Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

St. Mirren 0–0 Dundee United

Friday 6 November 2020, 19:45 · Simple Digital Arena · Round 14 · Half-time 0–0

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. MirrenDundee United
Goals00
xG1.380.20
Expected Points2.440.34

St. Mirren 74%Draw 23%Dundee United 4%

Most likely score 1–0, 35%. Final score 0–0, 15%.

Dundee United goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+15%3%8%23%5%8%2%2%35%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTErwin on for Dennis, 58'Obika on for MacPherson, 71'Foley on for Mason and Morias on for McGrath, 80'McNulty on for Pawlett and Powers on for Harkes, 59'McMullan on for Bolton, 70'St. Mirren 1.38Dundee United 0.2000.511.50153045607590HTErwin on for Dennis, 58'Obika on for MacPherson, 71'Foley on for Mason and Morias on for McGrath, 80'McNulty on for Pawlett and Powers on for Harkes, 59'McMullan on for Bolton, 70'1.380.20St. MirrenDundee United

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. MirrenDundee United

1.38 +0.43xG0.20 −0.82
0.00 −0.76xG on target0.09 −0.75
16 +5.9Shots4 −5.9
0 −2.9Shots on target1 −1.5
1 +0.1Big chances0 −1.3
22 +9.0Touches in the opposition box4 −5.4
57% +16Possession43% −4
452 +141Passes347 −16
74% +12Pass accuracy62% −5
69% +34Field tilt31% −7
44 +15Final-third entries20 −12
11 +4.9Box entries2 −5.6
10.6 −4Passes per defensive action17.8 +3
5 +0.7Corners4 −0.8
11 −3Tackles17 +2
18 +7Interceptions12 +2
15 −8Clearances33 +6
1 −3.5Saves0 −3.6
13 0Fouls15 +2
1 −0.5Offsides1 −0.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Mirren

Obika 76', 0.65 xGMacPherson 11', 0.08 xGTait 17', 0.07 xGMacPherson 65', 0.06 xGDoyle-Hayes 83', 0.06 xGMcGrath 17', 0.05 xGDennis 20', 0.05 xGMason 50', 0.05 xGMacPherson 58', 0.05 xGTait 68', 0.05 xGObika 73', 0.05 xGDennis 35', 0.04 xGMcGrath 54', 0.04 xGFraser 65', 0.04 xGTait 61', 0.03 xGShaughnessy 89', 0.02 xG50%0.69 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.69 xG, 0 goals19%0.26 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.26 xG, 0 goals8%0.11 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals22%0.30 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.30 xG, 0 goals2%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Dundee United

Powers 79', 0.10 xGHarkes 16', 0.03 xGHarkes 52', 0.03 xGButcher 90+3', 0.03 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals53%0.10 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.10 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals47%0.09 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. MirrenDundee United

1.20 13 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.17 3 shots, 0 goals
0.18 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.03 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
93 min (100%) · St. Mirren 1.38, Dundee United 0.20 xG

Line-ups

1225427253142017AlnwickFraserMcCarthyShaughnessyTaitDoyle-HayesErhahonMasonMacPhersonDennisMcGrathYellow card80'71'58'80'St. Mirren 3-4-3Jim Goodwin121261720182382410SiegristSmithEdwardsReynoldsRobsonBoltonButcherHarkesPawlettShanklandClarkYellow card70'59'59'Dundee United 4-4-2Micky Mellon

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 58' Erwin for Dennis
  • 71' Obika for MacPherson
  • 80' Foley for Mason
  • 80' Morias for McGrath

Dundee United substitutes

  • 59' Powers for Harkes
  • 59' McNulty for Pawlett
  • 70' McMullan for Bolton

Players

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
AlnwickGK900.000.0000.0681
FraserCB900.040.1210.20145
McCarthyCB900.000.0000.0437
ShaughnessyCB900.020.0100.0549
TaitRWB900.140.1110.1174
Doyle-HayesCM900.060.6020.1647
ErhahonCM900.000.0200.0215
Mason LWB800.050.0910.1335
MacPhersonRW710.190.1110.2080
DennisST580.090.053−0.0110
McGrathLW800.090.051−0.0123
ErwinFW320.000.011−0.0100
ObikaFW190.700.011−0.0200
FoleyMF100.000.0100.0111
MoriasFW100.000.0000.0100

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SiegristGK900.000.0000.0001
SmithRB900.000.0200.0859
EdwardsCB900.000.0000.00114
ReynoldsCB900.000.0100.05612
RobsonLB900.000.0000.0349
BoltonRM700.000.0000.0006
ButcherCM900.030.0000.0148
HarkesCM590.060.010−0.0102
PawlettLM590.000.0000.0020
ShanklandST900.000.1620.1602
Clark ST900.000.010−0.0130
PowersDF310.100.0000.0100
McNultyFW310.000.010−0.0501
McMullanMF200.000.0200.0454

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Mirren

McCarthy and Tait: 4 passesMcCarthy and MacPherson: 4 passesFraser and McGrath: 4 passesMason and Dennis: 4 passesDoyle-Hayes and Erhahon: 4 passesMcCarthy and Erhahon: 5 passesTait and Dennis: 5 passesErhahon and MacPherson: 5 passesMacPherson and Dennis: 5 passesAlnwick and Tait: 6 passesShaughnessy and Doyle-Hayes: 6 passesShaughnessy and MacPherson: 6 passesErhahon and McGrath: 7 passesTait and Doyle-Hayes: 8 passesDoyle-Hayes and McGrath: 8 passesShaughnessy and Erhahon: 9 passesMcCarthy and Doyle-Hayes: 9 passesAlnwick and McCarthy: 10 passesMason and Erhahon: 11 passesShaughnessy and McCarthy: 12 passesFraser and Doyle-Hayes: 12 passesShaughnessy and Mason: 13 passesMason and MacPherson: 13 passesMcCarthy and Fraser: 18 passesFraser and Tait: 18 passesTait and McGrath: 19 passesAlnwick: 14 completed passesShaughnessy: 31 completed passesMcCarthy: 35 completed passesFraser: 33 completed passesTait: 31 completed passesMason: 22 completed passesDoyle-Hayes: 27 completed passesErhahon: 25 completed passesMacPherson: 19 completed passesDennis: 10 completed passesMcGrath: 21 completed passes1452223725142017AlnwickShaughnessyMcCarthyFraserTaitMasonDoyle-HayesErhahonMacPhersonDennisMcGrathStarters until 58' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Dundee United

Siegrist and Reynolds: 3 passesHarkes and Butcher: 3 passesHarkes and Shankland: 3 passesPawlett and Clark: 3 passesEdwards and Reynolds: 4 passesBolton and Butcher: 4 passesBolton and Clark: 4 passesRobson and Harkes: 4 passesRobson and Butcher: 4 passesRobson and Pawlett: 4 passesRobson and Clark: 4 passesClark and Shankland: 4 passesSmith and Butcher: 5 passesButcher and Pawlett: 5 passesButcher and Clark: 5 passesReynolds and Clark: 6 passesHarkes and Clark: 6 passesReynolds and Harkes: 8 passesSmith and Bolton: 8 passesRobson and Shankland: 8 passesEdwards and Smith: 9 passesReynolds and Robson: 9 passesSmith and Harkes: 9 passesSiegrist: 4 completed passesEdwards: 10 completed passesReynolds: 19 completed passesSmith: 19 completed passesBolton: 12 completed passesRobson: 19 completed passesHarkes: 19 completed passesButcher: 18 completed passesPawlett: 10 completed passesClark: 16 completed passesShankland: 8 completed passes112622017231881024SiegristEdwardsReynoldsSmithBoltonRobsonHarkesButcherPawlettClarkShanklandStarters until 59' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
FraserTait12
McCarthyFraser12
FraserMcCarthy11
TaitMcGrath11
MasonErhahon10

Dundee United

FromToPasses
EdwardsSmith7
ButcherSmith6
SmithBolton6
HarkesSmith6
ReynoldsClark6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Mirren

4−1.05−3.12−4.46−0.79+1.26−1.312+3.98+0.75+0.27+1.59+4.86+1.38+1.35+0.92−2.02−1.14+0.37+3.82−0.32+0.21−0.31−1.01−1.24+3.500.02+1.60−0.30−0.88−7.71−6.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 10 matches

Dundee United

7+1.56−1.823+7.37+0.38+0.88+0.911+3.05−1.57+0.49−0.88+2.57+2.81−3.02−2.54−1.92−2.83+0.32−0.310+8.14−0.50−2.43+1.510.02+0.31−1.11+0.20−0.10−0.20−0.30−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 13 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Mirren

0.040.020.010.030.020.010.020.050.010.040.07−0.010.010.040.030.010.020.110.070.10−0.06−0.020.130.20LessMore

Dundee United

0.020.010.020.010.010.010.010.020.030.010.010.010.010.020.03−0.020.02−0.06−0.010.16LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.21AttackSt. Mirren0.86 → 0.84Dundee United0.96 → 0.90Defence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.42 → 1.33Dundee United1.29 → 1.27

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Mirren
Top six6%5%−1
11th25%25%0
Bottom22%22%0
Dundee United
Top six30%28%−2
11th6%6%0
Bottom2%2%0
Hamilton Academical
11th24%24%0
Bottom49%50%+1

From the forecast before the match (6 November 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. MirrenDundee United
Expected goals0.951.17
Win29%40%
Expected Points1.181.51
Clean sheet31%39%

St. Mirren 29%Draw 31%Dundee United 40%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 43%.

Dundee United goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+8%3%8%3%5%6%4%1%2%2%1%13%13%11%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 6 November 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Mirren winDrawDundee United win
St. Mirren
Top six6%11%5%3%
11th25%21%25%28%
Bottom22%14%22%28%
Dundee United
Top six30%20%28%38%
11th6%10%6%3%
Bottom2%3%2%1%
Hamilton Academical
11th24%21%24%26%
Bottom49%53%50%45%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Mirren

  1. L1–22 OctAberdeen (A)xG 0.48–0.92
  2. L0–126 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 0.49–0.65
  3. L1–219 SepDundee United (A)xG 1.16–1.82
  4. L1–216 SepCeltic (H)xG 1.12–2.18
  5. L0–312 SepHibernian (H)xG 1.24–1.09
  6. L0–129 AugSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.29–2.84

Dundee United

  1. W2–131 OctRoss County (H)xG 1.79–0.88
  2. D0–024 OctSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.10–0.96
  3. D0–017 OctAberdeen (H)xG 0.48–1.21
  4. L1–22 OctLivingston (H)xG 0.06–3.09
  5. D1–126 SepHamilton Academical (A)xG 1.81–1.22
  6. W2–119 SepSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.82–1.16

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. MirrenDundee United
Position11th5th
Played1013
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠1–⁠74–⁠4–⁠5
Points7 (0.70 per game)16 (1.23 per game)
Expected Points per game1.001.13
Goals6–⁠1510–⁠17
xG per game0.95–⁠1.571.02–⁠1.50
Home: points, xG per game0.80, 1.04–⁠1.341.14, 1.02–⁠1.52
Away: points, xG per game0.60, 0.86–⁠1.811.33, 1.01–⁠1.48
ManagerJim Goodwin (10)Micky Mellon (13)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.21AttackSt. Mirren0.86, 12thDundee United0.96, 10thDefence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.42, 10thDundee United1.29, 8th

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.0SepOctNovSt. Mirren attack: 0.86Dundee United attack: 0.960.960.86Dundee UnitedSt. MirrenDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.0SepOctNovSt. Mirren defence: 1.42Dundee United defence: 1.291.421.29

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. MirrenDundee United
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−39%+42%−24%+28%
Counter-attacks+7%−100%+63%+158%
Set pieces+20%−1%−36%+8%
Penalties−100%−54%−30%−100%
Headers−45%+47%−54%+26%
Left side−38%+9%−1%+17%
Centre+4%−2%−47%+12%
Right side−45%+88%−10%+60%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdDundee United concededLeft side−38%+60%Centre+4%+12%Right side−45%+17%Open play−39%+28%Counter-attacks+7%+158%Set pieces+20%+8%Headers−45%+26%

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−1%+88%Centre−47%−2%Right side−10%+9%Open play−24%+42%Counter-attacks+63%−100%Set pieces−36%−1%Headers−54%+47%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenDundee United

0.95xG1.02
1.57xG against1.50
40%Possession48%
10.1Shots9.9
16.0Shots against15.3
2.9Shots on target2.5
0.9Big chances1.3
13.0Touches in the opposition box9.4
311Passes363
62%Pass accuracy67%
4.3Corners4.8
35%Field tilt38%
28.6Final-third entries31.5
6.1Box entries7.6
14.9Passes per defensive action14.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level341.021.65
Ahead221.021.37
Behind330.841.63

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level510.841.39
Ahead261.131.33
Behind141.452.23

xG by period

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.192–1
16–300.240.212–4
31–450.210.280–2
46–600.110.391–2
61–750.050.311–5
76–900.180.180–1

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.152–1
16–300.170.172–2
31–450.160.352–2
46–600.250.213–2
61–750.040.330–4
76–900.230.291–6

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

GKRBCBCBLBDMRMCMCMLMSTAlnwick 7Zlamal 3Fraser 9MacPherson 1McCarthy 9Foley 2Shaughnessy 8Tait 1Tait 7Obika 2Fraser 1Erhahon 4Sheron 3McGrath 1McAllister 5Morias 2MacPherson 1McGrath 7Sheron 3Foley 6MacPherson 3Erhahon 1Durmus 4Obika 3Morias 1Erwin 4Morias 3Obika 24-1-4-1 in 3 of 10 starts

Formations: 4-1-4-1 (3), 4-3-1-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

Dundee United

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTSiegrist 12Mehmet 1Bolton 4Neilson 4Smith 2Edwards 7Connolly 7Reynolds 12Robson 8Butcher 3Harkes 1Bolton 7Chalmers 3Smith 1Pawlett 8Butcher 5Powers 2Harkes 11Robson 4Chalmers 3Sporle 3Clark 10McNulty 1Chalmers 1Shankland 7Butcher 3Appere 34-4-2 in 5 of 13 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (5), 3-5-2 (4), 4-1-4-1 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
19 September 2020Dundee United2–1St. MirrenxG 1.82–1.16

1 league meeting since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 0, Dundee United won 1, and 0 were drawn. Goals 1–2 and xG 1.16–1.82 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Obika8737200.240.09
Morias6538000.280.04
Tait8690110.080.15
MacPherson5554010.060.09

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Clark11898500.410.03
Pawlett9769100.190.18
Shankland7661200.230.13
Sporle4460110.150.15

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.