1.37–1.02

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedHearts
Position6th3rd
Played2929
Won, drawn, lost9–⁠8–⁠1214–⁠7–⁠8
Points35 (1.21 per game)49 (1.69 per game)
Expected Points per game1.091.58
Goals24–⁠3140–⁠29
xG per game0.93–⁠1.491.42–⁠1.25
Home: points, xG per game1.57, 1.02–⁠1.592.00, 1.63–⁠1.01
Away: points, xG per game0.87, 0.85–⁠1.401.36, 1.20–⁠1.52
ManagerTam Courts (29)Robbie Neilson (29)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackDundee United0.91, 9thHearts1.27, 3rdDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.30, 9thHearts1.14, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarDundee United attack: 0.91Hearts attack: 1.271.270.91HeartsDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarDundee United defence: 1.30Hearts defence: 1.141.301.14

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedHearts
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−20%+28%+12%+15%
Counter-attacks−8%−31%+119%−37%
Set pieces−23%+29%−10%+8%
Penalties−47%+6%+86%−73%
Headers−7%+20%−9%−16%
Left side−18%+10%+36%+7%
Centre−15%+43%−19%+4%
Right side−33%+6%+45%+33%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdHearts concededLeft side−18%+33%Centre−15%+4%Right side−33%+7%Open play−20%+15%Counter-attacks−8%−37%Set pieces−23%+8%Headers−7%−16%

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdDundee United concededLeft side+36%+6%Centre−19%+43%Right side+45%+10%Open play+12%+28%Counter-attacks+119%−31%Set pieces−10%+29%Headers−9%+20%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedHearts

0.93xG1.42
1.49xG against1.25
47%Possession55%
10.4Shots12.9
14.5Shots against13.1
3.3Shots on target4.7
1.2Big chances1.9
15.8Touches in the opposition box23.1
375Passes439
68%Pass accuracy75%
4.7Corners5.7
44%Field tilt55%
34.8Final-third entries43.7
8.0Box entries12.0
14.7Passes per defensive action13.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level550.861.38
Ahead140.691.72
Behind211.291.65

Hearts

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.521.07
Ahead281.560.95
Behind180.962.20

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.132–2
16–300.110.153–8
31–450.170.325–4
46–600.160.204–4
61–750.160.385–3
76–900.200.325–10

Hearts

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.200.205–6
16–300.130.166–2
31–450.280.198–5
46–600.330.156–4
61–750.300.2810–8
76–900.180.285–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMCMLMSTSiegrist 25Carson 4Freeman 15Smith 6Edwards 4Edwards 21Butcher 4Neilson 1Mulgrew 23Graham 5McMann 2McMann 16Robson 4Watt 3Pawlett 12Niskanen 4Smith 3Fuchs 16Meekison 3McDonald 2Levitt 14Butcher 7Clark 6Harkes 23Mochrie 2Hoti 2Niskanen 13Pawlett 4Sporle 4Clark 12McNulty 8Watt 44-5-1 in 7 of 29 starts

Formations: 4-5-1 (7), 3-5-2 (5), 4-3-3 (4), 4-4-1-1 (4), 4-4-2 (3), 3-4-1-2 (2), 5-3-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-3-2-1 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1)

Hearts

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWGordon 28Stewart 1Souttar 25Moore 8Atkinson 1Halkett 23Sibbick 4Kingsley 21Cochrane 4Smith 16Atkinson 5Moore 4Baningime 21Woodburn 1McEneff 1Devlin 21Haring 12Halliday 1Cochrane 14Halliday 10Kingsley 4McKay 12Ginnelly 8Woodburn 4Boyce 15Simms 5Ginnelly 4Mackay-Steven 11McKay 7Woodburn 73-4-3 in 18 of 29 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (18), 3-4-2-1 (5), 4-2-3-1 (3), 3-4-1-2 (3)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
6 November 2021Hearts5–2Dundee UnitedxG 2.14–0.85
28 August 2021Dundee United0–2HeartsxG 0.40–2.25

2 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 0, Hearts won 2, and 0 were drawn. Goals 2–7 and xG 0.62–2.20 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
McNulty11980100.340.08
Watt8644110.160.22
Clark201,855410.250.07
Pawlett191,652200.130.16

Hearts

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Simms5573300.740.03
Boyce201,750820.580.09
Gnanduillet3459100.340.10
McKay221,934070.130.31

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.