Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
HibernianDundee United
2.12 +0.54xG1.43 +0.55
2.66 +0.95xG on target1.59 +0.81
13 +0.6Shots10 +0.9
8 +3.9Shots on target3 +0.6
4 +2.1Big chances2 +0.9
17 −4.8Touches in the opposition box7 −1.6
56% +7Possession44% −3
423 +32Passes326 −32
78% +6Pass accuracy72% +6
56% +11Field tilt44% +7
46 +6Final-third entries32 +3
8 −3.3Box entries5 −1.9
10.8 −4Passes per defensive action20.2 +5
10 +4.8Corners5 +0.6
11 −3Tackles7 −7
7 −2.1Interceptions6 −5.0
16 −5Clearances22 −4
2 −0.6Saves8 +4.9
15 +3Fouls16 +3
3 +1.0Offsides1 −0.5
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Hibernian
Dundee United
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
13'90'
0–01–0
0'HTFT
Level
14 min (15%) · Hibernian 0.20, Dundee United 0.00 xG
Hibernian ahead
77 min (85%) · Hibernian 1.92, Dundee United 1.43 xG
Line-ups
Hibernian substitutes
65'Wright for Magennis
71'Gogic for Hallberg · yellow card 76'
Dundee United substitutes
54'Bolton for Edwards · goal 90'
54'McMullan for Clark
68'Pawlett for Fuchs · yellow card 79'
Players
Hibernian
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Marciano
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.04
3
0
P. McGinn
RB
90
0.00
0.14
1
0.10
12
3
Porteous
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.07
6
6
Hanlon
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.05
3
9
Stevenson
LB
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.12
11
2
Boyle
RM
90
0.44
0.04
3
0.14
10
0
Hallberg
CM
71
1
0.07
0.19
4
0.00
0
3
Newell
CM
90
0.03
0.02
0
−0.01
6
4
Magennis
LM
65
1
0.02
0.10
0
0.05
2
1
Nisbet
ST
90
0.08
0.11
1
0.07
2
4
Doidge
ST
90
1.44
0.02
1
0.05
0
4
Wright
DF
25
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Gogic
DF
19
0.04
0.01
0
0.04
3
1
Dundee United
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Siegrist
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.05
4
1
Connolly
CB
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.11
11
2
Edwards
CB
54
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
4
Reynolds
CB
90
0.06
0.02
1
0.07
7
7
Smith
RWB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.00
1
9
Butcher
CM
90
0.00
0.01
1
0.04
4
1
Clark
CM
54
0.07
0.00
0
−0.02
0
2
Fuchs
CM
68
0.00
0.01
0
0.03
2
6
Robson
LWB
90
0.00
0.02
1
0.02
5
1
McNulty
ST
90
0.28
0.09
1
0.03
2
0
Shankland
ST
90
0.58
0.03
2
0.01
2
2
Bolton
MF
36
1
0.44
0.01
0
−0.02
1
1
McMullan
MF
36
0.00
0.40
2
0.27
10
0
Pawlett
MF
22
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Hibernian
Dundee United
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Hibernian
From
To
Passes
Newell
P. McGinn
15
Hanlon
Stevenson
15
Hanlon
Porteous
14
P. McGinn
Boyle
13
P. McGinn
Newell
11
Dundee United
From
To
Passes
Edwards
Connolly
9
Reynolds
Robson
9
Reynolds
Shankland
6
Shankland
McNulty
6
Siegrist
Shankland
6
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Hibernian
Against its average of 17 matches
Dundee United
Against its average of 17 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Hibernian
Dundee United
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Dundee United
Top six
26%
26%
0
11th
8%
6%
−2
Bottom
2%
1%
−1
Motherwell
Top six
35%
35%
0
11th
6%
6%
0
Ross County
11th
38%
39%
+1
Bottom
30%
29%
−1
From the forecast before the match (19 December 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Hibernian
Dundee United
Expected goals
1.54
0.83
Win
53%
20%
Expected Points
1.87
0.86
Clean sheet
43%
21%
Hibernian 53%Draw 27%Dundee United 20%
Most likely score 1–0, 14%. Both sides score 45%.
From the forecast as it stood on 19 December 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Hibernian win
Draw
Dundee United win
Dundee United
Top six
26%
21%
26%
39%
11th
8%
9%
6%
4%
Bottom
2%
2%
1%
<1%
Motherwell
Top six
35%
37%
35%
31%
11th
6%
5%
6%
6%
Ross County
11th
38%
36%
39%
41%
Bottom
30%
29%
29%
31%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Hibernian
Dundee United
Position
3rd
5th
Played
17
17
Won, drawn, lost
9–5–3
5–5–7
Points
32 (1.88 per game)
20 (1.18 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.58
1.00
Goals
28–16
13–22
xG per game
1.58–1.23
0.88–1.46
Home: points, xG per game
1.43, 1.39–1.58
1.22, 0.92–1.49
Away: points, xG per game
2.20, 1.70–0.98
1.12, 0.84–1.43
Manager
Jack Ross (17)
Micky Mellon (17)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Hibernian
Dundee United
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
+26%
−17%
−33%
+21%
Counter-attacks
−76%
−71%
+29%
+104%
Set pieces
−3%
−4%
−39%
+13%
Penalties
+39%
+39%
−44%
−72%
Headers
+46%
−20%
−58%
+28%
Left side
+1%
−7%
−10%
+13%
Centre
+25%
−34%
−54%
+11%
Right side
+10%
+13%
−18%
+48%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Matchups
Hibernian attacking
Hibernian createdDundee United concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side+1%+48%Centre+25%+11%Right side+10%+13%Open play+26%+21%Counter-attacks−76%+104%Set pieces−3%+13%Headers+46%+28%
Dundee United attacking
Dundee United createdHibernian concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−10%+13%Centre−54%−34%Right side−18%−7%Open play−33%−17%Counter-attacks+29%−71%Set pieces−39%−4%Headers−58%−20%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
HibernianDundee United
1.58xG0.88
1.23xG against1.46
49%Possession47%
12.4Shots9.1
12.7Shots against14.8
4.1Shots on target2.4
1.9Big chances1.1
21.8Touches in the opposition box8.6
391Passes358
72%Pass accuracy66%
5.2Corners4.4
45%Field tilt37%
39.6Final-third entries29.2
11.3Box entries6.9
14.9Passes per defensive action15.6
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Hibernian
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
43
1.80
1.11
Ahead
33
1.61
1.38
Behind
14
0.81
1.24
Dundee United
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
54
0.71
1.26
Ahead
20
1.13
1.51
Behind
16
1.17
2.08
xG by period
Hibernian
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.29
0.19
3–3
16–30
0.17
0.09
5–0
31–45
0.25
0.30
6–5
46–60
0.22
0.22
4–2
61–75
0.35
0.18
5–1
76–90
0.29
0.25
5–5
Dundee United
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.15
0.13
2–1
16–30
0.14
0.15
2–3
31–45
0.14
0.30
3–3
46–60
0.20
0.20
3–3
61–75
0.03
0.37
0–6
76–90
0.23
0.32
3–6
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts